行 业 研 究 / 信 息 技 术/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 2024 年 09 月 12 日 [Table_Title] 信息技术行业专题研究 营收和利润分化加剧，未来成长性看AI 和智能驾驶 【配置建议】 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 回款压力影响现金流。2024H1，计算机板块应收账款持续增加，占营 收比重达 72.65%，回款压力较大，导致经营性净现金流同比 2023H1 减少 111.35 亿元，为-547.17 亿元。计算机板块季节性明显，大部分 回款发生在下半年，因此上半年净现比长期为负，2024H1 净现比为 -6.39。 跑输市场，机构持仓下滑。2024H1，计算机（申万）跌幅为 32.60%， 全市场倒数第一。机构持仓方面，相比 2023H1，计算机行业投资市值 占比下跌 3.53pct，重仓持股中总市值前五为海光信息、寒武纪、金 山办公、海康威视和科大讯飞，主要为算力和 AI 应用领域。 细分板块：算力、智驾和工业软件景气度较高，收入均有所增长；数 据要素利润端持续承压，下半年有望受政策催化迎来拐点；网络安全 板块收入有所放缓，但随着费用管控到位，利润端增速已抬头，建议 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.58 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 53.41%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31.43%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 103 million yuan, down 89.44% year-on-year, but up 103.31% quarter-on-quarter. The overall gross margin was 38.26%, a decrease of 1.34 percentage points from the previous period [3][6]. - The company is actively expanding into new markets and product categories, particularly in Europe, the US, and emerging markets like Pakistan and India. It has launched new products such as household low-voltage single-phase storage inverters and low-voltage storage batteries [3][6]. - The company has maintained high R&D investment, with R&D expenses reaching 238 million yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 98.73% [3][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.58 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 53.41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31.43%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 103 million yuan, down 89.44% year-on-year but up 103.31% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 38.26%, down 1.34 percentage points [3][6]. - The projected net profits for 2024-2026 are estimated at 370 million, 660 million, and 930 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.3, 4.1, and 5.8 yuan per share [6][7]. Market Expansion - The company has seen significant sales growth in the European market, particularly in countries like the Czech Republic, Germany, and the UK. It is also exploring new markets such as Ukraine and Hungary, and new application scenarios in commercial and industrial energy storage [3][6]. - Collaborations with international companies like Panasonic and Sharp Energy have been successful in the US and Japan, contributing to product sales [3][6]. Product Development - The company has launched new product lines, including household low-voltage single-phase storage inverters and low-voltage storage batteries, to diversify its offerings [3][6]. - The company is focusing on commercial energy storage products, with successful sales of the AELIO and TRENE series, and anticipates a significant sales scale starting in Q3 2024 [3][6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [2]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2024, with revenue at 737 million yuan and net profit at 257 million yuan, primarily due to weak demand in the photovoltaic sector [2]. - The semiconductor segment showed growth, with quartz tube revenue increasing by 11% year-on-year to 550 million yuan and a gross margin of 50%. The company is focusing on technological advancements and product development to enhance efficiency and sales [2][5]. - The quartz sand segment experienced a substantial decline in revenue to 170 million yuan, attributed to market fluctuations in the photovoltaic industry and reduced demand for quartz materials [2]. - The company has successfully completed a 60,000 tons/year high-purity quartz material project and is expanding its production capacity in the semiconductor sector [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2024, the company reported revenue of 737 million yuan, a significant decline