Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for JCET Group with a target price of Rmb42, indicating an expected share price return of 9.8% and a total expected return of 10.1% [6][8]. Core Insights - JCET management is optimistic about growth in computing and automotive sectors, despite facing near-term volatility due to resource adjustments [1]. - The company is strategically reallocating resources from legacy RF SiP orders to focus on new opportunities, including edge AI and power modules [4]. - The outlook for 2026 is strong, driven by increasing memory demand and high-performance computing (HPC) capacity, particularly in the automotive sector, which saw over 130% year-on-year revenue growth in the first nine months of 2025 [5]. Revenue Mix - The revenue mix for 3Q25 is as follows: Communication (35%), Consumer (27%), Computing (20%), Industrial/Medical (9%), and Automotive (10%) [2]. Capacity Utilization - Overall capacity utilization rate (UTR) reached 80% in 3Q25 and is expected to improve to 80%-85% in 4Q25, with domestic capacities nearly fully utilized [3]. Strategic Focus - JCET is reducing some legacy orders to focus on developing future opportunities, which management believes will lead to higher revenue and profitability in the long term [4]. Growth Expectations - The demand for computing is robust, driven by domestic HPC needs, and automotive revenue is expected to continue growing with new capacity coming online [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yunnan Energy New Material is "Sell" with a target price of Rmb20.4, implying a significant downside potential of -66.9% from the current price of Rmb61.72 [6][9]. Core Insights - Yunnan Energy has successfully implemented price hikes in Q4 2025, which is expected to improve unit profit slightly to around Rmb0.04-0.05 [2][3]. - The company anticipates further profit growth and steady capacity expansion in the upcoming year, with a total capacity increase of approximately 2 billion square meters expected by 2026 [3][4]. - The current monthly production capacity stands at approximately 1.1 billion square meters, with a projected total capacity of 15 billion square meters by 2026 [3][4]. - Yunnan Energy maintains a strong partnership with LG, supplying around 60% of its needs, and is expanding its overseas operations with bases in Hungary and the US [4]. Summary by Sections Price Hikes - Discussions regarding price increases began in September, with adjustments on loss-making products implemented in October and ongoing negotiations in November [2]. Profitability - Management expects a slight improvement in profitability, projecting unit profit to be around Rmb0.04-0.05 in Q4 2025 [2]. Capacity Expansion - Current capacity can be increased by approximately 1 billion square meters through optimization, with five new production lines expected to be operational in 2026 [3]. Production - The current monthly capacity is about 1.1 billion square meters, with a year-end total capacity of 13 billion square meters and a target of 14 billion square meters for production [3]. Customer Relationships - Yunnan Energy has a strong partnership with LG, being its primary supplier with a market share of approximately 60% [4]. Overseas Business - The company has established a base in Hungary with a capacity of 400 million square meters and plans to commence operations in the US in the second half of 2026, focusing on coating [4].

Flash | 13 Nov 2025 16:28:56 ET │ 11 pages Century Huatong (002602.SZ) What's New from Citi 2025 China Conference: A Rising China Online Gaming Giant CITI'S TAKE Century Huatong attended Day 3 of Citi's 2025 China Conference (Nov 13), right after recent ST restriction lift on Nov 12. Key takeaways: 1) resilient performance on expanding Century Games portfolio; 2) key success factors of Century Games; 3) incremental profit from Chuanqi IP licensing; 4) +ve flow after restriction lift; 5) possibility on cloud ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Hesai Group with a target price of US$38.10, implying an expected share price return of 76.9% [5][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights several upside catalysts for 2026, including anticipated L3 legislation, increased LiDAR content per vehicle, and design wins from major ADAS customers [1][4]. - The company expects significant growth in LiDAR shipments, projecting 2.5 million to 3.5 million units for 2026, with a stable gross profit margin due to cost optimization [3][4]. - The customer mix is strong, with major contributions expected from Li Auto, Xiaomi, and others, achieving 100% LiDAR adoption across their 2026 models [5][7]. Summary by Sections 2026E Upside Catalysts - Management anticipates L3 legislation in 1H26E, which could accelerate LiDAR content per vehicle, estimating three to six LiDAR units per L3 vehicle valued at US$500–1,000 each [1][4]. - The overseas ADAS business is expected to contribute significantly in 2026, alongside growth in the robotics sector, which has higher ASP and margins than ADAS [4]. Customer Mix - Key volume contributors for 2025 include Li Auto, Xiaomi, BYD, Leapmotor, Zeekr, and GWM, with expectations of continued strong performance in 2026 [5][7]. Financial Guidance - For 4Q25E, the company guides revenue between Rmb1.0-1.2 billion, with LiDAR shipments at 600k units and a blended gross profit margin of approximately 40% [2]. - The 2026E outlook includes a shipment increase to at least 2-3 million units, with a projected average selling price (ASP) of Rmb1.8k and a gross profit margin of 40% [3][4]. Capital Expenditure and Operating Expenses - Management plans annual capital expenditures of USD30-50 million, with operating expenses expected to grow by 5% YoY in 2026E [9][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Haidilao