市场数据：2026 年 2 月 5 日 收盘价（元/股）： 15.44 年内最高/最低（元/ 股）： 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 流通 A 股市值（亿元）： 914.65 总市值（亿元）： 1,549.79 资料来源：常闻 基础数据：2025 年 9 月 30 日 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 程俊杰 执业登记编码：S0760519110005 邮箱：chengjunjie@sxzq.com 动力煤 兖矿能源（600188.SH） 买入-A(维持) 印尼煤出口暂停催化海外煤价，公司海外业务有望受益 2026 年 2 月 6 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 2 月 3 日据财联社报道，印尼矿业官员表示，由于印尼政府提出大幅减 产计划，该国矿商已暂停现货煤炭出口。印尼主要行业协会反对此举，警告 称可能引发裁员和矿山关闭。 事件点评 | 基本每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | 每股净资产(元/股)： | 14.24 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 7.80 | | 资 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market-A" for the communication industry, indicating an expected outperformance of over 10% compared to the benchmark index [1][36]. Core Insights - The emergence of Moltbot as a significant application in Silicon Valley represents a major leap in AI capabilities, enabling seamless workflow automation from thought to execution. This application has rapidly gained popularity, surpassing 100,000 stars on GitHub, making it one of the fastest-growing open-source projects globally [4][12]. - The report highlights the potential for unlimited cloud computing power driven by applications like Moltbot, which could lead to increased capital expenditures in cloud service providers (CSPs) due to rising demand for computational resources [4][12]. - The demand for cloud hosts and various types of home servers is expected to grow rapidly, benefiting public cloud vendors as they offer more secure and stable solutions compared to local PCs [5][13]. - AIOT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) applications on the edge are anticipated to have significant potential, as Moltbot combines cloud capabilities with local execution, creating a closed-loop system for industrial intelligence [5][13]. - SpaceX's plan to establish a satellite computing cluster consisting of up to 1 million satellites represents a substantial development in space computing capabilities, which could integrate with existing satellite networks and enhance data processing capabilities [6][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Moltbot's capabilities include automating tasks such as email management, scheduling, and even automated trading, showcasing its versatility and potential for widespread adoption [4][12]. - The report suggests that the rapid spread of Moltbot and similar applications will lead to increased demand for cloud computing resources, potentially causing a "computing power crunch" [4][12]. Market Overview - The communication index rose by 5.83% during the week of January 26 to January 30, 2026, while the broader market indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 0.44% [7][15]. - The top-performing sectors included optical cables and marine cables, with significant weekly gains [7][15]. Recommended Companies - The report recommends focusing on companies in various segments, including: - Cloud Computing: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, Industrial Fulian, Woer, Zhishang Technology, Guangku Technology [6][15]. - CPU/CXL: Haiguang Information, Lanke Technology, ZTE, Wantong Development [6][15]. - Edge Computing: Ruixin Micro, Zhaoyi Innovation, Yinghantong, Guanghetong, Yiyuan Communication, Meige Intelligent [6][15]. - Inter-satellite Laser Communication: Fenghuo Communication, Guangxun Technology, Guangku Technology, Aerospace Electronics, Zhongrun Optics, Tengjing Technology [6][15].

Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "synchronous with the market" [3] Core Insights - The coal market has shown a mixed performance, with supply constraints in thermal coal and limited downstream demand. The price of thermal coal has seen slight increases, while metallurgical coal prices remain stable [4][5][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring downstream replenishment demand and market supply conditions as the industry approaches the Spring Festival [6] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Industry Market Performance - The coal market has experienced a contraction in supply, particularly in thermal coal, with limited increases in downstream consumption. As of January 30, the spot price for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim was 695 RMB/ton, reflecting a weekly change of +0.58% [4] - The inventory of coal at nine ports in the Bohai Rim was reported at 24.686 million tons, a decrease of 5.07% week-on-week [4] 2. Thermal Coal - Supply has contracted due to some private mines halting production for the Spring Festival, leading to reduced thermal coal output. The demand from power plants has not significantly increased, and the cement market remains weak [4] 3. Metallurgical Coal - Production levels for metallurgical coal remain stable, with prices showing slight increases. As of January 30, the price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1,800 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous week [5] - The total inventory of coking coal at independent coking plants and sample steel mills was reported at 10.361 million tons and 8.141 million tons, respectively, with week-on-week changes of +4.09% and +1.38% [5] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the loosening of the US dollar credit system may lead to a revaluation of physical assets, enhancing pricing power in the commodity sector. However, geopolitical tensions and changes in the Federal Reserve leadership could lead to short-term volatility [6] - Specific companies to watch include Guohui Energy for oil and gas, and for coking coal, focus on Panjiang Coal, Shanxi Coking Coal, Huabei Mining, and others. For thermal coal, attention is drawn to Yanzhou Coal, Shanxi Coal International, and others [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the non-bank financial industry [1][27]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of building a strong financial nation and highlights the investment value within the sector [1][6]. - It discusses the recent developments in regulatory policies aimed at enhancing the quality of the capital market and increasing the proportion of medium- and long-term funds entering the market [3][7]. - The report notes that certain brokerage firms are expected to achieve steady growth in performance through both external and internal development strategies, including exploring overseas business opportunities [3][7]. Market Performance - During the period from January 26 to February 1, major indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 0.44% and the CSI 300 Index increasing by 0.08% [3][8]. - The average daily trading volume in A-shares reached 3.11 trillion yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.27% compared to the previous period [3][8]. - The non-bank financial index rose by 1.04%, ranking 7th among 31 primary industries [8]. Key Data Tracking 1) Market Performance and Scale: The report highlights the top-performing stocks, including Yiyaton (5.94%), Huaxin Shares (4.53%), and Jiangsu Jinzu (3.92%), while noting the worst performers such as Yuexiu Capital (-8.00%) and Zhejiang Dongfang (-6.37%) [9][13]. 2) Credit Business: As of January 30, the market had 2,892.27 million pledged shares, accounting for 3.51% of the total share capital, with a margin balance of 2.72 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.30% [13][15]. 3) Fund Issuance: In December 2025, new fund issuance totaled 52.195 billion shares, with a decrease of 1.62% in the number of funds issued [13][16]. 4) Investment Banking: The report states that the equity underwriting scale in December 2025 was 70.318 billion yuan, with IPO amounts at 31.412 billion yuan and refinancing amounts at 38.906 billion yuan [13][16]. 5) Bond Market: The total price index of bonds decreased by 2.22% compared to the beginning of 2025, with the 10-year government bond yield at 1.81%, up by 20.35 basis points [13][16]. Regulatory Policies and Industry Dynamics - The report discusses recent regulatory actions to standardize public fund sales and enhance supervision of fund marketing practices [20]. - It mentions the expansion of strategic investors in the refinancing of listed companies, aimed at facilitating long-term capital entry into the market [20][22].

公司近一年市场表现 | 年 月 市场数据：2026 2 4 | 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元/股）： | | 71.56 | | 年内最高/最低（元/股）： | | 111.69/42.3 | | | | 0 | | 流通 A 股/总股本（亿股）： | | 5.73/5.79 | | 流通 股市值（亿元）： A | | 410.29 | | 总市值（亿元）： | | 414.28 | | 年 月 基础数据：2025 9 | 日 30 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元/股)： | | 2.51 | | 摊薄每股收益(元/股)： | | 2.51 | | 每股净资产(元/股)： | | 15.05 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | 16.27 | | 资料来源：常闻 | | | 分析师： 陈玉卢 执业登记编码：S0760525050001 邮箱：chenyulu@sxzq.com 服务机器人 科沃斯（603486.SH） 买入-A(首次) 盈利能力改善，加速迈向多品类、全场景服务机器人 2026 年 2 月 5 日 公司研究/公司快报 ...

Market Trends - A new upturn in the defense industry is underway, with the military trade expectations continuously enhancing due to events like the India-Pakistan air battle and military parades[2] - The defense industry index increased by 58.5% from the beginning of 2025 to its peak on January 12, 2026[18] - The global geopolitical situation is tense, leading to an unprecedented increase in military spending worldwide[3] Commercial Aerospace Development - The launch of multiple new medium and large rockets is expected to accelerate in 2026, breaking the bottleneck in launch capacity for commercial aerospace[4] - The Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center will play a crucial role in the high-frequency deployment of satellite internet[4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended sectors include the missile weapon industry chain, new aviation equipment industry chain, unmanned equipment industry chain, and commercial aerospace industry chain[4] - Key companies to focus on include: - Beifang Navigation (600435.SH) - Buy-A[7] - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760.SH) - Buy-A[7] - AVIC High-Tech (600862.SH) - Hold-A[7] - Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group (600967.SH) - Hold-A[7] - Aerospace Electric (002025.SZ) - Hold-A[7] - Guobo Electronics (688375.SH) - Hold-A[7] Risks - Potential risks include delays in domestic military equipment deployment, overseas orders falling short of expectations, and setbacks in rocket development and satellite constellation construction[10]

