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固定收益部市场日报-20260227
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-27 08:34
CMBI Credit Commentary Fixed Income Daily Market Update 固定收益部市场日报 Trading desk comments 交易台市场观点 Yesterday, in the new issuance space, the new TOHOKU 31 tightened 5bps from RO at T+70. The new NTT Float 31 and OCBCSP 36 hovered around ROs amid active two-way flows. The secondary Chinese IG space overall closed unchanged. We saw balanced flows on TMT names KUAISH/MEITUA/BABA, better buying in CCAMCL FRNs and front-end ORIEAS from Chinese RMs, and better selling on FRESHK 27-29s by global money accounts. EHICA ...
招银国际每日投资策略-20260227
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-27 03:38
Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - Nvidia reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $68 billion, a 73% year-over-year increase and a 20% quarter-over-quarter increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 2.6% [2] - The company's EPS was $1.62, up 82% year-over-year and 25% quarter-over-quarter, also surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 5% [2] - Nvidia's gross profit margin improved to 75.2% from 73.6% in the previous quarter, exceeding the consensus estimate of 74.3% [2] - Management guided for Q1 FY2027 revenue of $78 billion, indicating a sequential increase of approximately $10 billion, with gross margins expected to remain around 75% [2] - The strong demand for computing power from large cloud providers, emerging cloud, sovereign AI, and enterprise sectors was emphasized by management [2] Group 2: Company Ratings - Zhongji Xuchuang and Shengyi Technology are maintained with a "Buy" rating, expected to benefit directly from Nvidia's sustained demand momentum and platform upgrade cycle [3] - iQIYI reported Q4 FY2025 revenue of RMB 6.79 billion, a 3% year-over-year increase, aligning with Bloomberg consensus [6] - Ctrip's Q4 FY2025 revenue reached RMB 15.4 billion, a 20.8% year-over-year increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 4% [7] - Salesforce's Q4 FY2026 revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $11.2 billion, meeting Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - BOE Technology Group is projected to have 2025 revenue of HKD 14.533 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, despite a forecasted decline in net profit [8]
爱奇艺:4Q25 review: total revenue recovered on improving content performance-20260227
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-27 01:39
iQIYI (IQ US) iQIYI (IQ US) - 4Q25 review: 4Q25 review: total revenue recovered on improving content performance iQiyi announced 4Q25 results: total revenue grew by 3% YoY to RMB6.79bn, in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate; non-GAAP net income was RMB110mn, up from RMB59mn net loss in 4Q24 and ahead of consensus estimate of RMB68mn, thanks to the operating leverage. Looking ahead, we forecast total revenue to decline by 13% YoY and 8% QoQ to RMB6.28bn in 1Q26E, as the company has been adjusting content ...
携程:Results beat; travel demand remains resilient-20260227
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-27 01:39
27 Feb 2026 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Trip.com (TCOM US) Trip.com (TCOM US) - Results Results beat; travel demand remains resilient Trip.com Group (TCOM) released (26 Feb) 4Q25 results: total revenue was RMB15.4bn, up 20.8% YoY, 4% better than Bloomberg consensus estimates driven by an all-round beat across segments especially in corporate travel, package tour, and Others. Non-GAAP operating income (OP) was RMB3.2bn, 2% better than consensus, thanks to the beat in r ...
京东方精电:2025 preview: near-term earnings dragged by pricing pressure and new plant profitability-20260227
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-27 01:39
Source: Company data, Bloomberg, CMBIGM estimates 27 Feb 2026 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update BOE Varitronix (710 HK) BOE Varitronix (710 HK) - 2025 new plant profitability 2025 preview: near-term earnings dragged by pricing pressure and new plant profitability BOEVx will report 2H25/FY25E results in mid-March, and we estimate FY25E revenue/net profit of HK$14,533mn/378mn (+8%/-3% YoY), implying 2H25E revenue/net profit of HK$7,863mn/198mn (+8%/-10% YoY), with profit main ...
固定收益部市场日报-20260226
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-26 08:37
Fixed Income Credit Commentary 26 Feb 2026 CMBI Credit Commentary Fixed Income Daily Market Update 固定收益部市场日报 Trading desk comments 交易台市场观点 Yesterday, in the new issuance space, ADVANC 31-36s tightened 1-2bps from ROs. The new SUMI 31 tightened 6bps from RO at T+90, while SUMI 36 hovered around RO. SUMIBK 41 tightened 3bps. The new DAESEC 29- 31 initially opened 2bps wider from ROs on flipper activities but closed 1-2bps tighter. In secondary Chinese IG space, TMT MEITUA/KUAISH/ LENOVO/BABA/ TENCNT tightened ...
