It's been a week to forget for ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML). The Dutch-based semiconductor stock is down 4% to trade at $730.30 today, extending its 16.3% selloff yesterday after the company's accidentally-released early third-quarter results showed a sharp drop in orders. ASML also trimmed its 2025 full-year guidance, prompting three price-target cuts from overseas brokerages. ASML breached its year-to-date breakeven level yesterday, and is now heading for its lowest close since January.  Since a July 11 ...

今天两市成交量进一步萎缩，只有13753亿了，这个量能主要问题是买盘萎缩的厉害，在经过短暂的疯狂后，场外资金都冷静下来了，不会再哄抢入市。 市场的中位数是0%，上涨的个股和下跌的个股基本五五开，但是创业板指下跌2.2%，科创板指下跌2.5%，这说明肯定里面有权重股跌惨了。 我专门去看了一眼，创业板和科创板各自流通市值最大的10家公司里，只有东方财富+1%是红的，另外19家都下跌，且平均跌幅在3%左右。 现在市场整体的进度是跌到9月30日开盘的位置，也就是把9月30日日内阳线的部分已经跌完了，9月30日当天进场的资金整体已经不挣钱了。 这几天留言问的最多的就是牛还在不在？我也不知道，我可以告诉大家的是，即便最近几天持续的回调，但中线趋势模型里目前的各大指数依然处于暖 测，也就是yes的状态。早几年不是有发过一个鱼盆模型嘛，那个模型的临界距离目前的指数甚至还有约3%的距离。 我这么说可能有些读者坐不住了，这要是再往下跌3%人都跌麻了。没办法，中线趋势模型最大的特点就是有一定的延后性，如果很灵敏的话稍微震荡一 洗就飞了。记住盈亏同源的原则，这类模型处理不了锐角上锐角下的极端走势，但以前也很少有锐角上锐角下的极端走势 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total net sales for Q3 2024 reached €7.5 billion, exceeding guidance due to increased DPV system sales and higher installed base management sales [6] - Net system sales amounted to €5.9 billion, comprising €2.1 billion from EUV sales and €3.8 billion from non-EUV sales [6] - Gross margin for the quarter was 50.8%, while net income was €2.1 billion, representing 27.8% of total net sales, resulting in an EPS of €5.28 [7][8] - Free cash flow improved to €534 million, although pressure remains due to low order intake and high inventory levels [8] - Q3 net system bookings totaled €2.6 billion, with a backlog exceeding €36 billion at the end of the quarter [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Installed base management sales for Q3 were €1.54 billion, driven by higher service and upgrade revenue [7] - Net system bookings were balanced between memory (54%) and logic (46%) [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The recovery in traditional end markets is slow, with customers remaining cautious [10] - The company expects China business to normalize to about 20% of total revenue, reflecting a return to historical levels [20][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on advancing EUV technology, with significant improvements in throughput and performance expected from new models [14][16] - Long-term growth drivers in semiconductor markets remain strong, particularly in AI and energy transition applications [23][24] - The company plans to build capacity to meet future demand, despite current market softness [52] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while AI is a key driver for industry recovery, other segments are recovering more slowly than anticipated, extending recovery into 2025 [17][18] - The company has adjusted its 2025 revenue expectations to the lower half of the previously provided range, anticipating €30 billion to €35 billion [20][21] - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding customer demand, particularly in light of competitive dynamics and market uncertainties [60][61] Other Important Information - The company declared a second quarterly interim dividend of €1.52 per ordinary share, payable on November 7, 2024 [12] - R&D expenses for Q4 are expected to be around €1.09 billion, with SG&A expenses at approximately €300 million [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the normalization of China demand? - Management indicated that normalization is due to a combination of backlog adjustments and cautious views on export controls, expecting China to represent about 20% of total sales [27][28] Question: How does the 2025 gross margin guidance reflect changes in immersion shipments? - Management clarified that immersion expectations have not dramatically changed since the 2022 Investor Day, but the overall mix and volume of EUV units have significantly impacted gross margin expectations [31][34] Question: How much of the EUV shipment cuts will spill over to 2026? - Management noted that customer feedback indicates tools are being pushed out, which could mathematically lead to some orders moving into 2026 [38][39] Question: What is the outlook for installed base management growth in 2025? - Management expects healthy double-digit growth in installed base management, driven by service and upgrade revenues [45] Question: How is the company managing capacity targets in light of updated 2025 expectations? - The company is executing on long lead time items while slowing down short-term investments due to current market softness, preparing for future demand increases [52][53] Question: What is the expected impact of AI on future demand? - Management remains optimistic about AI driving demand, particularly in server markets, and anticipates developments in this area in the coming months [68][70]

