Momentum investing revolves around the idea of following a stock's recent trend in either direction. In "long context," investors will be essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." With this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving that way. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades. While many investors like to look for momentum ...

但需注意的风险包括：美国及海外客户可能削减国防、航天或国土安全领域支出，这将对公司销售造成 影响。此外，既有竞争者与市场新进入者加剧的竞争态势，可能导致市场份额缩减。产品研发或制造环 节的难题也可能推高成本并延迟销售交付。 据了解，海科航空主要从事航空航天、国防及电子相关产品与服务的研发、制造及销售，业务遍及美国 及全球市场。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利分析师Kristine Liwag发表研报，将海科航空(HEI.US)目标价从305美元 上调至330美元，同时维持"持股观望"评级。此次调升反映了航空航天类股的强劲表现——该板块当前 估值倍数已创历史新高。摩根士丹利认为，估值倍数的扩张彰显了行业韧性，并预计积极的发展态势将 持续。 分析师指出，2025财年第二季度海科航空创下合并营业利润与净销售额双项历史纪录，同比分别增长 19%和15%。经营活动产生的现金流大幅增长45%，达2.047亿美元。分业务部门看：飞行支持事业部净 销售额增长19%至7.671亿美元;电子科技事业部净销售额增长7%至3.422亿美元。 ...

Core Insights - Aerospace-Defense Equipment stocks are expected to benefit from strategic mergers and acquisitions, enhancing operational scale and market presence, despite ongoing supply-chain challenges affecting aircraft deliveries and profitability [1][3][5]. Industry Overview - The Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry includes firms manufacturing essential components for aerospace and defense, such as aerostructures, propulsion systems, and defense electronics, while also providing aftermarket support services [2]. Trends Shaping the Industry - Recent mergers and acquisitions, such as TransDigm's $110 million acquisition of Servotronics and Teledyne's acquisition of Maretron assets, are expected to improve economies of scale and revenue growth [3]. - Global air passenger traffic is projected to grow by 5.8% year-over-year in 2025, indicating strong growth potential for aerospace-defense equipment stocks, particularly in commercial aviation [4]. Supply Chain Challenges - Supply-chain disruptions are impacting aircraft deliveries, with current deliveries 30% below peak levels, contributing to a backlog of 17,000 aircraft, which represents an 18% shortfall of the active global fleet [5]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry has outperformed both the S&P 500 composite and its sector, with a collective stock surge of 46.2% over the past year compared to 27.1% for the Aerospace sector and 10.9% for the S&P 500 [8]. Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at an EV/Sales ratio of 11.14X, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 5.41X and the sector's 3.27X, indicating a premium valuation for capital-intensive aerospace-defense stocks [11]. Notable Companies - **Heico Corp.**: Expected to see a 13.3% sales improvement in fiscal 2025, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 17.6% [15][16]. - **AAR Corp.**: Anticipated 17.2% sales growth in fiscal 2025, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [17][18]. - **Curtiss-Wright**: Projected 8.8% sales growth in fiscal 2025, recently awarded an $80 million contract by the USAF [20][22].

Group 1 - The European Commission has proposed a retaliatory tariff list against U.S. goods valued at €72 billion (approximately $84 billion), including Boeing aircraft, automobiles, bourbon whiskey, and various industrial and agricultural products [1] - The proposed tariffs are a response to U.S. President Trump's threat to raise tariffs on EU goods to 30% starting August 1, which could significantly impact transatlantic trade relations [1] - The tariff list focuses on industrial products, with over €65 billion in value, including nearly €11 billion in aircraft-related products, over €9.4 billion in machinery, €8 billion in automobiles, and €6 billion in agricultural products [1] Group 2 - Affected automotive manufacturers include major U.S. and European companies such as General Motors, Ford, Stellantis, Tesla, Volkswagen, and Toyota, with concerns that tariffs will increase costs, reduce sales, and potentially lead to layoffs [2] - The automotive industry is one of the most severely impacted sectors, with European manufacturers like Volkswagen and BMW facing potential losses in sales amounting to billions of euros due to tariffs [2] - The scale and scope of the tariff measures highlight the escalation of trade tensions between the U.S. and EU, with the EU emphasizing compliance with World Trade Organization rules while warning of the deep economic impacts of a tit-for-tat tariff war [2] Group 3 - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has warned that U.S. tariff policies may lead to a decline in global trade volumes, negatively affecting the global economy [3] - WTO Director-General Iweala stated that U.S. tariff policies violate core WTO principles and are detrimental to the global economy [3]

