咨询实施及其他服务 汉得信息（300170.SZ） 买入-A(首次) 毛利率持续改善，AI 业务收入贡献逐渐体现 2025 年 9 月 16 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 | 年 月 市场数据：2025 | 9 | 日 15 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | 17.67 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | | 26.63/6.18 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 | | | 9.74/10.11 | | 股）： | | | | | 流通 股市值（亿）： A | | | 172.13 | | 总市值（亿）： | | | 178.71 | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 6 | 日 30 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | 0.09 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | 0.09 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 5.35 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | 1.62 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | | 方闻千 执业登记编码：S0760524 ...

Market Overview - In August 2025, the domestic retail sales (社零) totaled 3.97 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4%, slightly below market expectations of 3.82% [6][5] - For the first eight months of 2025, total retail sales reached 32.39 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [6] - The consumer confidence index in July 2025 was reported at 89.0, showing a month-on-month increase of 1.1 [6] Retail Sector Insights - Online retail channels continued to outperform the overall retail market, with physical stores like convenience stores and supermarkets showing stable performance [6] - In August 2025, the year-on-year growth for cosmetics was 5.1%, while gold and silver jewelry saw a significant increase of 16.8% [6] - The sports and entertainment goods sector maintained rapid growth, with a year-on-year increase of 16.9% in August [6] Textile and Apparel Sector - The textile and apparel retail sales in August 2025 showed marginal improvement, with a cumulative year-on-year growth of 2.9% for the first eight months [7] - The sports apparel segment experienced a robust growth rate of 20.6% year-on-year for the same period [7] - Major brands like 361 Degrees reported double-digit growth, while other brands like Li Ning and Anta showed low to mid-single-digit growth [7] Coal Industry Analysis - In August 2025, coal supply showed a marginal decrease, with cumulative production of 3.165 billion tons for the first eight months, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [10] - The demand for coal was supported by manufacturing and infrastructure investments, with fixed asset investment growing by 0.5% [10] - Coal prices experienced an unexpected rebound in August, driven by supply-demand tensions, with significant increases in both coking coal and thermal coal prices [11] Investment Recommendations - For the textile manufacturing sector, companies like Shenzhou International and Kairun Co. are recommended due to their strong performance outlook [9] - In the gold and jewelry retail sector, companies such as Laopuyin and Chaohongji are recommended, with expectations of sustained demand due to rising gold prices [9] - The coal sector suggests focusing on companies like Huayang Co. and Jinkong Coal Industry, anticipating improvements in production and sales ratios in the upcoming quarters [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market" for the textile and apparel industry [2][27]. Core Insights - In August 2025, domestic retail sales (社零) grew by 3.4% year-on-year, slightly below market expectations, with a total retail sales amounting to 3.97 trillion yuan [5][6]. - The retail sales growth for the textile and apparel sector in the first eight months of 2025 was 2.9%, with a notable increase in sports and entertainment products, which saw a growth of 20.6% [8][10]. - The online retail channel continues to outperform the overall retail market, with a year-on-year growth of 6.4% in physical goods online sales [6][10]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In August 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for dining and goods retail were 2.1% and 3.6%, respectively [5]. - The consumer confidence index in July 2025 was 89.0, reflecting a 1.1 point increase [5]. Channel Analysis - Online channels showed a year-on-year growth of 6.4% in physical goods, while offline channels like convenience stores and supermarkets demonstrated stable performance [6]. - For the first eight months of 2025, retail sales in convenience stores, supermarkets, department stores, specialty stores, and brand stores grew by 6.6%, 4.9%, 1.2%, 5.2%, and 1.7%, respectively [6]. Sector-Specific Insights - The jewelry sector saw a significant year-on-year growth of 16.8% in August 2025, with gold prices reaching an average of 775.92 yuan per gram, up 36.7% year-on-year [7][11]. - The textile and apparel sector's year-on-year growth was 3.1% in August 2025, with a marginal improvement compared to previous months [7][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on brands like 361 Degrees, with a noted increase in revenue growth among major sports brands [8][10]. - For the textile manufacturing sector, it suggests tracking the recovery of Nike, which could positively impact overall sector valuations [10].

