Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Tianshan Aluminum [1][3] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a record high net profit attributable to shareholders in 2024, driven by an integrated business layout and rising aluminum prices [1][7] - The target price is set at 9 CNY, with the current price at 7.45 CNY, indicating potential upside [3][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 28,089 million CNY, a decrease of 3.06% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4,455 million CNY, an increase of 102.03% year-on-year [7][8] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 7,294 million CNY, up 9.99% year-on-year, and net profit of 1,371 million CNY, up 141.43% year-on-year [7] - For Q1 2025, the company anticipates a net profit of approximately 1,050 million CNY, a growth of 46% year-on-year [7] Production and Pricing Insights - The average selling price of self-produced electrolytic aluminum was approximately 19,800 CNY/ton, up about 6% year-on-year, while the average selling price of self-produced alumina was about 4,000 CNY/ton, up about 40% year-on-year [7] - The company achieved record production levels in electrolytic aluminum (1,175,900 tons), alumina (2,278,900 tons), and electricity generation (over 13.8 billion kWh) in 2024 [7] Strategic Developments - The company is making steady progress in its integrated projects, including the acquisition of mining rights in Indonesia and the commencement of production in Guinea [7] - The integration of upstream and downstream operations is expected to enhance cost advantages and operational efficiency [7] Future Profitability Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4,647 million CNY, 5,463 million CNY, and 6,267 million CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.3%, 17.6%, and 14.7% [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 113 CNY per share, corresponding to a 43 times PE for 2026 [2][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.245 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.22%, and a net profit of 625 million CNY, up 45.68% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company's proprietary brand business revenue reached 3.545 billion CNY in 2024, growing by 29.14%, and accounted for 67.59% of total revenue [3][4]. - The main food segment's revenue was 2.690 billion CNY, up 28.88%, increasing its share to 51.30% of total revenue, while the snack segment generated 2.484 billion CNY, growing by 14.66% [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.573 billion CNY, a 29.55% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 154 million CNY, up 34.78% [2][3]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.480 billion CNY, a 34.82% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 204 million CNY, up 37.68% [2][3]. - The company's net profit margin improved from 9.95% in 2023 to 11.96% in 2024, with further increase to 13.82% in Q1 2025 [4][5]. Future Projections - The company is projected to generate total revenue of 7.074 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 34.9%, and a net profit of 796 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 27.5% [5][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise to 1.99 CNY in 2025 and 2.62 CNY in 2026 [5][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][20]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 met expectations, with total revenue of 84.7 billion and a year-on-year increase of 6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14 billion, reflecting a 33% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company is expected to significantly expand its battery exchange network in 2025, with plans to build 1,000 battery swap stations and partnerships with major companies to enhance its market presence [7]. - The commercial vehicle battery sector shows substantial growth potential, with the company holding over 70% market share in this area [7]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 65.03 billion, 78.54 billion, and 93.08 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16, 13, and 11 [7]. Financial Summary - Key financial metrics for the company include: - Total revenue projected to grow from 362.01 billion in 2024 to 656.67 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of 18% [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders expected to increase from 50.75 billion in 2024 to 93.08 billion in 2027, with a CAGR of 18.5% [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) projected to rise from 11.52 yuan in 2024 to 21.14 yuan in 2027 [3]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 1,015.82 billion yuan, with a current share price of 230.69 yuan and a target price of 369.25 yuan [4][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Nanhua Futures, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [5][21]. Core Views - Nanhua Futures reported a total operating revenue of 530 million yuan for Q1 2025, a decrease of 46.2% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 90 million yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from its upcoming listing in Hong Kong, which could strengthen its competitive edge in overseas markets [9][10]. - The report highlights a significant decline in net interest income and commission income, with respective year-on-year decreases of 20.5% and 22.1% [9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024A, the main revenue is projected at 5,711.61 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -8.6%. The