2026 年 2 月 10 日 行业研究/行业周报 非银行金融行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：常闻 【山证非银行金融】建设金融强国，关 注板块投资价值-【山证非银】行业周报 （20260126-20260201）： 2026.2.5 【山证非银行金融】公募业绩基准出台， 关注板块投资价值-【山证非银】行业周 报（20260119-20260125）： 2026.1.29 分析师： 刘丽 执业登记编码：S0760511050001 电话：0351--8686985 邮箱：liuli2@sxzq.com 孙田田 执业登记编码：S0760518030001 电话：0351-8686900 邮箱：suntiantian@sxzq.com 彭皓辰 执业登记编码：S0760525060001 邮箱：penghaochen@sxzq.com 非银行金融 行业周报（20260202-20260208） 领先大市-A(维持)) 修订发行承销监管指引，关注板块投资价值 投资要点 相关报告： 沪深交易所修订发行承销违规行为监管指引。沪深交易所分别 修订了《发行承销违规行为监管指引》，完善监管标准与违规情形， 提升发行承销监管的规范性 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within 6-12 months [58]. Core Insights - The company, Aide Technology, is a leading domestic player in the spinal vertebral body shaping system, benefiting from the aging population and increasing demand for orthopedic medical devices [3][28]. - The orthopedic implant medical device industry is projected to reach a market size of 24.6 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the aging population and increasing treatment penetration rates [4][36]. - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix covering 132 products across various orthopedic fields, including spinal, trauma, and sports medicine [5][35]. Summary by Sections Market Data - Total share capital is 0.89 billion shares [1]. Financial Data - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.86 billion yuan, 2.62 billion yuan, 2.75 billion yuan, and 3.02 billion yuan from 2022 to 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.11%, -8.22%, 4.87%, and 9.74% respectively [6][47]. - Net profit for the same period is projected to be 9327.94 million yuan, 6356.86 million yuan, 6713.05 million yuan, and 7775.27 million yuan, with growth rates of -0.21%, -31.85%, 5.60%, and 15.82% respectively [6][47]. Company Overview - Aide Technology focuses on the research, production, and sales of orthopedic consumables, including spinal, trauma, and sports medicine products [3][28]. - The company has been recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and has received various accolades, including "Jiangsu Province Specialized and Innovative Small and Medium Enterprises" [3][28]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a well-established national sales network and a deep communication mechanism with hospitals and orthopedic doctors, enhancing product recognition and market penetration [5][35]. - Aide Technology has obtained 108 patents, with a research and development investment ratio of 6.96% from 2022 to 2024, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [5][35]. Market Trends - The demand for orthopedic implants is driven by a high prevalence of osteoporosis and vertebral compression fractures among the elderly population, with over 32% of individuals aged 65 and above affected [4][36]. - The company is adapting to the normalized procurement policies by promoting non-procurement products, which have shown steady growth, partially offsetting the revenue decline from procurement products [47]. Valuation Analysis - The company's projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2024 is 13.50, which is at a discount compared to comparable companies in the industry, whose average PE is 57.78 [25][26].

资料来源：常闻 | 首选股票 | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | | 300418.SZ | 昆仑万维 | 买入-A | | 601595.SH | 上海电影 | 买入-A | | 603258.SH | 电魂网络 | 增持-A | 相关报告： 潘宁河 执业登记编码：S0760523110001 邮箱：panninghe@sxzq.com 林挺 执业登记编码：S0760524100003 邮箱：linting@sxzq.com 传媒 行业年度策略报告 领先大市-A(维持) AI 应用+IP 生态双轮驱动，行业基本面有望持续向好 2026 年 2 月 10 日 行业研究/行业年度策略 投资要点： 传媒业绩增速向上，AI、游戏驱动指数上涨。2025 年全年，传媒指数 累计上涨 27.17%，位于申万 31 个一级子行业的第 9 名。传媒子板块中，游 戏、电视广播涨幅分别为 60.50%、20.80%，涨幅较为领先。2025 年 Q1-Q3， 传媒行业实现营收 3872.78 亿元，同比+5.75%；实现归母净利润 321.09 亿元， 同比+37.88%。子板块中，影视、游戏行业板块利润表现 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company, indicating an expected price increase exceeding 15% relative to the benchmark index within 6-12 months [58]. Core Insights - The company, Aide Technology, is a leading domestic player in the spinal vertebral body shaping system, benefiting from the aging population and increasing demand for orthopedic medical devices [3][28]. - The orthopedic implant medical device industry is projected to reach a market size of 24.6 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the aging population and increasing treatment penetration rates [4][36]. - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix covering 132 items across various orthopedic fields, including spinal, trauma, and sports medicine [5][35]. Summary by Sections Market Data - Total share capital is 0.89 billion shares [1]. Financial Data - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.86 billion yuan, 2.62 billion yuan, 2.75 billion yuan, and 3.02 billion yuan from 2022 to 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.11%, -8.22%, 4.87%, and 9.74% respectively [6][47]. - Net profit for the same period is projected to be 93.28 million yuan, 63.57 million yuan, 67.13 million yuan, and 77.75 million yuan, with growth rates of -0.21%, -31.85%, 5.60%, and 15.82% respectively [6][47]. - The company's gross margin is expected to be 62.45%, 57.80%, 58.05%, and 58.90% from 2022 to 2025 [50]. Business Overview - Aide Technology focuses on the research, production, and sales of orthopedic consumables, including spinal, trauma, and sports medicine products [3][28]. - The company has been recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and has received various accolades, including "Jiangsu Province Specialized and Innovative Small and Medium-sized Enterprises" [3][28]. Competitive Position - The company ranks third among domestic manufacturers of spinal vertebral body shaping systems and sixth among spinal implant manufacturers [3][28]. - Aide Technology has a well-established national sales network and a strong communication mechanism with hospitals and orthopedic surgeons, enhancing product recognition and market penetration [5][35]. Investment Analysis - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing trend of centralized procurement in the industry, which is expected to normalize pricing and enhance market opportunities [4][36]. - The company’s revenue from non-procurement products is growing, helping to offset declines in procurement product revenues [47]. Use of Proceeds - The company plans to use the proceeds from its public offering for expanding orthopedic consumables production, building a research center, and enhancing its marketing network [53][54].