Shares of Nvidia fell 5% as global chipmakers lost $420 billion in market cap on Tuesday. (Photo via ... [+] Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images).GettyKey Takeaways Chip Stocks Dropped Significantly Due To ASML's Slower Recovery Warning Nuclear Energy Stocks Rallied, Driven By AI's Growing Energy Needs Morgan Stanley Outperformed, While Banking Sector Faces Interest Income ChallengesStocks fell on Tuesday led by a $420 billion drop in the global chip stocks. The S&P 500 fell by 0.8%. The Nasdaq Composite dro ...

ASML Holdings (NASDAQ: ASML), the Dutch semiconductor equipment giant, experienced a dramatic stock price crash on Tuesday, falling by 16% in one of its steepest declines in 20 years.This sharp drop, which erased over $55 billion from its market value, occurred after the company accidentally published its third-quarter financial results a day early. The results revealed a disappointing outlook for 2025, with significantly lower-than-expected new orders, sending shockwaves across the semiconductor sector. AS ...

Company Performance - ASML's third-quarter net sales reached 7.5 billion euros, beating expectations, but net bookings were only 2.6 billion euros, significantly below the 5.6 billion euro consensus estimate [2] - ASML shares plunged as much as 16% on Tuesday, causing the company to lose over $50 billion in market capitalization in a single day [2] 2025 Outlook - ASML expects net sales for 2025 to be between 30 billion euros and 35 billion euros, which is at the lower half of the previously guided range [1] - The company's CFO, Roger Dassen, expects the China business to show a "more normalized percentage" in the order book and business [2] - UBS analysts noted that the change in ASML's 2025 guidance is mainly related to delays in the development of new logic fabrication facilities from Intel and Samsung, implying a 25% to 30% decline in sales to China in 2025 [2] Geopolitical Impact - ASML provided the first glimpse into how U.S. restrictions on exports of its advanced chip manufacturing tools to China will impact its sales in the Asian country [1] - Geopolitical tensions are putting pressure on ASML's 2025 outlook, particularly affecting its China business [2] Industry Context - ASML is a critical part of the global chip supply chain, with its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines used by major chipmakers like Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing to produce advanced chips [1]

The darling niche of the technology sector today is found in the semiconductor and chip-making industry, where most of the interest—and capital—has been focused since 2023. Pushed by secular tailwinds from artificial intelligence and other advancements, markets have somewhat priced in all potential future growth in these stocks, creating some risk in the coming quarters.ASML TodayASMLASML$730.43 -141.84 (-16.26%) 52-Week Range$573.86▼$1,110.09Dividend Yield0.76%P/E Ratio39.42Price Target$1,071.80Add to Watc ...

ASML provides crucial equipment for semiconductor manufacturing, but its recent earnings should not scare off investors.In today's video, I discuss ASML Holdings (ASML -16.26%) and what its latest earnings mean for the semiconductor market. To learn more, check out the short video, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.*Stock prices used were the after-market prices of Oct. 15, 2024. The video was published on Oct. 15, 2024. ...

Dutch chip-equipment maker ASML Holdings N.V.’s ASML smaller-than-expected bookings for the third quarter and guidance cut sent shares of companies with exposure to artificial intelligence lower on Tuesday.Overreaction: ASML guiding 2025 revenue led to an overreaction by the broader AI hardware sector, which fell 4.5% on Tuesday compared to Nasdaq’s 1.2% fall, said Deepwater Asset Management’s Gene Munster.Only about 10% of ASML’s revenue could be attributable to AI demand, the tech venture capitalist said. ...

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