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东海证券:晨会纪要-20240911
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-10 16:05
Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report highlights that food prices have driven a slight increase in CPI, while raw material prices have negatively impacted PPI, as observed in the inflation data for August 2024. CPI rose by 0.6% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, while PPI fell by 1.8% year-on-year and 0.7% month-on-month [6][9]. - The report emphasizes that the increase in CPI is primarily due to food prices, particularly fresh vegetables and pork, which are expected to continue supporting CPI in the fourth quarter. Conversely, PPI is affected by declining prices of upstream raw materials and weak domestic demand [6][9]. Group 2: Company Analysis - Penghui Energy (300438) - Penghui Energy reported a significant quarter-on-quarter recovery in Q2 2024, with revenues of 2.176 billion yuan, a 36.3% increase from the previous quarter, although year-on-year net profit decreased by 63.2% to 25 million yuan [9][10]. - The company is focusing on solid-state battery technology, with plans for mass production by 2026. The first generation of solid-state batteries has been released, featuring an energy density of 280 Wh/kg and a production cost only 15% higher than conventional lithium batteries [9][10]. - Penghui Energy's storage battery business is expected to grow rapidly, supported by strong demand from key clients and a comprehensive product matrix. The company ranked among the top 8 in global energy storage market shipments in 2023 [9][10]. Group 3: Economic and Market Insights - The report notes that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting high-quality development in the low-altitude industry, emphasizing the importance of technological innovation and policy improvement [12]. - The A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 1.06% to 2736 points, while the ChiNext Index saw a slight increase of 0.06% [12][13].
资产配置与比较月报:海外流动性拐点将至,关注国内政策落实
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-10 08:02
总 量 研 究 [Table_Report] [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月10日 资 产 配 置 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 胡少华 S0630516090002 hush@longone.com.cn 联系人 高旗胜 gqs@longone.com.cn [海外流动性拐点将至,关注国内政策落 Table_NewTitle] 实 ——资产配置与比较月报(2024年9月) [table_main] 投资要点 ➢ 关注促消费政策效果。8月国内制造业PMI回落至年内低点,5月以来持续位于收缩区 间,虽然新动能表现较好,但制造业整体供需两端均有放缓。受益于暑期消费带动作 用,服务业指数有所回升。7月政治局会议将"以提振消费为重点扩大国内需求"放在了 主要任务中的第一项,促进服务消费高质量发展以及加大耐用消费品以旧换新的支持力 度是政策着力点。若出口增速回落,内需方面地方财政压力对投资仍有约束,关注促 ...
国茂股份:公司简评报告:需求有待企稳,经营性回款改善
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-10 05:00
公 司 研 究 [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月10日 机 械 设 备 公 司 简 评 [Table_invest] 买入(维持) 报告原因:业绩点评 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 王敏君 S0630522040002 wmj@longone.com.cn | --- | --- | |---------------------------|------------| | | | | | | | 数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2024/09/09 | | 收盘价 | 7.89 | | 总股本 ( 万股 ) | 65,909 | | 流通 A 股 /B 股 ( 万股 ) | 65,663/0 | | 资产负债率 (%) | 28.51% | | 市净率 ( 倍 ) | 1.42 | | 净资产收益率 ( 加权 ) | 4.06% | | 12 个月内最高 / 最低价 | 18.80/7.83 | [Table_QuotePic] -66% -54% -42% -30% -18% -6% 6% 18% 23-09 23-12 24-03 24-06 国茂股份 沪深 ...
