Core Viewpoint - The Mosaic Company (MOS) is expected to report its fourth-quarter 2024 results on February 27, with anticipated challenges due to weak fertilizer prices and operational disruptions from strikes and hurricanes [1][2]. Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mosaic's fourth-quarter consolidated sales is $2,929.4 million, indicating a 7% decline from the same quarter last year [5]. Factors Affecting Performance - Operational disruptions, including delays in Canpotex shipments due to Canadian rail and port strikes, are expected to negatively impact potash volumes [6]. - The company is projected to have potash sales volumes of 2.317 million tons and phosphate sales volumes of 1.701 million tons for the fourth quarter [7]. - Softer fertilizer prices have adversely affected sales and margins, with prices for phosphate and potash declining since mid-2022 due to the Russia-Ukraine war and sanctions on Belarus [9]. Earnings Prediction - The Earnings ESP for MOS is -1.89%, with the consensus estimate for earnings at 53 cents for the fourth quarter [11]. - The current Zacks Rank for MOS is 3 (Hold), indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat for this quarter [10][11]. Stock Performance - Mosaic's shares have decreased by 19.9% over the past year, contrasting with a 3.9% decline in the Zacks Fertilizers industry [3].

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Mosaic (MOS) will report quarterly earnings of $0.53 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 25.4%, with anticipated revenues of $2.93 billion, a decline of 7% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised upward by 12.2% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong relationship between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue and Sales Forecasts - Analysts estimate 'Net sales- Phosphates' will reach $1.20 billion, a year-over-year increase of 12% [5]. - 'Net sales- Mosaic Fertilizantes' is forecasted at $1.17 billion, indicating a slight decline of 1.6% from the prior year [5]. - The average prediction for 'Net sales- Potash' is $551.75 million, reflecting a significant decline of 27.2% compared to the previous year [5]. Price and Cost Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Potash - Average finished product selling price (destination)' is $242.70, down from $294 a year ago [6]. - 'Phosphates - Sales volumes - Total Finished Product' is projected to reach 1,647.52 KTon, an increase from 1,582 KTon reported in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Potash - Sales volumes - Total Finished Product' is expected to be 2,286.80 KTon, down from 2,577 KTon a year ago [7]. - 'Phosphates - Realized costs - Blended rock' is expected to be $83.00 per Ton, up from $77 per Ton in the previous year [8]. Additional Metrics - 'Mosaic Fertilizantes - Average finished product selling price (destination)' is estimated at $552.56, slightly up from $552 a year ago [9]. - 'Phosphates - Average finished product selling price (destination)' is projected to reach $680.87, compared to $658 in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Mosaic have returned -8.7%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.5% change, indicating a potential alignment with overall market performance [11].

Ravenna is a small city located in an area south of the Po river delta and a short distance from the Adriatic Sea. In the early Middle Ages, it became the capital of the Exarchate of Italy, a districtI graduated in Languages in 1988, and then worked for 25 years as an editor at various publishing houses. In 2005, fate turned my attention to the world of finance, and when I lost my job in 2013, I decided to dedicate myself to it. In particular, I focused on building an income portfolio based on ETFs and CEFs ...

The Mosaic Company’s (MOS) stock looks promising at the moment. MOS benefits from healthy demand for phosphate and potash and actions to improve its cost structure. Rising earnings estimates and cheap valuation are other positives. MOS stock has rallied roughly 12% over the past month.  We are positive on the company’s prospects and believe that the time is right for you to add the stock to the portfolio as it is poised to carry the momentum ahead.Let's see what makes MOS stock an attractive investment opti ...

Core Viewpoint - The Mosaic Company (MOS) is currently identified as a strong value stock, exhibiting favorable valuation metrics compared to its industry peers [4][8]. Valuation Metrics - MOS has a Forward P/E ratio of 12.51, which is lower than the industry average of 14.53, indicating potential undervaluation [4]. - The PEG ratio for MOS stands at 1.47, significantly lower than the industry average of 2.38, suggesting that the stock is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth [5]. - The P/S ratio for MOS is 0.75, compared to the industry average of 1.26, reinforcing the notion of undervaluation based on sales performance [6]. - MOS's P/CF ratio is 5.77, which is much lower than the industry average of 19.76, indicating a strong cash flow outlook relative to its valuation [7]. Investment Outlook - Given the combination of these favorable metrics and the strength of its earnings outlook, MOS is positioned as one of the market's strongest value stocks [8].

