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特朗普政策点燃数字美元狂热!2025年稳定币交易量暴增72%创新高
智通财经网· 2026-01-09 00:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant growth of stablecoin trading volumes, driven by favorable policies under the Trump administration, with a projected total trading volume of $33 trillion by 2025, marking a 72% year-on-year increase [1][6] - Circle Internet Group's USDC leads the trading volume with $18.3 trillion, while Tether's USDT follows with $13.3 trillion [1] - The introduction of the "Genius Act" has established clear legal standards for stablecoins, contributing to their wider adoption among major institutions like Standard Chartered, Walmart, and Amazon [5] Group 2 - Despite the overall increase in funds, the trading volume on decentralized platforms has decreased, indicating a shift towards mainstream usage of stablecoins [2] - USDC is favored on decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms due to its frequent use in trading activities, while USDT is more commonly used for everyday payments and value storage [5] - The growth of stablecoins is expected to accelerate, with a record trading volume of $11 trillion in Q4 2025, up from $8.8 trillion in Q3 2025, and projections suggest that stablecoin payments could exceed $56 trillion by 2030 [6][9]
2026 年加密货币展望:代币化超级周期开启 ——2026 年可逢低买入相关股票-2026 Crypto Outlook Tokenization supercycle begins - start 2026 by buying stocks on the dip
2026-01-07 03:05
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Crypto Industry** and its outlook for **2026**, highlighting a **tokenization supercycle** that includes the tokenization of stablecoins, capital markets, and prediction markets [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **2025 Performance**: Despite a weak Q4 in 2025, Bitcoin ended the year down 6%, while crypto equities had an average return of approximately **59%** [1]. 2. **Bitcoin Price Forecast**: The forecast for Bitcoin in 2026 is set at **$150K**, with a peak target of **$200K** in 2027, indicating a belief that the market has bottomed [1][8]. 3. **Stablecoin Growth**: Total stablecoin supply is expected to grow by **56% YoY** to **$420 billion** by 2026, driven by various factors including cross-border payments and fintech integration [2][47]. 4. **Tokenization of Real-World Assets**: The market for tokenized real-world assets is projected to increase from approximately **$37 billion** in 2025 to **$80 billion** in 2026, with equity tokenization expected to rise from **2%** to **16%** of total assets [3][47]. 5. **Prediction Markets**: The total volume for prediction markets is anticipated to double in 2026, reaching around **$70 billion**, with a significant portion of revenue expected from sports and political markets [4]. Company-Specific Insights Robinhood (HOOD) - **Management Strength**: HOOD is recognized for its effective management across equity, crypto, banking, and wealth management, with a strong distribution network of **14 million active traders** [12]. - **Prediction Markets Revenue**: Expected to contribute **9%** of total trading revenue by 2026, with HOOD building its own prediction markets exchange [15][77]. - **Tokenization Platform**: Plans to launch a full-scale equity tokenization platform, potentially impacting revenues significantly [15]. Coinbase (COIN) - **Business Transition**: COIN is transitioning to an 'everything exchange' model, expanding into tokenized stocks, prediction markets, and derivatives [16]. - **New Product Revenue**: New products are expected to drive **17%** of total trading revenues in 2026 [85]. - **Strategic Partnerships**: Partnerships with Circle are aimed at increasing USDC demand across various trading and payment platforms [16]. Circle (CRCL) - **Market Position**: Circle remains the largest regulated stablecoin provider in the U.S., with USDC growing by **73%** in 2025 to **$76 billion** [19][89]. - **Revenue Growth**: Despite concerns over interest rates, Circle's revenue and EBITDA have shown strong growth, maintaining pace with market demands [19]. Figure (FIGR) - **Loan Origination**: FIGR is expected to capture **5%** of U.S. HELOC origination by 2026, with strong momentum in tokenized consumer credit [26]. - **EBITDA Margin Expansion**: Projected EBITDA margins are expected to increase from **47%** in 2025 to **52%** in 2026 [26]. MicroStrategy (MSTR) - **Bitcoin Holdings**: MSTR holds approximately **674K BTC**, valued at around **$63 billion**, with a strong cash position to cover dividends [30]. - **Market Recovery**: MSTR is expected to benefit significantly from Bitcoin price appreciation, with a forecasted price of **$150K** in 2026 [31]. IREN - **AI Pivot**: IREN is focusing on building a vertically integrated AI business, with plans to set up **100K GPUs** over **350MW** of power [34]. - **Revenue Potential**: Expected to generate approximately **$2.5 billion** in annual recurring revenue by 2027 [39]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Regulatory Catalysts**: Key regulatory changes, such as the SEC crypto innovation exemption and the CLARITY Act, are expected to provide legitimacy to crypto trading platforms and could significantly impact market dynamics [10][11]. - **Market Risks**: The potential launch of crypto trading by legacy brokers and the competitive landscape with new entrants like Binance.US could pose risks to existing players [15][19]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the crypto industry and key companies within it.