compared to the previous year, with net profit at 257 million yuan [2]. - The semiconductor quartz products saw steady growth, with sales increasing and market share rising [2]. - The quartz sand revenue dropped significantly to 170 million yuan due to reduced demand in the photovoltaic sector [2]. Capacity Planning - The company has achieved international leading standards in quartz material production technology, with a successful completion of a high-purity quartz material project and ongoing expansion in semiconductor production capacity [2][5]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 620 million yuan, 790 million yuan, and 980 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.1, 1.5, and 1.8 yuan per share [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.172 billion with a year-on-year growth of 42.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 173 million, reflecting a significant increase of 161.92% [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 18.76%, up by 1.47% year-on-year, while the net cash flow from operations reached 244 million, a turnaround from a negative cash flow of 94 million in the same period last year [1]. - The company is benefiting from the recovery in the domestic consumer electronics industry and the increasing demand for connectors driven by the growth in internet and data center sectors [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2024 was 3.172 billion, a 42.63% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 173 million, up 161.92% [1]. - The gross profit margin was 18.76%, an increase of 1.47% year-on-year, while the sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio were 2.01%, 4.89%, and 3.37% respectively [1]. - The company’s cash flow from operations was positive at 244 million, compared to a negative cash flow of 94 million in the previous year [1]. Revenue Composition - Revenue from communication connectors was 469 million, a slight increase of 0.39% year-on-year, while consumer electronics connectors generated 155 million, up 34.65% [1]. - Revenue from automotive and other connectors surged to 489 million, reflecting a growth of 130.84%, and solar mounting structures contributed 1.932 billion, a 41.13% increase [1]. - Domestic revenue reached 1.280 billion, growing by 43.89%, while international revenue was 1.765 billion, up 38.59% [1]. Industry Outlook - The consumer electronics sector in China is showing signs of recovery, with smartphone production increasing by 9.7% year-on-year [1]. - The automotive industry also reported growth, with production and sales increasing by 4.9% and 6.1% respectively, and new energy vehicles seeing a significant rise in market share [1]. - In the U.S., solar photovoltaic capacity is expected to see substantial growth, with projections indicating a doubling of new installations compared to the previous year [1]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.043 billion, 8.455 billion, and 10.283 billion for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits projected at 366 million, 483 million, and 628 million [5]. - The report anticipates a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) from 0.72 in 2023 to 3.24 by 2026, reflecting strong growth potential [5].

行 业 研 究 / 传 媒 互 联 网/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 传媒 沪深300 传媒互联网2024半年报总结：行业触底 回升，看好港股互联网和AI产业链 2024 年 09 月 11 日 [Table_Title] 传媒互联网行业专题研究 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 【配置建议】 互联网平台广告、游戏景气度高，电商增长有赖于跨境。分业务来看： 1）广告：高基数因素下，互联网平台广告收入增速放缓，其中拼多 多国内、微信视频号贡献明显。2）电商：国内电商增速放缓，海外 业务推动行业增长，temu、速卖通贡献增量。3）游戏：老游戏同比 增长，新游戏表现出色，腾讯的《地下城与勇士：起源》、哔哩哔哩 的《三国：谋定天下》成为上半年爆款。4）泛娱乐：直播、视频会 员等泛娱乐收入增速放缓。 传媒行业各项经营指标承压，出版行业抗压能力强。上市传媒企业营 收增长乏力，净利润显著承压，出版和广告行业抗压能力强，受税收 政策影响出版行业净利润有所下滑。上市传媒企业毛利率和净利率同 比下降，费用率小幅提升，游戏和电视广播净利润率下滑最大。经营 活动现金流受到影响更大，影视院线和游戏板块现金流最好。 我们看好港股 ...

