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玖龙纸业(02689.HK):2HFY25业绩改善拐点显现
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-25 20:41
Core Viewpoint - The company reported FY25 results that met prior forecasts, with revenue of 63.241 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.767 billion yuan, aligning with market expectations [1] Performance Review - FY25 revenue reached 63.241 billion yuan, up 6.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.767 billion yuan after deducting approximately 400 million yuan in perpetual bond interest, consistent with prior guidance [1] - In the second half of FY25, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.297 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 176%, primarily due to the benefits from self-produced pulp and cost improvements from declining coal prices [1] Development Trends - The company expects continued growth in FY26, with total sales of 21.5 million tons in FY25, a 10% year-on-year increase, driven by significant increases in sales of various paper types [2] - The company is focusing on optimizing product structure and increasing the proportion of high-end kraft paper, rather than merely expanding production capacity [2] - In FY26, the company has already launched production of 1.2 million tons of white cardboard, 350,000 tons of cultural paper, and 700,000 tons of chemical pulp, with further expansions planned [2] Price and Cost Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in paper prices, estimating profits per ton of paper at 59 yuan and 151 yuan for the first and second halves of FY25, respectively [3] - The company expects a slight increase in costs due to rising coal and waste paper prices, but overall profit margins for corrugated paper are expected to recover slightly [3] Capital Expenditure and Profit Forecast - Capital expenditure for FY25 was 14.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%, with continued pressure on free cash flow and a debt ratio of 66% [3] - For FY26, the company has guided a capital expenditure of 11 billion yuan, which is higher than previous guidance [3] - The company has raised net profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 by 11% and 15%, respectively, to 2.75 billion yuan and 2.88 billion yuan, with a target price increase of 17% to 7 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 22% [3]
玖龙纸业(02689.HK)权益持有人应占盈利增加约135.4%至17.67亿元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-25 11:44
Core Insights - The company, Nine Dragons Paper (02689.HK), reported a 9.6% increase in sales volume to approximately 21.5 million tons for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025 [1] - Revenue rose by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan, driven by the increase in sales volume despite a 3.0% decrease in average selling price [1] - Gross profit increased by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan, with the gross profit margin improving from 9.6% in the 2024 fiscal year to about 11.5% in the 2025 fiscal year [1] - The profit attributable to equity holders surged by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan, translating to basic earnings per share of 0.38 yuan [1] Revenue and Sales Performance - Sales volume increased by 9.6% to around 21.5 million tons [1] - Revenue grew by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan, influenced by the sales volume increase [1] - Average selling price experienced a decrease of about 3.0%, impacting overall revenue [1] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit rose by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit margin improved from 9.6% to approximately 11.5% due to a larger decline in raw material costs compared to product prices [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders increased by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan [1]
美银:维持玖龙纸业“买入”评级 目标价6.5港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 07:25
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America reports that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689) is expected to meet its fiscal year 2025 performance targets, with a net profit of RMB 1.767 billion, aligning with earlier profit guidance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For fiscal year 2025, the sales volume is projected to increase by 9.7% year-on-year to 21.5 million tons, driven by a strong customer base and enhanced production capacity [1] - The sales volume for the second half of fiscal year 2025 is expected to see a moderate year-on-year growth of 5.2% to 10.1 million tons [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 6.5 [1] Group 2: Production Capacity and Investment - Nine Dragons plans to increase its wood pulp production capacity from the current 6 million tons to 8 million tons by the first quarter of 2027 [1] - New production capacities will be added in Chongqing (700,000 tons), Tianjin (500,000 tons), and Beihai, Guangxi (800,000 tons) [1] - The capital expenditure for pulp production capacity is currently estimated at RMB 4,000 to 6,000 per ton [1]
美银:维持玖龙纸业(02689)“买入”评级 目标价6.5港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-25 07:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Bank of America has released a report indicating that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689) is expected to meet its performance targets for the fiscal year 2025, with a net profit of 1.767 billion RMB, aligning with earlier profit forecasts [1] - For the fiscal year 2025, the sales volume is projected to increase by 9.7% year-on-year to 21.5 million tons, primarily benefiting from a strong customer base and enhanced production capacity [1] - The sales volume for the second half of fiscal year 2025 is expected to see a moderate year-on-year growth of 5.2% to 10.1 million tons, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of 6.5 HKD [1] Group 2 - Due to cost advantages, Nine Dragons plans to increase its wood pulp production capacity from the current 6 million tons to 8 million tons by the first quarter of 2027, with new capacities of 700,000 tons in Chongqing, 500,000 tons in Tianjin, and 800,000 tons in Beihai, Guangxi [1] - The capital expenditure for pulp production capacity is currently estimated at 4,000 to 6,000 RMB per ton [1]
【热点】玖龙纸业利润飙27% 340万吨浆250万吨纸扩产落地
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 05:13