国内观察:2024年8月通胀数据:食品提振CPI,原材料拖累PPI
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-10 03:01
总 量 研 究 [Table_Report] [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月09日 [食品提振 Table_NewTitle] CPI,原材料拖累PPI ——国内观察:2024年8月通胀数据 [table_main] 投资要点 ➢ 事件:9月9日,统计局发布2024年8月通胀数据。8月,CPI当月同比0.6%,前值0.5%; 环比0.4%,前值0.5%。PPI当月同比-1.8%,前值-0.8%;环比-0.7%,前值-0.2%。 ➢ 核心观点:CPI小幅上升,主要是受食品价格的推动,其中受高温天气等短期因素影响鲜 菜涨幅较大,猪价年内可能继续对CPI形成支撑。PPI的拖累主要来自于上游原材料价格, 包括原油、有色等价格回落的影响,也有内需偏弱的影响。基数影响褪去后,内需政策落 地效果,以及未来是否有增量政策,决定PPI能否降幅收窄,这一点仍会影响权益的基本 面定价。 ➢ CPI表现继续强于季节性,食品支撑,非食品拖累。从环比来看,8月CPI环比0.4%,高于 近5年同期均值0.28%。食品(环比3.4%,近5年同期均值1.28%)强于季节性,而非食品 (环比-0.3%,近5年同期均值0% ...
食品饮料行业周报:旺季批价波动,关注需求复苏
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-10 03:00
行 业 研 究 食 品 饮 料 [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月09日 行 业 周 报 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 姚星辰 S0630523010001 yxc@longone.com.cn 联系人 吴康辉 wkh@longone.com.cn 联系人 陈涛 cht@longone.com.cn [相关研究 table_product] 1.千味央厨(001215):大B积极开 拓腰部客户,小B承压期待后续改善 ——公司简评报告 2.新乳业(002946):低温业务保持 增长,盈利能力加速提升——公司简 评报告 3.中报披露收官,关注旺季量价表现 ——食品饮料行业周报(2024/8/26- 2024/8/30) [table_invest] 超配 [Table_NewTitle 旺季批价波动,关注需求复苏 ] ——食品饮料行业周报(2024/9/2-2024/9/8) [table_main] 投资要点: ➢ 二级市场表现:上周食品饮料板块下跌3.53%,跑输沪深300指数0.82个百分点,食品饮料 板块在31个申万一级板块中排名第24位。子板块方面,上周均下跌,其中零食 ...
电池及储能行业周报:中非光储领域合作推进,8月电车销量表现优异
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-09 18:06
行 业 研 究 [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月09日 行 业 周 报 电 力 设 备 与 新 能 源 [table_stockTrend] -42% -34% -25% -17% -8% 0% 8% 23-09 23-12 24-03 24-06 申万行业指数:电力设备(0763) 沪深300 [相关研究 table_product] 1.帝科股份(300842):技术优势持 续,非经常损益短期影响业绩 —— 公司简评报告 2.光伏新技术产业化加快,电动车需 求恢复——电力设备新能源行业周 报(2023/6/26-2023/7/02) [table_invest] 标配 [Table_NewTitle 中非光储领域合作 ] 推进,8月电车销量表 现优异 ——电池及储能行业周报(2024/09/02-2024/09/08) [table_main] 投资要点: ➢ 市场表现:本周(9/2-9/8)申万电池板块整体上涨0.25%,跑赢沪深300指数2.97个百分 点。主力净流入前五为当升科技、鹏辉能源、富临精工、金银河、南网科技;净流出前五 为阳光电源、南都电源、锦浪科技、欣旺达、宁德时代 ...
东海证券:晨会纪要-20240910
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-09 16:04
晨 会 纪 要 [Table_Report] [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月06日 [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20240906 [证券分析师: Table_Authors] 姚星辰 S0630523010001 yxc@longone.com.cn [table_main] 重点推荐 ➢ 1.巨星农牧(603477):猪价回暖二季度扭亏,成本表现优异——公司简评报告 ➢ 2.有色金属价格回落,下游景气度或将结构性分化——有色金属及产业链月报(2024年9 月) 财经要闻 ➢ 1.国家主席习近平出席中非合作论坛北京峰会开幕式并发表主旨讲话。 ➢ 2.央行货币政策司司长邹澜:目前金融机构的平均法定存款准备金率大约为7%,还有一定 的空间。 ➢ 3.美国8月ADP就业人数低于预期。 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------|--- ...
