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A股AI硬件板块爆发,反弹还会持续吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 13:11
Group 1 - Nvidia's Q3 earnings report exceeded expectations, yet warnings about an AI bubble persist, with Michael Burry predicting Nvidia as a precursor to market downturns [1] - Global markets, including A-shares, have experienced declines due to concerns over the AI bubble, a retreat in Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, and cautious investor sentiment [1] - The fundamental factors supporting the current Chinese stock market and its potential for upward movement remain in question [1] Group 2 - The recent volatility in global markets highlights the nature of the current tech bull market, driven by grand narratives and abundant liquidity, suggesting that any downturn may be a temporary "interlude" in a larger trend [3] - The AI revolution continues to provide significant market imagination, and as long as this narrative remains unchallenged and macro liquidity does not tighten drastically, the current market enthusiasm may persist [3] - The real challenge lies in understanding the current phase where narrative outweighs reality, rather than predicting each adjustment's peak [3] Group 3 - Kweichow Moutai, a symbol of traditional consumer upgrades, faces competition from emerging tech companies like Cambrian, indicating a shift in market dynamics [5] - The decline in the wholesale price of Moutai, which has fallen below 1700 yuan, suggests potential further adjustments in response to market supply and demand changes [6] - The rise of companies like CATL in the battery sector reflects a broader market trend where tech stocks are replacing traditional consumer and real estate stocks as market leaders [8] Group 4 - The semiconductor industry is facing challenges despite the rise of AI, with the Netherlands' ASML grappling with its position in the global supply chain amid AI-related anxieties [10] - Domestic alternatives in the semiconductor sector, particularly in photoresists, are gaining attention as the market shifts towards local production capabilities [12] - The competition in the facial mask market is intensifying, with leading brands like敷尔佳 experiencing market share declines due to increased competition and changing consumer preferences [16]
中国原创光刻机残骸现身!
是说芯语· 2025-11-25 05:40
很多人不知道,中国其实是世界上最早开始生产光刻机的国家之一。 六十年代中期,中国科学院就已经研制出了65型接触式光刻机。七十年代,武汉无线电元件 三厂还编写了《光刻掩模版的制造》一书,系统总结了工艺方法。那时的中国,在光刻机技 术上与日本几乎同步,比韩国和台湾整整早了十年。至于今天被捧上神坛的 ASML ,当时不 过还是个小字辈,连影子都没有。 那个时代的科学家们,凭借着那股子自力更生的劲头,在最艰难的条件下,把光刻机、芯片 离子注入机、精密压力机等一批高精尖设备硬生生做了出来。宝鸡的4503厂、商州的 877厂 ,就是那股子火红年代的产物。 4503厂,原第四机械工业部在大三线建设中筹建的重点单位,人员来自南京、无锡、上海等 地的老牌军工厂。这个厂在七十年代中期就研制出了第一代半导体集成电路专用设备样机 ——光刻机。它不是摆设,而是真刀真枪地被各大科研单位使用,得到了高度评价。此后又 相继推出第二代、第三代,把与国际的差距一步步缩小。甚至有些领域,还一度走在前面。 与此同时,877厂国营卫光电工厂也在拼命攻关。1968年12月在陕西商州动工建设,主要技 术人员来自北京、上海、沈阳等地。这个厂生产过逻辑电路集 ...
“理工农医”高校试点一校一策培育“重服务、强贡献”紧缺人才 从大飞机到光刻机 “硬核”联培
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-11-23 02:32
记者 徐瑞哲 李蕾 临港大学城,来自上海电力大学人工智能学部的清洁能源技术专业硕士生时鹏,走进今年第一场秋 季校园招聘会。面对210多家用人单位带来的4000多个就业岗位,他惊喜地发现,"人工智能+清洁能 源"的交叉领域已形成产业需求,"无论是运用新的算法优化电网调度,还是通过智能预测来提升'风 光'新能源的利用效率,自己的研究课题都有了用武之地。" 这名2026届毕业生赶上了好时机。针对此前高校学科与产业一线之间"知识倒挂"、供需错位的现 象,今年,"上海高等教育重服务、强贡献计划"启动实施。试点高校"一校一策",改变以往以学科建设 为核心的办学逻辑,以人才培养为核心推进教育综合改革,让"供给侧"输出的人才真正符合相应行业需 求。 "请进来""走出去""住进去" 今年政府工作报告中,"深化工业软件核心技术攻关"被列为国家战略重点之一。2025年中国工业软 件市场规模预计突破3300亿元,工信部数据显示,研发设计类工业软件国产化率仅10%,高端市场长期 被海外企业垄断。 工业软件"人才荒"怎么破?基于"重服务、强贡献"计划,上海大学力学与工程科学学院与国产大型 通用CAE仿真平台Generator的研发企业— ...
