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花旗:料申洲国际明年销量仍有高单位数增长 予“买入”评级 目标价94港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 09:15
Group 1 - Citi's report indicates that Nike (NKE.US) projects a low single-digit decline in revenue for Q3 of FY2026, aligning with market expectations of a 1% drop [1] - In Q2 performance, North America showed a strong recovery with a 9% revenue increase, primarily driven by a 24% growth in wholesale business, although this growth was largely offset by a 16% decline in revenue from Greater China [1] - Citi believes that if the stock price of Shenzhou International (02313) experiences a pullback due to Nike's cautious outlook, it would present a better buying opportunity, setting a target price of HKD 94 and a "buy" rating [1] Group 2 - Shenzhou International's management has recently provided conservative expectations, anticipating a slowdown in sales growth to mid-single digits in the second half of 2025, which is below Citi's previous forecast of high single digits [1] - Citi's projections are believed to largely reflect the impact of Nike's cautious outlook, but they expect Nike's sales orders for Shenzhou International in 2026 to remain flat rather than decline [1] - Based on visibility of orders from four major clients, Shenzhou International is still expected to achieve high single-digit sales growth in 2026 [1]
NIKEFY26Q2北美保持领增、毛利率仍承压,9月美国服装零售库销比进一步降低
Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on three main lines of domestic demand: quality leaders with low valuations, affordable luxury brands, and low valuation high dividend companies [2][38]. Core Insights - NIKE's FY26Q2 performance exceeded expectations with revenue of USD 12.43 billion, a 0.6% year-on-year increase, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus of USD 12.24 billion. However, net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 31.9% to USD 790 million, exceeding expectations of USD 550 million [39]. - The North American market showed a neutral growth of 9%, leading global markets, while the Greater China region experienced a 16% decline in revenue, expected to continue adjusting throughout the fiscal year [39][40]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for the Spring/Summer 26 global orders, with a 40% increase in World Cup-related orders compared to 2022 [39]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The A-share market saw a 2.18% increase in the textile and apparel sector, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.46 percentage points [6]. - The textile manufacturing sector rose by 1.56%, while the apparel and home textile sector increased by 2.66% [6]. Industry Data Tracking - In November 2025, China's apparel retail sales grew by 3.5% year-on-year, while the textile and apparel export decreased by 5.2% [16][20]. - The report notes that the inventory-to-sales ratio in the U.S. apparel sector declined, indicating a potential improvement in demand [41]. Key Announcements and News - NIKE's stable support for distributors is noted, with mixed impacts on OEMs. The company anticipates a low single-digit decline in revenue for FY26Q3, with a projected gross profit margin decline of 1.75-2.25 percentage points year-on-year [40]. - The report mentions significant growth in the Asia-Pacific market for Birkenstock, with a 31% increase in revenue, highlighting the potential for structural growth opportunities in the affordable luxury segment [32].
耐克:Q2盈利胜预期,2027财年预测每股盈利2.16美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 05:07
【12月22日花旗报告点评耐克业绩及前景】花旗发表报告指出,耐克第二季每股盈利胜市场预期,得益 于北美销售更强劲及销售与行政费用降低。不过,其隐含的第三季每股盈利指引为0.15至0.25美元,远 低于市场预期的0.46美元,主因中国市场和匡威品牌显著疲弱及关税压力。 管理层预计,第二季中国市 场疲软情况将在2026财年剩余时间持续,因重塑市场定位需时间。花旗对2027财年复苏持谨慎态度,预 测每股盈利2.16美元,低于市场预期的2.62美元,还突显耐克转型复苏复杂。 基于上述情况,花旗将耐 克目标价由70美元降至65美元,评级维持"中性"。 本文由 AI 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 FOG hexun.com 和讯财经 和而不同 迅达天下 扫码查看原文 ...
高盛下调耐克目标价至77美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-22 03:51
高盛将耐克的目标价从89美元下调至77美元,仍维持"买入"评级。(格隆汇) ...
大行评级丨花旗:对耐克2027财年的复苏保持谨慎态度 目标价降至65美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-22 03:44
花旗发表报告,将耐克第二季每股盈利胜市场预期,归因于北美销售更强劲以及销售及行政费用降低。 隐含的第三季每股盈利指引为0.15至0.25美元,远低于市场预期的0.46美元,主要因中国市场和匡威品 牌显著疲弱,以及关税压力。管理层预计第二季中国市场的疲软(销售下降16%、EBIT下降49%)情况将 在2026财年剩余时间持续,因为他们需时重塑市场定位。因此,该行对2027财年的复苏保持谨慎态度, 预测每股盈利预测为2.16美元,对比市场预期2.62美元,并突显耐克正在进行的转型复苏相当复杂;目 标价由70美元降至65美元,评级"中性"。 ...
