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Is Deckers' Pain Nike's Gain? 1 Wall Street Analyst Thinks So.
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-31 08:35
Company Performance - Deckers' stock fell after reporting fiscal fourth-quarter results that exceeded expectations but provided disappointing guidance [1] - The company achieved a 6.5% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.02 billion, with Ugg brand sales growing by 3.6% and Hoka sales increasing by 10% [1][2] - For fiscal 2025, overall revenue rose 16.3% to $4.99 billion, with Ugg sales up 13.1% and Hoka up 23.6% [2] Future Guidance - Management refrained from providing full-year guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainties, projecting a 9% revenue growth for fiscal 2026's first quarter [3] - Earnings per share are expected to decline due to rising costs from tariffs, freight, and increased promotional activities [3] Market Position - Deckers has gained market share from Nike, with a compound annual revenue growth rate of 19% over the last five years [4] - Hoka's revenue reached $2.23 billion in fiscal 2025, while Ugg's sales were $2.53 billion, indicating Hoka's strong position in the running category [4] Competitor Analysis - Nike has experienced a decline in revenue for several quarters, missing out on a post-pandemic boom in running [6] - However, Nike's sales in the running category grew by a mid-single-digit percentage in fiscal 2025 Q3, indicating a potential recovery [7][8] - Hoka's 10% revenue growth suggests it is still gaining market share from Nike, but analysts believe Nike may be regaining ground [9][10] Analyst Insights - Jefferies analyst Randal Konik suggests that Hoka's slowing growth may indicate a shift in market share back to Nike [10] - Jefferies has given Nike a buy rating with a price target of $115, which is approximately 85% higher than its current level [11] - Nike is currently trading at its lowest enterprise-value-to-sales multiple in 15 years, primarily due to a decline in stock price [12]
Nike's Amazon Expansion Could Signal a Turnaround in 2025
MarketBeat· 2025-05-30 18:36
Core Viewpoint - The retail sector is experiencing a significant pullback due to slower consumer and business spending, influenced by recent trade tariffs that have raised concerns among companies reliant on imports [1][2]. Company Analysis: Nike Inc. - Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity amidst the current market volatility, with its stock price showing resilience despite the broader market downturn [2][3]. - The stock has outperformed the S&P 500 index by approximately 5% since the recent sell-off, indicating a potential for recovery [4][5]. - Currently, Nike's stock is at 63% of its 52-week high, categorizing it in a bear market, but it had already been in decline prior to the tariff announcements, suggesting it may recover more quickly once uncertainty subsides [6][7]. - Notably, billionaire investor Bill Ackman recently sold his position in Nike but simultaneously invested in Amazon, which coincides with Nike's new collaboration with Amazon to streamline operations and reduce costs [8][9]. Financial Outlook - Nike's strategic move to become a direct vendor on Amazon is expected to enhance financial performance by improving margins and controlling the consumer experience [9][10]. - Analysts project an increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.60 for Q4 2025, representing a growth rate of up to 11% compared to the most recent EPS of $0.54 [11][12]. - Nike's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 18.9, higher than the retail sector average of 15.2, reflecting investor confidence in its ability to outperform peers [12][13].
Are These Beaten-Down Stocks a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-30 00:56
Group 1: Nike (NKE) - Nike has experienced weak quarterly results due to soft demand for its products, particularly impacted by initial China tariff announcements [3][4] - Despite these challenges, Nike's shares have rebounded 9% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 following a recent de-escalation announcement regarding tariffs [3] - The earnings outlook for Nike's current fiscal year has been negative but is beginning to shift positively, although investors are advised to remain cautious until there is further clarity on the tariff situation [5] Group 2: Target (TGT) - Target's shares have struggled in 2025, down nearly 30%, underperforming both the S&P 500 and many peer retailers, primarily due to a less favorable product mix [9][10] - The company's inventory has been heavily weighted towards discretionary items, which have seen declining consumer interest post-pandemic, leading to a 5.7% year-over-year decline in comparable store sales [11] - Target's recent quarterly results have not provided the relief shareholders were hoping for, indicating ongoing challenges in sales growth [11][14] Group 3: Overall Market Context - Both Nike and Target have faced significant pressure in recent years, with weak quarterly results attributed to suboptimal product assortments for their consumers [14] - Investors are advised to wait for further clarity on the tariff issues and the ability of both companies to re-engage their consumer base before making investment decisions [14]
Why Nike (NKE) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 22:51
Nike (NKE) closed the latest trading day at $61.78, indicating a -1.67% change from the previous session's end. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.56%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 0.58%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq depreciated by 0.51%.Heading into today, shares of the athletic apparel maker had gained 9.19% over the past month, lagging the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 10.54% and outpacing the S&P 500's gain of 7.37% in that time.Analysts and investors alike will be keepin ...