市场数据：2026 年 2 月 5 日 收盘价（元/股）： 15.44 年内最高/最低（元/ 股）： 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 流通 A 股市值（亿元）： 914.65 总市值（亿元）： 1,549.79 资料来源：常闻 基础数据：2025 年 9 月 30 日 | 基本每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元/股)： | 0.71 | | 每股净资产(元/股)： | 14.24 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 7.80 | | 资料来源：常闻 | | 分析师： 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 程俊杰 执业登记编码：S0760519110005 邮箱：chengjunjie@sxzq.com 动力煤 兖矿能源（600188.SH） 买入-A(维持) 印尼煤出口暂停催化海外煤价，公司海外业务有望受益 2026 年 2 月 6 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 2 月 3 日据财联社报道，印尼矿业官员表示，由于印尼政府提出大幅减 产计划，该国矿商已暂停现货煤炭出口。印尼主要行业协会反对此举，警告 称可能 ...

煤炭 行业事件点评 领先大市-A(上调) 2026 年 2 月 6 日 行业研究/行业分析 【山证煤炭】弱法币致实物定价权提升， 关注短期事件驱动影响-【山证煤炭】行 业周报（20260126-20260201） 2026.2.3 【山证煤炭】2025 年四季度煤炭债复盘： 财务表现仍有改善空间，供应链风险可 控 2026.1.27 胡博 执业登记编码：S0760522090003 邮箱：hubo1@sxzq.com 程俊杰 执业登记编码：S0760519110005 邮箱：chengjunjie@sxzq.com 印尼矿商暂停现货出口，减产落地超市场预期 分析师： 投资建议：考虑海外煤价或将受催化，有望提振国内煤价预期，上调行 业评级。若海外煤价加速上涨，利好海外业务占比较高的【兖矿能源】。此 外，【潞安环能】、【山西焦煤】、【晋控煤业】、【山煤国际】等弹性品种也将 受益。 风险提示：印尼煤炭减产不及预期，印尼煤炭矿商恢复出口，海外价格上涨 不及预期。 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 煤炭板块近一年市场表现 资料来源：常闻 行业研究/行业分析 投资要点： 事件：2 月 3 日据财联社报道，印尼矿业 ...

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,075.92, down 0.64%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13,952.71, down 1.44% [4][5] - During the period from January 26 to February 1, the A-share average daily trading volume increased by 11.27% to 3.11 trillion yuan, while the margin trading balance reached 2.72 trillion yuan [8] Industry Insights - The financial sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with a focus on building a strong financial nation and improving the investment value of the sector [6][8] - The defense and military industry is entering a new growth phase, driven by geopolitical tensions and advancements in commercial aerospace, with significant opportunities expected in 2026 [9][10] Company Analysis: Ecovacs (科沃斯) - Ecovacs is projected to improve its profitability, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 2.98 yuan, 3.49 yuan, and 4.05 yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 24.0x, 20.5x, and 17.7x respectively [11] - The company anticipates a substantial increase in net profit for 2025, estimated between 1.7 billion to 1.8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 110.9% to 123.3% [13] - Ecovacs showcased new products at CES, including various service robots, indicating a strategic shift towards multi-category offerings and full-scenario service robots [10][13] Industry Commentary: Eli Lilly - Eli Lilly's Tirzepatide has become the top prescription drug in the U.S., with projected revenues of $65.18 billion in 2025, marking a 45% increase [14] - The company is expanding its clinical pipeline, focusing on cardiovascular benefits and obesity treatments, with significant growth expected from its oral GLP-1 agonist, Orforglipron [14][16]

研究早观点 2026 年 2 月 5 日 星期四 市场走势 资料来源：常闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 4,102.20 | 0.85 | 降，其余环节持平 | | 深证成指 | | 14,156.27 | 0.21 | | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,698.68 | 0.83 | | | 中小板指 | | 8,526.31 | 0.02 | | | 创业板指 | | 3,311.51 | -0.40 | | | 科创 | 50 | 1,453.48 | -1.20 | | | 资料来源：常闻 | | | | | 分析师： 彭皓辰 执业登记编码：S0760525060001 邮箱：penghaochen@sxzq.com 【公司评论】科沃斯(603486.SH)：科沃斯：盈利能力改善，加速迈向 多品类、全场景服务机器人 【行业评论】【山证电新】20260204 光伏产业链价格跟踪- 硅片价格下 降，其余环节持平 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声 ...