赛微电子:芯东来光刻机业务属于成熟制程 不涉及先进制程
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 13:54
Group 1 - The company's stock price has experienced an abnormal fluctuation, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in closing prices over three consecutive trading days [1] - Swedish Silex has initiated discussions regarding its IPO, with a preliminary timeline established, but specific details such as valuation, equity structure, and financing scale remain uncertain [1] - The company's 45.24% stake in Swedish Silex will be evaluated in conjunction with the overall strategic development and planning of both the company and Swedish Silex, which also carries uncertainties [1] Group 2 - The company's subsidiary, Silex Microsystems Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd., has received a purchase order for a MEMS-OCS product, initiating small-batch trial production [2] - The transition from small-batch trial production to mass production for the MEMS-OCS chips is uncertain, and the company cannot accurately predict the timeline or potential order volume [2] - The company plans to purchase a stake in Beijing Chip East Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. for no more than 60 million yuan, but the transaction has not yet been finalized [2] - The lithography business of Chip East is in mature processes and does not involve advanced processes, which may limit its short-term impact on reducing supply risks and increasing the application ratio of domestic equipment [2]
赛微电子(300456.SZ):芯东来光刻机业务属于成熟制程 不涉及先进制程
智通财经网· 2025-11-21 13:53
Group 1 - The company, Saiwei Electronics, announced that its stock price has deviated by over 30% in cumulative closing price over three consecutive trading days, indicating abnormal trading fluctuations [1] - Swedish Silex has convened a board meeting to discuss its IPO plans, with a preliminary timeline established; however, details regarding valuation, equity structure, financing scale, and future plans remain uncertain and contingent on subsequent developments [1] - The company holds a 45.24% stake in Swedish Silex, and any arrangements regarding this stake will be considered in light of the company's overall strategic development and Silex's plans, which also carry uncertainties [1] Group 2 - The company's subsidiary, Silex Microsystems Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd., has received a purchase order for a MEMS-OCS product after passing customer validation, initiating small-batch trial production of 8-inch wafers [2] - As of the announcement date, the MEMS-OCS chips have not yet entered mass production, and the company cannot accurately predict the timeline or potential order volume from small-batch production to mass production, indicating inherent uncertainties [2] - The company plans to purchase a stake in Beijing Chip East Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. for no more than 60 million yuan; however, the transaction has not yet been finalized, and the mature process of Chip East's lithography business may limit its immediate impact on reducing supply risks and increasing domestic equipment application [2]
赛微电子(300456.SZ):芯东来的光刻机业务属于成熟制程,不涉及先进制程
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-21 13:36
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Silex in Sweden is planning to initiate its IPO process, with a preliminary timeline established, but specific details regarding valuation, equity structure, financing scale, and future plans remain uncertain [1] - The company currently holds a 45.24% stake in Silex, and any arrangements regarding this stake will be considered in conjunction with the company's overall strategic development and Silex's plans, which also carry uncertainties [1] Group 2 - The company's subsidiary, Silex Microsystems Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd., has received a purchase order for a certain MEMS-OCS product after passing customer verification, initiating small-batch trial production of 8-inch wafers [2] - As of the announcement date, the MEMS-OCS chips have not yet entered mass production, and the company cannot accurately predict the timeline from small-batch trial production to mass production, indicating inherent uncertainties [2] - The company has not yet completed the equity transfer for a potential transaction involving Xindonglai, and the lithography business of Xindonglai is in mature processes, which may face operational management and market competition risks, limiting its short-term support for reducing key equipment supply risks [2]
赛微电子:尚未与潜在交易对手方进行芯东来股权交割
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-21 12:48
