Market Overview - Technology stocks extended gains, with major contributions from Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, Apple, and Broadcom, leading to the Nasdaq reaching its highest level since late October and the S&P 500 nearing the 7,000 milestone, marking its fourth record closing high in 2026 [1][15] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 408.99 points, or 0.83%, closing at 49,003.41, while the S&P 500 gained 28.37 points, or 0.41%, to 6,978.60, and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 215.74 points, or 0.91%, to 23,817.10 [6][15] Earnings Reports - 102 S&P 500 companies are set to report earnings this week, with 79.7% of the 64 that had reported by Friday exceeding analyst expectations [8][15] - General Motors saw an 8.7% increase in shares after reporting higher fourth-quarter core profit [15] - Boeing reported a fourth-quarter profit due to a unit sale but faced larger-than-expected losses in its two biggest divisions, leading to a 1.6% decline in shares [9][15] - American Airlines shares closed down 7% due to expected impacts from a winter storm on first-quarter results, despite a positive 2026 profit forecast [10][15] - JetBlue shares fell 6.9% after reporting a wider-than-expected quarterly loss attributed to bad weather and a government shutdown [10][15] Sector Performance - The technology sector led gains among the S&P 500's 11 major industry sectors, rising by 1.4%, with Corning being the biggest gainer, rallying 15.6% after signing a deal with Meta worth up to $6 billion for fiber-optic cables in AI data centers [7][15] Consumer Confidence and Economic Indicators - U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly declined in January, reaching its lowest level since 2014, but this did not significantly impact the stock market [4][15] - A recent decline in the U.S. dollar, dropping over 1% on Tuesday, is viewed positively for U.S. equities as it benefits exports, which is expected to enhance S&P earnings going forward [5][6][15] Federal Reserve Watch - Investors are awaiting a policy announcement from the U.S. Federal Reserve, with expectations of unchanged interest rates, while focusing on guidance regarding future rates and economic commentary [11][15] Market Breadth - Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.61-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, with 693 new highs and 95 new lows, while on the Nasdaq, 2,725 stocks rose against 2,056 that fell, resulting in a 1.33-to-1 ratio [12][15]

港股恒生指数开盘涨0.73%，报27325.89点，恒生科技指数涨0.56%，报5786.66点，国企指数涨0.63%， 报9302.93点，红筹指数涨0.26%，报4299.98点。 大型科技股中，阿里巴巴-W涨0.35%，腾讯控股涨0.99%，京东集团-SW涨1.5%，小米集团-W平收，网 易-S涨0.97%，美团-W涨0.47%，快手-W涨0.63%，哔哩哔哩-W涨0.52%。 电力设备股高开，哈尔滨电气涨超2%；创新药概念活跃，先声药业涨超5%；黄金股普涨，赤峰黄金涨 超4%。零食巨头鸣鸣很忙首日上市涨逾88%；紫金矿业涨逾2%，新东方跌逾3%。 【隔夜外盘】 美股三大指数涨跌不一，道指跌0.83%，纳指涨0.91%，标普500指数涨0.41%并创收盘新高。热门中概 股涨跌互现，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨0.48%。 "七巨头"中六家上涨，英伟达、苹果涨超1%，微软、亚马逊涨逾2%，仅特斯拉一家下跌。费城半导体 指数涨2.4%，也收于历史新高。30只成分股中27家收涨。 金价再度刷新历史新高。现货黄金收涨3.3%，报5180.2美元/盎司；现货白银收涨7.92%，报112.16美元/ 盎司。 【隔夜资讯 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The global economy has passed its peak and is on a downward trend due to consecutive wrong policies in the US [4]. - The US's return to the Monroe Doctrine and global contraction will have a profound and disruptive impact on major asset classes such as the global economy, US Treasuries, US stocks, the US dollar, precious metals, and industrial metals [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Economic News - Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio warns that the US is like a powder keg on the verge of civil war, having deeply entered the "pre - collapse stage" and at risk of entering the sixth stage marked by the collapse of the existing order [1]. - Emerging market stock and bond ETFs have seen a total of $6.83 billion in capital inflows, with Chinese - related ETFs being the most favored. $1.65 billion flowed into the Chinese market last week [1]. - Guoxing Aerospace has deployed the Tongyi Qianwen Qwen3 large - model to the "Star Computing" Plan 01 group space computing center, the world's first deployment of a general large - model to an orbiting satellite [1]. - Microsoft has released its second - generation self - developed AI chip Maia 200, marking significant progress in its self - developed chip field [1]. - NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang announced the launch of the server CPU "Vera" to solve the CPU bottleneck in the AI supply chain [1]. - If the imbalance between supply and demand of memory chips persists until the first half of 2027, it may be an opportunity for Chinese manufacturers to narrow the technological gap [1]. - Samsung and SK Hynix doubled the price of low - power DRAM supplied to Apple in Q1, and prices may rise further in the second half of the year [1]. - Zijin Mining acquired Allied Gold for $28 billion, with Allied Gold having 533 tons of gold resources as of the end of 2024 [1]. Global Economic Logic - The US is facing a high risk of civil war, and the global political order has entered a chaotic period, bringing great uncertainty to the global economy [2]. - There are speculations about the possibility of a "Plaza Accord 2.0", and the uncertainty of the Fed is expected to peak from July to November 2026, which may lead to a "flight from US assets" [2]. - The Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and purchase $40 billion in short - term bonds monthly, restarting the expansion of its balance sheet [2]. - The decline in gambling revenue in Las Vegas is similar to the early warning signal before the 2008 financial crisis [2]. - The US will adjust its economic relations with China and revive its economic autonomy [2]. - The K - shaped differentiation of consumers in the US is intensifying, with high - income consumers maintaining spending while middle - and low - income families are cutting back [2]. - TSMC's capital expenditure in 2026 is expected to be between $52 billion and $56 billion, a significant increase of 27% - 37% year - on - year, indicating the continued AI boom [2]. - SpaceX hopes to achieve full rocket reusability this year, which will reduce the cost of space access by 100 times [2].