BBSEY vs. CRCL: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 17:41
Investors looking for stocks in the Financial - Miscellaneous Services sector might want to consider either BB Seguridade Participacoes SA (BBSEY) or Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) . But which of these two companies is the best option for those looking for undervalued stocks? Let's take a closer look.We have found that the best way to discover great value opportunities is to pair a strong Zacks Rank with a great grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system. The proven Zacks Rank puts an emphas ...
3 Reasons to Hold Circle Stock Despite Its 59% Plunge in 6 Months
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 17:31
Core Insights - Circle Internet Group (CRCL) shares have decreased by 59.1% over the past six months, significantly underperforming the Zacks Finance sector's growth of 7.7% and the Zacks Financial-Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 14.1% [1][2] Financial Performance - CRCL's underperformance is attributed to increased full-year 2025 operating expense guidance, regulatory uncertainty related to the GENIUS Act, execution risks with Arc, heavy investment spending, and growing competition in stablecoins [2] - In Q3 2025, USDC in circulation reached $73.7 billion, more than doubling year over year, leading to a market share increase to 29% [7] - Total revenues and reserve income rose by 66% year over year to $740 million, driven by higher average USDC balances and strong on-chain usage [7][8] - Other revenues increased to $29 million from less than $1 million in the previous year, with management raising full-year 2025 Other revenue guidance to $90-$100 million [11] Market Position and Competition - CRCL has underperformed compared to competitors like Cipher Mining (CIFR), whose shares surged by 213.7%, and Coinbase Global (COIN), which saw a decline of 28.6% [3][4] - Cipher Mining focuses on Bitcoin mining, while Coinbase Global offers crypto trading and custody services, contrasting with CRCL's focus on regulated stablecoins and blockchain-based payment infrastructure [4] Strategic Initiatives - Circle is diversifying its revenue streams beyond reserve income, with a focus on subscription, services, and transaction-based revenues [11][12] - The Arc Network is positioned as a long-term growth initiative, with a public testnet launched involving over 100 global companies [13][14] - Circle's partnerships, including a recent collaboration with Intuit, enhance the utility of USDC across various platforms [10] Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CRCL's Q4 2025 earnings is currently at 19 cents per share, down by 4 cents over the past 30 days, with the full-year 2026 earnings estimate at 90 cents per share, a decline of 2 cents [15][16] - Technical indicators show bearish trends, with shares trading below the 50-day moving average, indicating limited near-term upside [18]
2025 年 USDC 增速再次超过 USDT,市值同比增长 73%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 13:25
来源:市场资讯 在美国政府对数字资产态度趋于积极的背景下,Circle Internet(CRCL) 的美元稳定币 USDC 在 2025 年的增长速度再次超过规模更大的竞争对手 USDT。数据显示,USDC 市值增长 73% 至 751.2 亿美元, 而 USDT 市值增长 36% 至 1866 亿美元。2024 年,USDC 的增速同样高于 USDT(分别为 77% 与 50%)。(CoinDesk) (来源:吴说) ...
异动盘点0106 |内险股延续涨势, 不同集团反弹超34%;美国大型银行股走高,Datavault AI暴涨42.57%
贝塔投资智库· 2026-01-06 04:00
Group 1: Insurance Sector - The insurance sector continues to rise, with China Ping An (02318) up 5.17%, New China Life (01336) up 4.14%, China Life (02628) up 4.83%, and China Pacific Insurance (02601) up 3.29%. The National Financial Regulatory Administration reported that the insurance industry achieved a total premium income of 57,629 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.6% for the first 11 months of 2025 [1][2]. Group 2: Hydrogen Energy - Guofu Hydrogen Energy (02582) saw a rise of over 7.2% after announcing the delivery of a total of 424 sets of vehicle-mounted high-pressure hydrogen supply systems to clients, which will be used in fuel cell buses in Guangzhou [1]. Group 3: Coal Sector - Coal stocks collectively rose, with China Coal Energy (01898) up 4.33%, Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) up 3.18%, and China Shenhua Energy (01088) up 2.31%. Since late November, port thermal coal prices have been on a downward trend, dropping from a high of 834 yuan/ton to a low of 670 yuan/ton, before rebounding on December 31, increasing by 8 yuan/ton to 678 yuan/ton [1]. Group 4: Solar Energy and AI - Junda Co., Ltd. (02865) increased by over 6.1% following a report from Guotai Junan that Elon Musk proposed a plan to deploy 100GW of solar AI satellites annually, driving demand for space photovoltaic technology [1]. Group 5: Lithium Mining - Lithium stocks were active, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) up 4.22% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) up 2.85%. After breaking through the 130,000 yuan/ton mark, lithium carbonate futures surged over 8%, reaching a high of 137,760 yuan/ton [2]. Group 6: Real Estate Sector - Domestic real