International Holding Ltd is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HK$18.50, indicating an expected share price return of 31.5% and an expected total return of 33.3% [4][7]. Core Insights - Haidilao experienced low single-digit year-over-year growth in table-turn in October, showing significant month-over-month improvement compared to a largely flat performance in the third quarter [1][2]. - Management anticipates less pressure on table-turn in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to seasonally cold weather and a low comparison base from the previous year, along with positive momentum expected in the first quarter of 2026 due to a longer Chinese New Year holiday period [1][2]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) improved sequentially in the third quarter of 2025, reaching 60.2%, aided by menu optimization efforts and lower labor costs [3]. - Management plans to terminate several loss-making pilot programs in the first quarter of 2026, which is expected to yield operational expense savings for the full year [3][4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - Table-turn growth in October was driven by holiday consumption, effective consumer activation campaigns, and remodeled stores catering to new scenarios such as nightlife and family gatherings [2]. - The average selling price (ASP) for dine-in increased slightly in the third quarter of 2025, attributed to a higher mix of premium items [2]. Store Operations - Haidilao opened 59 new stores and closed approximately 60 stores while transferring over 50 stores to franchisees in the first ten months of 2025 [2]. - Delivery sales grew approximately 100% year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025, with projected delivery sales reaching around RMB 2 billion for the full year [2]. Margin Analysis - The GPM improved sequentially in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the first half of 2025, supported by menu optimization and reduced labor costs [3]. - Despite the improvement, 16 new piloting brands remain loss-making on an aggregate basis, prompting management to consider program terminations [3][4]. Valuation - The target price of HK$18.50 is based on a 12x 2025E EV/adjusted EBITDA, aligning with the trading average of global restaurant peers [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Buy rating on Shuanghuan Drive with an unchanged target price of Rmb50.0, indicating an expected share price return of 26.7% and a total expected return of 27.4% [7]. Core Insights - Shuanghuan Drive plans to outgrow the market despite concerns over a potential slowdown in China’s NEV demand in 2026. The company aims to increase dollar content per NEV, focus on overseas projects, and strengthen its cost structure [1][2]. - The company expects to achieve double-digit year-on-year growth in NEV gear revenue in 2026, driven by increased shipments of coaxial gears and differentials [1][2]. - Strong growth is anticipated in the intelligent gear and industrial robot businesses, while revenue from ICE, CV, and CM gear is expected to stabilize [1]. Summary by Sections NEV Gear Strategy - Shuanghuan plans to increase dollar content per NEV by selling more coaxial gears (ASP Rmb1,000-1,200/set) and differentials (ASP Rmb100-200/set), with shipments projected at 6.8 million sets of NEV gears and 1 million sets of differentials in 2025 [2]. - The shipment of differentials is expected to double in 2026 [2]. Overseas Projects - NEV gear exports are projected to rise from 400k-500k sets in 2024 to 700k-800k sets in 2025, and further to over 1 million sets in 2026, primarily driven by demand from Stellantis, Hyundai, Volvo, and Renault [3]. - The ASP and gross profit margin of overseas projects are higher than domestic projects due to a greater percentage of PHEV [3]. Intelligent Gear and Other Segments - Revenue from intelligent gear is expected to grow from Rmb860 million-880 million in 2025 to Rmb1.2 billion in 2026, fueled by demand from robot vacuum cleaners and e-bikes [4]. - Revenue from commercial vehicle gear is anticipated to remain stable in 2026, supported by demand from European tier-1 clients and US electric truck manufacturers [5]. - Construction machinery gear revenue is also expected to stabilize in 2026, despite supplying gears to Caterpillar's large engines [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zijin Mining is "Buy" with a target price of HK$39.00, representing an expected total return of 16.7% [6][8]. Core Insights - The report presents a bullish outlook on gold and copper prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, potential FED rate cuts, and increased gold reserves in emerging countries [2][4]. - Zijin Gold aims for an output target of 100 tons per annum (tpa) by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% through 2030, primarily through internal production improvements and acquisitions [3]. - The copper supply-demand dynamic indicates a robust demand forecast, with expectations of reaching 40 million tons per annum (mntpa) by 2035, despite current output challenges faced by Zijin [4]. Summary by Sections Gold Price Outlook - Mr. Lin holds a positive view on gold prices, citing historical increases during previous economic cycles and suggesting further upside potential in the current cycle [2]. Copper Supply-Demand Dynamics - Global top-10 copper miners produced approximately 8 million tons of copper in the first nine months of 2025, with Zijin experiencing a 2% year-over-year decrease in output due to mine disruptions and logistical issues [4]. Acquisition Plans - Zijin Mining is actively seeking acquisition opportunities in copper, gold, and lithium, with specific targets in South America and Africa, aiming