Core Insights - Microsoft is expected to report its fiscal second-quarter results, with analysts predicting revenue growth driven by strong AI demand [1] - Options pricing indicates traders anticipate a stock movement of up to 5% in either direction following the earnings report [1] Financial Expectations - Analysts forecast Microsoft will report revenue of $80.31 billion for the fiscal second quarter, representing a 15% year-over-year increase [1] - Intelligent Cloud revenue is expected to rise by 27% to $32.39 billion [1] - Earnings per share are projected to be $3.87, up from $3.23 a year ago [1] Market Sentiment - Microsoft shares have declined approximately 11% since the last earnings report in October, where the company exceeded estimates but announced significant AI infrastructure investments [1] - Analysts remain bullish on Microsoft, with 14 out of 15 recommending a buy, and a mean price target of around $615, suggesting nearly 30% upside from the recent close [1] Investor Concerns - There are concerns regarding the costs associated with Microsoft's AI buildout, which may overshadow the anticipated strong earnings and revenue growth [1] - Investors are particularly interested in insights regarding capital expenditures and projections for the Intelligent Cloud segment, including Azure [1]

Military and Geopolitical Developments - The US Central Command announced that the Ninth Air Force will conduct air force readiness exercises in the Middle East, aimed at enhancing rapid deployment capabilities [2] - The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group has entered the Middle East, and the US has informed Israel about military preparations against Iran, expected to be completed within two weeks [2] - Iran's Revolutionary Guard Navy officials stated they have achieved real-time monitoring of the Strait of Hormuz and are prepared for any potential conflict, asserting they do not seek war but are ready for a response [2] Financial Markets Overview - US stock markets showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.83%, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.91% and the S&P 500 increased by 0.41% [3] - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Amazon up 2.63%, Microsoft up 2.19%, and Apple up 1.12%, while Tesla fell nearly 1% [3] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 0.48%, with mixed performances among popular Chinese stocks [3] Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil futures closing at $62.57 per barrel, up 3.20%, and Brent crude oil futures at $66.70 per barrel, up 2.98% [3] - Spot gold increased by 3.45%, reaching $5,181.04 per ounce, with a peak at $5,190.06, marking a historical high [3] - Spot silver rose by 7.97%, priced at $112.14 per ounce [3] Currency and Exchange Rates - The US Dollar Index fell to 95.775, hitting a low of 95.510, the lowest since early 2022 [4] - The offshore RMB was quoted at 6.9321, while the onshore RMB was at 6.9545 [5] Corporate Announcements - Anta Sports announced plans to acquire a 29.06% stake in Puma for €15.06 billion (approximately 123 billion RMB), aiming to become its largest shareholder [15] - Micron Technology plans to invest $24 billion in Singapore over the next decade to expand NAND flash memory production, creating approximately 1,600 jobs [16] - DeepSeek launched a new AI model, DeepSeek-OCR 2, which can interpret images in a human-like logical sequence, enhancing its visual understanding capabilities [13]