Momentum investing is essentially the opposite of the tried-and-tested Wall Street adage -- "buy low and sell high." Investors following this investing style typically avoid betting on cheap stocks and waiting long for them to recover. They believe instead that one could make far more money in lesser time by "buying high and selling higher."Everyone likes betting on fast-moving trending stocks, but it isn't easy to determine the right entry point. These stocks often lose momentum when their future growth po ...

The Mosaic Company (MOS) agreed to sell its phosphate asset located in Patos de Minas, Brazil to Fosfatados Centro. The transaction will transfer the responsibility for the Patos de Minas mine and tailings dams to Fosfatados with MOS receiving a payment of $125 million in cash over six years. This is in-line with Mosaic’s strategy to divest its non-core assets and reinvest the capital in high-returning areas. Management of MOS believes the full value of the Patos asset will be realized only in the hands of ...

Core Viewpoint - The Mosaic Company (MOS) is experiencing benefits from strong demand for phosphate and potash, alongside efforts to enhance its cost structure, despite facing challenges from declining fertilizer prices [1][3]. Group 1: Demand and Market Conditions - Healthy demand for phosphate and potash is driven by favorable agricultural conditions and attractive farm economics globally [3]. - High demand for grains and oilseeds continues to support fertilizer demand, with improved farmer affordability likely to persist [4]. - In North America, strong yields and early harvests are creating a favorable environment for fertilizer application, while Brazil's demand is bolstered by healthy grower economics and low inventory levels [4]. Group 2: Cost Management and Investments - The company is implementing cost-reduction strategies aimed at achieving $150 million in run-rate cost reductions by the end of 2025 [5]. - MOS is focused on high-return investments with moderate capital expenditures, including the completion of an 800,000-ton MicroEssentials capacity conversion and ongoing projects to enhance milling capacity [6]. Group 3: Challenges and Financial Performance - Weaker fertilizer prices are negatively impacting MOS's sales and margins, with net sales dropping nearly 21% year-over-year to $2,810.9 million in the third quarter of 2024 [7]. - Delays in Canpotex shipments due to Canadian rail and port strikes are expected to further affect potash volumes in the fourth quarter [8].

The year 2025 has seen a shaky start. Although stocks closed higher on Friday, all three major indexes ended in negative territory in the first week of the year. Wall Street had a stellar 2024 but markets cooled off in the final weeks, with the Santa Claus Rally failing to materialize.Volatility cropped up as concerns over the Federal Reserve’s rate cut plans for 2025 grew. Also, investors are not too optimistic about the fourth-quarter earnings season, with several companies issuing poor guidance.Given thi ...

Transaction Details - The Mosaic Company (MOS) completed a transaction with Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden), receiving 111,012,433 shares of Ma'aden valued at approximately $1.5 billion in exchange for its 25% stake in Ma'aden Wa'ad Al Shamal Phosphate Company (MWSPC) [1] - MOS expects to record a pre-tax gain of around $0.5 billion in Q4 2024 based on the share price at closing [1] Strategic Impact - The transaction provides MOS with a transparent valuation of its investment in Ma'aden and greater capital flexibility [2] - Ma'aden is expected to benefit from the transaction, strengthening its phosphate business [2] - MOS' CEO expressed intentions to continue the partnership with Ma'aden under the new structure [2] Financial Performance - MOS stock has declined 33.5% over the past year, compared to an 18.8% decline in the industry [2] - Potash sales volumes for October and November 2024 were 1,228,000 tons, down from 1,638,000 tons in the same period last year [3] - Potash revenues decreased 41% year-over-year to $299 million from $506 million [3] - Phosphate sales volumes for October and November 2024 were 946,000 tons, down 7% from 1,019,000 tons in the prior year [4] - Despite the volume decline, phosphate revenues increased to $680 million from $677 million in the comparable period last year [4] Industry Comparison - MOS currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [5] - Better-ranked stocks in the Basic Materials sector include Gold Royalty Corp (GROY) and MAG Silver Corp (MAG), both with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), and Balchem Corporation (BCPC) with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [5] - Gold Royalty Corp (GROY) has an expected earnings growth of 66.7% for the current year and has surpassed earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 125% [6] - MAG Silver Corp (MAG) has a current-year earnings estimate of 75 cents per share, surpassing estimates in all four trailing quarters with an average surprise of 17.1%, and its stock has gained 32.2% over the past year [7] - Balchem Corporation (BCPC) has a current-year earnings estimate of $4.01, indicating a 19.7% year-over-year rise, and its stock has gained 11.5% over the past year [8]