该行预测，集团2026全年业绩稳健，上半年对造纸商而言是传统消费淡季，期间或意味着纸价会有小幅 修正。但大摩认为集团优化的产品结构及更佳的成本表现，应能缓冲消费淡季需求放缓的影响，从而为 集团带来全年盈利稳健。 摩根士丹利发布研报称，予玖龙纸业(02689)目标价6港元，评级"与大市同步"。玖龙纸业预计2026年上 半年净利润将同比增216%至231%，达到21.5亿至22.5亿元人民币(下同)，略高于该行预测的20亿元，总 体大致符合预期。 ...

摩根士丹利发表研报指，玖龙纸业预计2026年上半年净利润将按年增216%至231%，达到21.5亿至22.5 亿元，略高于该行预测的20亿元，总体大致符合预期。该行预测，集团2026全年业绩稳健，上半年对造 纸商而言是传统消费淡季，期间或意味着纸价会有小幅修正。但大摩认为集团优化的产品结构及更佳的 成本表现，应能缓冲消费淡季需求放缓的影响，从而为集团带来全年盈利稳健。大摩予玖龙纸业目标价 6港元，评级"与大市同步"。 ...

港股造纸板块盘初冲高，玖龙纸业涨超10%，晨鸣纸业涨超7%，阳光纸业涨超3%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that due to the unexpected production and profit margins from self-produced pulp, the company has raised its net profit estimates for FY26-27 by 32% and 39% to 3.6 billion and 4 billion respectively, maintaining an outperform rating and increasing the target price by 29% to HKD 9, which implies a 21% upside potential [1] Group 2 - The company's net profit for 1HFY26 exceeded both the firm's and market expectations, with a forecasted profit of 2.15-2.25 billion, and after deducting perpetual bond interest, the profit is expected to be 1.95-2.05 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 315%-337% [2] Group 3 - The boxboard and corrugated paper market is experiencing a stable recovery, with significant price increases expected in the second half of 2025 due to rising waste paper prices and the traditional peak season, leading to an anticipated stable recovery in profit margins [3] Group 4 - The company disclosed a pulp production target of 3 million tons for FY25, with expectations of over 2 million tons in 1HFY26, which is a key driver for the unexpected performance; the company’s self-produced pulp self-sufficiency rate is close to 100%, leading to higher profit margins compared to peers [4] Group 5 - The company is expected to see a recovery in financial quality for FY26, with remaining capital expenditures of approximately 11 billion, indicating a conclusion to the current capital expenditure cycle; improvements in profit and cash flow are anticipated to enhance the quality of FY26 financial reports [5]

Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised the net profit estimates for Nine Dragons Paper (02689) for FY26-27 by 32% and 39% to 3.6 billion and 4.0 billion HKD respectively, due to higher-than-expected self-produced pulp output and profit per ton [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's net profit for 1HFY26 is expected to be between 2.15 billion and 2.25 billion HKD, with a core profit of 1.95 billion to 2.05 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 315%-337% [2] - The company is projected to achieve sales of approximately 12 million tons, with a net profit per ton of around 160 HKD, driven by lower self-produced pulp costs and higher output [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The market for corrugated paper is recovering steadily, with significant price increases expected in the second half of 2025 due to rising waste paper prices and the traditional peak season [3] - The company is positioned as the largest player in the corrugated paper market in China, holding about 25% market share, which enhances its earnings potential as the sector recovers [3] Group 3: Production Insights - The company plans to produce 3 million tons of pulp in FY25, with expectations of over 2 million tons in 1HFY26, which is a key driver for the anticipated strong performance [4] - The company’s self-produced pulp supply rate is nearly 100%, allowing it to achieve excess profits compared to peers, with expected average net profit per ton for white paper exceeding 300 HKD [4] Group 4: Financial Quality Outlook - The company is nearing the completion of its capital expenditure cycle, with planned spending of around 11 billion HKD for FY26, which is lower than previous years [5] - The company’s financial quality is expected to improve significantly in FY26, supported by enhanced profits and cash flow [5]

客户端 玖龙纸业（02689）早盘高开近15%，截至发稿，股价上涨11.80%，现报8.34港元，成交额1.25亿港元。 1月28日，玖龙纸业公布，预计截至2025年12月31日止6个月将取得盈利约人民币21.5亿元至人民币22.5 亿元，较去年同期人民币6.8亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价格上升，及 原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 公告指出，公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民 币2.01亿元。因此，集团预计公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.5亿元至人民币20.5亿 元之间，较去年同期人民币4.7亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 玖龙纸业（02689）早盘高开近15%，截至发稿，股价上涨11.80%，现报8.34港元，成交额1.25亿港元。 1月28日，玖龙纸业公布，预计截至2025年12月31日止6个月将取得盈利约人民币21.5亿元至人民币22.5 亿元，较去年同期 ...

每经AI快讯，玖龙纸业(02689.HK)高开近15%，截至发稿，涨14.88%，报8.57港元，成交额707.03万港 元。 ...

公告指出，公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民 币2.01亿元。因此，集团预计公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.5亿元至人民币20.5亿 元之间，较去年同期人民币4.7亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 消息面上，1月28日，玖龙纸业公布，预计截至2025年12月31日止6个月将取得盈利约人民币21.5亿元至 人民币22.5亿元，较去年同期人民币6.8亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价 格上升，及原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 玖龙纸业(02689)高开近15%，截至发稿，涨14.88%，报8.57港元，成交额707.03万港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，玖龙纸业(02689)高开近15%，截至发稿，涨14.88%，报8.57港元，成交额707.03万 港元。 消息面上，1月28日，玖龙纸业公布，预计截至2025年12月31日止6个月将取得盈利约人民币21.5亿元至 人民币22.5亿元，较去年同期人民币6.8亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。主要由于产品销售量增加及销售价 格上升，及原材料成本下降而导致毛利润大幅增加。 公告指出，公司于2024年6月发行4亿美元永续资本证券。期间永续资本证券持有人的应占盈利为约人民 币2.01亿元。因此，集团预计公司的权益持有人应占盈利在本期间为约人民币19.5亿元至人民币20.5亿 元之间，较去年同期人民币4.7亿元增加315.2%至336.5%。 ...

每经AI快讯，1月28日，玖龙纸业(02689.HK)在港交所发布公告称，2005年下半年盈利介于21.5亿元至 22.5亿元之间，较上年同期的6.803亿元增长216.0%至230.7%。盈利增长主要是因为产品销售量增加、 销售价格上升以及原材料成本下降，从而导致毛利润大幅增加。 ...