Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a renewed interest in humanoid robots following Tesla's shareholder meeting, where Elon Musk announced plans for limited production of the Optimus robot starting in 2025 [4][17] - The engineering machinery sector is viewed positively, with a focus on the recovery of excavator data and the operational flexibility provided by scale effects in leading companies [4] - The report notes that the machinery equipment index outperformed the broader market indices during the period from June 11 to June 14, with a rise of 0.54% [3][9] Market Performance - From June 11 to June 14, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.61%, and the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.91%, while the machinery equipment index increased by 0.54%, indicating resilience in the sector [3][9][11] - The top five gainers in the machinery sector during this period included Pioneer Electronics, Guangge Technology, and Chongde Technology, with gains exceeding 15% [14][15] Key Information Updates - Tesla's shareholder meeting approved a $56 billion compensation plan for Musk and supported relocating Tesla's headquarters to Texas [4][17] - The China National Railway Group has approved the procurement of new locomotives and associated equipment for 2024, with a total investment funded entirely by the railway group [4][17] - Jerry Environmental Technology has delivered new lithium battery recycling equipment to Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., marking a significant step in the lithium battery recycling industry [4][17] Key Data Tracking - The PMI index in China has shown stability, with two months exceeding 50% this year, indicating a moderate recovery in the economy [18] - Forklift sales have seen significant growth, with March 2024 sales exceeding 130,000 units, marking a historical high [18]

Economic Growth - May GDP is expected to grow by 5.1% year-on-year, with quarterly growth rates projected at 5.1%, 4.9%, and 5.0% for Q2 to Q4 respectively, maintaining an annual growth target of 5.1%[3] - Industrial production in May showed a year-on-year increase of 5.6% and a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, indicating stable growth supported by effective industrial policies[6][35] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) grew by 4.0% from January to May, with manufacturing investment increasing by 9.6% and infrastructure investment (excluding utilities) rising by 5.7%[24][36] - Real estate development investment saw a decline of 10.1%, highlighting ongoing challenges in the property market[24][36] Consumer Spending - Social retail sales in May increased by 3.7% year-on-year, boosted by the extended May Day holiday, with significant growth in categories like sports and entertainment goods (20.2%) and cosmetics (18.7%)[8][15] - The consumer market is expected to improve gradually, supported by policies promoting the replacement of old consumer goods and easing real estate policies[15] Employment Situation - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.0%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.2 percentage points, indicating a gradual recovery in the job market[26] - Youth unemployment remains a significant challenge, with expectations of a temporary rise in the unemployment rate as new graduates enter the job market in July and August[26] Policy Implications - Continued fiscal support and the issuance of special bonds are anticipated to accelerate the formation of physical work volume in Q3 and Q4, enhancing infrastructure investment[77] - The effectiveness of real estate policies will be crucial in breaking the negative feedback loop currently affecting the property market, with a focus on improving supply-demand dynamics and stabilizing prices[79][80]

Summary of Conference Call Company or Industry Involved - The conference call pertains to the research conducted by 德邦证券 (Debon Securities) [1] Core Points and Arguments - The call serves as a disclaimer indicating that the information provided is intended for Debon Securities' clients and does not constitute investment advice [1] - Participants are advised to make their own investment decisions and bear the associated risks [1] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - No specific financial data, industry trends, or company performance metrics were discussed in the provided content [1]