Group 1: AIDC and Power Supply Innovations - The global AIDC demand is experiencing significant growth, with major cloud companies increasing their capital expenditures. In FY2025, the top three global cloud providers are expected to collectively spend nearly $300 billion [3][19] - High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) is becoming the preferred solution for next-generation data center power supply, as it enhances power efficiency and reduces material usage. The global HVDC market is projected to reach approximately $30 billion by 2027 [4][59] - Key recommendations for HVDC and Storage Solutions include companies like Zhongheng Electric and Siyuan Electric, with additional attention on Keda Data, Kstar, and others [10][65] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, with supply-demand dynamics expected to gradually improve. In 2025, domestic photovoltaic installations are projected to reach a record high, although global installation growth is anticipated to slow down post-2026 [5][6] - The industry is actively reducing operating rates to improve supply-demand structures, with significant declines in operating rates for polysilicon and other segments noted [6][7] - Key recommendations in the photovoltaic sector focus on supply-side improvements and new technologies, with companies like Flat Glass and Quartz Holdings highlighted for their potential [11][10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Synchronize with the market - A" [1] Core Insights - SpaceX's application for deploying a satellite system with up to 1 million satellites has been accepted by the FCC, which aims to support advanced AI models and related applications [2] - The utilization rate of photovoltaic power generation is projected to reach 94.8% by 2025, with wind power utilization at 94.3% [3] - The National Energy Administration announced that by December 2025, there will be 6,190 new registered photovoltaic power generation projects [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Haibo Technology (688411.SH) - Buy - A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Longxin Technology (300682.SZ) - Buy - B - Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) - Buy - A [3][4] Market Performance - The report indicates a 7.4% year-on-year increase in the national electricity market transaction volume by 2025 [4] - The report highlights a stable price trend for polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules, with no significant fluctuations observed [5][7][8] Investment Suggestions - Key investment directions include: - BC new technology: Aishuo Co., Ltd. - Supply-side focus: Daqo New Energy, Flat Glass Group - Energy storage direction: Haibo Technology, Sungrow Power Supply - Market-oriented direction: Longxin Group - Domestic substitution direction: Quartz Co., Ltd. - Attention to space photovoltaic: Liancheng CNC, Dike Co., Ltd., Longi Green Energy, and others [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for Tianfu Communication (300394.SZ) [1] Core Views - The company's performance meets expectations, with anticipated growth in the 1.6T optical engine and CPO, NPO products [1] - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected between 1.88 billion to 2.15 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.0% to 60.0% [3] - The report highlights the alleviation of material bottlenecks and the expected ramp-up in the 1.6T optical engine production, driven by strong demand for AI hardware [4] - The company is positioned as a key player in the supply chain for NVIDIA's CPO products, leveraging its manufacturing capabilities [5] Financial Performance and Projections - The company expects revenues to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 5.41 billion yuan in 2025, 10.55 billion yuan in 2026, and 16.64 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 66.4%, 95.0%, and 57.7% respectively [8] - Net profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.01 billion yuan, 3.78 billion yuan, and 5.58 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 49.3%, 88.6%, and 47.4% [8] - The report indicates a diluted EPS of 2.58 yuan for 2025, 4.87 yuan for 2026, and 7.18 yuan for 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 115.4, 61.2, and 41.5 [7][8] Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The report notes that the company is likely to benefit from the strong demand for 1.6T optical modules driven by capital expenditures in North America [7] - The company is expected to play a significant role in the CPO/NPO market, particularly in the Scaleup segment, which is anticipated to have a larger growth curve compared to Scaleout [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [1]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.1 to 1.18 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.8% to 39.2% [3]. - The demand for electronic materials, communication cables, power products, and new energy vehicle products is on the rise, contributing to revenue growth across all business segments, particularly in communication cables and new energy vehicles [3]. - The global high-speed copper cable market is projected to reach 1.9 billion yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.9% expected until 2029 [4]. - The company is positioned as the third-largest global and the largest domestic manufacturer of high-speed copper communication cables [4]. - The company has deployed 16 imported foamed core wire extrusion machines, leading in global production capacity [6]. - The domestic DC charging gun market is anticipated to grow from 1.7 billion yuan in 2025 to 4.1 billion yuan by 2029, with the company ranking fifth globally and first in DC charging guns [6]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.16 billion yuan for 2025, 1.88 billion yuan for 2026, and 2.57 billion yuan for 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 36.3%, 62.7%, and 36.4% [7]. - Revenue is projected to increase from 5.723 billion yuan in 2023 to 15.896 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 30.8% [8]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 32.6% in 2023 to 35.9% in 2027 [8]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 49.1 in 2023 to 13.4 in 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [8].

