每经AI快讯，2月13日，中信证券发布研报指出，展望"十五五"，氢能行业作为未来产业，政策定位再 度提升。我们预计，2026年行业在氢电耦合、工业减碳等领域或实现突破，FCEV、氢基绿色燃料或维 持快速增长。在下游应用不断拓展、绿氢需求增加的背景下，规模效应或带动产业链基础设施和绿氢供 应的降本，进而推动行业进入"降本—放量"的良性循环，有望助力行业全面进入产业化。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

每经AI快讯，2月13日，中信证券发布研报指出，截至2026年1月31日，A股共有2976家公司披露2025年 年报业绩预告，总披露率为54.0%。其中预喜公司占比达37%，相比于2024年报预告的33%有进一步提 升。本轮业绩预告呈现出"科技驱动、外需支撑、金融压仓"的结构性特征，大市值龙头盈利修复显著， 中小市值企业业绩压力仍然突出。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

证券ETF指数基金（516200）业绩比较基准为中证全指证券公司指数收益率，管理人为华安基金管理有 限公司，基金经理为苏卿云，成立（2021-03-09）以来回报为13.19%，近一个月回报为-5.46%。 2月13日，证券ETF指数基金（516200）开盘涨0.09%，报1.134元。证券ETF指数基金（516200）重仓股 方面，东方财富开盘涨0.18%，中信证券涨0.00%，国泰海通涨0.00%，华泰证券跌0.04%，广发证券涨 0.28%，招商证券涨0.00%，东方证券涨0.10%，兴业证券跌0.29%，申万宏源涨0.00%，中金公司涨 0.09%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，2025年畜禽价格震荡下行，板块多数公司业绩承压，头部公 司竞争优势持续放大。展望2026年，生猪价格继续寻底，产能去化持续，2026H2/2027年景气可期，推 荐成本能力领先的头部公司。肉鸡行业关注海外禽流感进展和消费复苏情况。后周期领域推荐经营能力 领先、穿越周期的企业。此外，关注减产兑现、景气高位的菌菇行业。 中信证券主要观点如下： 生猪养殖：周期低谷，蓄势向上 受下游畜禽水产存栏（存塘）恢复、养殖盈利带动，2025年饲料、动保行业景气向上，全年板块业绩多 实现高增，但25Q3开始行业增速放缓。龙头通过出海、新产品新业务布局等寻求进一步突破。展望后 续，该行预估2026年国内增速或进一步放缓，继续推荐 1）饲料质优白马股；2）动保龙头。 菌菇：减产持续兑现，景气高位 随着前期亏损下行业产能逐步退出，25Q3以来食用菌主要品种持续涨价，25Q4在蔬菜涨价带动下持续 上涨，全年食用菌板块业绩高增。展望后续，春节效应下，该行预估26Q1业绩延续高增。继续推荐 1） 充分受益金针菇周期上行的龙头企业；2）新品类开拓成效显著，拥有先发优势，未来有望成为重要增 长曲线的企业 ...

Core Viewpoint - As of January 31, 2026, 2,976 A-share companies have disclosed their 2025 annual performance forecasts, with a total disclosure rate of 54.0%. The proportion of companies with positive forecasts has increased to 37% from 33% in 2024, indicating a structural recovery driven by technology, supported by external demand, while financial sectors face pressure [1][9]. Group 1: Performance Forecast Overview - The number of companies with positive forecasts has expanded, with technology, finance, and cyclical sectors being the highlights. The overall disclosure rate is 54.0%, with 37% of companies forecasting positive results, up from 33% in 2024. Key sectors showing growth include communication, basic chemicals, non-ferrous metals, non-bank finance, electronics, and utilities [1][5]. - The performance forecast reveals significant improvements among large-cap leaders, while small-cap companies continue to face substantial pressure. The positive forecast ratio is highly correlated with market capitalization, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index showing a 75% positive forecast ratio [9][12]. Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The current performance forecasts exhibit structural characteristics of "technology-driven, externally supported, and financial pressure." Notably, 9 companies from the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 have released forecasts, with 6 showing growth, particularly in machinery, non-ferrous, pharmaceuticals, and electronics [12]. - The technology sector shows high resilience due to global AI infrastructure and semiconductor demand growth, while industries like non-ferrous metals and chemicals are experiencing performance releases due to improved pricing power [12][22]. Group 3: Institutional Investment Strategies - Fund companies focus on clear growth sectors, with the top three heavy investment industries being electronics (20.1%), pharmaceuticals (10.1%), and power equipment & new energy (9.3%). The top 20% of holdings have a forecasted net profit of 3,976.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 46.4% year-on-year growth [16][21]. - Insurance companies prioritize cash flow and defensive attributes, with a significant portion of their holdings in banking and non-bank financial sectors. The top 20% of holdings forecast a net profit of 814.7 billion yuan, with limited growth elasticity [16][20]. Group 4: Analyst Expectations and Market Reactions - Analyst expectations are generally optimistic, with 537 companies forecasting below market consensus and only 160 exceeding expectations, indicating a significant bias towards optimism in earnings predictions [22][27]. - The analysis of market reactions shows that 658 stocks experienced a gap down on the day following their forecasts, while only 230 saw a gap up, suggesting that overall earnings expectations were overly optimistic prior to announcements [27][33].