Market Overview - Wall Street reached record-high levels despite a turbulent first half of 2025, with the second quarter being the best for U.S. stocks in the past year, driven by expectations of key trade deals and reduced recession fears [1] - The Federal Reserve indicated two more cuts in the benchmark lending rate for the second half of the year, contributing to the ongoing bull run in U.S. stock markets, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hitting all-time highs [2] Company Highlights HEICO Corp. (HEI) - HEICO is experiencing increased orders for aftermarket replacement parts and repair services, supported by rising air travel and solid U.S. defense funding, which is expected to enhance order flows for its defense products [6][7] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 13.3% and earnings growth rate of 24.5% for the current year, with a 0.7% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last week [8] Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) - Howmet Aerospace is benefiting from strong momentum in the commercial aerospace market and robust defense aerospace activity, particularly from the F-35 program [11][12] - The expected revenue growth rate for HWM is 8.6% and earnings growth rate is 29% for the current year, with a 0.2% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 30 days [12] Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) - Interactive Brokers is a global automated electronic broker focusing on proprietary software development and expanding its global footprint, with projected total net revenues seeing a CAGR of 6.5% by 2027 [13] - The expected revenue growth rate for IBKR is 2.9% and earnings growth rate is 4.6% for the current year, with a 4% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last week [15]

Core Insights - The drone technology sector is experiencing significant growth, with advancements making drones essential across various industries [1] Company Summaries Jabil Inc. (JBL) - Jabil holds a Zacks Rank 1 and has seen substantial benefits from strong momentum in capital equipment, AI-powered data center infrastructure, cloud, and digital commerce [5] - The company emphasizes product diversification, aiming for no single product or family to exceed 5% of operating income or cash flows in any fiscal year [5] - Jabil's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the next year are 5.8% and 17.8%, respectively, with a recent 8.4% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next-year earnings [7] HEICO Corp. (HEI) - HEICO also holds a Zacks Rank 1, benefiting from increased orders for aftermarket replacement parts and repair services due to rising air travel [8] - The company anticipates strong order flows for its defense products, supported by a projected 13% increase in the U.S. defense budget to $1.01 trillion for fiscal 2026 [9] - HEICO's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 13.2% and 23.7%, respectively, with a slight 0.2% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings [10] L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) - L3Harris has a Zacks Rank 2 and benefits from solid U.S. budget funding, which is expected to enhance its revenues [11] - The company is experiencing strong demand for its defensive solutions from various regions, including Asia-Pacific and Latin America, and is involved in the U.S. administration's Golden Dome initiative [11] - L3Harris's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 1% and -20%, respectively, with a 0.1% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings [12]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: Heico Corporation (HEI) - Heico Corporation currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a favorable momentum characteristic [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] Performance Metrics - Over the past week, HEI shares increased by 3.24%, while the Zacks Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry rose by 4% [5] - In a longer timeframe, HEI's monthly price change is 7.03%, outperforming the industry's 4.74% [5] - Over the last quarter, HEI shares have risen by 29.88%, and by 42.86% over the past year, compared to the S&P 500's increases of 24.12% and 14.76%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - HEI's average 20-day trading volume is 418,817 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, 7 earnings estimates for HEI have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $4.42 to $4.54 [9] - For the next fiscal year, 7 estimates have also moved upwards without any downward revisions [9] Conclusion - Given the positive momentum indicators and earnings outlook, HEI is positioned as a 1 (Strong Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [11]

