Core Viewpoint - Sunrun Inc. is experiencing a downward trend following a significant loss of over 4.5% after recent gains, indicating a potential continuation of this decline due to the end of a short squeeze [1]. Group 1: Short Selling Dynamics - Short sellers anticipate a decline in stock prices by borrowing shares and selling them, aiming to buy them back at a lower price for profit [2]. - When the stock price rises above the short selling price, short sellers incur losses, which can lead to panic buying as they attempt to cover their positions [2][3]. Group 2: Impact of Short Squeeze - The recent rise in Sunrun's stock price was likely driven by a short squeeze, where short sellers were forced to buy shares back, pushing the price higher [3]. - Once the short squeeze ends, stocks typically experience a rapid decline, often returning to previous trading levels [4]. Group 3: Resistance Levels - Sunrun's stock reversed from the $13.35 level, which had previously acted as support but has now become a resistance level due to increased sell orders from investors looking to exit at breakeven [4][5]. - As the short squeeze unwinds, there is a strong likelihood that Sunrun's stock will continue to decline [5].

Group 1 - Sunrun is facing significant challenges due to higher interest rates and the potential reduction of solar subsidies under the Trump administration [1] - The company has not recorded a profit in four of the past quarters [1] Group 2 - The analysis emphasizes a focus on innovative small-cap companies with the potential to disrupt established industries [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sunrun Inc. reported better-than-expected first-quarter results, with an EPS of $0.20, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of a $0.25 loss, and revenue of $504.27 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $484.06 million [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a positive cash flow for the fourth consecutive quarter and exceeded solar and storage capacity addition guidance [5] - RUN shares increased by 11.7%, reaching $8.255 following the earnings report [6] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Guggenheim analyst Joseph Osha maintained a Neutral rating, noting modest customer volume growth with additions of 25,428, reflecting only a 6% increase [2] - Osha highlighted that the company is expected to prioritize liquidity and profitability over aggressive growth in the near to medium term [2] - KeyBanc analyst Sophie Karp reiterated a Sector Weight rating, acknowledging the results as a positive indicator of strong demand across channels [5] Group 3: Industry Challenges - Osha identified policy-related challenges, particularly concerning the solar Investment Tax Credit (ITC), which significantly affects cash generation, estimating a $50 million impact on cash flow for every 1% change in the effective ITC rate [3] - The company has strategies to mitigate the effects of a lower ITC, but predicting the net effect and timing of changes to the Inflation Reduction Act remains challenging [4] - Broader uncertainty around government and fiscal policy, along with high industry-wide cost of capital, may hinder the stock's positive momentum in the near term [6]

Core Insights - Scanifly has announced a new integration with SnapNrack, enhancing workflow efficiency in solar project management [1][2] - The integration automates the transfer of critical project data, significantly reducing manual data entry and errors [3][4] Company Overview - Scanifly is a leader in PV design and field operations software, enabling faster, safer, and more accurate project installations [6] - SnapNrack, a unit of Sunrun, specializes in innovative solar mounting solutions aimed at reducing installation costs and improving quality [7] Integration Benefits - The integration allows solar contractors to save 1-3 hours from each design cycle and reduces installation prep time by 2-4 hours per project [9] - It improves the first-time pass rate by over 30% and prevents costly revision cycles, enhancing overall project efficiency [9]