estate stocks continued to rise, with Beike-W (02423) up 3.44%, Longfor Group (00960) up 5.24%, China Jinmao (00817) up 5.34%, and China Resources Land (01109) up 3.64%. An article published in "Qiushi" magazine emphasized the need to improve and stabilize expectations in the real estate market [2]. Group 7: Baby Products - Different Group (06090) rebounded by over 34.99%. According to a report from China Merchants Securities, the company is positioned as a mid-to-high-end baby products brand with strong product development and channel expansion capabilities, targeting middle-class and high-net-worth consumers [3]. Group 8: Mining Sector - Zijin Mining (02899) rose nearly 6%, reaching a historical high. The company recently announced an annual profit forecast of 51 to 52 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 18.9 to 19.9 billion yuan compared to the previous year's profit of 32.051 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of about 59% to 62% [3]. Group 9: U.S. Stock Market - The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke through 49,000 points, rising 1.3%, with major U.S. bank stocks reaching historical highs. Goldman Sachs (GS.US) rose 3.73%, JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) rose 2.63%, and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) rose 2.55%. The U.S. ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI fell to 47.9 in December, below the expected 48.4 [4]. Group 10: Precious Metals - U.S. precious metal stocks collectively strengthened, with Hecla Mining (HL.US) up 4.56% and Barrick Gold (B.US) up 3.77%. Spot gold surged 2.5%, reclaiming the $4,400 mark, while spot silver rose 5%, surpassing $76 [4]. Group 11: AI and Technology - Datavault AI (DVLT.US) surged 42.57%, with a cumulative increase of 180% over three trading days after signing a procurement agreement with AP Global Holdings LLC for infrastructure and cybersecurity services [5]. Group 12: Bitcoin and Related Stocks - Bitcoin briefly reached the $93,000 mark, with related stocks rising, including Strategy (MSTR.US) up 4.81% and Coinbase (COIN.US) up 7.77% [6]. Group 13: Oil Sector - Oil stocks saw significant pre-market gains, with Chevron (CVX.US) up 5.1% and ConocoPhillips (COP.US) up 2.59%. Reports indicated that the U.S. had captured Venezuelan President Maduro through military action, leading to a strong performance in oil and gas services [7].
Notable Newcomers: These 2025 IPOs Dominated the Year
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-05 20:15
Stealth military aircraft and communications satellite inside a hangar, representing aerospace and defense technology driving Karman’s 2025 IPO success. Key Points While hundreds of companies went public in 2025, three key names delivered especially impressive performances. KRMN, CRCL, and HNGE delivered returns between 40% and more than 200%. Analysts continue to see upside in these stocks, but to varying degrees. Interested in Karman Holdings Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. In 2025, o ...
美股异动 | 比特币一度站上9.3万美元关口 概念股盘前普涨
智通财经网· 2026-01-05 14:27
Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin reached a peak of $93,000 on Monday, leading to a surge in Bitcoin-related stocks [1] Group 1: Bitcoin Price Movement - Bitcoin's price hit $93,000, indicating strong market interest and potential bullish sentiment [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Bitcoin-related stocks saw significant pre-market gains, with Strategy (MSTR.US) and Coinbase (COIN.US) rising nearly 4% [1] - Robinhood (HOOD.US) and Circle (CRCL.US) increased by over 1.8% [1] - Iren Ltd (IREN.US) experienced a rise of over 5.6% [1] - Mara Holdings (MARA.US) saw an increase of over 4.5% [1]
比特币一度站上9.3万美元关口 概念股盘前普涨
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 14:25
Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin briefly surpassed the $93,000 mark, leading to a pre-market surge in Bitcoin-related stocks [1] Group 1: Bitcoin Price Movement - Bitcoin reached a peak of $93,000 [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Strategy (MSTR.US) and Coinbase (COIN.US) both increased by nearly 4% [1] - Robinhood (HOOD.US) and Circle (CRCL.US) saw gains of over 1.8% [1] - Iren Ltd (IREN.US) rose by more than 5.6% [1] - Mara Holdings (MARA.US) experienced an increase of over 4.5% [1]
美股异动 | 比特币一度突破8.99万美元 概念股盘前普涨
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-02 14:39
Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin-related stocks experienced a pre-market rally, with significant gains observed across various companies as Bitcoin price surged past $89,900, marking an increase of over 1.4% in a single day [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Strategy (MSTR.US) saw an increase of over 1.4% [1] - Circle (CRCL.US) rose by more than 1.9% [1] - Coinbase (COIN.US) experienced a gain of over 1.8% [1] - Mara Holdings (MARA.US) increased by more than 1.9% [1] Group 2: Bitcoin Price Movement - Bitcoin price briefly surpassed $89,900, reflecting a daily increase of over 1.4% [1]