Core Viewpoint - The company, Saiwei Electronics, plans to acquire a stake in Beijing Chip East Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. for a total transaction price not exceeding 600 million yuan, aiming to enhance its supply chain and increase the application ratio of domestic equipment [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The total transaction price for the stake acquisition is set at a maximum of 600 million yuan [1] - As of the announcement date, the company has not yet completed the equity transfer with potential counterparties [1] Group 2: Business Operations and Risks - Chip East's lithography machine business is categorized under mature processes and does not involve advanced processes [1] - The company may face various risks in actual operations, including operational management and market competition [1] - The short-term impact of this investment on reducing key core equipment supply risks and enhancing the application ratio of domestic equipment may be limited [1] - There is a risk that the company may not achieve its expected investment objectives [1]
美国:获补贴美企10年不得买中国设备
国芯网· 2025-11-21 12:47
国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业! 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ! 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 11月21日消息,据报道,美国两党议员正推动一项新法案,拟限制获得《芯片法案》补贴的企业在10年内购买中国芯片制造设备,核心目的是通过约束受 助企业的对华设备采购行为,进一步遏制中国半导体产业的发展。 该法案由众议院跨党派议员联合发起:共和党众议员杰伊・奥伯诺尔特(Jay Obernolte)与民主党众议员佐伊・洛夫格伦(Zoe Lofgren)已在众议院提出 相关议案;参议院方面,民主党参议员马克・凯利(Mark Kelly)与共和党参议员玛莎・布莱克本(Marsha Blackburn)计划于12月提出该法案。 法案覆盖一系列芯片制造关键工具:从技术复杂度极高的光刻机,到用于将印制芯片的硅片切割成小块的专用设备,均包含在内。议员提供的背景资料显 示,中国已在芯片产业投入超400亿美元,重点布局制造设备领域,相关设备的全球市场份额已实现大幅增长。条款同时禁止采购其他受关注被禁国家/地 区的同类设备。 法案中设置了部分例外条款,例如若特定芯片制造工具并非由美国或其盟国生产,美国政府可酌情授予采购豁免 ...
赛微电子:芯东来的光刻机业务属于成熟制程,不涉及先进制程
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-21 12:33
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Saiwei Electronics has experienced abnormal fluctuations, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in closing prices over three consecutive trading days, indicating potential volatility in trading [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The company's stock has risen by 102.23% year-to-date, reflecting significant growth [1] - Recent trading activity has shown a notable increase in turnover rate and trading volume, suggesting heightened market interest [1] Group 2: Business Operations - The company has not yet completed the equity transfer with potential counterparties for Xindonglai, indicating ongoing negotiations [1] - Xindonglai's lithography machine business is focused on mature processes and does not involve advanced processes, which may limit its immediate impact on the company's supply risk reduction and domestic equipment application ratio [1] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - The company may face various risks in actual operations, including management and market competition challenges, which could hinder achieving expected investment objectives [1] - There is a potential risk of stock price correction following significant increases, highlighting the need for cautious investment strategies [1]
心智观察所:真相比情绪重要,误读中国光刻机正在伤害真正的进步
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 06:17
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant technological gap between ASML's advanced lithography machines and domestic Chinese alternatives, highlighting the complexities involved in semiconductor manufacturing and the need for realistic assessments of China's capabilities in this field [3][4][10]. Summary by Sections ASML's Technology Showcase - ASML showcased its advanced DUV lithography machines, TWINSCAN XT:260 and TWINSCAN NXT:870B, at the China International Import Expo, with the XT:260 being particularly noted for its dual exposure capabilities aimed at advanced packaging [1][3]. Technical Complexity of Lithography Machines - The complexity of lithography machines extends beyond resolution metrics, involving a sophisticated integration of optics, mechanics, electronics, software, and materials, with ASML's EUV machines containing over 100,000 components from more than 5,000 suppliers [4][5]. Challenges in Domestic Development - Domestic lithography machines face significant challenges, including the need for extensive debugging and optimization, which typically requires 6-12 months post-assembly to achieve stable production [6][7]. Importance of Local Collaboration - For domestic lithography machines to achieve sustainable industrial capabilities, collaboration with local customers is essential, as real-world operational data is crucial for performance optimization and stability [6][7]. Market Dynamics and ASML's Position - ASML's market share in China is expected to decrease from a peak of 46% to around 20% by 2025, not due to domestic alternatives but rather a normalization of demand as existing orders are fulfilled [8][10]. Misinterpretation of Industry Signals - Claims of a strong domestic semiconductor industry based on increased chip exports are misleading, as these exports primarily consist of mature process chips that do not require advanced lithography technology [9][10]. Realistic Assessment of Progress - The article argues for a realistic acknowledgment of the technological gap in the semiconductor industry, stressing that genuine progress requires a grounded understanding of current capabilities rather than optimistic narratives [10][14]. Future Outlook - The future of the semiconductor industry will belong to those who face reality, invest continuously, and accumulate knowledge, with a call for a pragmatic approach to technological development in China [14][15].