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华为与优必选正式签署全面合作协议,光伏产业链价格持续下行
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 05:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The electric equipment and new energy industry has shown a downward trend in prices across the photovoltaic supply chain, with significant price drops observed in polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules [2][7][8][9][10]. - The report highlights a strategic partnership between Huawei and UBTECH, focusing on humanoid robots and intelligent technology, which may influence the industry positively [2][5]. - The green certificate market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a 6-fold increase in new transactions year-on-year in Q1 2025, indicating a robust policy framework supporting renewable energy [6]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Preferred stocks include: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Longi Green Energy (601012.SH) - Buy - B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056.SZ) - Buy - A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Canadian Solar (688472.SH) - Buy - A - Deye Technology (605117.SH) - Buy - A - Additional stocks to watch include Xinyi Solar, GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., Ltd., and others [4][11]. Price Tracking - Polysilicon prices have decreased to 37.0 CNY/kg, down 5.1% from the previous week, while silicon wafer prices have also seen declines of 5.0% and 4.3% for different specifications [7][8]. - Battery cell prices are under pressure, with a slight decrease of 1.9% for N-type cells, and module prices are expected to continue their downward trend due to reduced demand [9][11]. - Glass prices for photovoltaic applications have also dropped, with 3.2mm coated glass at 20.5 CNY/m², down 2.38% [10].
成本与宏观变化推动涤纶大涨,长期看好全球化布局的轮胎企业
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 05:05
基础化工 行业周报(20250512-0518) 同步大市-A(维持) 成本与宏观变化推动涤纶大涨,长期看好全球化布局的轮胎企业 2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业周报 基础化工行业近一年市场表现 投资要点 资料来源:最闻 锦湖轮胎光州工厂火灾,预计对韩国轮胎供应造成一定程度的负面影 响。锦湖轮胎在 2024 年度全球 75 强轮胎企业中排名第 13 名,是韩国第二大 轮胎企业。据韩联社报道,5 月 17 日上午 7 点 11 分左右,韩国轮胎制造商 锦湖轮胎位于光州的工厂发生火灾,迫使该工厂停止生产,该工厂有大约 20 吨生橡胶,消防人员表示,可能需要几天时间才能完全扑灭大火。锦湖轮胎 光州工厂作为其在韩国的三大生产基地之一(另两家为谷城工厂、平泽工厂), 是公司本土核心制造中心,预计对韩国轮胎供应造成一定程度的负面影响。 首选股票 评级 002984.SZ 森麒麟 买入-A 601058.SH 赛轮轮胎 买入-B 601966.SH 玲珑轮胎 增持-B 相关报告: 【山证化学原料】风电光伏累计装机首超火电,西格里碳素关闭 Lavradio 碳钎维基地-新材料周报(250505-0509) 20 ...
社零数据点评:4月国内社零同比增长5.1%,限上金银珠宝品类增长超过25%
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 03:23
2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业快报 纺织服装行业近一年市场表现 相关报告: 【 山 证 纺 织 服 装 】 On Running 披 露 2025Q1 季度业绩,亚太区增速领先-【山 证纺服】行业周报 2025.5.19 【山证纺织服装】周大福公布 FY2025Q4 经营数据,中国大陆同店降幅继续收窄- 【山证纺服】行业周报 2025.4.28 分析师: 王冯 执业登记编码:S0760522030003 邮箱:wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码:S0760523050001 邮箱:sunmeng@sxzq.com 分品类来看,4 月金银珠宝品类增速快速提升,体育娱乐用品景气延续。2025 年 4 月,限上化妆品同比增长 7.2%,环比提升 6.1pct;限上金银珠宝同比增长 25.3%,环比 提升 14.7pct,其中上金所 AU9999 收盘价均价为 765.77 元/克,同比涨幅为 38.6%;限 上纺织服装同比增长 2.2%,环比下滑 1.4pct,预计 1-4 月线上渠道增速表现弱于线下渠 道;限上体育/娱乐用品同比增长 23.3%,环比下滑 2.9pct。2025 ...