Core Viewpoint - Nine Dragons Paper Industries reported a revenue of 63.24 billion RMB for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 6.3% and a gross profit increase of about 26.9% to 7.25 billion RMB, primarily due to a larger decline in raw material costs compared to product prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for the fiscal year 2024-2025 reached 63.24 billion RMB, marking a 6.3% increase from the previous fiscal year [1] - Gross profit rose by approximately 26.9% to 7.25 billion RMB, attributed to a more significant decrease in raw material costs compared to product prices [1] Group 2: Expansion Projects - The company continues to advance new project constructions, with successful launches of high-end paper and raw material projects in Beihai, Guangxi, and Jingzhou, Hubei [1] - In the third quarter, new production lines for 1.2 million tons of white cardboard and 700,000 tons of wood pulp, as well as 400,000 tons of cultural paper, were put into operation [1] Group 3: Production Capacity - As of June 30, 2025, Nine Dragons Paper's fiber raw material production capacity reached 7.5 million tons, with a designed paper production capacity of 23.5 million tons [1] - The designed production capacity for corrugated paperboard and cartons is approximately 2.9 billion square meters [1] Group 4: Future Plans - In the new fiscal year, the company plans to further expand wood pulp production capacity in Beihai, Jingzhou, Chongqing, and Tianjin, totaling a designed capacity of 3.4 million tons [2] - The company aims to increase cultural paper and white cardboard production capacity by a combined 2.5 million tons at the Jingzhou and Beihai bases [2] Group 5: Capital Expenditure and Expansion Projects - Key capital expenditures and expansion projects include: - Jingzhou, Hubei: 0.65 million tons of chemical pulp completed by June 2025, and 0.70 million tons of chemical mechanical pulp completed by August 2025 [3] - Chongqing: 0.70 million tons of chemical pulp expected to be completed by Q4 2026 [3] - Tianjin: 0.50 million tons of chemical pulp expected to be completed by Q4 2026 [3] - Beihai, Guangxi: 0.80 million tons of chemical pulp expected to be completed by Q1 2027 [3] - Successful completion of these expansion plans will enhance the company's integrated pulp and paper advantages, improve profitability, and strengthen sustainable development in the industry [3]
玖龙纸业绩后倒跌超3% 全年纯利同比增长约1.35倍
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 03:58
Core Viewpoint - Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in annual performance metrics, yet the stock price declined over 3% following the announcement, indicating market skepticism about future growth potential [1] Financial Performance - Sales volume increased by 9.6% to approximately 21.5 million tons [1] - Revenue rose by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit increased by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders surged by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan [1] Future Capacity Expansion - The company plans to add 2.5 million tons of cultural paper and packaging paper capacity, along with 1.35 million tons of pulp capacity in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Initial contributions from the increased capacity may be limited and could be offset by lower average pulp prices [1] Profitability Outlook - Citigroup's report suggests that as long as monthly profits remain above 200 million yuan, there is potential for further upward adjustments in profit forecasts for fiscal year 2026 [1]
港股异动 | 玖龙纸业(02689)绩后倒跌超3% 全年纯利同比增长约1.35倍
智通财经网· 2025-09-25 03:56
Core Viewpoint - Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in sales and profits for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, but the stock price fell over 3% following the earnings announcement [1] Financial Performance - Sales volume increased by 9.6% to approximately 21.5 million tons [1] - Revenue rose by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan [1] - Gross profit increased by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders surged by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan [1] Future Capacity Expansion - The company plans to add 2.5 million tons of cultural and packaging paper capacity and 1.35 million tons of pulp capacity in fiscal year 2026 [1] - Initial contributions from the increased capacity may be limited and could be offset by lower average pulp prices [1] Profitability Outlook - Citigroup's report suggests that as long as monthly profits remain above 200 million yuan, there is potential for further upward adjustments in the profit forecast for fiscal year 2026 [1]
大行评级|花旗:上调玖龙纸业目标价至8港元 重申“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-25 03:49
Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's research report indicates that Nine Dragons Paper Holdings' net profit for the fiscal year ending June 2025 surged 135% year-on-year to 1.767 billion HKD, aligning with earlier guidance of 1.7 billion to 1.9 billion HKD [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank raised its earnings forecasts for the fiscal years 2026 to 2027 by 12% to 16% due to better-than-expected performance [1] - The conservative estimate for the fiscal year ending June 2026 is a 43% year-on-year increase in profit to 2.529 billion HKD [1] - The target price has been adjusted from 6.2 HKD to 8 HKD, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Group 2: Capacity Expansion - The group plans to add 2.5 million tons of cultural and packaging paper capacity and 1.35 million tons of pulp capacity in the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Initial contributions from the increased capacity may be limited and could be offset by lower average pulp prices [1] Group 3: Profitability and Sales Forecast - As long as monthly profits remain above 200 million HKD, there is potential for further upward adjustments in the profit forecast for fiscal year 2026 [1] - Sales volume for fiscal year 2026 is expected to grow approximately 9% to 23.5 million tons, with a projected net profit per ton of 108 HKD, down from 129 HKD in fiscal year 2025 [1]
玖龙纸业:2025财年公司权益持有人应占盈利增加约135.4%至17.67亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 09:32
Core Viewpoint - Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited reported significant growth in key financial metrics for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, indicating a strong operational performance and market demand [1] Financial Performance - Sales volume increased by 9.6% to approximately 21.5 million tons [1] - Revenue rose by approximately 6.3% to RMB 63.2405 billion [1] - Gross profit increased by approximately 26.9% to RMB 7.2451 billion [1] - Net profit surged by approximately 177.3% to RMB 2.2017 billion [1] - Profit attributable to equity holders increased by approximately 135.4% to RMB 1.7671 billion [1] - Basic earnings per share rose by approximately 137.5% to RMB 0.38 [1]
玖龙纸业公布年度业绩 公司权益持有人应占盈利增加约135.4%至17.67亿元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 08:51
Core Insights - The company, Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited, reported a 9.6% increase in sales volume to approximately 21.5 million tons for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025 [1] - Revenue increased by approximately 6.3% to 63.241 billion yuan, driven by the increase in sales volume despite a 3.0% decrease in average selling price [1] - Gross profit rose by approximately 26.9% to 7.245 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to equity holders increasing by approximately 135.4% to 1.767 billion yuan, resulting in basic earnings per share of 0.38 yuan [1] Revenue and Profitability - Revenue growth was primarily attributed to a 9.6% increase in sales volume, offset by a 3.0% decline in average selling prices [1] - The gross margin improved from 9.6% in the fiscal year 2024 to approximately 11.5% in fiscal year 2025, mainly due to a larger decline in raw material costs compared to the decrease in product prices [1]