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司首次覆盖 凯伦股份(300715.SZ) 2024年06月18日 增持（首次） 凯伦股份（300715.SZ）：专注差异化 所属行业：建筑材料/装修建材 竞争，高分子防水引领者 当前价格(元)：7.70 证券分析师 投资要点 闫广 资格编号：S0120521060002 先发优势+持续精进，造就高分子防水材料引领者。凯伦股份成立于 2011 年，是集 邮箱：yanguang＠tebon.com.cn 防水材料研发、制造、销售及施工服务于一体的国家高新技术企业。2017 年 10 王逸枫 月 26 日公司实现 A 股上市，成为中国建筑防水行业首家创业板上市公司。公司 资格编号：S0120524010004 主要产品包括具有行业技术原创性的 MBP、PVC、TPO 防水卷材，TMP融合瓦 邮箱：wangyf6＠tebon.com.cn 等多种优质防水材料，通过实施高分子防水材料差异化竞争策略，引领高分子防 研究助理 水材料应用新趋势。2023年以来公司逐渐走出房地产下行带来的业绩低谷，增长 引擎重启，2023年公司实现营业收入28.01亿元，同比+31.63%，实现 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - The conference call discusses the partnerships and market positions of **Huawei**, **Lenovo**, and **Western Digital** in the **global market** [1]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Huawei** is identified as having significant partnerships in the **overseas market** [1]. - **Lenovo** is highlighted as the largest partner for **Huawei** in the **Asian market** [1]. - **Western Digital** is noted as a major partner for **Huawei** in the **global market** [1]. Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content - The relationships between these companies indicate a strategic alignment that could influence market dynamics and competitive positioning in the tech industry [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the construction materials industry [2] Core Insights - The real estate investment and sales performance remains weak, but expectations for core cities are likely to stabilize first [2] - National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 18.80 trillion yuan from January to May 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, showing a slight narrowing in growth rate [4][7] - Real estate development investment totaled 4.06 trillion yuan, down 10.1% year-on-year, with residential investment at 3.08 trillion yuan, down 10.6% [4][5] - The sales area of commercial housing was approximately 366 million square meters, down 20.3% year-on-year, with a sales amount of about 3.57 trillion yuan, down 27.9% [5][6] Summary by Sections Real Estate Demand - The fundamental demand remains under pressure, but core cities are expected to hit the bottom first. In May 2024, the sales area was about 74 million square meters, showing a month-on-month increase of 12.24% but a year-on-year decrease of 16.06% [5][6] - The price index for newly built residential properties in 70 large and medium-sized cities decreased by 4.3% year-on-year, while the second-hand residential price index fell by 7.5% [5][6] Real Estate Investment - The downward pressure on development investment remains significant, with new construction area down 24.2% year-on-year. However, the decline in new construction area has narrowed for three consecutive months [6][7] - From January to May 2024, the funds available to real estate developers were approximately 4.26 trillion yuan, down 24.3% year-on-year [6][15] Cement Industry - National cement production from January to May 2024 was 687 million tons, down 9.8% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed [5][8] - The demand for cement is expected to benefit from the stabilization of construction activities, driven by urban village renovations and government bond issuance [8][10] Glass Industry - The domestic float glass market saw a price increase, with the average price rising to 1693.06 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.82% increase [9][10] - The industry is expected to experience a balanced supply and demand situation, with significant housing delivery still pending [9][10] Infrastructure Investment - The issuance of special bonds by local governments reached 1.138 trillion yuan from January to May 2024, with a significant increase in issuance in May [7][8] - The government is expected to continue supporting economic recovery through infrastructure projects, which will positively impact the construction materials sector [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate sector [2] Core Viewpoints - The real estate market has not shown significant improvement in sales, and investment continues to face pressure [2] - Policy measures are being optimized to stimulate demand, including a reduction in down payment ratios and the establishment of a 300 billion yuan re-loan for affordable housing [7] - The cumulative year-on-year decline in residential sales has slightly narrowed, with May's sales volume at 0.67 trillion yuan, down 30.5% year-on-year [5][6] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In May, nationwide residential sales reached 0.62 million square meters, down 18.97% year-on-year, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 23.6% [5] - The sales scale for May was 0.67 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 26.36% and a cumulative decline of 30.5% [5] Development Investment - Development investment remains under pressure, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 10.10% in May, which has expanded compared to the previous month [7] - The cumulative year-on-year decline in residential construction area has reached 12.20%, with new starts in May at 0.48 million square meters, down 22.19% year-on-year [5][6] Financing Conditions - The cumulative year-on-year decline in funds available to real estate developers was 24.30% as of May, with personal mortgage loans down 40.20% [6][20] - Domestic loans accounted for 681 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year, while pre-sales and deposits saw a significant drop of 36.70% [6]