4月国内社零同比增长5.1%,限上金银珠宝品类增长超过25%
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 02:48
相关报告: 【 山 证 纺 织 服 装 】 On Running 披 露 2025Q1 季度业绩,亚太区增速领先-【山 证纺服】行业周报 2025.5.19 【山证纺织服装】周大福公布 FY2025Q4 经营数据,中国大陆同店降幅继续收窄- 【山证纺服】行业周报 2025.4.28 分析师: 2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业快报 纺织服装行业近一年市场表现 资料来源:最闻,山西证券研究所 王冯 执业登记编码:S0760522030003 邮箱:wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码:S0760523050001 邮箱:sunmeng@sxzq.com 纺织服装 社零数据点评 同步大市-A(维持) 4 月国内社零同比增长 5.1%,限上金银珠宝品类增长超过 25% 事件描述: 5 月 19 日,国家统计局公布 2025 年 4 月社零数据。 事件点评: 4 月国内社零同比增长 5.1%,表现低于市场一致预期。2025 年 4 月,国内实现社零 总额 3.72 万亿元,同比增长 5.1%,环比下滑 0.8pct,表现低于市场一致预期(根据 Wind, 2025 年 4 月社零当月同比 ...
山西证券研究早观点-20250520
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 01:02
Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,367.58, unchanged, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.08% to 10,171.09 [4] - The new stock market activity has decreased, with the first-day gains and opening valuations of new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market both declining in May [5] Company Insights - On Running reported a revenue of 727 million Swiss francs in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.0%, with a net profit of 56.7 million Swiss francs, down 38.0% year-on-year [8][11] - The company achieved a gross margin of 59.9% in Q1 2025, a slight increase from the previous year, and inventory decreased by 4.7% to 399 million Swiss francs [11] - Yingjie Electric's revenue for 2024 was 1.78 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.59%, but net profit decreased by 25.19% due to increased R&D and asset impairment losses [23][21] Industry Dynamics - The coal industry is experiencing a return to supply-demand logic, with thermal coal prices expected to stabilize as summer inventory demands increase [13][16] - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.01% increase, with specific segments like accessories and home goods performing well [12] - The semiconductor and electronic materials sectors are showing growth, with Yingjie Electric's semiconductor-related revenue increasing by 6.41% year-on-year [23][21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong performance in the textile sector, particularly those benefiting from government subsidies [12] - In the coal sector, companies like Xinjie Energy and Huahua Energy are highlighted as undervalued opportunities [16] - For On Running, the forecast for 2025 indicates a revenue growth of at least 28%, reaching 2.86 billion Swiss francs [11]
行业研究、行业周报:关税博弈落地,煤炭重回供需逻辑
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 11:45
煤炭 行业周报(20250512-20250518) 同步大市-A(维持) 关税博弈落地,煤炭重回供需逻辑 2025 年 5 月 19 日 行业研究/行业周报 煤炭行业近一年市场表现 投资要点 动态数据跟踪 执业登记编码:S0760519110001 邮箱:liuguijun@sxzq.com 焦、钢产业链:开工提高,焦炭价格回落。本周焦煤价格下降,焦炭利 润有所改善,焦炭企业开工率有所提高,叠加成本支撑减弱,焦炭价格提降。 后期,宏观预期有望继续落地,外贸环境改善下游预期,基建、地产施工或 将发力,钢材需求刚性仍存,焦炭价格预计下降空间不大。截至 5 月 16 日, 天津港一级冶金焦均价 1480 元/吨,周变化-3.27%;港口平均焦、煤价差(焦 炭-炼焦煤)249 元/吨,周变化-9.45%。独立焦化厂、样本钢厂焦炭总库存 分别 65.48 万吨和 663.52 万吨,周变化分别+0.581%、-1.08%;四港口焦 炭总库存 222.62 万吨,周变化-1.30%;全国市场螺纹钢平均价格 3333 元/ 吨,周变化+0.97%;螺纹钢全社会、生产企业库存分别合计 434.97 万吨、 185.03 万 ...
山证纺服行业周报:OnRunning披露2025Q1季度业绩,亚太区增速领先-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 09:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the textile and apparel industry [1]. Core Insights - On Running reported a revenue of 727 million Swiss Francs in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.0%, and a currency-neutral growth of 40% [2][17]. - The adjusted EBITDA for On Running in Q1 2025 was 129 million Swiss Francs, up 54.8% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 38.0% to 56.7 million Swiss Francs [2][17]. - The DTC channel revenue grew by 45.3% to 277 million Swiss Francs, and wholesale channel revenue increased by 41.5% to 450 million Swiss Francs in Q1 2025 [3][17]. - The Asia-Pacific region showed significant growth, with a revenue increase of 130.1% to 121 million Swiss Francs in Q1 2025 [3][17]. - The footwear segment saw a revenue increase of 40.5% to 681 million Swiss Francs, while apparel and accessories grew by 93.1% and 99.2%, respectively [3][17]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW textile and apparel sector rose by 1.01% this week, lagging behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 1.12% [19]. - The SW textile manufacturing sector's PE-TTM was 20.47, while the apparel and home textile sector's PE-TTM was 26.37, indicating high valuation levels [26]. Company Performance - On Running's gross margin in Q1 2025 was 59.9%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [18]. - The company expects a revenue growth of at least 28% in 2025, targeting 2.86 billion Swiss Francs, with a gross margin of 60%-60.5% [4][18]. Industry Data Tracking - In the first four months of 2025, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to 458.48 billion and 446.20 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% and a decline of 1.5%, respectively [46]. - The domestic retail sales in March 2025 reached 4.09 trillion yuan, growing by 5.9% year-on-year, with textile and apparel sales increasing by 3.6% [55][56].
