Factors Influencing Newmont's Stock Movements in Recent Months Newmont (NYSE:NEM)'s stock has experienced quite a bit of volatility this year. It began the year on a weak note, primarily impacted by declining gold prices and concerns regarding costs and production delays. However, things started to improve as gold prices surged—thanks to global uncertainty and increased purchases by central banks. Thus far in 2025, NEM has made a solid recovery, regaining a significant portion of its previous losses. Althou ...

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Style Scores categorize stocks into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score emphasizes identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios [3] - Growth Score focuses on a company's future earnings and financial health [4] - Momentum Score assesses stocks based on price trends and earnings estimate changes [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to identify stocks with the best overall potential [6] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to guide investment decisions [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically delivered an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, making it essential for investors to utilize Style Scores to narrow down choices [9] Stock Example: Newmont Corporation - Newmont Corporation is a leading gold producer with significant reserves and production capabilities [11] - The company holds a 1 (Strong Buy) Zacks Rank and has a VGM Score of A, indicating strong investment potential [11] - Newmont's Growth Style Score is B, with a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 20.1% for the current fiscal year [12] - Recent analyst revisions have increased earnings estimates, further supporting Newmont's strong performance outlook [12]

Industry Overview - Gold prices have been on the rise, reaching $3,415.57/ounce on May 5 and stabilizing around $3,300/ounce thereafter, positively impacting gold mining stocks [1][2] - The increase in gold prices is attributed to concerns over U.S. government debt, weak demand for long-term treasury bonds, and a declining dollar, with the World Gold Council noting a scarcity of gold deposits in the mining industry [2] - Central banks in emerging economies are increasing their gold purchases, and the rising use of gold in energy, healthcare, and technology is expected to create a demand-supply imbalance, further driving prices [3] Investment Opportunities - Investing in gold mining stocks with a favorable Zacks Rank is recommended, with five highlighted stocks: Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV), Newmont Corp. (NEM), Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC), Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD), and Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM), all currently rated as Strong Buy [4] Positive Catalysts - Global central banks are cutting interest rates to stimulate economic growth, which benefits non-income-bearing assets like gold, while a weak U.S. dollar increases demand for dollar-denominated gold [5] - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and unrest in Southeast Asia, are expected to keep gold prices buoyant as it is viewed as a safe-haven investment [6] - Major investment banks like Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan predict gold prices could reach $4,000/ounce by 2026, indicating continued bullish momentum [7] Company-Specific Insights Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV) - FNV is positioned for strong earnings growth due to increased contributions from streaming agreements and a focus on cost management despite lower output from Cobre Panama [10] - The company has a debt-free balance sheet and plans to use free cash flow for portfolio expansion and dividends, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 31.5% and 29.9%, respectively, for the current year [11][12] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - NEM is advancing its growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the Ahafo North project, with a commitment to invest $950 million to $1,050 million in development capital [13][14] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for NEM are 2% and 20.1%, respectively, for the current year [14] Kinross Gold Corp. (KGC) - KGC has a strong production profile and is focusing on organic growth through projects like Tasiast, which is expected to enhance production and cash flow [15][16] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for KGC are 15.3% and 63.2%, respectively, for the current year [17] Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD) - RGLD benefits from solid streaming agreements and a strong balance sheet, with plans to allocate cash flow towards dividends, debt reduction, and new ventures [18][19] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for RGLD are 24.1% and 35.2%, respectively, for the current year [19] Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM) - AEM is focused on executing projects that will enhance production and cash flows, with strategic acquisitions and expansions strengthening its market position [20][21] - The expected revenue and earnings growth rates for AEM are 23% and 42.6%, respectively, for the current year [22]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) has experienced a 5.5% decline in share price over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500, raising questions about its upcoming earnings release and potential for recovery [1] Group 1: Earnings and Estimates - The consensus estimate for Newmont has shifted upward by 7.73% over the past month, indicating positive revisions in earnings expectations [2] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the catalysts affecting the stock's performance [1] Group 2: VGM Scores - Newmont holds a Growth Score of B, but has a low Momentum Score of F, while achieving a Value Score of B, placing it in the second quintile for value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for Newmont is B, which is significant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Group 3: Outlook - The upward trend in estimates suggests a promising outlook for Newmont, supported by a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [4]

