Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities has issued a "buy" rating for Alibaba-W (09988), highlighting the company's strategic upgrades and potential for growth in the retail sector [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - Alibaba has upgraded its three major platform layouts since February 2025, entering the instant retail market through its food delivery service [1] - The food delivery business serves as a high-frequency traffic entry point, effectively driving local life and e-commerce operations, positioning the platform to capture future retail competition [1] - The "One Taobao" strategy has been upgraded, with organizational adjustments and comprehensive integration of member benefits [1] Group 2: Market Position and Competition - The launch of flash purchase services has significantly improved user acquisition and retention, with differentiated competition in categories such as apparel, electronics, and beauty products [1] - The rapid replenishment of delivery personnel enhances operational capacity [1] - The report anticipates a dual oligopoly market structure centered around Alibaba and Meituan, driven by a dual-model approach to develop a full range of services [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - The firm estimates that Alibaba could contribute an additional 1 trillion GMV from FY2026 to FY2028 [1] - With a focus on scaling and efficiency optimization, the flash purchase business is projected to achieve stable profitability contributing up to 18.3 billion yuan [1] - In an optimistic valuation scenario, the potential market value increase for Alibaba could reach nearly 200 billion yuan by 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - GEM Co., Ltd. (格林美) has submitted its prospectus for an initial public offering (IPO) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to list on the main board [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - GEM was established in 2001 and is a leader in the recycling of critical metal resources and lithium-ion batteries, as well as a prominent player in the global new energy materials manufacturing industry [3][5]. - The company operates under a business model that focuses on "eliminating pollution and recreating resources" through urban mining [3]. Group 2: Market Position - In the critical metal resource sector, GEM ranks first in China for the recovery of nickel, cobalt, and tungsten, and is among the top three globally for MHP (Nickel Cobalt Hydroxide) production [5]. - GEM is the largest in China for lithium-ion battery recycling and has established partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers globally [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - GEM's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 was approximately RMB 29.39 billion, RMB 30.53 billion, RMB 33.20 billion, and RMB 17.56 billion respectively [11][12]. - The net profit for the same periods was RMB 1.33 billion, RMB 1.16 billion, RMB 1.33 billion, and RMB 842.77 million respectively [11][12]. Group 4: Shareholder Structure - As of September 16, 2025, the shareholder structure before the Hong Kong listing shows that the founders, Xu Kaihua and Wang Min, hold a combined 9.02% of the shares, while other A-shareholders hold 90.98% [7]. Group 5: Management Team - The board of directors consists of seven members, including four executive directors and three independent non-executive directors [9]. - Key executives include Xu Kaihua (Chairman and General Manager) and Wang Min (Executive Director) [9][10].

Group 1 - The company Zhejiang Wanliyang Co., Ltd. hosted a research meeting with five institutions, including Hangzhou Kuanhe Private Equity Fund and CITIC Securities Zhejiang Branch, on September 23 [1] - The company's business encompasses two main sectors: automotive components and new energy storage [2] - The automotive components segment focuses on the research, production, and sales of transmission and drive system products, covering passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and new energy vehicles [2] Group 2 - The demand for manual transmission in light trucks is expected to grow significantly by 2025, with a substantial year-on-year increase in sales [2] - The company is actively developing electric products for light and medium trucks, with related products already in mass production [2] - The heavy truck transmission business is seeing significant market promotion for MT, AMT, hybrid, and pure electric drive systems, with production and sales expected to continue rising as mainstream customer models enter mass production [2] Group 3 - The company is advancing the development of electric drive systems for construction machinery and CVT for high-power tractors, with related products gradually entering mass production [2] - Wanliyang Energy has operational independent energy storage stations in Zhaoqing, Guangdong, and Yiwu, Zhejiang, with installed capacities of 100MW/200MWh and 100MW/200MWh respectively, showing good profitability [2] - The company is actively laying out multiple independent energy storage station projects in regions such as Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Guangxi [2] Group 4 - The company has established Zhejiang Wanliyang Robot Technology Co., Ltd. to focus on the research and industrialization of precision transmission products for robot joints [2] - Initial product platform planning has been completed, laying a foundation for future development [2]