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业月报 煤炭开采 2024年06月17日 煤炭行业月报：国内供给维持弱 煤炭 势，需求有望加速释放 优于大市（维持） 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm ：ar y] 翟堃 资格编号：s0120523050002 5月国内日均产量微降，进口环比减少。1）国内生产：5月，全国原煤产量3.84  邮箱：zhaikun＠tebon.com.cn 亿吨，同比下降0.8%；日均产量1238万吨，同比下降0.4%，环比微降0.05%。 薛磊 1-5月份，全国累计原煤产量18.58亿吨，同比下降3.0%。2）进口方面：5月， 资格编号：S0120524020001 国内煤炭进口量4381.6万吨，同比增长10.7%，环比下降3.2%；1-5月累计进口 邮箱：xuelei＠tebon.com.cn 2.05亿吨，同比增长12.6%，累计增速收窄0.5pct。3）总供应量：5月供给合计 4.28 亿吨，同比微增 0.6%。5 月国内日均产量微降，往后看供给仍不乐观：1） 研究助理 国内方面：虽然 3 月底山西省要求稳产稳供，但全国煤炭日均产量并未提升。安 检升级常 ...

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 半导体 2024年06月17日 需求复苏+库存去化接近尾声，功 半导体 率半导体否极泰来 优于大市（维持） 证券分析师 [ 投Tab 资le_ 要Su 点mm ：ar y] 陈蓉芳 资格编号：S0120522060001  事件：2024 年 1 月起,各个功率半导体公司相继调价:三联盛全系列产品上调 邮箱：chenrf＠tebon.com.cn 10-20%、蓝彩电子全系列产品上调10-18%、高格芯微全线产品上调10-20%、捷 陈瑜熙 捷微电 TrenchMOS 上调 5-10%等。5-6 月,针对部分中低压产品,华润微扬杰等功 资格编号：S0120524010003 率大厂相继有张价/谈价动作。 邮箱：chenyx5＠tebon.com.cn 我们认为功率半导体涨价反映了下游需求的逐步复苏，功率半导体市场边际好转。 市场表现  华虹代工产能吃紧，多家IDM功率厂商保持高稼动率。据华虹一季度业绩发布会， 半导体 沪深300 截至一季度末，华虹8英寸月产能达到39.1万片，总产能利用率为91.7%，较上 7% 0% 季度提升 7.6 个百分点。此外 ...

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 房地产 2024年06月17日 保障性住房再贷款持续推进，上海三 房地产 批次土拍不设房地联动价 优于大市（维持） 房地产行业周报（2024.6.10-6.14） 证券分析师 [Table_Summary] 金文曦 投资要点： 资格编号：S0120522100001 邮箱：jinwx＠tebon.com.cn  市场回顾 蔡萌萌 资格编号：S0120524050003 2024.6.10-6.14，上证综指数下跌0.61%，沪深300指数下跌0.91%，房地产板块下 邮箱：caimm＠tebon.com.cn 跌1.47%，房地产板块跑输上证综指0.86个百分点，跑输沪深300指数0.56个百分 点。年初至今，上证综指上涨 1.94%，沪深 300 指数上涨 3.22%，房地产板块下跌 研究助理 11.37%，房地产板块跑输上证综指13.3个百分点，跑输沪深300指数14.58个百分 点。 上周，重点关注的A股地产股中*ST中迪、万通发展涨幅居前，华侨城A、绿地控股 跌幅较大；重点关注的H股地产股中远洋集团、中国奥园涨幅居前；重点关注的港股 市场表现 物 ...