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of US internet companies has generally exceeded market expectations, but stock prices have been under pressure due to liquidity and AI narratives, leading to a significant divergence from performance trends [1][2] Market Review - The fourth-quarter earnings of major US internet companies have been disclosed, revealing a disconnect between earnings and stock price movements, influenced by AI narratives and liquidity issues [2] - The market has significantly amplified disturbances related to AI disruption and weak liquidity, causing a notable divergence between stock prices and fundamentals [2] Fundamentals - Recent earnings reports indicate strong resilience and high prosperity in sectors like Adtech, e-commerce, and gaming [3] - In Adtech, AppLovin's revenue grew by 66% year-over-year in Q4 2025, exceeding expectations, with an adjusted EBITDA increase of 82% [3] - In e-commerce, Shopify's GMV and revenue both increased by 31% year-over-year in Q4 2025, also surpassing expectations [4] - In gaming, Roblox's total bookings rose by 63% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with revenue increasing by 43% and daily active users up by 69% [4] Future Outlook - Current valuations of major companies are significantly below historical averages, indicating a favorable mid-term investment opportunity [5] - The potential for narrative reversal exists due to ongoing performance realization, AI collaborations, and liquidity improvements, suggesting that overly pessimistic expectations may provide upside for internet companies [5]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中信证券研究 文|祖国鹏 赵柏霖 黄杰 展望"十五五"，氢能行业作为未来产业，政策定位再度提升。我们预计，2026年行业在氢电耦合、工业 减碳等领域或实现突破，FCEV、氢基绿色燃料或维持快速增长。在下游应用不断拓展、绿氢需求增加 的背景下，规模效应或带动产业链基础设施和绿氢供应的降本，进而推动行业进入"降本—放量"的良性 循环，有望助力行业全面进入产业化。 ▍2025年"翘尾"因素显现，FCEV全年产销量重回快速增长。 根据中汽协数据，2025年全国燃料电池汽车产销数据分别为7655辆和7797辆，同比分别增长52.9%及 49.6%，燃料电池产销重回快速增长状态，主要与"十四五"目标兑现、燃料电池示范应用周期结束的销 量冲刺有关。展望2026年，在政策力度加大的预期下以及国内氢能高速生态走廊的建设下，我们预计氢 燃料电池汽车（FCEV）推广有望继续维持快速增长，2026年销量有望破万辆。 ▍氢基绿色燃料、氢电耦合应用或在2026年加速发展。 我们预计"十五五"期间，政策将鼓励绿氢与新能源协同发展，或将主要体现在绿氢与新能源在储能方面 ...

中信证券表示，2025Q4，北美科技巨头整体经营状况继续好于市场预期，云业务收入增速进一步加 速，偏紧供需结构、存储芯片价格上行等推动2026年资本开支指引大幅超预期。我们调整2026年四大 CSP CAPEX预测为同比+58%、AI CAPEX同比+117%。但同时，投资者对于巨额AI开支ROI的焦虑亦在 持续提升，AI商业化效率是后续行情持续性的重要关注点。我们判断，在当下有利宏观环境、强劲的 微观供应链数据、AI战略重要性带来的科技巨头FOMO（错失恐惧）心理带动下，AI CAPEX料将继续 成为2026H1市场较为确定的投资主线之一。在策略上，我们仍建议遵从"边走边看"的逻辑，并紧密关 注未来6个月的美国宏观预期、科技巨头指引、AI产业进展、一级市场重点公司融资进展等核心变量。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent earnings reports from US internet companies have generally exceeded market expectations, yet some companies' stock prices are under pressure due to liquidity concerns and AI narratives, indicating a significant divergence from performance trends [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The current market's pessimistic outlook on internet companies is believed to be overstated [1] - Despite the negative sentiment, the fundamentals of these companies remain relatively robust [1] Group 2: Impact of AI - The impact of AI on the internet sector, including areas like e-commerce agents and game engines, is still in its early stages [1] - Internet companies are likely to benefit from AI through their network effects, the introduction of AI traffic, and optimization of coding costs [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Following a period of intense selling, the valuation attractiveness of internet companies is becoming more apparent as the market returns to a more rational pricing logic based on fundamentals [1] - Future attention should be given to the earnings trends of major US internet companies and potential investment opportunities following a narrative reversal [1]

中信证券表示，截至2026年1月31日，A股共有2976家公司披露2025年年报业绩预告，总披露率为 54.0%。其中预喜公司占比达37%，相比于2024年报预告的33%有进一步提升。本轮业绩预告呈现出"科 技驱动、外需支撑、金融压仓"的结构性特征，大市值龙头盈利修复显著，中小市值企业业绩压力仍然 突出。 ...