Group 1 - Different Group successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on September 23, 2025, with an issuance scale of HKD 782 million [1] - Different Group is a leading Chinese parenting products company that launched its first brand, BeBeBus, in 2019, targeting the mid-to-high-end market [3][6] - The company focuses on consumer-centric design and functionality, aiming to provide unique and valuable parenting experiences for modern parents [3][6] Group 2 - CITIC Securities acted as the lead sponsor for Different Group's IPO, leveraging its deep understanding of the parenting products industry to create a tailored listing plan [4] - The firm utilized its integrated domestic and international platform advantages to effectively communicate the company's investment highlights and growth potential to global investors [4] - Different Group has rapidly grown to become a well-known brand in China's parenting products market, ranking first in market share at 4.9% for mid-to-high-end durable parenting products by GMV in 2024 [6]

Core Insights - The trend of "deposit migration" is expected to gradually manifest from 2022 to 2025, driven by policy guidance, declining interest rates, narrowing bank net interest margins, and the pressure of deposit termization [1] - Although the overall proportion of deposit migration is limited, it presents a considerable incremental opportunity for non-bank asset management (including bank wealth management, insurance, public funds, etc.) [1] - Low-risk asset management products remain the mainstream allocation direction, but there is a recent trend of rising risk appetite, indicating a potential gradual increase in residents' risk preferences [1] Group 1 - The scale of bank wealth management's fixed income+ products has increased by over 1.1 trillion yuan in the first eight months [1] - Insurance capital has increased stock allocations by over 640 billion yuan in the first half of the year [1] - The incremental funds entering the stock market are primarily from high-net-worth individuals, with a significant number of ordinary residents not yet participating [1] Group 2 - There has not been a large-scale substantial flow of funds between stocks and bonds, indicating that the stock-bond dynamic is likely to become more muted [1] - The space for further declines in the bond market appears limited [1]

