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Sunrun (RUN) Reports Q1 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 23:00
Core Insights - Sunrun reported revenue of $504.27 million for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 10.1% and a surprise of +2.09% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $493.97 million [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.20, a significant improvement from -$0.40 a year ago, resulting in an EPS surprise of +190.91% compared to the consensus estimate of -$0.22 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Sunrun's shares have returned +24.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.6% change [3] - The company has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3] Revenue Breakdown - Networked Solar Energy Capacity was reported at 7,721 MW, slightly below the estimated 8,009.15 MW [4] - Revenue from customer agreements and incentives was $402.92 million, exceeding the estimate of $378.92 million, representing a +24.8% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from solar energy systems and product sales was $101.35 million, below the estimate of $114.44 million, reflecting a -25.1% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from solar energy systems was $40.07 million, significantly lower than the $57.83 million estimate, marking a -38.4% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from incentives was $21.56 million, compared to the estimate of $32.02 million, showing a +14.5% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from products was $61.28 million, slightly above the estimate of $59.26 million, but a -12.7% change year-over-year [4] - Revenue from customer agreements was $381.36 million, exceeding the estimate of $346.90 million, representing a +25.4% year-over-year change [4] Gross Profit Analysis - Gross profit from solar energy systems and products was $4.55 million, below the average estimate of $6.12 million [4] - Gross profit from customer agreements and incentives was $94.29 million, significantly higher than the average estimate of $56.14 million [4]
Sunrun(RUN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company generated $56 million in cash, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive cash generation [5] - The unrestricted cash balance increased by $30 million from the previous quarter, reaching $605 million [5] - The subscriber value increased to approximately $52,000, a 15% increase compared to the prior year [25] - Aggregate subscriber value was $1.2 billion in Q1, a 23% increase from the prior year [26] - Net value creation was $246 million, approximately $1.09 per share, with contracted net value creation at $164 million, a 104% increase from last year [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Customer additions grew by 6% year-over-year, with a record high storage attachment rate of 69%, up by over 46% from Q1 of last year [8][9] - The company has nearly quadrupled its solar and storage business in the last two years, achieving a market share of approximately 19% for new solar installations and 45% for new storage installations [10] - The storage attachment rate increased by 19 percentage points to 69%, contributing to a 66% year-over-year growth in net subscriber value [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand for residential solar and storage remains strong, with favorable trends such as increasing grid instability and utility rate escalation [9] - The company is experiencing strong demand across channels, leading to a forecast of mid-single-digit growth in subscriber additions for the year [36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering innovative products, such as Sunrun Flex, which allows customers to plan for their growing energy needs flexibly and affordably [18][19] - The strategy includes leveraging AI for operational efficiencies and cost discipline, which has contributed to market share gains [7][16] - The company is actively working on scenario planning regarding potential changes in tax and tariff policies, indicating readiness to adapt to regulatory changes [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in generating meaningful cash this year despite uncertainties in tax policy and tariffs [6] - The company expects tariff impacts to create cost headwinds of approximately $1,000 to $3,000 per subscriber in 2025, which could affect cash generation guidance [36] - For the full year, the company introduced guidance for aggregate subscriber value between $5.7 billion and $6 billion, representing 14% growth at the midpoint [35] Other Important Information - The company repaid $27 million of borrowings under its working capital facility during Q1 and has paid down $214 million in recourse debt since March of last year [34] - The company is exploring further capital allocation options to maximize shareholder value based on market conditions [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you bridge the contracted net value creation for Q2 and the full year? - Management indicated that the impact of tariffs will be more pronounced in the second half of the year, affecting the full-year guidance [41][42] Question: What is the sourcing strategy regarding tariffs? - Management noted that manufacturing has increasingly moved onshore, and they are prepared to adjust pricing and go-to-market strategies as needed [44] Question: How is customer demand responding to potential price increases? - Management stated that demand remains strong, particularly in uncertain economic conditions, which drives interest in their offerings [52] Question: What is the impact of potential changes to the ITC? - Management acknowledged that a reduction in the ITC would impact cash generation but emphasized their ability to mitigate some effects through pricing and operational efficiencies [78] Question: How does the company plan to handle safe harboring ahead of potential IRA modifications? - Management is focused on generating cash and maintaining substantial unrestricted cash on hand while being prepared to safe harbor if necessary [60] Question: How is the company managing competition in light of tariff impacts? - Management emphasized a focus on differentiation and innovation rather than competing solely on price, which has helped maintain market share [95]