Industry Overview - The photovoltaic (PV) industry experienced a mixed performance in the first half of 2024, with volume growth but price declines, indicating a bottoming-out phase [12] - Domestic PV installations remained strong, with 123.53 GW added from January to July 2024, a 27.14% year-on-year increase [12] - Overseas module exports reached 151.4 GW in the same period, up 25.54% year-on-year, with significant growth in the Asia-Pacific and Middle East regions [13] - The entire PV supply chain saw price declines, with silicon, wafers, cells, and modules dropping by 39.23%, 37.50%, 20.83%, and 22.11% respectively from the beginning of 2024 [17] - Signs of price stabilization emerged in August 2024, with a slight rebound in silicon prices and announcements of price increases by major wafer manufacturers [21] Financial Performance - The main PV supply chain segments (silicon, wafers, cells, and modules) reported a combined revenue of 324.476 billion yuan in H1 2024, down 28.88% year-on-year, with a net loss of 14.475 billion yuan [1] - Inverter revenue and net profit were 47.587 billion yuan and 7.062 billion yuan, down 0.61% and 17.68% year-on-year respectively [1] - Auxiliary materials revenue and net profit were 80.667 billion yuan and 3.837 billion yuan, up 3.32% and down 57.91% year-on-year respectively [1] - Equipment sector revenue and net profit were 27.297 billion yuan and 4.605 billion yuan, up 43.52% and 16.44% year-on-year respectively [1] Operational Efficiency - Main supply chain segments improved working capital efficiency by extending supplier payment terms, reducing working capital turnover days [2] - Fixed asset turnover slowed across most segments due to overcapacity and reduced utilization rates, except for silver paste, brackets, and welding strips [38] - The industry's operating cash flow turned negative in H1 2024, with reduced capital expenditures and increased financing activities reflecting intensified operational pressures [2] Market Trends - The energy storage sector saw strong demand, particularly in emerging markets, with companies like Deye, Sungrow, and GoodWe performing well [22] - Domestic energy storage installations reached 35.39 GWh in H1 2024, with a record high of 15.5 GWh added in June alone [27] - Global energy storage installations are expected to reach 310 GWh by 2025, driven by policy support and economic improvements [27] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in silicon material companies like GCL Technology and Tongwei, module companies like JinkoSolar and Canadian Solar, and inverter companies like Sungrow and Deye [4] - Key auxiliary material companies recommended include Jolywood, FST, and Flat Glass Group [4]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Overweight" rating [5] Core Views - The company seized the opportunity of IoT market recovery in H1 2024, with multiple business segments flourishing [1] - Key drivers include heavy R&D investment, continuous development of module categories, and focus on automotive intelligence [1] - The company achieved significant milestones in 5G module development and global commercialization [1] - Revenue in H1 2024 reached 8 249 billion yuan, up 26 67% YoY, with net profit attributable to parent company surging 281 48% YoY to 209 million yuan [2] Financial Performance - H1 2024 revenue: 8 249 billion yuan, +26 67% YoY [2] - H1 2024 net profit attributable to parent company: 209 million yuan, +281 48% YoY [2] - Gross margin: 18 14%, +0 57% YoY [2] - R&D expenses: 796 million yuan, with 4 203 R&D personnel [1] - Contract liabilities: 227 million yuan, up from 164 million yuan in the same period last year [2] Business Development - Developed over 50 models of 5G modules covering industrial, Android smart, and automotive grades [1] - Achieved global first in large-scale commercial application of 5G CPE with Wi-Fi 7 [1] - Launched multiple smart module products with edge computing capabilities, winning 2024 AIoT Technology Innovation Product Award [1] - Expanded GNSS module product line, with LG290P and LG580P meeting high-precision positioning needs in various industries [6] - Pioneered satellite communication modules, with products like CC660D-LS and BG95-S5 achieving mass production [6] Market Position - Global leader in IoT solutions with comprehensive product portfolio covering cellular modules, automotive modules, smart modules, and satellite communication modules [9] - Products widely applied in smart transportation, smart energy, financial payment, smart city, and industrial IoT [9] - Maintains strong position in global automotive module market with multiple 5G module series adopted by major automakers [6] Industry Outlook - Global IoT connections estimated to reach 38 8 billion by 2029, up from 15 7 billion in 2023 [7] - Cellular IoT connections projected to grow to 6 7 billion by 2029 from 3 4 billion in 2023 [7] - Global cellular module shipments expected to reach 790 million units by 2029, with revenue of 9 495 billion USD [8] Financial Projections - 2024E revenue: 171 484 billion yuan, +23 72% YoY [10] - 2024E net profit attributable to parent company: 470 60 million yuan, +418 82% YoY [10] - 2025E revenue: 210 1875 billion yuan, +22 57% YoY [10] - 2026E revenue: 255 2048 billion yuan, +21 42% YoY [10] - 2026E net profit attributable to parent company: 889 20 million yuan [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the wind power industry [5]. Core Insights - The wind power sector experienced a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressure in the first half of 2024, with total revenue of 142.448 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.65%, and a net profit of 8.385 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.15% [2][32]. - The domestic wind power market is expected to see a new round of installation peaks driven by policy planning and increasing demand for offshore wind projects, particularly in Europe [2][15]. - The report highlights the importance of offshore wind as a core variable for the industry, with expectations for significant growth in installations in the second half of 2024 [2][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Review of the Wind Power Industry in H1 2024 - Domestic wind power installations reached 25.84 GW in H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.40%, with onshore wind growing steadily and offshore wind underperforming expectations [15]. - The report anticipates total new installations for 2024 to exceed 85 GW, representing a growth of over 12% year-on-year [15]. 2. Operating Data Summary for the Wind Power Sector - In H1 2024, the wind power sector's listed companies reported a total revenue of 1,424.48 billion yuan and a net profit of 83.85 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 18.51% [32]. - The report notes a significant increase in overseas revenue, which reached 8.924 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.09%, accounting for 20.39% of total revenue [32]. 3. Core Segment Analysis - The report identifies three segments with relatively strong performance: 1. The complete machine segment, which is expected to see profit recovery due to increased installation scale and higher overseas revenue [2][46]. 2. The submarine cable segment, which has maintained revenue growth despite slight profit declines due to project delays [2][46]. 3. The export segment, where some companies have leveraged early overseas supply chain layouts to gain advantages [2][46]. 4. Industry Outlook and Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the resonance of domestic and international demand, recommending a focus on both onshore and offshore wind segments for investment opportunities [3][2].