春节消费观察:景气度符合预期,品类分化持续
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-26 03:46
2026 年 2 月 26 日 招银国际环球市场 | 策略报告 | 行业观察 春节消费观察 Market Strategy - 景气度符合预期,品类分化持续 马年春节期间,在为期九天的超长假期及节前九部委联合政策推动下,消费市 场得到一定提振。我们认为,整体趋势符合预期,结构上延续了物质消费与服 务消费分化、以"悦己"为代表的情绪型消费更具韧性等特征。从我们跟踪的 重点板块来看:1)旅游:整体旅游消费增长具备韧性且符合市场预期,"长途 游"和"家庭化"是关键词;2)线下消费:全国重点零售和餐饮企业日均销售 额及重点步行街(商圈)营业额增速环比及同比均有所提振;3)线上消费:由 于品牌在春节期间的营销投放力度显著弱于 618、双 11 等大型电商促销节点, 整体销售表现相对平淡。 线上消费:品牌营销投放力度显著弱于 618 和双 11,故销售表现平淡。 1)美妆护肤:根据蝉妈妈数据,2026 年春节假期期间,重点品牌在抖音 平台的合计销售额区间从去年的 2.12 亿-3.48 亿元上升至今年的 2.50 亿- 3.78 亿元,同比增速约为 12.0%(图 2);若以区间中位数计算日均销售 额,同比-0.4%,基 ...
招银国际每日投资策略-20260226
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-26 02:28
Company Analysis - Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) is expected to see a 64% decline in net profit to AUD 440 million in 2025, which is 15% lower than market expectations but 20% higher than internal forecasts due to high sensitivity to profit per unit assumptions [2] - The company announced a final dividend of AUD 0.122 per share, along with an interim dividend of AUD 0.062 per share, resulting in a total payout ratio of 55%, in line with its dividend policy [2] - For 2026, Yancoal's equity sales volume is projected to grow by 3%, but unit cash costs are expected to rise by approximately 1% due to ongoing raw material cost inflation [2] - Coal price expectations for 2026 and 2027 have been raised by 8% and 7% respectively, reflecting signs of stabilization in shipping coal prices [2] - The target price for Yancoal has been increased from HKD 31 to HKD 38, based on an updated long-term thermal coal price assumption of AUD 140 per ton [2] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,766, up 0.66% for the day and 4.43% year-to-date [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72% to close at 4,147, with a year-to-date increase of 4.49% [3] - The US stock market saw all major indices rebound, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.26% [5] - European markets continued their upward trend, with the Stoxx 600 index rising by 0.69% to reach a historical high [5] - The offshore RMB exchange rate against the US dollar approached 6.85, marking a nearly three-year high [5] Industry Insights - The AI server business is expected to experience rapid growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 95% from FY25 to FY27, leading to AI-related revenue constituting 18% of total revenue by FY27 [6] - The company anticipates a recovery in gross and net profit margins in Q4 FY25, with gross margin expected to return to 20.2% and net margin to 5.0% [6] - The target price for Hongteng Precision has been raised to HKD 7.33, based on a 21x FY26E price-to-earnings ratio, maintaining a "buy" rating [6]
兖煤澳大利亚:2025 profit below consensus; resilient coal price to support 2026 earnings-20260226
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-26 01:54
26 Feb 2026 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) - 2026 earnings 2025 profit below consensus; resilient coal price to support 2026 earnings Yancoal's (YAL) net profit in 2025 came in at A$440mn (-64% YoY), which is 15% below Bloomberg consensus but 20% above our estimates due to the high earnings sensitivity to the unit cash margin. YAL declared a final dividend of A$0.122/shr. This, together with the interim dividend of ...
FIT HON TENG:Strong 2026 outlook with AI interconnect/power/thermal upgrades as key growth drivers-20260226
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-02-26 01:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for FIT Hon Teng, with a target price raised to HK$7.33, indicating a potential upside of 22% from the current price of HK$6.01 [3][22]. Core Insights - FIT Hon Teng is positioned to benefit from significant growth drivers, particularly in AI-related revenue, which is expected to grow at a 95% CAGR from FY25 to FY27, reaching 18% of total revenue by FY27, up from 6% in FY25 [1][9]. - The company is anticipated to experience revenue and net profit growth of 11% YoY for FY25, with a notable increase in net profit growth of 21% YoY in 4Q25 [1][9]. - Upcoming catalysts include major industry events such as GTC and OFC 2026, which are expected to focus on advancements in interconnect and CPO solutions [1][22]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to increase from US$4,196 million in FY23 to US$6,696 million by FY27, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% [2][24]. - Net profit is expected to rise from US$129.6 million in FY23 to US$434.8 million in FY27, with a significant growth rate of 39.5% in FY27 [2][24]. - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 42.2x in FY23 to 12.6x in FY27, indicating a potential re-rating as AI revenue contributions increase [2][22]. Segment Performance - The revenue breakdown indicates strong growth in the networking segment, with a projected increase of 56% YoY by FY27, while the smartphone segment is expected to decline by 16% in FY25 [19][24]. - AI server revenue is anticipated to grow significantly, reaching US$1.23 billion by FY26, contributing to the overall revenue mix [19][24]. - The mobility segment is also expected to show robust growth, with a projected increase of 95% YoY in FY25 [19][24].