Sunrun(RUN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company generated $56 million in cash, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive cash generation [4] - The unrestricted cash balance increased by $30 million from the previous quarter, ending Q1 with $605 million [4] - The company paid down $27 million in parent debt, continuing its deleveraging efforts [4] - Subscriber value increased to approximately $52,000, a 15% increase compared to the prior year [24] - Aggregate subscriber value reached $1.2 billion, a 23% increase from the prior year [25] - Contracted net value creation was $164 million, a 104% increase from last year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Customer additions grew by 6% year-over-year, with storage customer additions increasing by over 46% [6][7] - The storage attachment rate reached a record high of 69% [7] - The company has nearly quadrupled its solar and storage business in the last two years [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has gained considerable market share, achieving approximately 19% of new solar installations and about 45% of new storage installations across the country [8] - Demand for residential solar and storage remains strong, with the industry only penetrating about 6% of households [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering innovative products, such as Sunrun Flex, which allows customers to plan for their growing energy needs flexibly and affordably [16][17] - The strategy includes leveraging AI for operational efficiencies and quality enhancements [6] - The company is actively working on scenario planning regarding potential changes in tax and tariff policies [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in generating meaningful cash this year despite uncertainties in tax policy and tariffs [5] - The company anticipates that tariff impacts will create cost headwinds of approximately $1,000 to $3,000 per subscriber in 2025 [35] - For the full year, the company expects aggregate subscriber value to be between $5.7 billion and $6 billion, representing 14% growth at the midpoint [34] Other Important Information - The company has increased its unrestricted cash balance by $118 million and grown net earning assets by $1.6 billion over the past year [33] - The company is exploring further capital allocation options to maximize shareholder value based on market conditions [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you bridge the contracted net value creation for Q2 and the full year? - Management indicated that the impact of tariffs will be more pronounced in the second half of the year, affecting the full-year guidance [40] Question: What is the sourcing strategy regarding tariffs? - Management noted that manufacturing has increasingly moved onshore, which may help mitigate tariff impacts [44] Question: How is customer demand responding to potential price increases? - Management stated that demand remains strong, particularly in uncertain economic conditions, as consumers seek price certainty [50] Question: What is the expected impact of tariffs on pricing? - Management indicated that the gross impact of tariffs could lead to a 10% increase in costs later in the year, primarily driven by battery costs [104] Question: How does the company plan to manage potential changes in tax credit transferability? - Management emphasized that they would rely more on the traditional tax equity market if transferability were removed, but they remain confident in their ability to adapt [85] Question: What is the expected trend for ITC levels throughout the year? - Management expects to maintain a mid-forty percent ITC level for the remainder of the year [97]
Sunrun(RUN) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-07 21:15
May 7, 2025 Safe harbor & forward looking statements This communication contains forward-looking statements related to Sunrun (the "Company") within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to: the Company's financial and operating guidance and expectations; the Company's business plan, trajectory ...
Sunrun(RUN) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-07 20:09
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 OR Commission File Number: 001-37511 Sunrun Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 26-2841711 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 600 California Street, Suite 1800 San Francisco, Californi ...
Sunrun(RUN) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-07 20:05
Exhibit 99.1 Sunrun Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Aggregate Subscriber Value of $1.2 billion in Q1, 23% growth year-over-year Contracted Net Value Creation of $164 million, or $0.72 per share, 104% growth year-over-year Cash Generation of $56 million in Q1, the fourth consecutive quarter of positive Cash Generation Paid down $27 million of recourse debt in Q1 with excess cash Reiterating Cash Generation guidance of $200 million to $500 million in 2025 Customer Additions with Storage grew 46% ...