Industry Overview - Gold has gained approximately 26% year to date, currently trading near $3,030 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and a weaker U.S. dollar [1] - The Zacks Mining - Gold industry has increased by 39.1% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Basic Materials sector's 6.4% and the S&P 500's 0.7% [2] - Robust gold demand is anticipated to continue, with central banks expected to maintain a buying streak of over 1,000 tons [8] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Gold demand reached 1,206 tons in Q1 2025, the highest quarterly total since 2016, with central banks acquiring around 244 tons [4] - Investment demand surged 170% year over year to 552 tons, marking the strongest quarter since Q1 2022, driven largely by China [5] - Global gold ETFs saw inflows of 226.5 tons, with April marking the fifth consecutive monthly increase [6] Company Highlights Newmont - Newmont solidified its position as the world's largest gold producer after integrating Newcrest assets and is focusing on Tier 1 assets [10] - The company has a strong liquidity position and is pursuing several growth projects, including Tanami Expansion 2 and Ahafo North [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Newmont's 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 12.6% [12] Agnico Eagle Mines - Agnico Eagle maintains a strong liquidity position and is advancing several projects expected to enhance production and cash flows [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Agnico Eagle's 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 42.2% [14] Barrick Mining - Barrick Mining is well-positioned to benefit from key growth projects, including Goldrush and Pueblo Viejo plant expansion [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Barrick Mining's 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 34.7% [17] Kinross Gold - Kinross Gold has a strong production profile and is advancing key development projects, including Great Bear and Round Mountain Phase X [19] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kinross Gold's 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year growth of 52.2% [21] New Gold - New Gold consolidated its interest in the New Afton mine to 100%, projecting a 37% increase in gold production between 2024 and 2027 [22] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for New Gold's 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 91.25% [24]

Market Overview - Wall Street experienced a strong bull run in 2023 and 2024, but 2025 has shown mixed results due to concerns over persistent inflation and the Federal Reserve's uncertain stance on interest rates after a 1% cut in the benchmark lending rate last year [1] - Severe volatility has affected Wall Street since early April, primarily due to the implementation of reciprocal tariff policies by the Trump administration, with baseline tariffs at 10% but actual rates exceeding 70% for several major trading partners [2] - Retaliatory tariffs from other countries have raised fears of a global trade war, although some trade negotiations have been settled and others are ongoing [3] Company Highlights Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - Philip Morris has shown strong pricing power and is expanding its smoke-free product portfolio, aiming to become substantially smoke-free by 2030 [7] - The company anticipates robust growth in 2025, with a projected 2% increase in volume and smoke-free products expected to grow by 12-14% [8] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 8.1% and 13.7%, respectively, with a stock price increase of 44.7% year to date [9] Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. (SFM) - Sprouts Farmers is focusing on product innovation, e-commerce, and private label offerings, which have contributed to better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 results [10] - The company expects net sales to rise between 10.5% and 12.5% in 2025, with comparable sales anticipated to increase by 4.5-6.5% [11] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 13.7% and 35.5%, respectively, with a stock price surge of 32.2% year to date [12] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - Newmont is progressing with growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the acquisition of Newcrest, which enhances its portfolio and synergies [13] - The Ahafo North project has received full funding approval, with commercial production expected to start in the second half of 2025, involving an investment of $950 million to $1,050 million [14] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 2% and 12.6%, respectively, with a stock price increase of 40.5% year to date [15]

