[Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月27日 超配 行 业 简 评 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 商俭 S0630525060002 shangjian@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -33% -19% -5% 9% 23% 37% 51% 25-02 25-05 25-08 25-11 申万行业指数:机械设备(0764) 沪深300 [Table_NewTitle] 2025年机床行业稳健增长，高端数控机 床领域加速推进 ——机械设备行业简评 [table_main] 投资要点： [table_product] ➢ 事件：根据国家统计局发布数据，2025年我国金属切削机床产量累计达86.83万台，同比 增长9.70%。根据海关总署统计数据，我国机床出口金额为129.10亿美元，同比增长 14.60%；我国机床进口金额为58.74亿美元，同比增长0.40%，进口数量为7.23万台，同 比增长3.50%。 ➢ 机床市场全年稳健增长。2025年金属切削机床产量同比增长9.70%，全年增长态势稳健； 其中数控金属切削机床产量达34.68万台，同比增 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月27日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260227 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.叉车1月内销外销大增，龙头公司智能化持续突破——机械设备行业简评 ➢ 2.春节假期期间重要事件一览 ➢ 3.剔除政府关停影响后，美国经济依然保持相对稳健——海外观察：美国2025年四季度 GDP数据点评 ➢ 1.IMF警告美国经济多重风险 ➢ 2.美国上周初请失业金人数为21.2万人，预期21.5万人 ➢ 3.央行发布支持开展人民币跨境同业融资业务的通知 | 1.1. 叉 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more in the next six months [4]. Core Insights - In January 2026, the overall sales of forklifts reached 141,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 51.4%. Domestic sales were 89,700 units, up 63.3%, while overseas sales were 52,000 units, increasing by 34.4% [3]. - The strong growth in forklift sales is attributed to a low base from the previous year due to the early Spring Festival, which positively impacted demand. The manufacturing PMI new orders index for January 2026 was 49.20, indicating a gradual improvement in manufacturing sentiment [3]. - Anhui Heli showcased significant advancements in intelligent logistics, achieving over 100% revenue growth in its smart logistics business in 2025, with a product matrix covering over 100 models [3]. - Hangcha Group's investment in Henan Jiachen, which passed the listing review, is expected to enhance its capabilities in core components and improve the intelligence level of forklift products [3]. - The report suggests focusing on leading domestic forklift companies with strong brand recognition and R&D capabilities, such as Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, and Zhongli Co., as they are well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in manufacturing and logistics demand [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - Forklift sales in January 2026 showed a robust increase, with domestic sales growing by 63.3% and overseas sales by 34.4% [3]. - The cumulative sales for 2025 were 1.4518 million units, with domestic sales at 906,800 units and exports at 545,000 units, both showing positive growth [3]. Market Trends - The demand for forklifts is closely linked to the manufacturing and logistics sectors, with a steady increase in social logistics and manufacturing PMI indicating a positive outlook for the industry [3]. - The report highlights the ongoing globalization efforts of domestic companies, which are establishing local production and service capabilities abroad, thereby increasing market penetration [3]. Company Developments - Anhui Heli's focus on intelligent logistics and the introduction of AI logistics robots are expected to reshape the competitive landscape of the logistics industry [3]. - Hangcha Group's strategic investment in Henan Jiachen is anticipated to strengthen its market position and enhance product intelligence [3].

[证券分析师： Table_Authors] [Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月25日 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260225 [table_summary] 重点推荐 财经要闻 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 晨 ➢ 1.春节假期期间重要事件一览 ➢ 2.关注节后商品补库存行情，持续看好科技应用方向不变——资产配置周报（2026/02/16- 2026/02/20） ➢ 3.剔除政府关停影响后，美国经济依然保持相对稳健——海外观察：美国2025年四季度 GDP数据点评 ➢ 1.我国将20家日本实体列入出口管制管辖名单 ➢ 2.美拟以国家安全为由推出新关税 ➢ 3.美国海关：对相关商品加征1 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月24日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 ➢ 1.1月通胀降温或是"烟雾弹"——海外观察：美国2026年1月CPI数据 ➢ 2.多因素推动社融与M2保持较快增长——银行业"量价质"跟踪（二十三） ➢ 3.关注节后商品补库存行情，持续看好科技应用方向不变——资产配置周报（2026/02/16- 2026/02/20） ➢ 4.剔除政府关停影响后，美国经济依然保持相对稳健——海外观察：美国2025年四季度 GDP数据点评 ➢ 5.春节假期期间重要事件一览 ➢ 1.美国2025年第四季度实际GDP年化初值环比升1.4%，预期升3.0% ➢ 2.美国最高法院2月20日判决特朗普关税政策违法 ➢ 3.特朗普下令实施临时性10%全球关税 ➢ 4.高市早苗连任日本新任首相 ➢ 5.美联储1月会议纪要显示降息 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月23日 [关注节后商品补库存行情，持续看好科 Table_NewTitle] 技应用方向不变 ——资产配置周报（2026/02/16-2026/02/20） [table_main] 投资要点 略 研 究 刘思佳 S0630516080002 liusj@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 王鸿行 S0630522050001 whxing@longone.com.cn 证券分析师 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 联系人 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn 策 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 总 量 研 究 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] [Table_Report] ➢ 全球大类资产回顾。春节假期期间，全球股市多数收涨，美国最高法院裁定特朗普贸易关 税非法提振风险偏好；主要商品期货中原油、黄金、铜、铝均上涨；美元指数上涨，离岸 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Market Weight" indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within -10% to 10% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [24]. Core Insights - The financing environment is improving, with a significant increase in social financing in January, reaching 7.22 trillion yuan, which is 1.662 billion yuan more than the same period last year [4]. - The growth rates of M2 and M1 have increased to 9.0% and 4.9% respectively, indicating a favorable liquidity environment [4]. - The new average interest rates for corporate loans and personal housing loans remain low at approximately 3.2% and 3.1% respectively [4]. - The focus of credit is shifting towards structural optimization, with an emphasis on supporting small and medium enterprises, technology innovation, and green finance [4]. - The policy environment remains supportive, with stable loan interest rates and a potential easing of pressure on bank interest margins in the near future [5]. Summary by Sections Financing Data - As of the end of January, the stock of social financing increased by 8.2% year-on-year, while the stock of RMB loans grew by 6.1% [4]. - The structure of new financing shows strong performance in government bonds and short-term loans, with government bonds increasing by 976.4 billion yuan [4]. Credit Structure - The credit growth is expected to focus on consumption and operational sectors, with a tilt towards small and medium enterprises and technology sectors [4]. - The increase in M2 is attributed to strong government bond issuance and seasonal effects from wealth management products [4]. Interest Rate Environment - The central bank's recent rate cuts on structural policy tools are expected to have a limited direct impact on bank margins but reflect a supportive stance [5]. - The current low interest rate environment is favorable for bank margins, with expectations that the downward pressure on margins will be less significant in 2025 and 2026 compared to 2024 [5].