Nike ‘quietly' raises prices on top-selling sneakers — but refuses to pin hikes on tariffs
New York Post· 2025-05-28 20:25
Core Viewpoint - Nike has raised prices on many of its best-selling sneakers by $5 to $10, but the company does not attribute these increases to tariffs despite expert opinions suggesting otherwise [1][4]. Pricing Strategy - Nike has implemented price increases of 2% to 6% on popular footwear, including models like Air Max 270, Vomero 5, and Zoom Fly 6 [1]. - The company is strategically raising prices on styles it believes can handle the increases, while avoiding hikes on children's products and items priced below $100 [2][9]. Sales Performance - Nike has experienced a 9% sales decline during the crucial holiday season quarter and anticipates a steeper-than-expected drop in fourth-quarter revenue [6]. - The company has appointed Elliott Hill as CEO to lead a turnaround after a year of sagging sales [5]. Market Context - Other major retailers, such as Walmart and Macy's, have indicated that tariffs will force them to raise prices, reflecting a broader trend in the retail industry [11][12]. - Nike's price increases began on its website and may extend to other retailers selling its merchandise [9]. Product Pricing Details - Most Nike sneakers priced over $150 will see increases of up to $10, while those below $150 will increase by $5 [9]. - Some popular styles, like the $115 Air Force 1 sneakers, have not seen price hikes [10]. Strategic Moves - Nike plans to return to selling its merchandise on Amazon for the first time since 2019, a move seen as critical due to declining sales [10].
Nike's Turnaround Story
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-27 17:16
Turnarounds take time.In this podcast, Motley Fool analyst Jim Gillies and host Ricky Mulvey discuss:Nike's return to Amazon.The fundamentals and risks of investing in turnaround stories.A fitness company with a potentially brighter future.Then, Motley Fool Chief Investment Officer Andy Cross and senior analyst Asit Sharma interview PubMatic CEO Rajeev Goel about trends in digital advertising and his company's future.To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center ...
NIKE Stock Slides Below 50-Day SMA: Buy Opportunity or Risky Affair?
ZACKS· 2025-05-27 15:55
Core Viewpoint - NIKE Inc. is experiencing a significant decline in stock performance, with shares dropping below key moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment and concerns over growth prospects [1][5][9]. Stock Performance - On May 23, 2025, NIKE's stock closed at $60.02, below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $60.89, marking a short-term bearish trend [1][3]. - The stock has lost 24.4% over the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Shoes and Retail Apparel industry's decline of 20.2% and the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's decline of 0.9% [5][6]. - Currently, NIKE's stock trades 38.8% below its 52-week high of $98.04 and 14.8% above its 52-week low of $52.28 [8]. Growth Concerns - The decline in stock price is attributed to concerns regarding NIKE's growth prospects, including weak performance in the lifestyle segment and a drop in digital sales, alongside lower retail traffic in Greater China [9][11]. - Management has indicated potential mid-teen revenue declines due to shipment timing disruptions, adverse foreign exchange rates, and new tariffs on imports [11][12]. Margin and Profitability - NIKE anticipates a gross margin contraction of 400-500 basis points, influenced by prior restructuring charges and ongoing margin pressures [12]. - SG&A expenses are expected to grow in the low to mid-single digits, further squeezing profitability [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NIKE's fiscal 2025 EPS remains unchanged, while the estimate for fiscal 2026 EPS has decreased by a penny [13]. - For fiscal 2025, revenue and EPS are projected to decline by 10.7% and 45.6%, respectively, with fiscal 2026 estimates indicating further declines of 1.4% and 9.8% [15]. Strategic Initiatives - NIKE is focusing on its "Win Now" strategy, which includes tighter inventory control, accelerated innovation, and strengthened wholesale partnerships to stabilize performance [16][17]. - The company is enhancing its sports-driven identity through faster product development and a shift towards full-price, digitally led sales [17]. Valuation Perspective - NIKE's current forward P/E ratio of 30.86X is significantly higher than the industry average of 24.21X and the S&P 500's average of 21.36X, raising questions about the justification of its premium valuation [18][20]. - Competitors like adidas, Caleres, and Carter's have lower forward P/E ratios, indicating a stretched valuation for NIKE [20]. Long-Term Outlook - Despite near-term challenges, NIKE's long-term potential is supported by its strong brand equity, innovation, and strategic direction aimed at reigniting growth [22]. - The company is well-positioned for long-term, profitable growth, but current market conditions and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach [23][24].
Adidas, Puma expected to hike prices due to tariffs following Nike's lead: ‘Moment they were waiting for'
New York Post· 2025-05-22 18:00
Adidas and Puma are likely to hike prices for running shoes and sportswear in the United States, following Nike’s lead, analysts and investors said on Thursday, as US tariffs on imports drive costs up for retailers.Nike on Wednesday said it would raise prices next week, charging up to $10 more for shoes currently costing more than $150, while keeping prices stable for products under $100. It is the biggest sportswear company by sales and market cap.“That was the moment Adidas and Puma were waiting for,” sai ...
Billionaire Bill Ackman Just Sold His Entire Position in Nike Stock and Piled Money Into a Growth Stock That's Up 53% This Year
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-22 08:43
Investors love to see what billionaire hedge fund managers buy and sell. Hedge funds provide quarterly updates about their performance, and they also file a quarterly 13F that details their trades. Since it's public information, it's easy to track, and some fund managers give transparent analyses about their trades.Bill Ackman has risen to prominence as the head of Pershing Square Capital, and his fund only owns around 10 stocks at any given time, making for an intriguing fund to follow. Pershing Square sta ...
5月22日电,亚马逊将直接从耐克公司采购产品。
快讯· 2025-05-21 21:42
智通财经5月22日电,亚马逊将直接从耐克公司采购产品。 ...