行 业 研 究 / 电 气 设 备/ 证 券 研 究 报 告 电网设备板块2024年半年报总结：细分 板块表现突出，关注特高压/出海双主 线 2024 年 09 月 10 日 [Table_Title] 电气设备行业专题研究 [Table_Summary] 【投资要点】 出海方面，推荐关注：金盘科技、伊戈尔、海兴电力、三星医疗、威 胜控股 【风险提示】 投资展望：我们建议关注特高压、出海两条主线。特高压方面，新能 源发电占比不断提升，"沙戈荒"能源外送通道需求迫切。2024 年 5 月，国网披露 14 条特高压储备项目，表明特高压建设景气周期明确。 出海方面， 国内电力设备产业链相较于全球具备显著优势；海外多 市场需求景气，亚非拉新兴市场增长明确，国内电力设备企业出海具 备丰富增长空间。 【配置建议】 数据总览：2024 年中，国家电网追加全年投资至 6000 亿元，强调主 要投向领域为特高压及配电领域。国网已公布 3 批次特高压设备、4 批次输变电设备、2 批次计量设备（智能电能表及用电信息采集）的 招中标情况。特高压方面，2024 年前三批次设备招标额共计 91.90 亿元，核心设备换流变压器、换流阀、组 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with an upward adjustment [4]. Core Insights - The company has successfully transitioned from a solid mineral exploration enterprise to a large-scale mining company, benefiting from the lithium salt industry's boom from 2020 to 2022 and strategic acquisitions made prior to the industry's growth [3][4]. - The company has expanded its lithium salt production capacity significantly, reaching 66,000 tons by the end of 2023, and has made strategic acquisitions of lithium mines to enhance its resource reserves [3][4]. - The company is also developing copper resources, with significant acquisitions in Zambia, indicating a shift towards becoming a diversified multi-metal mining group [4][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company focuses on lithium resource extraction and refining, producing high-quality lithium hydroxide, lithium carbonate, and lithium fluoride, and has established a strong reputation in the market [20]. - Key resources include the Bikita mine in Zimbabwe and the Tanco mine in Canada, which are critical for the company's lithium production [20][21]. Development History - The company has undergone three major development phases, transitioning from solid mineral exploration to a comprehensive mining enterprise, with significant revenue growth driven by lithium and cesium resources [30][31]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 4.75 billion, 5.82 billion, and 7.30 billion yuan, with net profits of 811.83 million, 1.16 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively [7][8]. - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) from 1.11 yuan in 2024 to 2.61 yuan in 2026 [7][8]. Resource Development - The company has made substantial investments in lithium and cesium resources, with a focus on expanding production capacity and enhancing its market position [3][4]. - The copper resource development is seen as a new growth point, with the Kitumba copper mine acquisition expected to contribute significantly to future profits [21][22]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in the cesium and rubidium fine chemical sector, with a comprehensive supply chain and significant market share in cesium formate production [22][23].