行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 "人形机器人的 Optimus 时刻"系列（十二） 推荐（维持） 粉末冶金&MIM：近净成形，精铸未来 机械 2026 年 03 月 27 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：范益民 电话：021-20572562 邮箱：fanyimin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523020001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 637 | 0.08 | | 总市值(亿元) | 66,978.34 | 5.50 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 55,486.66 | 5.69 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | -11.6% | 0.8% | 23.1% | | 相对表现 | -6.7% | 2.8% | 9.4% | 投资主题 -16% 4% 24% 44% 25/03 25/06 25/08 25/10 26/01 26/03 2025-03-25~2026-03-24 机械 沪深300 相关研究报告 《机械行业周 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK) with a target price of HKD 21 [2][8]. Core Insights - In 2025, the company achieved a net profit of CNY 40.4 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.5%. The comprehensive cost ratio (COR) improved to 97.5%, down by 1.3 percentage points. The total investment return rate was 5.8%, up by 0.1 percentage points, and the return on equity (ROE) was 14.7%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points. A final dividend of CNY 0.44 per share (tax included) is proposed [2][8]. - The company maintained its leading position in the insurance market with a market share of 31.6%, achieving original premium income of CNY 555.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [8]. - The profitability of the auto insurance segment was highlighted, with a premium income of CNY 305.7 billion, up by 2.8% year-on-year, and a significant increase in underwriting profit by 53.6% to CNY 14.3 billion [8]. - The investment asset scale reached CNY 760.4 billion by the end of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.4%. The company adjusted its investment strategy to increase equity allocation, which helped mitigate bond losses due to interest rate fluctuations [8]. Financial Summary - Key financial indicators for 2025 include: - Insurance service performance: CNY 20.165 billion - Year-on-year growth rate: 40.2% - Net profit attributable to shareholders: CNY 40.370 billion - Earnings per share: CNY 1.82 - Price-to-earnings ratio: 7.29 times - Price-to-book ratio: 1.03 times [4][9].

证 券 研 究 报 告 中国太保（601601）2025 年报点评 推荐（维持） 负债端表现亮眼，持续重视 FVOCI 股票投资 事项： ❖ 2025 年，集团实现归母净利润 535 亿元，同比+19%；归母营运利润 365 亿元， 同比+6.1%。寿险实现 NBV 同比+40.1%至 186 亿元，产险 COR 同比-1pct 至 97.6%。2025 年，集团实现净/总/综合投资收益率 3.4%/5.7%/6.1%，分别同比 -0.4pct/+0.1pct/+0.1pct。拟派发末期股息每股 1.15 元（含税）。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万) | 435156 | 443407 | 464706 | 486661 | | 同比增速(%) | 7.7 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | | 归母净利润(百万) | 53505 | 58184 | 64798 | 72256 | | 同比增速(%) | 19.0 | 8. ...

❖ 公司发布 2025 年年报，2025 年公司实现收入 310.1 亿元，YoY+11.0%；归母 净利润 40.6 亿元，YoY+31.1%；扣非归母净利润 39.6 亿元，YoY+27.0%。折 算 25Q4 单季度收入 69.8 亿元，YoY-5.4%；归母净利润 8.2 亿元，YoY+2.9%； 扣非归母净利润 8.8 亿元，YoY+0.6%。 评论： ❖ 风险提示：终端需求不及预期，新能源汽零竞争加剧，原材料价格大幅波动 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 31,012 | 35,470 | 41,668 | 48,956 | | 同比增速(%) | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 17.5% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 4,063 | 4,728 | 5,511 | 6,542 | | 同比增速(%) | 31.1% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | | 每股盈利(元) | ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 中国太保（601601）2025 年报点评 推荐（维持） 负债端表现亮眼，持续重视 FVOCI 股票投资 事项： ❖ 2025 年，集团实现归母净利润 535 亿元，同比+19%；归母营运利润 365 亿元， 同比+6.1%。寿险实现 NBV 同比+40.1%至 186 亿元，产险 COR 同比-1pct 至 97.6%。2025 年，集团实现净/总/综合投资收益率 3.4%/5.7%/6.1%，分别同比 -0.4pct/+0.1pct/+0.1pct。拟派发末期股息每股 1.15 元（含税）。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万) | 435156 | 443407 | 464706 | 486661 | | 同比增速(%) | 7.7 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 | | 归母净利润(百万) | 53505 | 58184 | 64798 | 72256 | | 同比增速(%) | 19.0 ...

