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新能源板块行业周报:5月新能源车零售预计77.0万辆,2026年上汽全固态电池将实现交付量产
海通国际· 2024-05-29 01:30
[Table_MainInfo] 行业研究/机械工业/新能源板块 证券研究报告 行业周报 2024年05月27日 [Table_InvestInfo] 5 月新能源车零售预计 77.0 万辆,2026 投资评级 优于大市 维持 年上汽全固态电池将实现交付量产 市场表现 [Table_Summary] [Table_QuoteInfo] 投资要点: 5月新能源车零售预计77.0万辆,环比+13.7%,渗透率预计为46.6%。根据乘 联会公众号,5 狭义乘用车零售总市场规模预计约为 165.0 万辆左右,同比 -5.3%。由于上半月市场热度明显低于往年同期,“五一”之后终端人气回落, 各厂商纷纷出台加码促销,5月中旬乘用车市场终端折扣-22.2%,相较4月底, 资料来源:HTI 总体市场价格仍在下探。新能源市场相对稳健,5 月全月新能源零售预计可达 相关研究 77.0万,环比4月增长13.7%,渗透率预计为46.6%,再创新高。 [《Ta4b月le逆_变R器ep出o口rtI德nf语o]区 环比修复,印巴 新兴市场表现突出》2024.05.21 特斯拉上海储能超级工厂正式开工。根据特斯拉公众号,2024年5 ...
派林生物:公司年报点评:采浆同比大幅增长,盈利能力稳步提升
海通国际· 2024-05-29 01:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 31.80 based on a 30X PE for 2024 [3][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 2.33 billion in 2023, a decrease of 3.18% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.25% to RMB 612 million. The growth was driven by increased plasma volume, strong sales demand, and successful overseas exports [3][10][12]. - In Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 436 million, representing a significant increase of 67.00%, and net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 116.31% to RMB 122 million, indicating a recovery in plasma supply issues [11][12]. - The company has expanded its plasma collection efforts, exceeding 1200 tons collected in 2023, and is actively pursuing overseas market opportunities, with exports to countries like Brazil and Pakistan [12][13]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2023 was RMB 2.33 billion, with a projected increase to RMB 2.96 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 26.9% [4][8]. - Net profit is expected to grow from RMB 612 million in 2023 to RMB 777 million in 2024, with corresponding EPS increasing from RMB 0.84 to RMB 1.06 [4][8]. - The gross margin is projected to remain stable, with slight improvements from 51.5% in 2023 to 52.0% by 2026 [4][8]. R&D and Product Development - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, with over 10 products in rapid development, including a new generation IVIG and fibrinogen currently in clinical trials [12][13]. - By the end of 2023, the company had developed 11 product varieties across different categories, indicating a strong commitment to innovation and product optimization [12][13]. Market Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas market presence, with overseas sales revenue reaching RMB 37 million in 2023, accounting for 1.61% of total revenue [5][12]. - The domestic market for IVIG is currently experiencing high demand, prompting the company to balance domestic supply with international export opportunities [12].
食品行业专题报告:23年业绩平稳,24Q1景气度有所提升
海通国际· 2024-05-29 01:00
[Table_MainInfo] 行业研究/食品 证券研究报告 行业专题报告 2024年05月27日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 23 年业绩平稳,24Q1 景气度有所提升 [Table_Summary] 投资要点: 调味品板块:24Q1收入稳健增长,利润率略有修复。23年在C端高基数、B端 餐饮复苏偏弱、渠道库存偏高等背景下,调味品上市公司整体收入略有承压, 同时大豆、包材、油脂等成本虽然有所下降,但是白砂糖、青菜头、糖蜜等成 本仍在相对高位,叠加部分公司低毛利率产品占比提升,整体板块毛利率、扣 非归母净利率仍有承压,23 年板块总体收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润分别 同比+1.73%/+21.72%/-4.03%至569.2/108.52/90.61亿元。24Q1随着餐饮逐渐恢复, 同时春节错期影响,板块收入增长环比加速,叠加部分原材料延续下行趋势, 板块利润率明显修复,24Q1 调味品板块总计收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净利润 分别同比+6.61%/+10.16%/+10.82%至163.34/32.08/30.59亿元。结构上看,23年、 24Q1 复合调味品整 ...