Group 1: International News - The international precious metals market has shown significant volatility, with spot gold prices rising by 3.52% to a historic high of $5187.37 per ounce on January 27, 2023 [1][12] - COMEX gold futures increased by 1.82%, closing at $5175.10 per ounce, with a peak of $5187.20 during electronic trading [1][12] - Silver market experienced more volatility, with New York silver futures rising by 6.66% to surpass $113 per ounce, later retreating to below $111, resulting in a daily increase of 4.73% [1][12] Group 2: Energy Market - U.S. natural gas futures saw significant fluctuations, initially rising over 7% to $7.284 per million British thermal units, before dropping by 15% to $5.772 due to recovering production and declining demand [2][13] - Crude oil prices experienced slight increases, with WTI crude surpassing $62 per barrel, up 2.28%, and Brent crude exceeding $66 per barrel, up 1.92% [2][13] Group 3: Foreign Exchange Market - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) continued to decline, with a daily drop of 0.95% to 96.17 points, nearing a four-year low [3][14] - Non-U.S. currencies appreciated, with the euro rising by 0.6% against the dollar and the British pound increasing by nearly 0.7% to $1.3787, the strongest level since October 2021 [3][14] Group 4: U.S. Stock Market - The U.S. stock market showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.83%, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.91% and the S&P 500 increased by 0.41%, reaching an intraday record high of 6986.38 points [4][15] - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Micron Technology up over 5%, Intel up over 3%, and Amazon and Microsoft both up over 2% [4][15] Group 5: Corporate Developments - AI startup Anthropic plans to double its fundraising target to $20 billion, with a valuation reaching $350 billion [9][17] - Boeing anticipates delivering 500 737 aircraft by 2026, aiming for positive free cash flow between $1 billion and $3 billion [10][17]

Market Overview - The NASDAQ 100 has seen a fifth consecutive day of gains, rising approximately 1% [1] - Despite the rally, a majority of stocks are in the red, indicating a narrowing of the rally's breadth [2] - The Bloomberg Dollar Index has decreased by about 0.7%, reflecting a trend of lower dollar value amidst rising equity prices [1][2] Bond Market Insights - The 30-year bond yield in the U.S. is approaching its highest levels in a decade, which is attracting long-term investors [4] - Bond funds are starting to show a steeper curve, indicating renewed interest from portfolio managers [5] - Current market conditions suggest a Goldilocks economic scenario, with expectations for continued growth but uncertainty about future pricing [6] Currency and Inflation Trends - The U.S. dollar's softness is perceived as a potential manipulation by the government, which may welcome a weaker dollar [7][8] - The Federal Reserve's actions, including replacing Treasury bills with reserves, contribute to a narrative of a weaker dollar and inflationary pressures [9] Investment Opportunities - U.S. investors are finding attractive yields in international markets, particularly in countries like New Zealand and Australia, where bond yields are higher than U.S. credit [11] - The luxury goods market is experiencing mixed results, with watches and jewelry showing growth while fashion and spirits face challenges [41][43] Company-Specific Developments - Starbucks is expected to report earnings soon, with a focus on U.S. transaction growth and long-term guidance [30][31] - LVMH's luxury fashion division is struggling, with a noted decline in organic sales growth, particularly in fashion and spirits [41][48] - The company is diversifying its portfolio, with growth in watches and jewelry, indicating a shift in consumer spending behavior [43][44]