大行评级丨美银:下调耐克目标价至73美元 预计中国业务将持续受压
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-22 03:44
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities maintains a "Buy" rating on Nike, highlighting strong performance in the North American market and running category, although this is partially offset by weak performance in China [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The second fiscal quarter results indicate that while North America shows positive trends, the weak Chinese business has dampened overall performance [1] - The company has lowered its earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 to $1.39 and $2.40, respectively, and reduced the target price from $84 to $73, reflecting a projected price-to-earnings ratio of about 30 times for fiscal year 2027 [1] Group 2: Market Insights - Nike's guidance for third fiscal quarter revenue indicates a low single-digit decline, while Bank of America expects North American business to grow by 2% [1] - The focus of Nike's North American business is shifting back to wholesale, with improvements noted in spring and summer wholesale orders [1] Group 3: Regional Analysis - The Chinese market is projected to account for only 13% of sales by fiscal year 2026, a significant decline from peak levels, with ongoing sales and margin pressures expected for the remainder of fiscal year 2026 [1]
大摩:市场忽略耐克(NKE.US)业绩对申洲国际(02313)正面讯号 予目标价72港元
智通财经网· 2025-12-22 03:30
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Nike's Q2 FY2026 performance negatively impacted the stock performance of Shenzhou International, but the latter is positioned to benefit from resilience in markets outside China [1] Group 1: Nike's Performance - Nike's apparel sales grew by 4% year-over-year at constant currency, although this is lower than the previous quarter's 7% growth due to a high base effect [1] - Apparel sales in North America and Europe recorded positive growth during the period, which is beneficial for Shenzhou International as approximately 40% of its sales come from these regions [1] - In Greater China, Nike's apparel sales declined by only 6% year-over-year, significantly better than the 20% drop in footwear sales; this region now accounts for only 11% of Nike's total sales, limiting its impact on Shenzhou International [1] Group 2: Shenzhou International's Outlook - The market tends to view Shenzhou International as a representative of the domestic sportswear sector in China, but over 75% of its sales come from markets outside China, suggesting it may benefit more from resilience in other markets [1] - The recent decline in Shenzhou International's stock price presents a good buying opportunity, with Morgan Stanley setting a target price of HKD 72 and an "Overweight" rating [1]
大行评级丨大摩:市场可能忽略耐克业绩中对申洲国际的正面讯号 评级“增持”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-22 03:11
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Nike's Q2 FY2026 performance negatively impacted Shenzhou International's performance, but the market may overlook positive signals for Shenzhou from Nike's results [1] Group 1: Nike's Performance - Nike's apparel sales grew by 4% year-on-year in the quarter, although this was lower than the previous quarter's growth of 7%, attributed to a high base effect [1] - Nike's apparel sales in North America and Europe recorded positive growth during the period, which is beneficial for Shenzhou International as approximately 40% of its sales come from these regions [1] - In Greater China, Nike's apparel sales only declined by 6% year-on-year, significantly better than the 20% decline in footwear sales; this region now accounts for only 11% of Nike's total sales, limiting its impact on Shenzhou International [1] Group 2: Shenzhou International's Market Position - The market tends to view Shenzhou International as a representative of the domestic sportswear sector in China, but over 75% of its sales come from markets outside of China, suggesting it may benefit more from resilience in other markets [1] - The recent decline in Shenzhou International's stock price presents a good buying opportunity, with Morgan Stanley setting a target price of HKD 72 and maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1]
全球大公司要闻 | 摩尔线程首次披露GPU路线图
Wind万得· 2025-12-21 22:35
Group 1 - ByteDance announced the release of the Doubao large model 1.8 and the Seedance 1.5 Pro video generation model, entering the "multimodal agent" field, with enterprise users able to access it via Volcano Engine API starting December 23 [2] - Changan Automobile received the first L3-level autonomous driving license in China, marking the country's advancement in commercializing autonomous driving [2] - Moore Threads unveiled its new GPU architecture "Huagang" at the MUSA Developer Conference, boasting a 50% increase in computing power density and a 10-fold efficiency improvement [3] Group 2 - SoftBank Group is working to finalize a $22.5 billion investment in OpenAI by year-end, potentially using its stake in Arm as collateral [3] - Guizhou Bailing faced penalties totaling 25.6 million yuan due to false records in multiple annual reports, with its stock being suspended and then marked as ST [5] - Alibaba's DingTalk initiated a secret project "D Plan" to enter the AI hardware market, speculated to launch smart hardware products [5] Group 3 - OpenAI improved its "compute margin" to 70% as of October, significantly up from 52% at the end of 2024 [8] - Nike projected a low single-digit revenue decline for Q3, reflecting weak consumer demand and increased market competition [8] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk had a legal victory restoring his $55-56 billion compensation plan, which may impact the company's governance structure [8] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics launched the world's first 2nm mobile application processor Exynos 2600, with AI computing power increased by 113% compared to the previous generation [10] - Toyota launched the new Levin L and Corolla models, with prices starting at 129,800 yuan and 99,000 yuan respectively, while also expanding its hydrogen network in California [10] - Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group acquired a 20% stake in Shriram Finance, part of a broader trend of mergers and acquisitions in Japan [10] Group 5 - BMW Group opened a battery recycling center in Bavaria, capable of processing several tons annually, utilizing innovative direct recycling technology [14] - LVMH continued to invest in high-end beauty brands to strengthen its competitive position in the beauty market [14] - Swedish Stegra's green steel plant project has surpassed 50% installation progress of its electrolyzers, aiming for production in 2026 [14]
Jim Cramer Highlights Nike Struggles
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-21 15:44
NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) is one of the tech and consumer sector stocks that Jim Cramer talked about. Cramer mentioned the stock while discussing consumer trends, as he said: “If the Fed cuts rates, the consumer should spend even more, hence why so many consumer stocks have been roaring since last week’s Fed meeting. Of course, you got to ask yourself if the move is sustainable. I don’t know. Tonight, Nike looks terrible, but that could be, a lot of that is China. I think that the trend of lower prices, thoug ...