Group 1 - Newmont is positioned as one of the leading mining companies globally, particularly in gold production [1] - The company is expanding its strategic role in copper, which is increasingly recognized as a key metal [1]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's stock has recently experienced a pullback due to declining gold prices, but the company maintains a long-term bullish trend supported by strong project execution and financial health [1][2][21]. Stock Performance - Newmont's stock fell below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $50.10, indicating a bearish signal, while it remains above its 200-day SMA, suggesting a long-term uptrend [1][2]. - Over the past month, Newmont's shares have decreased by 9.3%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's decline of 11.3% but underperforming the S&P 500's increase of 15.3% [5]. Project Execution and Acquisitions - Newmont is actively investing in growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, which are expected to enhance production capacity and extend mine life [10]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has created a robust portfolio, achieving $500 million in annual run-rate synergies and positioning Newmont favorably in the gold and copper production landscape [11]. Financial Health - Newmont reported a strong liquidity position with $8.8 billion in liquidity, including $4.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and a significant operating cash flow increase of approximately 162% year over year [13]. - The company generated a record free cash flow of $1.2 billion in the first quarter and returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [13]. Gold Price Dynamics - Despite recent declines, gold prices have increased by roughly 22% this year, with Newmont's average realized gold prices rising around 41% year over year to $2,944 per ounce in the first quarter [14][15]. - Factors such as central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions are expected to support gold prices, which remain above $3,200 per ounce [15]. Dividend and Valuation - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 2% with a payout ratio of 24%, indicating a sustainable dividend backed by strong cash flows [16]. - The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 12.07X, approximately 11% lower than the industry average of 13.57X, making it an attractive investment option [18]. Earnings Estimates - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised upward, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting a year-over-year growth of 12.6% [17][18]. Investment Outlook - Despite recent stock performance challenges, Newmont presents a compelling investment case due to its growth projects, strong financial health, and favorable market conditions for gold [21].

Group 1 - Earnings season is a critical period where companies disclose their financial performance, impacting market participants significantly [1][2] - Earnings reports provide essential updates on revenues, expenses, and profits, exemplified by Palantir's revenue growth guidance upgrade leading to a 35% YoY revenue growth forecast [3][4] - Companies like Netflix experienced substantial share price increases post-earnings due to positive surprises in subscriber metrics and earnings per share (EPS) growth of 25% [5][6] Group 2 - Earnings season highlights current economic trends; for instance, poor performance from retail companies may indicate a slowing economy, while strong earnings suggest consumer health [10] - Newmont, a major gold producer, reported record free cash flow of $1.6 billion and an average gold price of $2,643 per ounce, reflecting favorable market conditions [11][12] - Analysts have raised EPS expectations across various sectors due to positive operating environments, indicating potential investment opportunities [12]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of utilizing Zacks Premium for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence in investing [1][2] Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum methodologies, helping investors identify stocks likely to outperform the market in the next 30 days [3][4] - Each stock is rated from A to F, with A indicating the highest potential for outperformance [4] Value Score - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales to find attractive investment opportunities [4] Growth Score - The Growth Score assesses a company's future prospects by analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow to identify stocks with sustainable growth potential [5] Momentum Score - The Momentum Score is designed for traders who capitalize on price trends, using factors like recent price changes and earnings estimate revisions to identify high-momentum stocks [6] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the Value, Growth, and Momentum Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for investors who utilize multiple investing styles [7] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that leverages earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios [8] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically produced an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [9] Stock Selection Strategy - To maximize returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B, ensuring the highest probability of success [11] - The direction of earnings estimate revisions is crucial; stocks with lower ranks but high Style Scores may still face downward price pressure [12] Company Spotlight: Newmont Corporation - Newmont Corporation is a leading gold producer with significant reserves and production capabilities, holding 134.1 million ounces of gold reserves and producing approximately 6.8 million ounces in 2024 [13] - Newmont has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a VGM Score of A, indicating strong potential for growth [13][14] - The company is forecasted to achieve year-over-year earnings growth of 12.6% for the current fiscal year, with upward revisions in earnings estimates from analysts [14]