煤炭 煤炭月度供需数据点评 领先大市-A(维持) 煤炭行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 【山证煤炭】煤炭进口数据拆解：25 年 7 月进口煤量收缩趋势放缓，未来增量有 待观察 2025.8.26 【山证煤炭】7 月：供给收缩，反内卷或 带来"温和风暴"-煤炭月度供需数据点 评 2025.8.18 分析师： 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 8 月：供给收缩，煤价超预期上涨 2025 年 9 月 15 日 行业研究/行业快报 8 月： 供给：1-8 月原煤供给边际递减。2025 年 1-8 月，原煤累计产量实现 31.65 亿吨，同比增 2.8%，同比增速边际下滑。8 月当月实现 3.91 亿吨，同比降 3.2%，环比增 2.5%。 首选股票 评级 需求：1-8 月终端需求受制造业和基建支撑，电力需求改善。25 年 1-8 月固定资产投资同比增 0.5%，其中制造业投资增 5.1%、基建投资增 2.0%、 房地产投资降 12.9%。25 年 1-8 月火电累计增速实现-0.8%；焦炭累计增速实 现 2.8%；生铁累计增速实现-1.1%；水泥累计增速实现-4. ...

研究早观点 2025 年 9 月 15 日 星期一 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,870.60 | -0.12 | | 深证成指 | | 12,924.13 | -0.43 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,522.00 | -0.57 | | 中小板指 | | 7,880.17 | -0.54 | | 创业板指 | | 3,020.42 | -1.09 | | 科创 | 50 | 1,338.02 | 0.90 | 【公司评论】上海瀚讯(300762.SZ)：上海瀚讯 2025 半年报点评-卫星 收入受发射节奏客观影响，特种通信业务有望迎来实质性拐点 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 彭皓辰 执业登记编码：S0760525060001 邮箱：penghaochen@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 【行业评论】通信：山西证券通信行业周跟踪：博通 ASIC 预期再上 调，深圳光博会预热 研究早观点 【今日要 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected increase in stock prices exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][46]. Core Insights - Broadcom's latest financial report shows continued high growth in AI business, with new ASIC customer orders worth billions confirmed. The company reported a revenue of $15.95 billion for Q3 2025, a 22% year-on-year increase, and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.69, up 36.3% year-on-year, both exceeding analyst expectations. The forecast for Q4 revenue is approximately $17.4 billion, indicating close to double-digit sequential growth. AI revenue has seen a 63% year-on-year increase, reaching $5.2 billion, with expectations to rise to $6.2 billion in the next quarter. Broadcom anticipates ASIC market demand to reach $60-90 billion by FY2027, suggesting potential for annual doubling of AI business if significant market share is captured [3][14][41]. - The upcoming CIOE 2025 in Shenzhen is expected to boost the optical module sector, with several key product trends identified. Notable products include 3.2T optical modules, TFLN thin-film lithium niobate chips, silicon photonic chips, CPO high-density optical connection products, and hollow-core fiber products. These innovations are anticipated to enhance the capabilities and competitiveness of the optical communication industry [4][15][16]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Outperform" with expectations of significant growth [1][46]. Market Performance - The overall market showed mixed results for the week of September 1-7, 2025, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.35%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.18%. The communication index dropped by 2.68%, and the technology innovation board fell by 5.42%. The optical module sector led with an 8.4% increase [7][17]. Key Company Highlights - Broadcom's Q3 2025 results highlight strong performance in AI, with significant orders and revenue growth, indicating resilience against market concerns regarding North American cloud investment slowdowns [3][14][41]. - The report suggests focusing on companies in various segments, including domestic computing servers (ZTE, Unisoc, Huaqin Technology), optical modules (Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology), and satellite internet (Chengchang Technology, Zhenlei Technology) [6][17]. Upcoming Events - The CIOE 2025 event is anticipated to showcase significant advancements in optical communication technology, potentially driving growth in the optical module sector [4][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected growth exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][46]. Core Insights - Broadcom's latest financial report shows continued high growth in AI business, with new ASIC customer orders reaching 10 billion USD. The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 15.95 billion USD, a 22% year-on-year increase, and a non-GAAP EPS of 1.69 USD, up 36.3% year-on-year, exceeding analyst expectations. The forecast for Q4 revenue is approximately 17.4 billion USD, indicating nearly double-digit sequential growth. AI revenue has seen a 63% year-on-year increase, reaching 5.2 billion USD, with expectations to rise to 6.2 billion USD next quarter. Broadcom anticipates ASIC demand to reach 60 to 90 billion USD by FY2027, suggesting potential for annual doubling of AI business growth if it captures a significant market share [3][15][41]. - The upcoming Shenzhen Optical Expo (CIOE2025) on September 10 is expected to boost the optical module sector. Key areas of focus include the introduction of 3.2T optical modules, TFLN thin-film lithium niobate chips, silicon photonic chips, CPO high-density optical connection products, and hollow-core fiber products. These innovations are anticipated to enhance the capabilities and offerings within the optical communication industry [4][16]. Summary by Sections Weekly Viewpoint and Investment Suggestions - Broadcom's strong AI financial results alleviate concerns regarding investment slowdowns among North American cloud providers, indicating a potential resonance between GPU and ASIC markets in 2026-2027 [15][17]. - The report suggests focusing on companies in various sectors, including domestic computing servers (ZTE, Unisoc, Huaqin Technology), optical modules (Zhongji Xuchuang, NewEase, Tianfu Communication), and satellite internet (Chengchang Technology, Zhenlei Technology) [18]. Market Overview - The overall market performance for the week of September 1-7, 2025, showed mixed results, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.35%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.18%. The communication index dropped by 2.68%, with the optical module sector leading gains at +8.4% [6][17]. Sector Performance - The optical module sector is highlighted as having a strong upward trend, with major companies showing a safety margin in performance post-adjustment. The report indicates that upstream related stocks have been undervalued and warrant investor attention [6][17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Increase-A" with a downward adjustment [1][8]. Core Viewpoints - The company's satellite revenue is objectively affected by the launch rhythm, while the special communication business is expected to see a substantial turning point [3][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 173 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 63.