net profit is expected to be 457.97 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 14.0% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are forecasted to be 0.88 yuan, 0.94 yuan, and 1.06 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.52, 13.48, and 12.05 [4][10]. - The total market capitalization of Nanhua Futures is reported at 7.778 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 89.41% [6]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the high interest rate environment will continue to support the company's overseas net interest income growth [9]. - The company has submitted an application for a stock listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which is expected to enhance its international presence and solidify its competitive advantages in overseas markets [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Guorui Technology (600562) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 3.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 630 million, up 5.1% [6] - The radar business showed significant growth, with revenue of 2.67 billion in 2024, a 20% increase, and a gross margin of 37.6% [6] - The company is focusing on new quality productivity and expanding into strategic emerging industries such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace [6] Financial Summary - **2024 Financial Performance**: - Total revenue: 3.4 billion, up 3.6% YoY - Net profit: 630 million, up 5.1% YoY - Earnings per share (EPS): 0.51 yuan [2][6] - **2025-2027 Financial Projections**: - 2025E revenue: 3.768 billion, 10.8% growth - 2025E net profit: 770 million, 22.2% growth - 2026E revenue: 4.374 billion, 16.1% growth - 2026E net profit: 930 million, 20.8% growth - 2027E revenue: 4.985 billion, 14.0% growth - 2027E net profit: 1.085 billion, 16.7% growth [2][6] - **Valuation Ratios**: - Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025: 34 times - Price-to-book (P/B) ratio for 2025: 4.0 times [2][6] Business Segment Analysis - **Radar Business**: - Revenue of 2.67 billion in 2024, with a 20% growth rate and a gross margin of 37.6% [6] - **Industrial Software and Manufacturing**: - Revenue of 400 million, down 12% YoY, with a gross margin of 36.8% [6] - **Smart Rail Transit**: - Revenue of 280 million, down 49% YoY, with a gross margin of 19.3% [6] Investment Outlook - The report maintains profit forecasts of 770 million for 2025 and 930 million for 2026, with an introduction of a 2027 forecast of 1.085 billion [6] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand in the low-altitude economy and military trade, with radar products facing upward opportunities [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the transportation industry, focusing on dividend yield opportunities [2] Core Insights - The transportation sector has shown resilience, with various segments outperforming the CSI 300 index in April 2025, particularly the railway transportation sector [5][10] - The low interest rate environment is favorable for the industry, with government bond yields declining [19] - The report highlights significant increases in trading volumes across all segments, especially in ports, indicating a recovery in market activity [19] - The overall dividend yield for highways, railways, and ports is projected to be in the range of 3%-4%, with coal and banking sectors leading [21] Monthly Market Performance - From April 1 to April 18, 2025, the transportation industry experienced a cumulative decline of 0.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.85 percentage points [9][10] - The railway transportation sector had the best performance, with a cumulative increase of 5.09% during the same period [10] - Year-to-date, the transportation sector has underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a cumulative decline of 4.86% [9] Market Environment - The report notes a continued low interest rate environment, with the 10-year government bond yield at 1.65%, down from 1.81% at the end of March 2025 [19] - Trading volumes have rebounded, with daily average transaction amounts for highways, railways, and ports showing significant year-on-year increases [19] Capital Operations - Anhui Expressway plans to raise HKD 522 million through a share placement to Anhui Transportation Holding Group [23] Highway Sector Tracking - In the first two months of 2025, highway passenger traffic was 1.862 billion trips, a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year, while freight traffic increased by 5.7% to 5.765 billion tons [25] - The report highlights key companies in the highway sector, noting significant revenue and profit changes for companies like Sichuan Chengyu and Ninghu Expressway [32][35][37] Railway Sector Tracking - In March 2025, railway passenger volume reached 337 million, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, while freight volume was 44.5 million tons, up 2.4% [48] - The report emphasizes the importance of key railway companies and their performance metrics [56] Port Sector Tracking - The report indicates that monitored ports handled 1.048 billion tons of cargo in the past four weeks, a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [58] - Container throughput also showed growth, with a total of 9.5617 million TEUs handled year-to-date, reflecting a 9.6% increase [58]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [1][14]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 8.189 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 668 million yuan, up 18.53% year-on-year [1][7]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the domestic automotive and Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) businesses, with the automotive segment experiencing approximately 30% growth due to increased performance from major clients and the penetration of 5G technology [7][8]. - The company plans to issue H shares to enhance its investment in communication, edge AI, and robotics, which are seen as new growth areas [7][8]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 8.189 billion yuan in 2024 to 11 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.2% [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to fluctuate, with estimates of 594 million yuan in 2025, 752 million yuan in 2026, and 900 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 26.6% in 2026 and 19.7% in 2027 [3][8]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 is reported at 19.33%, with a slight decline attributed to product mix and material cost fluctuations [7][8]. Market Performance - The company's stock price target for 2025 is set at 31.04 yuan, compared to the current price of 24.28 yuan, indicating a potential upside [3][8]. - The company has shown a significant market performance compared to the benchmark index, with a notable increase of 181% over the past 12 months [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 66.1 CNY [2][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.892 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.74%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 403 million CNY, up 15.67%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 410 million CNY, marking a significant increase of 55.92% [2][5]. - The company has multiple new products set to launch, which are expected to drive future growth. The R&D investment for 2024 was 717 million CNY, accounting for 24.80% of total revenue [2][5]. - The company is expanding its product pipeline with promising candidates in various clinical stages, including a CDK4/6 inhibitor and a plant-derived recombinant human serum albumin [9]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Actuals and Future Estimates**: - Total revenue for 2024 was 2.892 billion CNY, with projections of 3.562 billion CNY for 2025, 4.198 billion CNY for 2026, and 5.345 billion CNY for 2027, reflecting growth rates of 23.2%, 17.9%, and 27.3% respectively [5][10]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 403 million CNY, with estimates of 496 million CNY for 2025, 689 million CNY for 2026, and 945 million CNY for 2027, indicating growth rates of 23.2% and 38.9% for the following years [5][10]. - **Valuation Metrics**: - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 52 in 2024 to 22 by 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 3.7 to 2.8 over the same period [5][10]. Product Pipeline and Market Expansion - The company is set to launch several innovative products, including a third-generation EGFR-TKI and a long-acting ophthalmic formulation, which have shown promising results in clinical trials [9]. - The company is also focusing on expanding its early-stage pipeline with multiple new molecular entities that are currently in Phase I clinical trials [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][23]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 5.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.9%, with a net profit of 640 million, up 26.5% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 1.54 billion, a 25.7% increase year-on-year [5][6]. - The strong sales of konjac products have driven revenue growth, with a projected annual sales of 1.8 to 2 billion for konjac, reflecting an 80%-100% year-on-year increase [5][6]. - The company is focusing on optimizing product structure and reducing cost pressures, which is expected to gradually restore profitability throughout the year [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 53.04 billion, with a net profit of 6.4 billion. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 14.43 billion, a 29.96% increase year-on-year [5][6]. - The first quarter of 2025 reported a revenue of 15.37 billion, with a net profit of 1.78 billion, marking an 11.6% increase year-on-year [5][6]. - The gross margin for the first quarter of 2025 was 28.5%, down 3.64 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to changes in channel structure [5][6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high growth in the konjac category and other channels, with revenue projections for 2025 estimated at 6.72 billion, reflecting a 26.8% growth [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 is 3.04, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27 times [6]. - The target price has been raised to 95 yuan, corresponding to a P/E ratio of over 30 times for 2025, reflecting the company's strong growth potential in the konjac category and other markets [5][6].

华创证券研究所 证券分析师：代昌祺 行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 输变电设备行业深度研究报告 柔性直流输电加速渗透，柔直换流阀及其零 推荐（维持） 部件有望受益 ❑ 关注更受益的换流阀设备及其核心零部件的国产替代： ❑ 柔性直流输电技术有望在特高压、海风加速水渗透，柔性换流阀作为价值量最 高且增幅最大的设备环节有望受益，建议关注： 输变电设备 2025 年 04 月 23 日 邮箱：daichangqi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524020001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 74 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 6,582.84 | 0.68 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 5,847.21 | 0.76 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | -9.2% | -9.1% | 2.5% | | 相对表现 | -5.9% | -4.7% | -4.6% | -11% 0% 10% 21% 24/04 24/07 24/0 ...