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FIT HON TENG:Beneficiary of GB200 server ramp in 4Q24E; Assessing the AI server opportunity
招银国际· 2024-10-23 13:23
Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with a target price of HK$4 25 based on 13x FY25E P/E [1][30] Core View - FIT Hon Teng is identified as the GB200 server winner in the H-share tech space, benefiting from the GB200 server ramp in 2025 [1] - AI server revenue is estimated to reach US$484mn/823mn, accounting for 11%/16% of FIT's earnings in 2025/26E [1] - In the bull case, revenue could reach US$886mn in FY25E [1] - FIT is expected to benefit from GB200 server rack ramp with share gains over the next few years [1] Earnings Summary - Revenue is forecasted to grow from US$4 531mn in FY22 to US$7 347mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 30 8% in FY25E [2][26] - Net profit is expected to increase from US$170 1mn in FY22 to US$384 9mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 62 8% in FY25E [2][26] - EPS is projected to rise from US$2 42 cents in FY22 to US$5 42 cents in FY26E [2][26] AI Server Opportunity - FIT is a key component supplier for GB200 NVL72/36, including compute tray connectors/cables, NVLink copper cables, power busbar, liquid cooling components, and GPU sockets [1] - GB200 server revenue is estimated to reach US$422mn/886mn (base/bull) in FY25E [1] - Compute tray connector/cables and NVLink copper cables are expected to deliver US$115mn/291mn in FY25E [1] - Liquid cooling components and GPU sockets are forecasted to generate US$0 6mn/4 6mn in FY25E [1] Latest Developments - FIT is developing CPO solutions and launched the conceptual design of FITConn 800G high-speed connector module for AI connectivity [1] - Hon Hai showcased GB200 NVL72 racks and liquid cooling components at HHTD 2024 [1] - FIT is under qualification for server UQDs and is developing UDQs for use inside the server and on the CDM [19] Valuation - Trading at 9 5x FY25 P/E, valuation remains attractive compared to 42%/63% EPS growth in FY24/25E [1] - Upcoming catalysts include GB200 updates and 3Q24 results in November [1] Financial Summary - Revenue is expected to grow from US$4 531mn in FY22 to US$7 347mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 30 8% in FY25E [26] - Net profit is forecasted to increase from US$170 1mn in FY22 to US$384 9mn in FY26E, with a YoY growth of 62 8% in FY25E [26] - EPS is projected to rise from US$2 42 cents in FY22 to US$5 42 cents in FY26E [26]
Nuveen Municipal OPPORTUNITY FUND Inc:New brands unlikely to help NIO break even
招银国际· 2024-09-06 01:43
6 Sep 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update NIO Inc. (NIO US) New brands unlikely to help NIO break even Maintain HOLD. We are of the view that NIO's 2Q24 earnings were mixed as the QoQ rise in gross profit was offset by the increases in R&D and SG&A expenses. We project FY25/26 sales volume to surge 54%/23% YoY to 324,000/400,000 units, respectively, contributed by the Onvo and Firefly brands. However, we believe such top-line growth with GPM expansion is still far away f ...
FIT HON TENG:2Q24 in-line; Upbeat guidance on power busbar and liquid cooling order wins
招银国际· 2024-08-14 02:40
14 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK) 2Q24 in-line; Upbeat guidance on power busbar and liquid cooling order wins FIT Hon Teng posted a strong set of 2Q24 results, in-line with prior positive profit alert. Following our NDR call with mgmt., we are constructive on rapid expansion of AI server product portfolio: 1) power busbar and liquid cooling CDU products certified by customers (1-3% of FY24E sales), 2) sampling of backplane connector soluti ...