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -29 million yuan, up 44.97% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is a key research and development unit for low-orbit satellite communication subsystems, with core capabilities in phased array antenna development and satellite payload research [5][7]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 23 million yuan, 120 million yuan, and 183 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is 547 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 54.7% [10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be 49.1% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 4.2% [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for satellite communication, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's guidance expected to accelerate industry development [5][6]. - The establishment of the Information Support Force in April 2024 marks a new phase in national defense informatization, which will drive upgrades in military communication systems [6][7]. Project Progress - The company has made significant progress in various projects, including winning bids for a 5G self-organizing network project and developing communication equipment for unmanned platforms [7]. - The company is expected to see a recovery in the military industry as new equipment is showcased, with a potential increase in defense budget utilization [7][8].

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,875.31, up by 1.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 3.36% to 12,979.89 [2][4]. Company Analysis: 阳光电源 (Sungrow Power Supply) - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 43.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.3%, and a net profit of 7.73 billion yuan, up by 56.0% [9]. - The company's photovoltaic inverter revenue reached 13.4 billion yuan, growing by 11% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 35.74% [9]. - The energy storage system revenue doubled to 17.8 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 39.92% [9]. - R&D investment increased by 37% to 2.037 billion yuan, with a focus on AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) [9]. Company Analysis: 永辉超市 (Yonghui Superstores) - The company is undergoing a transformation towards quality retail, with a focus on product innovation and supply chain reform [10]. - In 2024, the top 100 supermarkets in China are expected to have a sales scale of approximately 900 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3% [10]. - The company plans to expand its remodeled stores from 160 to 200 by the end of September 2025, aiming for 300 by the Lunar New Year [10][11]. Company Analysis: 新致软件 (New Wisdom Software) - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 897 million yuan, a decrease of 3.4% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 42.84% [12][13]. - The company is focusing on AI applications, with significant growth in intelligent income, which rose by 89.4% [23]. Company Analysis: 盐津铺子 (Yanjinpuzi) - The company achieved total revenue of 2.941 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.58% [16]. - The revenue from konjac products surged by 155.10%, driven by strong sales of its flagship product [18]. Company Analysis: 中国电信 (China Telecom) - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with a net profit of 23 billion yuan, up by 5.5% [23]. - The company is expanding its AI and cloud services, with intelligent income growing significantly [24][25]. Company Analysis: 永太科技 (Energizer Technology) - The establishment of a joint venture for lithium battery technology commercialization is expected to enhance the company's market position [27]. - The company aims for significant revenue growth in the coming years, driven by new product developments in lithium battery materials [30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for price appreciation [9]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated significant growth in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 40.3% and a net profit increase of 56.0% for the first half of 2025 [5]. - The company is positioned as a leader in both solar and energy storage sectors, with a strong global competitive edge [9]. - The company is focusing on technological innovation and product competitiveness, with a substantial increase in R&D investment [7]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 435.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 77.3 billion yuan [5]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 245.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.7% [5]. - The company's gross margin for solar inverters was 35.74%, while the gross margin for energy storage systems was 39.92% [6]. Product Development - The company launched two new inverter products, including the world's first 400kW+ string inverter and a modular inverter [6]. - The energy storage system revenue doubled year-on-year, reflecting strong demand and product innovation [6]. Market Strategy - The company is expanding its global presence, with over 50GW of overseas inverter production capacity and more than 20 overseas branches [6]. - The establishment of the AIDC division indicates a strategic focus on advanced industrial applications and overseas markets [7]. Financial Projections - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 6.49, 7.16, and 7.79 yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 21.1, 19.1, and 17.6 [9]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 90.947 billion yuan in 2025 to 114.659 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 11.2% [13].