Sunrun Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-07 20:02
Core Insights - Sunrun reported a strong first quarter in 2025, achieving an aggregate subscriber value of $1.2 billion, reflecting a 23% year-over-year growth [1] - The company generated a contracted net value creation of $164 million, or $0.72 per share, marking a 104% increase year-over-year [1][8] - Cash generation reached $56 million, representing the fourth consecutive quarter of positive cash generation [1][10] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $504.3 million, a 10% increase from Q1 2024 [14] - Customer agreements and incentives revenue increased by 25% to $402.9 million, while solar energy systems and product sales revenue decreased by 25% to $101.4 million [14] - The total cost of revenue decreased by 5% year-over-year to $405.4 million, and total operating expenses decreased by 3% to $619.2 million [15] Subscriber Metrics - Subscriber additions totaled 23,692, a 7% increase compared to Q1 2024, bringing the total number of subscribers to 912,878, which is a 14% increase year-over-year [5] - The storage attachment rate reached a record 69%, up from 50% in the prior year, with customer additions with storage growing by 46% [3][6] - Subscriber value increased by 15% to $52,206, while contracted subscriber value rose by 14% to $48,727 [6] Debt Management - The company paid down $27 million of recourse debt in Q1 2025, contributing to a total reduction of $214 million over the last four quarters [9] - Sunrun has no near-term corporate debt maturities and expects to pay down an additional $100 million or more in recourse debt in 2025 [9] Market Position and Strategy - Sunrun's CEO highlighted the company's focus on delivering high-quality products, optimizing market routes, and leveraging AI for operational efficiencies [2] - The introduction of Sunrun Flex, a new solar-plus-storage subscription, aims to adapt to changing household energy needs, marking a significant innovation in the solar industry [9] - The CalReady distributed power plant has expanded significantly, providing critical energy to California's grid during peak demand periods [9] Outlook - For Q2 2025, aggregate subscriber value is expected to range from $1.3 billion to $1.375 billion, representing a 21% growth compared to Q2 2024 [11] - Contracted net value creation is projected to be between $125 million and $200 million for Q2 2025, indicating an 80% growth compared to the same period last year [11] - Full-year 2025 cash generation is expected to remain between $200 million and $500 million, consistent with previous guidance [13]
Introducing Sunrun Flex, a Superior Solar and Storage Solution for Consumers
Globenewswire· 2025-05-07 20:01
Core Viewpoint - Sunrun has introduced Sunrun Flex™, a solar and battery storage solution that adapts to customers' changing energy needs, marking a significant innovation in the solar industry since 2007 [1][4]. Product Features - Sunrun Flex is designed to accommodate increased energy consumption due to life events, such as family growth or electric vehicle purchases, offering a predictable monthly payment structure [2][5]. - Customers benefit from battery backup during outages and can earn Sunrun Rollover Credits, a unique feature in the solar industry [3][5]. - The system is sized above a customer's pre-solar usage to meet future energy needs, allowing customers to pay a minimum monthly bill and purchase additional electricity at a locked-in Flex Rate if they exceed their baseline [5][6]. Customer Benefits - Sunrun Flex provides cost predictability with affordable monthly payments and the ability to adjust energy usage as life changes, ensuring clarity on cost per kilowatt hour [7]. - Customers can earn Rollover Credits for using less energy than their baseline, which can be applied in future months when energy consumption exceeds the baseline [7]. - The offering includes premium battery storage for backup during outages and helps customers avoid peak utility rates by utilizing stored solar power [7]. Company Background - Sunrun Inc. revolutionized the solar industry in 2007 by removing financial barriers and democratizing access to renewable energy, positioning itself as the leading provider of clean energy as a subscription service [9].
Sunrun's Distributed Power Plant Quadruples in Size to 75,000 Solar-Powered Batteries to Support California's Grid
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-05-01 12:00
Core Insights - Sunrun's CalReady power plant has significantly expanded, now providing critical energy support to California's grid during peak demand periods [1][3] - The company emphasizes its role in transforming the energy grid towards a more reliable and independent energy source for consumers [2][4] Group 1: Expansion and Capacity - CalReady has more than quadrupled its power output, expected to deliver an average of 250 megawatts per two-hour event, with a peak capacity of 375 megawatts, sufficient to power approximately 280,000 homes [3][4] - In 2024, CalReady enrolled over 16,000 households, delivering an average of 48 megawatts during summer heat waves [3] Group 2: Customer Benefits and Compensation - Sunrun customers participating in CalReady can earn up to $150 per battery for sharing stored solar energy, with total expected compensation nearing $10 million this year [4][5] - The program has delivered over $1.5 million in value to customers last year, contributing to lower costs and grid stability [4] Group 3: Strategic Importance and Market Position - CalReady is recognized as the largest home storage aggregation in California's Demand Side Grid Support program, showcasing Sunrun's leadership in the virtual power plant space [2][4] - The storage-first strategy has led to over 60% of new customers opting for battery storage, with nearly 90% in California [6] Group 4: Operational Efficiency - Sunrun actively manages and dispatches the participating batteries, ensuring a seamless experience for customers while maintaining a backup reserve for outages [7]
Sunrun (RUN) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-04-28 23:20
Company Performance - Sunrun's stock closed at $7.50, reflecting a gain of 1.49% from the previous trading session, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.06% [1] - Over the past month, Sunrun's shares have appreciated by 24.41%, contrasting with the Oils-Energy sector's loss of 10.24% and the S&P 500's loss of 4.29% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Sunrun is set to release its earnings report on May 7, 2025, with an expected EPS of -$0.22, indicating a 45% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $493.97 million, representing a 7.81% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of -$0.47 per share and revenue of $2.22 billion, reflecting changes of -135.34% and +9.15% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Sunrun indicate short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting optimism about the company's outlook [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses estimate changes, indicates that these revisions can correlate with stock price performance [5] Zacks Rank - Sunrun currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with a consensus EPS projection that has increased by 24.46% in the past 30 days [6] - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [6] Industry Context - The solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 171, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]