Meta Platforms Inc-A:2Q24 earnings beat; intact FY24 earnings growth outlook despite AI investment
招银国际· 2024-08-02 09:01
Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with a target price of US$565.0 based on 27x FY24 PE [1][3] Core Views - Meta's 2Q24 earnings beat consensus estimates with total revenue increasing by 22% YoY to US$39.1bn and net income growing by 73% YoY to US$13.5bn [1] - Management expects 3Q24 revenue to grow by 13-20% YoY to US$38.5-41.0bn, in line with consensus estimates [1] - FY24 full-year total expenses guidance remains unchanged at US$96-99bn, easing investor concerns on margin expansion [1] - Meta's ad business maintained solid growth with Family of Apps' ad revenue increasing by 22% YoY to US$38.3bn in 2Q24 [1] - Meta AI is on track to become the most used AI assistant by end-FY24, with billions of queries since its launch [1] - Operating profit margin (OPM) expanded by 9ppt YoY to 38.0% in 2Q24, driven by efficiency gains [1] Financial Performance - FY24E revenue is forecasted at US$159.7bn, with a net profit of US$53.1bn [2][11] - FY24E EPS is projected at US$20.93, representing a 4.6% increase from previous estimates [11] - Gross margin is expected to remain stable at 81.0% for FY24E, while operating margin is forecasted to expand to 38.6% [11] - Net income CAGR is projected at 21% over FY24-26E [1] Ad Business - Total number of ad impressions and average price per ad both grew by 10% YoY in 2Q24, driven by enhanced user engagement and improved ad performance [1] - Meta launched a full-screen video player and unified video recommendation systems, increasing engagement on Reels and creating opportunities for ad inventory growth [1] - US advertisers saw a 22% higher ROI after adopting Advantage+ Shopping campaigns [1] AI Initiatives - Meta AI has received billions of queries since its launch and is expected to become the most used AI assistant by end-FY24 [1] - Meta launched AI Studio, enabling millions of creators to create their own AI agents, which is expected to improve user experience and create monetization opportunities [1] Capex and Margin Outlook - FY24 capex guidance has been raised to US$37-40bn, representing a 36-47% YoY increase [1] - Significant capex growth is expected in FY25 to support AI development [1] - OPM expansion is expected to slow down meaningfully from FY25 onward [1] Valuation - Meta is valued at US$565.0 per share based on 27x FY24E P/E, reflecting its strong leadership in the global social media space [3] - The current valuation of 20x FY25E PE remains attractive [1]
QUANTUMPH-P:Advanced quantum physics-based, AI-powered and robotics- driven company to accelerate drug and material discovery
招银国际· 2024-07-24 06:01
Advanced quantum physics-based, AI-powered and roboticsdriven company to accelerate drug and material discovery | --- | --- | |---------------|---------| | | | | | | | | | | Target Price | HK$7.25 | | Up/Downside | 24.8% | | Current Price | HK$5.81 | Source: FactSet | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
FIT HON TENG:Positive on acquisition of Auto-Kabel Group; Reiterate BUY
招银国际· 2024-07-12 01:31
12 Jul 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK) Positive on acquisition of Auto-Kabel Group; Reiterate BUY FIT announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, FIT Voltaria, would acquire a German auto electronics supplier, Auto-Kabel Group, at a total consideration of EUR 72.5mn (implying 0.5x P/B, lower than FIT's 1.3x and global peers' 3.4x). The deal is expected to close by the end of 2024 upon regulatory approval. AutoKabel is a global leader in electro ...
FIT HON TENG:Share pressure overdone; Raise estimates for stronger AirPods/AI server upside
招银国际· 2024-07-09 01:31
9 Jul 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK) Share pressure overdone; Raise estimates for stronger AirPods/AI server upside FIT Hon Teng announced a positive profit alert for 1H24 earnings, at US$28- 33mn (vs net loss of US$9mn in 1H23), mainly driven by stronger computing (PC)/ networking (server) segments and better operating efficiency. However, stock price is pressured by questions on 2024 earnings recovery pace and higher OPEX for AirPods and Vol ...
FIT HON TENG:CMBI Corp Day takeaways: Multiple growth drivers in AI server, AI PC/phone and AirPods in FY24/25E
招银国际· 2024-06-26 04:01
FIT Hon Teng (6088 HK) CMBI Corp Day takeaways: Multiple growth drivers in AI server, AI PC/phone and AirPods in FY24/25ES | | | | | | | | Under Review | |---------------------------------------------------------------------|-----------|-----------|-------------------|----------------|--------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------| | We hosted FIT | | | | | | Up/Downside Current Price | - HK$3.14 | | | | | | | | China Technology | | | | | ...
ARK’s Expected Value For Tesla In 2029: $2,600 Per Share
ARK Invest· 2024-06-11 16:01
Skip to main content New Whitepaper: Is AI Truly Disruptive? Is AI Truly Disruptive? Download Now â Search for something... → Show menu Investment Solutions Actively Managed Equity ARK Disruptive Innovation Autonomous Tech. & Robotics Genomic Revolution Next Generation Internet Fintech Innovation Space Exploration Overview: All Strategies Investor Resources Indexed Equity 3D Printing Israel Innovation Circular Economy Cybersecurity and Data Privacy Digital Payments Economy Environmental Impact Global Sustai ...
Nuveen Municipal OPPORTUNITY FUND Inc:Still no sign of turning profitable
招银国际· 2024-06-07 06:22
M N 7 Jun 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update NIO Inc. (NIO US) Still no sign of turning profitable Target Price US$5.60 Maintain HOLD. Both NIO’s ASP and vehicle GPM missed in 1Q24, while R&D (Previous TP US$6.20) expenses and GPM for other income beat. Although its planned launch time for Up/Downside 6.3% its third brand is earlier than we had expected, we believe management’s GPM Current Price US$5.27 guidance and assumptions for breakeven could be too optimistic. Chi ...