饮料行业季报:白酒收入延续稳增,啤酒盈利持续改善
海通国际· 2024-05-29 01:00
Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment outlook for the high-end liquor sector, specifically for companies like Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, as well as for the next-tier liquor companies such as Shanxi Fenjiu, Gujing Gongjiu, Yingjia Gongjiu, and Jinshiyuan. It also highlights opportunities in the beer sector, particularly for Qingdao Beer, China Resources Beer, Yanjing Beer, and Chongqing Beer, benefiting from the recovery in dining and consumption scenarios [3]. Core Insights - The liquor industry experienced steady revenue growth in 2023, with a notable performance in Q1 2024, where the high-end liquor segment maintained double-digit growth. The overall revenue and net profit for listed liquor companies reached CNY 412.1 billion and CNY 155.1 billion, respectively, in 2023, with Q1 2024 figures showing a year-on-year increase of 14.7% and 15.7% [2][10]. - The beer sector is witnessing a trend towards premiumization, with a decline in raw material costs contributing to improved profit margins. The beer industry's revenue and net profit for 2023 were CNY 155.8 billion and CNY 17.9 billion, respectively, with Q1 2024 showing a slight revenue decline but a significant profit increase [3][10]. Summary by Sections White Liquor - In 2023, the white liquor sector's revenue grew by 15.6% year-on-year, reaching CNY 412.1 billion, while net profit increased by 18.9% to CNY 155.1 billion. Q1 2024 saw revenue and net profit rise by 14.7% and 15.7%, respectively [2][10]. - High-end liquor maintained robust growth, with Guizhou Moutai's revenue increasing by 18.0% in 2023, driven by price adjustments and product mix improvements. In Q1 2024, Moutai's revenue continued to grow by 18.0% [13][17]. - The overall gross margin for the white liquor sector improved, with 2023 figures showing a 0.84 percentage point increase to 81.2%, and Q1 2024 showing a further increase of 0.46 percentage points [10][19]. Beer - The beer sector's revenue for 2023 was CNY 155.8 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, while net profit rose by 8.3% to CNY 17.9 billion. Q1 2024 figures showed a slight revenue decline of 0.8% but a profit increase of 16.1% [3][10]. - The average price of beer increased by 3.5% in 2023, with premium products showing strong sales growth. The gross margin for the beer sector improved significantly in Q1 2024, attributed to rising prices and declining raw material costs [3][10].
石药集团:24Q1成药业务增长强劲,多款新药有望年内获批
海通国际· 2024-05-28 11:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group [3][6][8] Core Views - The finished drug business showed strong growth in Q1 2024, with total revenue reaching RMB 8.98 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.5% [5][8] - The gross margin improved to 72.3%, up by 3.8 percentage points, while net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.61 billion, reflecting a 12.9% increase [5][8] - The report highlights the expected approval of multiple new products in 2024-2025, which is anticipated to drive further revenue growth [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q1 2024 was RMB 8.98 billion, with a gross margin of 72.3% [5][8] - Finished drug revenue was RMB 7.56 billion, up 17.7% year-on-year, with significant contributions from CNS, cardiovascular, and digestive metabolism segments [9][10] - The API business faced challenges, with vitamin C revenue declining by 11.8% due to reduced demand [9][10] Growth Drivers - The growth in finished drug revenue was attributed to new product launches and enhanced sales efforts in retail markets [10] - New products such as the acute stroke thrombolytic therapy and irinotecan liposomes are expected to contribute significantly to sales in 2024 [10][11] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenue of RMB 35.21 billion for 2024, representing a 12% year-on-year growth, and net profit of RMB 6.88 billion, a 17.1% increase [11] - The target price is set at HK$8.69 per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 12x for 2024 [6][11]
洽洽食品:公司年报点评:全年营收平稳,一季度业绩亮眼
海通国际· 2024-05-28 11:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [30][17]. Core Insights - The company experienced stable revenue throughout the year, with 2023 revenue at RMB 6.81 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 1.13%. However, net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 17.75% to RMB 0.80 billion [2][14][39]. - In Q1 2024, the company saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 36.39% to RMB 1.82 billion and net profit rising by 35.15% to RMB 0.24 billion [7][8][40]. - The company focused on the development of melon seeds and nuts, with sales of sunflower seeds at RMB 4.27 billion (YoY -5.36%) and nuts generating RMB 1.75 billion (YoY +8%) [16][9]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the gross profit margin decreased by 5.21 percentage points to 26.75%, and gross profit fell by 17.24% to RMB 1.82 billion. The period expense ratio decreased by 2.51 percentage points to 13.25% [2][39]. - The company projects revenues of RMB 7.75 billion, RMB 8.42 billion, and RMB 9.14 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits of RMB 1.06 billion, RMB 1.21 billion, and RMB 1.38 billion [17][35]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be RMB 2.09, RMB 2.39, and RMB 2.71 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [37][35]. Product and Market Development - The company continues to innovate within the melon seeds and nuts categories, focusing on product optimization and market expansion [3][16]. - The sales in the southern region were RMB 2.18 billion (YoY -1.25%), while overseas sales increased by 7.70% to RMB 0.52 billion [41][34]. - The company has established a digital platform managing over 320,000 terminal points and is actively exploring new market channels, including e-commerce and overseas markets [10][34].
全球电网投资加速,电气设备出口维持高景气度
海通国际· 2024-05-28 09:00
[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report ESG & Power Equipment & Utilities bin.yang@htisec.com bruce.xl.yu@htisec.com 全球能源转型加速,可再生能源装机提升电网投资需求。根据 IEA 数据,2023 年全球 130 多个国家的能源 转型政策推动了可再生能源装机的高增,2023 年全球可再生能源新增装机约为 507GW,同比 2022 年增加 50%,装机主要来自于中国光伏(+148%)和风能(+102%)。在当前的政策情景下,全球 2023-2028 年可再 生能源每年新增装机将从 507GW 增加到 720GW,年复合增长率为 7.3%,未来 6 年预计全球累计将有 3700GW 可再生能源投入运行;在政策加速场景下,2028 年全球可再生能源新增装机将达到 920GW。发电量方面,可 再生能源发电量占比将从 2023 年 30%提升到 2028 年的 42%,其中太阳能占比 28%,2028 年可再生能源发电 量将达到 14400TWh,较 2022 年增长 70%,可再生能源的大规模装机需要新建电网进 ...