非银金融行业周报:航母级券商蓄势启航,预定利率分阶段下调启动
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-09 10:30
行 业 研 究 非 银 金 融 [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月09日 行 业 周 报 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 陶圣禹 S0630523100002 tsy@longone.com.cn | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-----------------------|-------------------| | | | | | | [table_stockTrend] | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23-09 | 23-12 | 24-03 24-06 | | | 申万行业指数 沪深 300 | : 非银金融 (0749) | -27% -21% -16% -10% | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6% | | | | | | | | ...
鹏辉能源:公司简评报告:二季度业绩环比修复显著,固态电池技术迎突破
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-09 10:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company has experienced significant short-term pressure on its performance due to industry supply-demand imbalances and intensified competition. However, there are signs of recovery in quarterly data, particularly in Q2 2024, where revenue increased by 15.8% year-on-year and 36.3% quarter-on-quarter [6][13][15]. - The company is focusing on innovation in solid-state battery technology, with plans for mass production by 2026. It has established a comprehensive production capacity of approximately 70 GWh, with ongoing expansions in various locations [6][18][26]. - The energy storage segment is a key focus area, with the company ranking among the top eight globally in energy storage market shipments. It has established strong partnerships with leading downstream clients, which is expected to drive further demand growth [6][26][30]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In the first half of 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.8%, and a net profit of 42 million yuan, down 83.4% year-on-year. The gross margin was 14.2%, a decline of 4.6 percentage points [6][13]. - Q2 2024 showed a recovery with revenue of 2.176 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.3%. The net profit for Q2 was 25 million yuan, down 63.2% year-on-year but up 54.8% quarter-on-quarter [6][15]. Focus on Energy Storage - The company has a well-rounded product matrix in the energy storage sector and has been recognized as a top player in the global market. It has successfully completed several large-scale projects, enhancing its market position [6][26][27]. - The energy storage business accounted for a significant portion of the company's revenue, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 136% from 2020 to 2022 [29]. Technological Advancements - The company has made strides in solid-state battery technology, with the first generation of solid-state batteries set to be mass-produced by 2026. The energy density of these batteries is expected to reach 280 Wh/kg, with a production cost only 15% higher than conventional lithium batteries [6][18][22]. - The company has also invested heavily in research and development, with R&D expenses reaching 370 million yuan in the past year and a workforce of 1,366 dedicated to innovation [24]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 8.848 billion yuan, 10.152 billion yuan, and 12.595 billion yuan, respectively, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 27.6%, 14.7%, and 24.1% [7]. - The net profit forecasts for the same years are 192 million yuan, 468 million yuan, and 644 million yuan, indicating substantial growth potential [7]. Strategic Partnerships - The company has established deep ties with leading clients in the energy storage sector, which is expected to enhance demand and sales efficiency. Its marketing and channel management have kept sales expenses at a low level compared to industry standards [26][30].
电子行业周报:华为官宣Mate XT预热新品发布会,IFA2024掀起AI热潮
Donghai Securities· 2024-09-09 09:07
行 业 研 究 电 子 [Table_Reportdate] 2024年09月09日 [table_invest] 标配 [Table_NewTitle] 华为官宣Mate XT预热新品发布会,IFA 2024掀起AI热潮 ——电子行业周报2024/9/2-2024/9/8 [table_main] 投资要点: ➢ 电子板块观点:华为官宣Mate XT非凡大师,为华为首款三折叠形态手机,进一步夯实 华为在折叠屏市场的领先地位;华为与苹果新品发布会均将于下周二拉开帷幕,有望催 化消费电子需求边际改善。IFA 2024掀起消费电子AI热潮,官宣各种AI赋能的终端消费 电子新品,AI热潮继续催化。当前电子行业供需处底部平衡回暖阶段,行业估值处于历 史低位,建议关注AIOT、AI驱动、设备材料、消费电子周期筑底板块四大投资主线。 ➢ 华为官宣Mate XT非凡大师,为华为首款三折叠形态手机;华为与苹果新品发布会均将 于下周二拉开帷幕,有望催化消费电子需求边际改善。9月2日,华为宣布将于9月10日 下午14点30分举办华为见非凡品牌盛典及鸿蒙智行新品发布会,届时将发布全新的智能 手机产品。9月3日华为终端发布一段预热视 ...