for a lithium capacity of 200-250 kilotons per annum by 2028 [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hundsun Technologies is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb40.7, implying an expected share price return of 37.7% and a total expected return of 38.5% [6]. Core Insights - Future growth for Hundsun Technologies is anticipated to be driven by strong demand for software localization due to US-China geopolitical tensions and the deadline for state-owned enterprises to localize software [2][4]. - The management noted that while brokers experienced improved earnings in the first half of 2025 and third quarter of 2025, asset managers are under pressure due to fully implemented fee cuts and declining assets under management [2]. - An employee share compensation scheme was launched in August 2025, embedding a target of 10% growth in recurring net profit, although management did not provide guidance for 2026 revenue and net profit growth due to uncertainties in project rollout [3]. - The competitive landscape is expected to become more benign, as many listed peers reported net losses in 2024, and smaller unlisted peers may shift strategies away from rapid expansion [4]. Summary by Sections Market Outlook - The demand for software localization is robust, driven by geopolitical factors and regulatory deadlines for state-owned enterprises [2]. - Management expressed confidence in the long-term outlook, focusing on product development and innovation to navigate market downturns [4]. Financial Performance - Brokers have seen improved earnings in 1H25 and 3Q25, while asset managers face challenges due to fee cuts and declining AUM [2]. - The newly launched employee share compensation scheme targets a 10% growth in recurring net profit [3]. Competitive Landscape - The market competition is likely to become more benign, with many listed peers suffering losses and smaller players potentially changing their growth strategies [4]. Valuation - The target price of Rmb40.7 is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, projecting free cash flows up to 2034E with a terminal growth rate of 5.5% [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yihai International is Neutral, reflecting a weaker earnings outlook primarily driven by third-party sales and price competition [4][15]. Core Insights - Sales momentum for third-party business is expected to slow in the second half of 2025, impacted by negative publicity and competition in the convenience food segment [1][2]. - The company is shifting from a distributor-based model to direct sales with key accounts (KAs) to improve gross profit margin (GPM) and accelerate new product launches [3][10]. - Management anticipates a recovery in to-B sales growth in 2026, driven by overseas expansion and stabilization in domestic sales [2][10]. Financial Performance - Expected share price return is 11.4%, with a target price of HK$14.40 and a dividend yield of 5.8%, leading to a total expected return of 17.2% [4][15]. - The company reported a net profit of Rmb 826 million in 2023, with a projected decline to Rmb 726 million in 2025E, followed by a slight recovery to Rmb 765 million in 2026E [6][9]. - Gross profit margin for to-B is projected at 20-30%, while to-C is nearly 40%, with overall operating profit margins expected to remain stable [13][12]. Market Dynamics - The convenience food segment is currently facing a decline due to intense competition and product retirements, while the to-C business shows stable growth [2][10]. - Overseas business is expected to grow significantly, with management forecasting a 20-30% growth rate annually until at least 2027 [10][12]. - The company is experiencing a shift in sales mix, which may negatively impact third-party GPM due to price competition [15][11].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it Core Insights - There is a sustained household allocation towards equity, with gradual relocations of household assets from property and deposits to the equity market. High net worth individuals are showing more interest in private/customized secondary market products, while general retail investors prefer industry/thematic ETFs due to lower risk appetite [2] - China brokers are experiencing a reacceleration in investment banking business, with a more accommodative regulatory stance towards equity raising for onshore companies, particularly in H-shares. A robust deal pipeline is noted, with 88 companies in the H-share IPO pipeline [3] - M&A activity is expected to be more selective and strategic, focusing on enhancing sub-segment strengths and generating synergies rather than merely increasing asset scale [4] - There is a marginal relaxation in capital raising for China brokers, with proposals for general mandates for H-shares issuance, indicating potential for new equity raising despite some brokers not seeing urgent needs for it [7] Summary by Sections Household Asset Allocation - Households are gradually shifting assets from property and deposits to equities, with a preference for passive equity index-linked products over actively managed funds due to lower risk appetite [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking business is seeing a reacceleration, particularly in H-shares, with a significant number of companies in the IPO pipeline. The focus is on industries benefiting from policy support [3] M&A Strategy - Future M&A activity is anticipated to be more strategic, with leading brokers likely to acquire mid/small-sized players rather than merging with other leading brokers due to regulatory complexities [4] Capital Raising - China brokers are observing a marginal relaxation in equity and debt raising, with potential new equity raising opportunities arising from regulatory changes [7]