29 Feb 2024 Earnings Summary CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update iQIYI (IQ US) Improving profitability with solid guidance iQIYI (IQ) delivered better-than-feared 4Q23 results with inline topline and upbeat margin. Looking into 1Q24E, we expect both revenue and earnings to see sequential growth, with solid ARM trend. We keep confident on IQ's previous FY24E OP target (at RMB5bn), with disciplined content cost and ARM expansion. Given already-low expectation and clear profitab ...

M N 1 Mar 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Budweiser APAC (1876 HK) 4Q23 a slight miss; S. Korea undershoot Target Price HK$14.5 Stripping off mainly the US$66mn tax provision, Bud APAC 4Q results came in (Previous TP HK$16.9) c.3%/6% below us/consensus. Operations in South Korea (esp. home channel) Up/Downside 14.2% looked increasingly challenging upon the return of Japanese brands, with Current Price HK$12.7 volume consecutively edging down by MSD% since 3Q23 (1H23: ...

M N 4 Mar 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Cloud Music (9899 HK) Solid core music business and margin expansion outlook Target Price HK$106.50 Cloud Music announced FY23 financial results: total revenue dropped by 13% (Previous TP HK$99.50) YoY to RMB7.87bn in FY23, in line with our/consensus estimate. 2H23 total Up/Downside 17.7% revenue was down by 16% YoY to RMB3.96bn, mainly due to the adjustment of Current Price HK$90.45 social entertainment business (-42% YoY). ...

CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update NetEase reported 4Q23 financial results on 29 Feb: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB27.1bn, below our/consensus estimate of RMB28.8/28.2bn. NonGAAP net income was up by 53% YoY to RMB7.4bn, but 7% shy of consensus estimate, mainly due to the higher-than-expected marketing expenses (+24% YoY). Full-year total revenue/non-GAAP net income grew by 7%/43% YoY in FY23 respectively. Game revenue growth was slower than our expectation due to soft ...

M N 1 Mar 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Hutchmed (13 HK) A fruitful 2024 on the way Including US$312mn upfront and milestone payments from Takeda, HCM’s consolidated Target Price HK$34.31 revenues from oncology/immunology reached US$529mn in FY23 (vs US$164mn in (Previous TP HK$36.67) FY22), close to the upper limit of its US$450-550mn guidance. The in-market product Up/Downside 41.8% sales increased 28% YoY (35% at CER) to US$214mn in FY23, among which sales of Cu ...

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating for BeiGene, indicating strong potential for over 15% return in the next 12 months [2][4]. Core Insights - BeiGene is expected to have a productive 2024, driven by strong sales momentum of zanubrutinib, which recorded total product sales of US$631 million in 4Q23, reflecting a 6% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) and 86% year-over-year (YoY) increase [2]. - Zanubrutinib's sales reached US$1.29 billion in full-year 2023, with a forecast of US$1.9 billion for 2024, representing a 46% YoY growth [2]. - The company is advancing its pipeline with potential blockbusters like sonrotoclax and BGB-16673, with multiple Phase 3 studies expected to start in 2024 [2]. - BeiGene's financial health is improving, with a gross profit margin of 82.7% in FY23, up from 77.2% in FY22, and a significant reduction in the SG&A ratio [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for FY23 was US$2.459 billion, with a projected increase to US$2.902 billion in FY24 [3][17]. - Net loss for FY23 was US$882 million, expected to decrease to US$1.1 billion in FY24 and further to US$225 million in FY25, with profitability anticipated from FY26 [2][3]. - The company had US$2.3 billion in net cash at the end of 2023, indicating no immediate need for further equity financing [2]. Target Price - The target price for BeiGene has been revised from US$295.67 to US$268.20, indicating a 67% upside potential from the current price of US$160.26 [4].

M N 28 Feb 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update ZTE (763 HK) MWC 2024: Industry moves towards developing 6G Target Price HK$27.4 As the Mobile World Congress (MWC) unfolded in Barcelona on Monday, AI/5G+6G innovations emerged as a dominant theme, with leading suppliers in (Previous TP HK$27.4) the telecom industry showcasing their latest technologies. ZTE's A-share Up/Downside 56.2% (000063 CH) and H-share (763 HK) prices surged by 10.0% and 10.6%, Current Price HK$17.54 ...

M N 28 Feb 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Shengyi Tech (600183 CH) FY23 preliminary results review; expect gradual recovery in 2024 Target Price RMB19.69 Shengyi Tech unveiled its FY23 earnings preview after Tuesday's market close. Full-year revenue was RMB16.6bn (-7.9% YoY) and net profit was RMB1.16bn (- (Previous TP RMB20.39) 24.0% YoY), which were 3%/13% and 3%/9% lower than our/consensus estimates, Up/Downside 15.1% respectively. For 4Q23, revenue decreased 2.3 ...

M N 27 Feb 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Li Auto Inc. (LI US) 4Q23 results set the tone for resilient FY24 Target Price US$48.00 Maintain our top pick. Li Auto’s strong beat in 4Q23 GPM led to an all-time (Previous TP US$45.00) high operating margin of 7.3%. Its FY23 net margin of 9.5% was also much Up/Downside 37.9% higher than its guidance of 5% in mid-2023. Management has also provided a Current Price US$34.80 clear path to achieve its FY24 sales target and is s ...

Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 48.84 [1] Core Views - The online sales growth of Juzi Bio's key brand, ClassiFace, continues to show strong momentum, with a 140.5% YoY increase in January 2024 across major e-commerce platforms [1] - ClassiFace's sales on Tmall and Douyin grew by 160.5% and 185.8% YoY, respectively, in January 2024 [1] - The brand KeLiJin also demonstrated robust growth, with a 65.7% YoY increase in sales across platforms, driven by strong performance on Douyin (646.5% YoY growth) [1] - Juzi Bio is expected to launch 2 new injectable collagen products in 2024, which could further boost its performance [1] Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 3,375 million in FY23E to RMB 5,590 million in FY25E, with a CAGR of 28.3% [2] - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 1,305 million in FY23E to RMB 1,972 million in FY25E [2] - Gross margin remains stable at around 83.7%-83.8% from FY23E to FY25E [2] E-commerce Performance - In January 2024, the beauty and skincare industry saw a 7.9% YoY growth on Tmall and Taobao, while Douyin experienced an 80.0% YoY increase [1] - ClassiFace's facial serums and creams showed exceptional growth, with sales up 431% and 1,161% YoY on Tmall and Taobao, respectively [1] - KeLiJin's facial serums and creams also grew significantly, with sales up 916% and 486% YoY on Tmall and Taobao [1] Product Pipeline - Juzi Bio launched new skincare products in late 2023 and early 2024, including the ClassiFace Order Essence and KeLiJin Collagen Eye Cream [1] - The company has 4 injectable collagen products in development, with 2 expected to be approved in 2024 [1] Valuation - The target price of HKD 48.84 is based on a 9-year DCF model with a WACC of 11.4% and a terminal growth rate of 3.0% [1] - The stock offers a potential upside of 35.9% from the current price of HKD 35.95 [3]