Market Overview - Wall Street reached record-high levels, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite increasing by 5%, 10.6%, and 17.8% respectively in Q2 2025, marking it as the best quarter for U.S. stocks in the past year [1] - The small-cap benchmark, Russell 2000, also saw an 8.3% gain [1] - Positive market sentiment was driven by expectations of key trade deals and reduced fears of a near-term recession in the U.S. economy [2] Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks with favorable Zacks Rank and momentum for Q3 include Jabil Inc. (JBL), Newmont Corp. (NEM), HEICO Corp. (HEI), Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK), and The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL), all holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [3] Jabil Inc. (JBL) - Jabil is experiencing strong momentum in capital equipment, AI-powered data centers, cloud, and digital commerce sectors, with a focus on product diversification [6] - The company has a high free cash flow, indicating efficient financial management and operational efficiency [7] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the next year are 5.9% and 18.5% respectively, with a 9% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next-year earnings over the last 30 days [8] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - Newmont is progressing with growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the Ahafo North project, with a commitment of $950 million to $1,050 million in development capital [10][11] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 2% and 24.1% respectively, with a 3.3% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 30 days [11] HEICO Corp. (HEI) - HEICO is benefiting from increased orders for aftermarket replacement parts and repair services due to rising air travel and solid U.S. defense funding [12][13] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 13.2% and 23.4% respectively, with a 1.1% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 30 days [14] Rockwell Automation Inc. (ROK) - Rockwell Automation is expanding its portfolio of hardware and software products, with investments in cloud technology supporting future growth [15] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the next year are 6.7% and 16.1% respectively, with a 0.3% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for next-year earnings over the last seven days [17] The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) - The Estée Lauder Companies is focused on profitability through its Profit Recovery and Growth Plan, emphasizing innovation and digital expansion [18] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 1.2% and 45.4% respectively, with a 0.5% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings over the last 30 days [20]

Group 1: Market Trends - Stocks near all-time or 52-week highs indicate strong bullish sentiment, with buyers in control [1] - Stocks making new highs are likely to continue rising, especially with positive earnings estimate revisions [8] Group 2: Credo Technology Group (CRDO) - Credo Technology, rated Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), offers innovative high-speed connectivity solutions, benefiting from the AI surge [3][4] - The company reported a remarkable 180% year-over-year increase in sales, significantly exceeding consensus expectations [5] - The outlook for Credo remains bullish due to sustained demand and increased AI spending [4] Group 3: Heico (HEI) - Heico, also rated Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), operates in aerospace, industrial, defense, and electronics sectors, with products used in various aircraft [9] - The company achieved record Q2 sales and net income, with sales growing 15% and net income increasing by 27%, surpassing consensus expectations [10] - Both segments of Heico, Flight Support and Electrical Technologies, experienced sales growth of 19% and 7%, respectively, with an operating margin increase to 22.6% from 21.9% year-over-year [10]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on upstream suppliers that provide core technologies and high barriers to entry, rather than direct investment in launch vehicle companies that face significant market and capital expenditure risks [4][50]. Core Insights - The global aerospace launch market is undergoing a profound and irreversible structural expansion driven by a revolution in cost structures, shifting from a government budget-dominated paradigm to a commercially driven era focused on high launch frequency and cost efficiency [1][7]. - The key catalyst for this transformation is SpaceX's disruptive cost reductions achieved through reusable rocket technology, which has set new price benchmarks and operational expectations for the market [1][7]. - Future launch demand will be supported by three solid pillars: the large-scale deployment of commercial broadband constellations (e.g., Starlink and Kuiper), increasing geopolitical competition and national security needs, and the revival of scientific and deep space exploration missions represented by the Artemis program [1][10]. Industry Background and Market Drivers - The report highlights a significant increase in global orbital launches, with a record of 259 launches expected in 2024, up from 223 in 2023, and a forecast of over 300 launches in 2025 [7][10]. - The transition to a commercial-driven market is exemplified by SpaceX's 138 launches in 2024, which accounted for half of the global market, establishing a new operational rhythm [7][10]. Core Technology Path Analysis - The competition in the launch market is fundamentally a competition of underlying propulsion technologies, converging on the "Methalox + Reusability + Additive Manufacturing" combination [2][13]. - Methalox engines are recognized as the future mainstream path due to their clean combustion characteristics and ability to simplify the reuse process, addressing the carbon buildup issues of traditional kerosene fuels [15][19]. Value Chain and Supply Chain Analysis - The report identifies a shift in value and profit concentration towards upstream suppliers of core technologies and high-barrier components, moving away from midstream assembly integration [3][36]. - The "smile curve" analysis indicates that high-value areas are concentrated at the upstream and downstream ends of the value chain, while midstream assembly faces profit margin pressures [36][37]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Howmet Aerospace, LOAR, VSE Corporation, BAE Systems, Rolls-Royce, Safran, L3Harris Technologies, and Velo3D, which are positioned as key technology enablers in the supply chain [4][50].