Core Viewpoint - Greeenmei has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with joint sponsors being JPMorgan, CITIC Securities, and CITIC Securities International [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Greeenmei is a leader in the critical metal resource recycling and lithium-ion battery recycling industry, as well as a leading enterprise in the global new energy materials manufacturing sector [1] - The company's business encompasses critical metal resources (nickel, cobalt, tungsten, lithium, etc.), lithium-ion battery and end-of-life vehicle recycling, and the new energy materials field [1] Group 2: Key Achievements - In the critical metal resource recycling sector, Greeenmei ranks first in China for the recovery of nickel, cobalt, and tungsten, and is a pioneer in global nickel-cobalt-manganese (MHP) production, with an annual production capacity of 150,000 tons, ranking among the top three globally in terms of equity output [1] - In the lithium-ion battery and end-of-life vehicle recycling field, the company ranks first in the domestic third-party retired lithium-ion battery recycling market [1] Group 3: New Energy Materials - Greeenmei produces ternary precursors and cathode materials for lithium-ion batteries, as well as cobalt tetroxide for 3C batteries, ranking second globally in the supply of ternary precursors and cobalt tetroxide [1] - The company has established long-term partnerships with nine of the top ten lithium-ion battery companies worldwide, demonstrating its capability to achieve self-sufficiency in some key raw materials required for new energy materials production [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Materials has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with JPMorgan, CITIC Securities, and GF Securities as joint sponsors [1] Group 1: Company Overview - The company focuses on lithium-ion battery materials, including electrolytes, core materials, cathode materials, PACK structure adhesives, and binders [1] - It has integrated the production of key raw materials for electrolytes, such as LiPF6, LiFSI, additives, and lithium carbonate, and has expanded into cathode materials and adhesives for lithium batteries [1] Group 2: Product Development - The company has made advancements in next-generation products, including solid-state electrolytes, automotive electronics, semiconductor-specific adhesives, and high-performance polymers [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the company ranks first in the industry for self-supply ratios of LiPF6, LiFSI, DTD additives, and high-purity lithium carbonate [1] Group 3: Production Network - The company has established a production network covering both China and overseas markets, including the United States and Germany [1] - Plans are in place to establish production bases in Morocco and the United States [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Congolese government has extended the cobalt export ban until October 15, 2025, and implemented an export quota system for 2026-2027, limiting exports to 44% of annual production, indicating a strong intention to control global cobalt prices [1][4][6] Group 1: Export Policy Changes - The Congolese government announced the extension of the cobalt export ban and the introduction of an export quota system, which aligns with market expectations [2] - The export quota will not apply to companies with less than 100 tons of cobalt exports in 2024, those without active mining operations for five years, and companies with depleted cobalt reserves [2][3] Group 2: Cobalt Export Quota Details - The export quota for October 16 to December 31, 2025, is set at 18,125 tons, with specific monthly allocations [3] - For 2026, the total export quota is 96,600 tons, which includes a baseline quota of 87,000 tons and a strategic quota of 9,600 tons, managed by ARECOMS [3] - The 2027 export quota will remain the same as 2026, but ARECOMS reserves the right to adjust it based on market conditions [3] Group 3: Supply and Demand Outlook - The new export quota policy is expected to lead to a significant decline in global cobalt supply, with shortages projected at 12.2, 8.8, and 9.7 million tons for 2025-2027 [4][5] - Global cobalt demand is anticipated to grow, with expected demand of 25.7 million tons in 2025 and 27.5 million tons in 2026, indicating a persistent supply shortage [5] Group 4: Government's Strategic Intent - The consistency of the Congolese government's cobalt policies reflects its commitment to controlling global cobalt prices and managing supply effectively [6] - The government is expected to adjust supply flexibly to stabilize cobalt prices, marking a new phase in the global cobalt industry [6]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities reaffirms a positive outlook on the NV chain's prosperity and the innovation iteration of domestic AI, highlighting continuous advancements in demand from overseas companies like Oracle and ongoing technological innovations such as OCS [1] Group 1: North America Market Insights - CITIC Securities adjusts the 2025 capital expenditure forecast for the four major CSPs in North America to $383.6 billion, a 52% increase year-on-year from 2024, with an expected 2026 capital expenditure of $461.3 billion, a 20% increase from 2025 [1] - The firm believes that the continuous upward revision of capital expenditure by North American internet companies will sustain the prosperity of the NVIDIA supply chain, with core suppliers like Hon Hai Precision Industry expected to achieve rapid growth in performance over the coming years [1] Group 2: Domestic Market Developments - According to Alibaba and Tencent's Q2 2025 earnings calls, domestic internet companies are expected to continue investing in AI infrastructure, with projected capital expenditures exceeding 500 billion yuan in 2026, where AI servers are anticipated to account for over half of this investment [2] - The domestic AI server market is expected to reach 420 billion yuan and the AI computing chip market is projected to reach 350 billion yuan by 2026, with next-generation domestic chips expected to rapidly enhance software ecosystems and interconnectivity [2] Group 3: Technological Innovations - Oracle anticipates its cloud infrastructure revenue to reach $18 billion in FY2026, a 77% year-on-year increase, with projections for FY2027 to FY2030 reaching $32 billion, $73 billion, $114 billion, and $144 billion respectively [3] - OCS technology is expected to provide high bandwidth, low latency, and low-cost network solutions, with its adoption anticipated to replace traditional switching technologies in AI clusters, creating significant market opportunities [3] Group 4: Domestic AI Computing Innovations - Huawei has unveiled its Ascend AI chip development roadmap, indicating rapid improvements in hardware microarchitecture, low-precision performance, and interconnect bandwidth, which are expected to enhance product competitiveness and potentially replace overseas chips in certain scenarios [4] - The domestic AI computing market is projected to grow continuously due to increasing demand from downstream internet and government enterprises, with domestic chip market share expected to rise as competitiveness improves [4]

Core Insights - On September 17, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a defense agreement, stating that any attack on either country will be considered an attack on both [1] - The performance of various Chinese export equipment in the India-Pakistan conflict has helped gain recognition for Chinese products by foreign militaries [1] - China's military trade is transitioning from low-end, cheap exports to high-end weapon exports, particularly in the context of recent large-scale updates and replacements of domestic equipment [1] - As China's international political status continues to rise, domestic military trade products are expected to further increase their global market share [1]