Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation is positioned as a strong investment opportunity due to its robust financial performance, strategic asset management, and favorable market conditions for gold, driven by economic uncertainty and rising gold prices [1][10]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Newmont's net income surged to $1.9 billion, over ten times the amount from the same period last year, with adjusted earnings per share at $1.25, exceeding analyst expectations [3]. - Free cash flow reached $1.2 billion, marking a significant achievement despite a production decline to 1.54 million ounces due to recent asset sales [3]. - The total sustaining cost per ounce was $1,651, but the net profit margin improved, with the revenue-cost gap remaining well above $1,000 per ounce [3]. Asset Management - Newmont has strategically divested six smaller, less profitable mines, generating over $4 billion in cash, and is now focusing on 11 long-life, lower-cost mines [1][4]. - The company has a strong balance sheet with $4.7 billion in cash and total debt of $7.5 billion, resulting in a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.3 [3][4]. Growth Prospects - Newmont anticipates a total production of 5.6 million ounces for 2025, with over half expected in the second half of the year, driven by projects like Ahafo North in Ghana and the Tanami expansion in Australia [7]. - The company aims to increase production to 6.4 million ounces annually by 2027, supported by the expansion of the Cadia mine and growing global demand for precious metals [7]. Market Conditions - Economic uncertainty, inflation risks, and geopolitical tensions are driving demand for gold, with prices soaring to $3,325 per ounce [1]. - Newmont's diversified operations, including increased copper production post-Newcrest acquisition, reduce operational risks and align with global electrification trends [7][8]. Valuation and Returns - Newmont's forward P/E ratio is approximately 13, with an EBITDA multiple of about 6.4, indicating attractive valuation compared to peers [10][11]. - The company offers a dividend yield of around 2%, with potential for increase if gold prices remain high, alongside an ongoing stock buyback program [10].

Core Insights - Gold prices have surged past $3000 per ounce in Q2 2025, driven by central banks globally increasing their gold reserves [1] - Geopolitical tensions and slowing global growth are contributing factors to the renewed interest in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] Industry Summary - Central banks around the world are actively stocking up on gold, indicating a strategic shift in monetary policy and asset allocation [1] - The increase in gold prices reflects broader economic concerns, including geopolitical instability and a slowdown in global economic growth [1]

Company Overview - Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) is the world's largest publicly traded gold producer and is currently in very good financial shape [1] - The company has faced challenges in recent years, including rising costs, integration issues following the acquisition of Newcrest, and declining production [1] Financial Performance - Despite recent challenges, Newmont is noted for its strong financial position [1] Investment Criteria - The company is characterized by growth in revenue, earnings, and free cash flow, which are important investment criteria [1] - Newmont is considered to have excellent growth prospects and favorable valuations [1] - The company is recognized for its high free cash flow margins, dividend payments, and share repurchase programs [1]

Group 1 - The trade talks between China and the U.S. resulted in lower tariffs, boosting market sentiment and leading to a significant increase in stock prices at the start of the week [1] - Newmont Corporation (NEM) experienced a decline of 4.9%, trading at $51.33, marking its worst daily percentage drop since early April, despite a 20% year-over-year gain [2] - Options traders showed bullish sentiment with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 4.27, ranking higher than 78% of readings from the past year [2] Group 2 - Short-term traders have also leaned bullish, indicated by NEM's put/call open interest ratio of 0.61, which is in the 34th percentile of annual readings [3] - Newmont stock has outperformed options traders' volatility expectations over the last 12 months, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100, suggesting a favorable environment for options trading [3]

Group 1 - The year 2025 is anticipated to be significant for gold, bitcoin, and developed markets outside the US, with gold nearing an all-time high on a weekly basis [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the increasing relevance of gold as an investment asset, particularly in the context of current market conditions [1]

Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) are key players in the gold mining industry, with both companies benefiting from rising gold prices due to global economic uncertainties and trade tensions [1][2] - Gold prices have increased approximately 30% this year, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce, influenced by aggressive trade policies and central bank gold accumulation [2] - A comparison of the fundamentals of NEM and AEM is essential for investors looking for opportunities in the precious metals sector [3] Newmont Corporation (NEM) - NEM is actively investing in growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, aimed at increasing production capacity and extending mine life [4] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has enhanced NEM's portfolio, expected to generate $500 million in annual run-rate synergies [5] - NEM's attributable gold production rose approximately 9% year over year in Q4, with significant divestitures generating total after-tax cash proceeds of $4.3 billion [6] - NEM reported liquidity of $8.8 billion and operating cash flow of around $2 billion in Q1, with a record free cash flow of $1.2 billion [7] - The company returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, maintaining a dividend yield of 1.9% and a payout ratio of 24% [8] Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) - AEM is focused on advancing key projects such as the Odyssey project and the Hope Bay Project, which is expected to significantly contribute to cash flow [9][10] - AEM's operating cash flow increased by approximately 33% year over year to $1,044 million in Q1, with free cash flow rising around 50% to $594 million [11] - AEM returned about $920 million to shareholders last year and $251 million in Q1, offering a dividend yield of 1.4% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.3% [12] Price Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NEM stock has increased by 46.7%, while AEM stock has risen by 52.3%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 44.8% [13] - NEM is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.04, which is an 11.4% discount compared to the industry average of 14.72 [14] - AEM is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 19.9, indicating a premium over NEM [17] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NEM's 2025 sales and EPS implies a year-over-year rise of 0.1% and 14.9%, respectively [18] - AEM's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year growth of 20.6% and 44.4%, respectively, indicating stronger growth potential [19] Investment Considerations - Both NEM and AEM are well-positioned to benefit from rising gold prices, but AEM's higher earnings growth projections and lower leverage suggest it may be a more favorable investment option [22] - AEM currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while NEM has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [23]