公司研究 稳健兑现，加速进阶 目标价：50 元 调味品 2026 年 03 月 27 日 当前价：36.95 元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：欧阳予 邮箱：ouyangyu@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360520070001 事项： 证 券 研 究 报 告 海天味业（603288）2025 年报点评 强推（上调） 评论： 证券分析师：严文炀 邮箱：yanwenyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525070006 证券分析师：董广阳 邮箱：dongguangyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518040001 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 585,182.49 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(万股) | 556,060.05 | | 总市值(亿元) | 2,162.25 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 2,054.64 | | 资产负债率(%) | 15.38 | | 每股净资产(元) | 6.76 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 45.39/34.97 | 市场表现对比图(近 12 个月) -13% -1% 10% 22% 25/03 25 ...

❖ 风险因素：项目接管进度不及预期，物业收缴不及预期，居民消费不及预期。 证 券 研 究 报 告 华润万象生活（1209.HK）跟踪分析报告 推荐（维持） 商业版图持续扩张，春节经营数据表现亮眼 目标价：51.8 港元 [主要财务指标 Indicator_FinchinaSimpleHK] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 17,043 | 17,818 | 19,358 | 20,698 | | 同比增速(%) | 15.4% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 3,629 | 4,031 | 4,412 | 4,843 | | 同比增速(%) | 23.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | | 每股盈利(元) | 1.59 | 1.77 | 1.93 | 2.12 | | 市盈率(倍) | 25 | 22 | 21 | 19 | | 市净率(倍) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 资料来源：公司公告，华 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 视源股份（002841）2025 年报点评 推荐（维持） 营收稳步增长，盈利能力保持稳定 目标价：38.0 元 事项： ❖ 视源股份发布 2025 年年报。25 年公司实现营收 243.5 亿元，YoY+8.7%；归母 净利润 10.1 亿元，YoY+4.4%；扣非归母净利润 7.5 亿元，YoY-10.1%。折算 25Q4 单季度收入 62.7 亿元，YoY+19.4%；归母净利润 1.5 亿元，YoY+261.8%； 扣非归母净利润 0.7 亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 24,354 | 27,207 | 30,028 | 33,201 | | 同比增速(%) | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,013 | 1,130 | 1,353 | 1,662 | | 同比增速(%) | 4.4% | 11.5 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 21 [2][8]. Core Insights - In 2025, the company achieved a net profit of CNY 40.4 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.5%. The comprehensive cost ratio improved to 97.5%, down by 1.3 percentage points. The total investment return rate was 5.8%, up by 0.1 percentage points, and the return on equity was 14.7%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points. A final dividend of CNY 0.44 per share (before tax) is proposed [2][8]. - The company maintained its leading position in the insurance market with a market share of 31.6%, achieving original premium income of CNY 555.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [8]. - The company’s investment assets reached CNY 760.4 billion by the end of 2025, a 12.4% increase from the previous year. The investment strategy was adjusted to increase equity allocation, which helped mitigate bond losses due to rising interest rates [8]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s insurance service performance is projected to grow significantly, with expected revenues of CNY 51.2 billion in 2025, increasing to CNY 59.8 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be CNY 1.82 for 2025, increasing to CNY 2.44 by 2028, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio projected to decrease from 7.29 in 2025 to 5.42 in 2028 [4][8]. - The company’s solvency remains strong, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 65.07% and a net asset value per share of CNY 12.51 [5].

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 雪峰科技（603227）2025 年报点评 强推（维持） 25Q4 业绩同比增长，新疆区位优势拥抱核心 资产，远期发展成长可期 事项： ❖ 2025 年业绩有所承压，Q4 单季同比增长。公司发布 2025 年年报，2025 年全 年实现营业收入 55.64 亿元，同比-8.81%；实现归母净利润 5.04 亿元，同比- 24.65%；实现扣非归母净利润 4.84 亿元，同比-25.24%。2025Q4 单季实现营 业收入 13.81 亿元，同比-10.36%，环比-8.14%；实现归母净利润 1.10 亿元， 同比+65.31%，环比-31.66%；实现扣非归母净利润 1.00 亿元，同比+48.83%， 环比-37.84%。 评论： 民爆用品 2026 年 03 月 27 日 目标价：11.48 元 当前价：9.56 元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：孙维容 邮箱：sunweirong@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360526020001 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）1210 号 联系人：徐思博 邮箱：xusibo@hcyjs.com ...