Investment Ratings - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Haida Group (002311.SZ) and "Buy-B" for Shengnong Development (002299.SZ) and Wen's Shares (300498.SZ) [2] Core Insights - The pig prices are expected to face downward pressure after the peak season, with self-breeding pig farming profits currently in the negative [4] - The feed industry is undergoing accelerated consolidation, with market share shifting towards leading companies with R&D advantages and scale [4] - The report highlights opportunities for Haida Group due to its efficient internal management and strong service advantages in the industry chain [4] - The report suggests that the pig farming industry may experience a significant capacity reduction in 2026, which could improve the fundamentals and valuations of the sector [5] - The pet food sector is expected to continue growing, with a shift in competition from marketing to R&D and supply chain management [6] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The agricultural sector saw a decline of 1.92% in the week of February 2-8, 2026, with the food and feed additives, meat chicken farming, and pig farming sectors performing relatively well [3][13] 2. Pig Farming - As of February 6, 2026, the average prices for external three-way cross pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan were 11.65, 11.96, and 12.38 CNY/kg, respectively, showing a week-on-week decline of 4.12%, 1.64%, and 1.98% [4][22] - The average pork price was 18.34 CNY/kg, down 1.45% from the previous week [4][22] - Self-breeding pig farming profits were reported at -38.09 CNY/head, a decrease of 63.19 CNY/head from the previous week [4][22] 3. Poultry Farming - The price of white feather chickens was reported at 7.53 CNY/kg, down 2.71% week-on-week, with a loss of 0.26 CNY per chicken [37] 4. Feed Processing - The average price of feed for fattening pigs remained stable at 3.37 CNY/kg as of January 29, 2026 [41] 5. Aquaculture - As of February 6, 2026, the price of sea cucumbers was 120 CNY/kg, and the price of shrimp was 320 CNY/kg, both remaining stable [47] 6. Crop and Oilseed Processing - As of February 6, 2026, corn was priced at 2368.43 CNY/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.33% week-on-week, while soybean prices remained stable at 4072.11 CNY/ton [56][57]

Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed positive performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,123.09, up 1.41%, indicating broad growth potential [4] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.17%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.98%, reflecting a strong market sentiment [4] Company Insights - Under Armour reported a 4% decline in revenue for FY2026, with Q3 revenue dropping 5% to $1.3 billion and a net loss of $431 million [8] - In North America, Under Armour's revenue fell by 10% to $757 million, while international markets saw a 3% increase, with EMEA growing by 6% and Latin America by 20% [8] - The company's gross margin decreased by 3.10 percentage points to 44.4%, primarily due to higher tariffs and pricing pressures [8] - For FY2026, Under Armour anticipates an 8% revenue decline in North America and a 6% decline in the Asia-Pacific region, with an expected operating loss of $154 million [8] Industry Dynamics - In 2025, China's gold consumption is projected to decline by 3.57% to 950.096 tons, with jewelry consumption dropping by 31.61% [8] - The demand for gold is diversifying, with a notable increase in gold bars and coins consumption, which is expected to surpass jewelry consumption for the first time [8] - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.32% increase, outperforming the broader market, with specific segments like textile manufacturing and apparel showing significant gains [9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brands like Bosideng, which is expected to meet its sales targets due to product innovation and extended sales periods [9] - Companies like Geely and Jiangnan Buyi are highlighted for their stable performance and high dividend yields, with Jiangnan Buyi maintaining an average payout ratio of 84% from 2021 to 2025 [9] - In the home textile sector, companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textile are recommended due to their strong product performance and market positioning [9] - The report emphasizes the potential of companies involved in gold investment, such as Caibai Co., which is expected to see significant profit growth due to rising gold prices [10]