Inflation Data Overview - The U.S. CPI for January 2026 showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, lower than the expected 2.5% and the previous value of 2.7%[2] - Core CPI year-on-year was 2.5%, matching expectations but slightly down from 2.6% in December 2025[2] - Month-on-month CPI adjusted for seasonal factors increased by 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%[2] Key Drivers of Inflation - The decline in inflation was primarily driven by falling food and energy prices, with energy prices decreasing by 1.5% month-on-month, compared to a previous increase of 0.3%[2] - Food prices rose by 0.2% month-on-month, down from a 0.6% increase in December 2025, largely due to a drop in egg prices[2] Core Inflation Risks - Core inflation shows potential upward pressure, particularly in clothing and new car prices, which increased by 0.3% and 0.1% month-on-month, respectively[2] - Despite a significant drop in used car prices, early indicators suggest a possible rebound in the coming months[2] Service Prices and Weather Impact - Core service prices saw a slight increase, with transportation costs rising by 1.4% month-on-month due to weather-related disruptions[2] - Housing prices showed a slight decline, with rent year-on-year decreasing from 2.9% to 2.8%[2] Market Reactions and Future Outlook - The overall inflation data exceeded expectations, leading to market speculation about potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, resulting in a rise in U.S. stocks and bonds, and a decline in the dollar index[2] - The sustainability of the January inflation data remains uncertain due to various short-term disturbances, particularly from weather factors[2]

Inflation Data Overview - In January 2026, the US CPI increased by 2.4% year-on-year, lower than the expected 2.5% and the previous value of 2.7%[2] - The core CPI also showed a year-on-year increase of 2.5%, matching expectations but slightly down from 2.6% in December 2025[2] Key Drivers of Inflation - The decline in inflation was primarily driven by falling food and energy prices, with food prices rising by 0.2% month-on-month compared to 0.6% previously, and energy prices decreasing by 1.5% month-on-month, down from a 0.3% increase[2] - Energy commodity prices fell by 3.3% month-on-month, while energy services saw a slight increase of 0.2%[2] Core Inflation Risks - Core goods prices showed upward pressure, particularly in clothing (up 0.3% month-on-month) and new car prices (up 0.1%) despite a significant drop in used car prices (down 2.0% year-on-year)[2] - Core services prices increased slightly by 0.4% month-on-month, influenced by higher transportation costs due to severe weather conditions[2] Market Reactions - Following the release of the January inflation data, the market reacted with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a rise in both US stocks and bonds, a decline in the US dollar index, and an increase in gold prices[2] Uncertainties and Future Outlook - The report highlights significant uncertainties in the sustainability of the January inflation data, primarily due to weather-related disruptions and the potential for core inflation to rise again[2] - The upcoming tax refund season and fiscal subsidies may stimulate consumer demand, posing risks for core goods and services inflation to remain sticky[2]

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights ShanGu Power (601369) as a leading company in energy conversion equipment, emphasizing its strong cash dividend policy and collaborative development in manufacturing, operation, and services [5][6]. - ShanGu Power has been deeply engaged in the energy conversion equipment sector for nearly 60 years, achieving internationally advanced technology levels and benefiting from the recovery of downstream heavy industries [5][6]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The report notes significant growth in the domestic compressed air energy storage market, with installed capacity expected to reach 73.76 million kilowatts by the end of 2024. ShanGu Power's air compressor units have a comprehensive efficiency of 88% and a manufacturing capability ranging from 10MW to 660MW [6][8]. - The coal chemical industry is experiencing expansion, with ShanGu Power positioned as a core equipment supplier, benefiting from projects in coal-to-oil and coal-to-gas production, which are projected to reach capacities of 9.31 million tons/year and 74.55 million cubic meters/year by 2024 [7][8]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The report projects ShanGu Power's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.074 billion yuan, 1.110 billion yuan, and 1.182 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17.41, 16.84, and 15.82 [8]. - The company maintains a robust financial position, with cash reserves reaching 10.969 billion yuan by Q3 2025 and a dividend payout ratio exceeding 60% from 2019 to 2024 [5][8]. Group 4: Employment and Economic Indicators - The report discusses the U.S. job market, noting that in January 2026, non-farm employment increased by 130,000, significantly above the expected 70,000, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3% [10][12]. - The increase in employment is attributed to strong growth in the education and healthcare sectors, influenced by the extension of the Affordable Care Act, which is expected to continue supporting job growth in these areas [12][14].