英杰电气:光伏周期导致业绩承压,半导体业务稳步提升-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 08:25
电力电子及自动化 英杰电气(300820.SZ) 增持-A(首次) 光伏周期导致业绩承压,半导体业务稳步提升 2025 年 5 月 19 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年第一季度报告。2024 年,公司实现营业 收入 17.8 亿元,同比+0.59%;实现归母净利润 3.23 亿元,同比-25.19%;扣 非归母净利润 3.07 亿元,同比-27.87%。25Q1 公司实现营业收入 3.25 亿元, 同比-13.30%;归母净利润 0.50 亿元,同比-36.84%。 事件点评 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 16 日 收盘价(元): 44.67 年内最高/最低(元): 73.50/34.14 流通A股/总股本(亿): 1.11/2.22 流通 A 股市值(亿): 49.59 总市值(亿): 99.00 利润承压,主要系研发和资产减值增加等所致。2024 年,收入端小幅增 长 0.59%,毛利率 38.50%/yoy+1.27pct,销售净利率 18.84%/yoy-5.53pct。其 中,研发费用 1.37 亿元/yoy+40.18%,研发费用 ...
美埃科技:下游拓展与海外布局并举,业绩有望维持增势-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 08:25
其他专用机械 美埃科技(688376.SH) 增持-A(首次) 下游拓展与海外布局并举,业绩有望维持增势 | 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 | 16 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元): | 34.65 | | 年内最高/最低(元): | 45.98/24.25 | | 流通A股/总股本(亿): | 0.51/1.34 | | 流通 股市值(亿): A | 17.67 | | 总市值(亿): | 46.57 | | 基础数据:2025 | 年 | 月 | 日 | 3 | 31 | 基本每股收益(元): | 0.33 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元): | 0.33 | | | | | | | | 每股净资产(元): | 14.62 | | | | | | | | 净资产收益率(%): | 2.23 | | | | | | | 资料来源:最闻 分析师: 姚健 执业登记编码:S0760525040001 邮箱:yaojian@sxzq.com 徐风 执业登记编码:S0760519110003 邮箱:x ...
新股周报(2025.05.19-2025.05.23):5月份科创板、创业板新股首日涨幅和开板估值均下降-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 08:05
Group 1 - The new stock market activity has decreased, with the first-day gains and opening valuations of new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market both declining in May [2][3][14] - In the past week, 33 new stocks listed in the last six months recorded positive gains, accounting for 68.75%, down from 83.33% previously [2][14] - The first-day gain of Hanbang Technology on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board was 115.20%, with an opening valuation of 50.90 times [2][18] - The first-day gain of Zairun New Energy on the Growth Enterprise Market was 98.12%, with an opening valuation of 30.86 times [2][29] Group 2 - The first-day opening price-earnings ratio (PE) for new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board decreased to 50.90 times in May, down from 154.01 times in March [20] - The first-day opening PE for new stocks on the Growth Enterprise Market was 30.86 times in May, down from 58.65 times in April [30] - The first-day gains for new stocks on the Main Board were 197.82% in April, down from 289.09% in March [40] Group 3 - The report highlights key new stocks that have recently been listed, including Victory Nano (semiconductor third-party testing laboratory) and Silicon Electric (semiconductor probe station equipment) [5][58] - The report also identifies upcoming new stocks awaiting approval, such as Yitang Co., Ltd. (dry degluing/rapid heat treatment equipment) and Yingstone Innovation (consumer-grade panoramic cameras) [50][51] - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape in the blood purification market, where domestic manufacturers are gradually replacing foreign brands in the hemodialysis market [54][55]