Core Insights - Sunrun reported revenue of $504.27 million for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 10.1% and a surprise of +2.09% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $493.97 million [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.20, a significant improvement from -$0.40 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +190.91% compared to the consensus estimate of -$0.22 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Sunrun's shares have returned +24.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.6% change [3] - The company has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3] Revenue Breakdown - Networked Solar Energy Capacity was reported at 7,721 MW, slightly below the estimated 8,009.15 MW [4] - Revenue from customer agreements and incentives was $402.92 million, exceeding the estimate of $378.92 million, representing a +24.8% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from solar energy systems and product sales was $101.35 million, below the estimate of $114.44 million, reflecting a -25.1% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from solar energy systems was $40.07 million, significantly lower than the $57.83 million estimate, marking a -38.4% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from incentives was $21.56 million, compared to the estimate of $32.02 million, showing a +14.5% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from products was $61.28 million, slightly above the estimate of $59.26 million, but a -12.7% change year-over-year [4] - Revenue from customer agreements was $381.36 million, exceeding the estimate of $346.90 million, representing a +25.4% year-over-year change [4] Gross Profit Analysis - Gross profit from solar energy systems and products was $4.55 million, below the average estimate of $6.12 million [4] - Gross profit from customer agreements and incentives was $94.29 million, significantly higher than the average estimate of $56.14 million [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company generated $56 million in cash, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive cash generation [5] - The unrestricted cash balance increased by $30 million from the previous quarter, reaching $605 million [5] - The subscriber value increased to approximately $52,000, a 15% increase compared to the prior year [25] - Aggregate subscriber value was $1.2 billion in Q1, a 23% increase from the prior year [26] - Net value creation was $246 million, approximately $1.09 per share, with contracted net value creation at $164 million, a 104% increase from last year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Customer additions grew by 6% year-over-year, with a record high storage attachment rate of 69%, up by over 46% from Q1 of last year [8][9] - The company has nearly quadrupled its solar and storage business in the last two years, achieving a market share of approximately 19% for new solar installations and 45% for new storage installations [10] - The storage attachment rate increased by 19 percentage points to 69%, contributing to a 66% year-over-year growth in net subscriber value [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand for residential solar and storage remains strong, with favorable trends such as increasing grid instability and utility rate escalation [9] - The company is experiencing strong demand across channels, leading to a forecast of mid-single-digit growth in subscriber additions for the year [36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering innovative products, such as Sunrun Flex, which allows customers to plan for their growing energy needs flexibly and affordably [18][19] - The strategy includes leveraging AI for operational efficiencies and cost discipline, which has contributed to market share gains [7][16] - The company is actively working on scenario planning regarding potential changes in tax and tariff policies, indicating readiness to adapt to regulatory changes [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in generating meaningful cash this year despite uncertainties in tax policy and tariffs [6] - The company expects tariff impacts to create cost headwinds of approximately $1,000 to $3,000 per subscriber in 2025, which could affect cash generation guidance [36] - For the full year, the company introduced guidance for aggregate subscriber value between $5.7 billion and $6 billion, representing 14% growth at the midpoint [35] Other Important Information - The company repaid $27 million of borrowings under its working capital facility during Q1 and has paid down $214 million in recourse debt since March of last year [34] - The company is exploring further capital allocation options to maximize shareholder value based on market conditions [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you bridge the contracted net value creation for Q2 and the full year? - Management indicated that the impact of tariffs will be more pronounced in the second half of the year, affecting the full-year guidance [41][42] Question: What is the sourcing strategy regarding tariffs? - Management noted that manufacturing has increasingly moved onshore, and they are prepared to adjust pricing and go-to-market strategies as needed [44] Question: How is customer demand responding to potential price increases? - Management stated that demand remains strong, particularly in uncertain economic conditions, which drives interest in their offerings [52] Question: What is the impact of potential changes to the ITC? - Management acknowledged that a reduction in the ITC would impact cash generation but emphasized their ability to mitigate some effects through pricing and operational efficiencies [78] Question: How does the company plan to handle safe harboring ahead of potential IRA modifications? - Management is focused on generating cash and maintaining substantial unrestricted cash on hand while being prepared to safe harbor if necessary [60] Question: How is the company managing competition in light of tariff impacts? - Management emphasized a focus on differentiation and innovation rather than competing solely on price, which has helped maintain market share [95]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company generated $56 million in cash, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive cash generation [4] - The unrestricted cash balance increased by $30 million from the previous quarter, ending Q1 with $605 million [4] - The company paid down $27 million in parent debt, continuing its deleveraging efforts [4] - Subscriber value increased to approximately $52,000, a 15% increase compared to the prior year [24] - Aggregate subscriber value reached $1.2 billion, a 23% increase from the prior year [25] - Contracted net value creation was $164 million, a 104% increase from last year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Customer additions grew by 6% year-over-year, with storage customer additions increasing by over 46% [6][7] - The storage attachment rate reached a record high of 69% [7] - The company has nearly quadrupled its solar and storage business in the last two years [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has gained considerable market share, achieving approximately 19% of new solar installations and about 45% of new storage installations across the country [8] - Demand for residential solar and storage remains strong, with the industry only penetrating about 6% of households [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering innovative products, such as Sunrun Flex, which allows customers to plan for their growing energy needs flexibly and affordably [16][17] - The strategy includes leveraging AI for operational efficiencies and quality enhancements [6] - The company is actively working on scenario planning regarding potential changes in tax and tariff policies [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in generating meaningful cash this year despite uncertainties in tax policy and tariffs [5] - The company anticipates that tariff impacts will create cost headwinds of approximately $1,000 to $3,000 per subscriber in 2025 [35] - For the full year, the company expects aggregate subscriber value to be between $5.7 billion and $6 billion, representing 14% growth at the midpoint [34] Other Important Information - The company has increased its unrestricted cash balance by $118 million and grown net earning assets by $1.6 billion over the past year [33] - The company is exploring further capital allocation options to maximize shareholder value based on market conditions [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you bridge the contracted net value creation for Q2 and the full year? - Management indicated that the impact of tariffs will be more pronounced in the second half of the year, affecting the full-year guidance [40] Question: What is the sourcing strategy regarding tariffs? - Management noted that manufacturing has increasingly moved onshore, which may help mitigate tariff impacts [44] Question: How is customer demand responding to potential price increases? - Management stated that demand remains strong, particularly in uncertain economic conditions, as consumers seek price certainty [50] Question: What is the expected impact of tariffs on pricing? - Management indicated that the gross impact of tariffs could lead to a 10% increase in costs later in the year, primarily driven by battery costs [104] Question: How does the company plan to manage potential changes in tax credit transferability? - Management emphasized that they would rely more on the traditional tax equity market if transferability were removed, but they remain confident in their ability to adapt [85] Question: What is the expected trend for ITC levels throughout the year? - Management expects to maintain a mid-forty percent ITC level for the remainder of the year [97]

May 7, 2025 Safe harbor & forward looking statements This communication contains forward-looking statements related to Sunrun (the "Company") within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to: the Company's financial and operating guidance and expectations; the Company's business plan, trajectory ...

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 OR Commission File Number: 001-37511 Sunrun Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 26-2841711 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 600 California Street, Suite 1800 San Francisco, Californi ...

Exhibit 99.1 Sunrun Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Aggregate Subscriber Value of $1.2 billion in Q1, 23% growth year-over-year Contracted Net Value Creation of $164 million, or $0.72 per share, 104% growth year-over-year Cash Generation of $56 million in Q1, the fourth consecutive quarter of positive Cash Generation Paid down $27 million of recourse debt in Q1 with excess cash Reiterating Cash Generation guidance of $200 million to $500 million in 2025 Customer Additions with Storage grew 46% ...