Market Performance - On January 27, the US stock indices closed mixed, with strong performance in technology stocks driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 up. The Dow Jones fell by 0.83% to 49,003.41 points, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.41% to 6,978.6 points, and the Nasdaq increased by 0.91% to 23,817.1 points [1][2]. Technology Sector - Six out of the seven major US technology companies saw stock price increases, with Nvidia and Apple rising over 1%, and Microsoft and Amazon increasing by more than 2%. However, Tesla's stock fell by 0.99%. Tesla's market share in the EU, UK, and EFTA dropped to 3% in December, while BYD's market share was 2.4%. Tesla's pure electric vehicle market share stands at 11.4% [2][3]. Semiconductor Stocks - Most semiconductor stocks experienced gains, with Intel rising by 3.39%, ASML by 2.92%, Broadcom by 2.43%, TSMC by 1.67%, and AMD by 0.26%. ARM saw a slight increase of 0.18%, while Qualcomm's stock fell by 0.96% [3]. Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.48%, with many popular Chinese stocks performing well. Notable increases included Huya up nearly 20%, Kingsoft Cloud up 8.77%, Bilibili up 3.43%, Baidu up 1%, Alibaba up 0.79%, NIO up 0.65%, New Oriental up 0.56%, Tencent Music up 0.18%, and Pinduoduo up 0.05% [3]. Commodity Market - International oil prices surged, with US oil closing nearly 3% higher on January 27 and continuing to rise slightly on January 28. Brent crude oil also saw an increase of over 3% on January 27 [3]. Precious Metals - On January 28, spot gold prices slightly declined, while silver experienced a significant drop of 1%. In less than a month, both London spot silver and COMEX silver futures have seen year-to-date increases exceeding 50%. According to Guoyuan Futures, industrial demand for silver is expected to stabilize and decline by 2026, but physical investment demand is anticipated to expand, suggesting that precious metal prices may continue to strengthen [4]. Cryptocurrency Market - Cryptocurrencies saw a broad increase, with Bitcoin rising above $89,000, marking a 1.26% increase. Ethereum also rose by 3.18% to $3,018. Other cryptocurrencies like Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin experienced gains as well [5]. Geopolitical Developments - Reports indicate that the CIA is secretly pushing for a "long-term presence" in Venezuela, with plans to influence the country's future under the Trump administration. This may involve creating conditions for US diplomatic actions [6]. Additionally, the US has communicated to Israel its military preparedness regarding Iran, with potential actions expected in the coming months [7]. Consumer Confidence - A preliminary survey by the World Large Enterprises Research Association indicated that the US consumer confidence index dropped significantly from a revised 94.2 in December to 84.5 in January, marking the lowest level since May 2014 [7].

华见早安之声 市场概述 科技巨头财报前标普500五连阳、收创最高纪录，道指回落。医保巨头UnitedHealth跌近20%、领跌道指成分股。财报公布前，微软涨超2%、特斯拉跌1%； 增加240亿美元NAND制造投资的美光收涨超5%；和Meta签下光缆大单的康宁涨超15%。 美元创四年新低，跌超1%、创去年4月特朗普宣布关税以来最大四日跌幅。日元三日累计涨4%，欧元和英镑创2021年来新高，离岸人民币近三年来首次盘 中涨破6.94。比特币盘中涨超2%，重新站上8.9万美元。 美消费者信心逊色，美债收益率刷新日低。 原油反弹，受中东局势影响，尾盘一度涨超3%。黄金连续六日收创历史新高，现货黄金一度涨超3%。白银震荡。 亚洲时段，A股午后拉升，三大股指集体收涨，算力产业链爆发，恒指涨超1%，紫金黄金涨超11%，沪银逆势涨7%。 要闻 中国12月规模以上工业企业利润同比增长 5.3%，全年同比增长0.6%，实现四年来首次增长。 美国将在中东举行空军战备演习，油价盘中涨3%，现货黄金涨超2%。特朗普：若遭暗杀，将把伊朗"从地球上抹去"！ 美元跌至四年低谷，特朗普不担心：美元表现出色，能找到合理水平。日本财务大臣：如有必 ...

The Nasdaq led US stock futures higher on Wednesday as AI trade fervor spread ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision and earnings from megacap techs. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) climbed about 0.9%, while those on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) hovered below the flat line. S&P 500 futures (ES=F) moved up 0.3% on the heels of an all-time closing high. Techs are set to buoy markets again as a surprise record surge in orders for ASML's (ASML) chipmaking machines sto ...