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Core Insights - The article compares Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) to determine which stock offers better value for investors [1] Valuation Metrics - Both NEM and TFPM currently hold a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions for both companies [3] - NEM has a forward P/E ratio of 12.69, while TFPM has a forward P/E of 27.43 [5] - NEM's PEG ratio is 0.89, suggesting it is undervalued relative to its expected EPS growth, whereas TFPM's PEG ratio is 1.07 [5] - NEM's P/B ratio is 1.82, compared to TFPM's P/B of 2.43, indicating NEM is more favorably valued in terms of market value versus book value [6] - Based on these valuation metrics, NEM is assigned a Value grade of A, while TFPM receives a Value grade of D [6] Conclusion - Despite both companies having solid earnings outlooks, NEM is identified as the superior value option based on the discussed valuation figures [7]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index has recovered all losses from the tariff-related market turmoil, achieving a nine-day winning streak for the first time since November 2004 [1] - The index was previously down nearly 20% from its all-time high during the April turmoil but has since rebounded and is currently about 7% away from its peak recorded in February [2] Investment Recommendations - Five S&P 500 stocks are recommended for investment, all having provided over 20% returns year to date: Netflix Inc. (NFLX), Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Newmont Corp. (NEM), CenterPoint Energy Inc. (CNP), and Exelon Corp. (EXC) [3][4] Company Insights Netflix Inc. (NFLX) - NFLX exceeded earnings estimates while maintaining healthy engagement levels despite trade and tariff challenges, reaffirming its 2025 guidance [8] - The launch of its Ad Suite in the U.S. is expected to drive subscriber and average revenue per user (ARPU) growth, with strong visibility in its business leading to positive earnings estimate revisions [9] - NFLX's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 14% and 27.7%, respectively, with a 3.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [11] Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - PM is experiencing strong pricing power and growth in its smoke-free product portfolio, aiming to become substantially smoke-free by 2030 [12] - The company anticipates a 2% increase in volume growth for the fifth consecutive year, with smoke-free products projected to grow by 12-14% [13] - PM's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 8.1% and 13.7%, respectively, with a 4.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [14] Newmont Corp. (NEM) - NEM is progressing with growth projects, including the Tanami expansion and the Ahafo North project, which is expected to commence commercial production in the second half of 2025 [15][16] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 0.1% and an earnings growth rate of 16.7% for the current year, with a significant 23.4% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [17] CenterPoint Energy Inc. (CNP) - CNP is set to benefit from rising electricity demand due to the electrification of transportation and investments in renewable energy [18] - The company is investing in infrastructure upgrades to support the growing electric vehicle market, including off-road electrification initiatives [20] - CNP's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 3.4% and 8%, respectively, with a slight 0.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [21] Exelon Corp. (EXC) - EXC is focusing on strengthening its transmission and distribution infrastructure, which will enhance service reliability and operational resilience [22] - The company is expected to see revenue and earnings growth rates of 4.3% and 6.8%, respectively, with a 0.4% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [23]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying stocks that can exceed market expectations during earnings season, highlighting a selection of companies likely to outperform [1][4]. Stock Selection Criteria - A screening process identified five stocks: Fox (FOXA), Newmont (NEM), Affirm (AFRM), HealthStream (HSTM), and Iridium Communications (IRDM) as potential earnings beaters [1][10]. - The selection criteria included: - Last EPS Surprise greater than or equal to 10% [7] - Average EPS Surprise in the last four quarters greater than 20% [7] - Average EPS Surprise in the last two quarters greater than 20% [8] - Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2 [8] - Earnings ESP greater than zero [9] - Next 3–5 Years Estimated EPS Growth (Per Year) greater than 10% [10] - Average 20-day Volume greater than 100,000 [10] Company Profiles - **Fox (FOXA)**: A Zacks Rank 1 company with an average earnings surprise of 24.20% over the past four quarters [11]. - **Newmont (NEM)**: A Zacks Rank 2 company, one of the largest gold producers globally, with an average earnings surprise of 32.41% [11]. - **Affirm (AFRM)**: A Zacks Rank 1 financial technology company specializing in payment solutions, boasting an average earnings surprise of 84.09% [12]. - **HealthStream (HSTM)**: A Zacks Rank 1 company providing workforce development solutions in healthcare, with an average earnings surprise of 42.02% [13]. - **Iridium Communications (IRDM)**: A Zacks Rank 2 satellite communications company, achieving an average earnings surprise of 40.90% [14].