ESG&电新&公用:美国电力需求高增带来新的投资机遇
海通国际· 2024-05-28 08:00
合规和申诉办公室联系人: Prasanna Chandwaskar ;电话: +91 22 43156803; 电子邮箱: prasanna.chandwaskar@htisec.com "请注意,SEBI 授予的注册和 NISM 的认证并不保证中介的表现或为投资者提供任何回报保证"。 印度投资者的通知事项:本报告由从事证券交易、投资银行及证券分析及受 Securities and Exchange Board of India("SEBI")监管的 Haitong Securities India Private Limited("HTSIPL")所 发布,包括制作及发布涵盖 BSE Limited("BSE")和 National Stock Exchange of India Limited("NSE")(统称为「印度交易所」)研究报告。 研究机构名称: Haitong Securities India Private Limited SEBI 研究分析师注册号: INH000002590 地址: 1203A, Floor 12A, Tower 2A, One World Center 841 Sena ...
东阳光:首次覆盖:国内电子元器件、高端铝箔和能源材料领先企业
海通国际· 2024-05-28 04:00
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "OUTPERFORM" rating, indicating an expectation of performance exceeding the market average [3][14]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic enterprise in electronic components, high-end aluminum foil, and energy materials, with core products including electrode foil for aluminum electrolytic capacitors, laminated foil, and battery aluminum foil [6][14]. - The company benefits from rising refrigerant prices, with a projected increase in third-generation refrigerant quotas, positioning it as a market leader [6][14]. - The production capacity and technology for electrode foil are globally leading, making the company the largest chemical foil factory in China [6][14]. - The company has the largest electronic optical foil processing base in China, with advanced production technology for air conditioning foil and hydrophilic foil [6][14]. - The company operates the largest chlor alkali chemical production base in Guangdong Province, serving multiple industries [6][14]. - The performance of energy material products, particularly lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials, shows significant advantages in various performance metrics [6][14]. - Profit forecasts indicate net profits of 1.126 billion, 1.559 billion, and 2.019 billion RMB for 2024 to 2026, respectively, with a target price of 9.71 RMB based on a 26x PE ratio for 2024 [6][14]. Financial Summary - The company's market capitalization is 25.98 billion RMB (approximately 3.59 billion USD) with a current share price of 8.62 RMB and a target price of 9.71 RMB [3][14]. - Expected revenue growth from 10.85 billion RMB in 2023 to 17.37 billion RMB in 2024, representing a 60% increase [5][11]. - The projected gross margin is expected to improve from 11.1% in 2023 to 15.1% in 2024 [11][13].
荣盛石化:公司年报点评:2Q23以来扭亏,推进国内外战略布局
海通国际· 2024-05-28 04:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "OUTPERFORM" rating to the company with a target price of RMB 15.05 [2][4]. Core Views - The company turned profitable post-2Q23, reporting a revenue of RMB 325.11 billion in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 12.46%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.16 billion, down 65.33% year-on-year [3][14]. - The main profit contributor in 2023 was Zhejiang Petrochemical, processing approximately 44 million tons of crude oil and generating a net profit of RMB 1.37 billion, contributing about RMB 0.70 billion to the company's net profit [3][14]. - The company is accelerating its new materials layout, leveraging its 40 million tons/year refining and chemical integration project, and targeting new energy and high-end materials [9][16]. - Saudi Aramco was introduced as a strategic investor, holding about 10% of the company's equity, enhancing cooperation in various areas including crude oil procurement and technology sharing [10][17]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 325.11 billion, with a net profit of RMB 1.16 billion, and proposed a cash dividend of RMB 1.0 per 10 shares [3][6]. - For 1Q24, the company reported a revenue of RMB 81.09 billion, up 16.30% year-on-year, with a significant turnaround in net profit to RMB 0.55 billion [6][14]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024-2026 is RMB 0.43, RMB 0.63, and RMB 0.82 respectively, with a book value per share (BPS) of RMB 4.59 in 2024 [4][17]. Business Segments - The chemical fiber sector's profits rebounded in 2023, while the PTA sector faced pressure, with four PTA plants collectively incurring a loss of RMB 0.30 billion [8][15]. - The company is focusing on five major industry chains: polyester, engineering plastics, new energy, high-end polyolefins, and special rubber, becoming a key producer in Asia [9][16]. Strategic Developments - The partnership with Saudi Aramco includes discussions on equity cooperation and capacity expansion at the Jubail refinery and CICC Petrochemical [10][17]. - The company is expanding its product line in new energy materials and high-end synthetic materials, with ongoing projects to enhance production capacity [9][16].