ai 推动先进封装成长，国产替代迎来新机遇 20260210 摘要 AI 算力需求激增推动先进封装技术发展，尤其以 COWS 等技术为代表， 预计 2026 年将成为国产先进封装需求元年，全球先进封装市场规模预 计到 2030 年将超过 794 亿美元。 台积电 CoWoS 先进封装产能长期短缺，部分产能外溢至日月光、安靠 等公司，推动其股价上涨。国内厂商如盛合晶微、长电通富等在关键技 术上取得突破，并完成部分客户导入验证。 主流方案正从 CoWoS S 演进到 CoWoS L，后者在保留硅优势的同时， 具备更大灵活性和扩展性，成为未来趋势。国产算力芯片厂商如华为升 腾、寒武纪、海光等在推理和训练场景上取得进展。 中芯国际、中芯南方等企业加速突破主流消费级及高算力领域制程工艺。 从 2026 年起，中芯南方产量提升，带动国内风测厂出货量增加，今年 是国产算力爆发和高级别 2.5D/3D 封装元年。 国内传统封装市场占有率超 20%，先进封装被视为弯道超车机会。盛合 晶微是国内 CoWoS 先进封装龙头，2022-2024 年营收复合增长率位居 全球前十，其 12 寸 WL CSP 和 2.5D 封装业务收入规 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to rise more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [20]. Core Insights - The launch of Seedance 2.0 by ByteDance marks a significant advancement in AI video generation, featuring multi-modal reference capabilities and efficient creative processes, applicable in various fields such as animation and advertising [2][6]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential of AI-generated content (AIGC) and the increasing capital expenditure by ByteDance, projected at 160 billion RMB for 2026, with a significant portion allocated for advanced semiconductor chips [6]. - The report suggests a focus on key companies within the AIGC supply chain, including chip manufacturers, server providers, data centers, and application developers, indicating a broad investment opportunity across the sector [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The computer industry comprises 337 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 61,676.90 billion RMB and a circulating market value of 55,806.98 billion RMB [3]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Industrial Fulian is projected to have a revenue of 608.47 billion RMB in 2024, with a net profit of 23.22 billion RMB, reflecting a PE ratio of 48.0 for 2024 and 32.3 for 2025 [2]. - Other notable companies include: - Huagong Information with a projected revenue of 90.4 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.93 billion RMB in 2024 [7]. - Cambrian with a revenue forecast of 11.7 billion RMB and a net profit of -0.45 billion RMB in 2024 [7]. Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance of the computer industry shows a decline of 1.3% over the past month, but a growth of 16.7% over the past six months and 17.5% over the past year [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Haiguang Information, Cambrian, and others in the AI and semiconductor sectors, indicating a robust investment landscape driven by technological advancements [6].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月11日，截止午间收盘，信创ETF（562570）涨0.53%，报1.525元，成交额1310.56万元。信创ETF （562570）重仓股方面，浪潮信息截止午盘涨0.40%，海光信息跌2.26%，深信服涨3.57%，恒生电子跌 0.10%，金山办公涨0.06%，三六零跌2.13%，江波龙跌1.14%，广联达涨3.32%，中科曙光跌1.41%。 信创ETF（562570）业绩比较基准为中证信息技术应用创新产业指数收益率，管理人为华夏基金管理有 限公司，基金经理为司帆，成立（2024-04-19）以来回报为51.72%，近一个月回报为0.63%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Chip ETF (159995), which opened down by 0.88% at 1.910 yuan on February 11 [1] - Major holdings in the Chip ETF include companies such as SMIC, which fell by 1.89%, Haiguang Information down by 1.54%, and Cambrian down by 1.09% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return rate, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., with a return of 92.76% since its inception on January 20, 2020, and a 1.42% return over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Chip ETF Huatai Fu (516920), which opened down by 0.96% at 1.132 yuan on February 11 [1] - The major holdings of the Chip ETF experienced declines, with notable drops including Cambricon down 1.09%, SMIC down 1.89%, and GigaDevice down 1.69% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Chip ETF is the CSI Chip Industry Index return, with a total return of 14.40% since its establishment on July 27, 2021, and a one-month return of 0.56% [1]

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is currently in an upward cycle, driven primarily by AI, with significant capital expenditure growth expected from major North American cloud providers in 2025 and 2026, which will boost demand for AI computing hardware infrastructure [1] - Global semiconductor sales increased by 37.1% year-on-year in January 2026, marking 26 consecutive months of positive growth, with DRAM and NAND Flash spot prices rising approximately 39% and 35% respectively [1] - The domestic computing power industry chain is experiencing a dual resonance from both supply and demand sides, with improved yield and capacity in wafer fabs and high AI capital expenditure driving demand [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board chip index accounted for 59% of the index, with key companies including Lanqi Technology, Haiguang Information, and SMIC [2] - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) serves as a convenient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the Sci-Tech Innovation Board chip sector [2] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Sci-Tech Chip ETF linked fund (017470) to explore investment opportunities in domestic chips [3]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Company Overview - The discussion centers around the AI and technology industry, specifically focusing on tools like Clawd Bot and multi-modal models such as Seedance 2.0, which are pivotal in the current AI landscape [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Clawd Bot Usage and Token Consumption** - Clawd Bot serves as a model tool calling platform, allowing users to select large models (e.g., OpenAI, Google, MINIMAX, KIMI) and plugins (SKILLS) - The entry barrier for users has significantly lowered due to services from cloud providers like Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud, with monthly rental costs as low as 30 yuan - The functionality has shifted from interactive dialogue to task-oriented tool calling, supporting local or cloud data storage [1][1][1]. 2. **Token Consumption in Different Scenarios** - In pure text interaction scenarios, high-frequency tool calls can lead to a surge in token consumption, with usage potentially reaching tens of millions of tokens weekly - Seedance 2.0 can generate videos in 15 seconds and supports simultaneous processing of video and audio, significantly increasing token consumption due to the complexity of multi-modal interactions [2][2][2]. 3. **Trends in Token Consumption and Necessity for Charging** - Since 2026, token consumption has seen explosive growth, with actual demand possibly exceeding initial expectations - For instance, ByteDance's original plan to increase daily token consumption from 40 trillion to 400 trillion (a tenfold increase) may be underestimated due to the prevalence of high-frequency tool calls and multi-modal applications [2][3][3]. 4. **Driving Factors for Token Consumption** - The proliferation of tools like Clawd Bot necessitates paid API calls for large models, as there are no free APIs available - Multi-modal models like Seedance 2.0 further amplify token consumption, leading to a shift away from the traditional free model towards a paid API model, indicating significant revenue potential for providers [3][3][3]. Additional Important Content 1. **Recommended AI Infrastructure Companies** - The surge in token consumption is driving demand for computing power, acceleration, and cloud services - Key recommendations include: - **Acceleration Services**: Wangsu Technology, which can optimize interaction delays for tools like Clawd Bot - **Cloud Providers**: Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud, which hold significant influence in the AI ecosystem - **Domestic Computing Chip Companies**: Haiguang and Cambrian, which are positioned for long-term growth despite short-term market pessimism [3][3][3]. 2. **AI Animation Development and Related Stocks** - The efficiency of AI animation production has significantly improved, with a four-person team able to produce 120 minutes of high-quality content in just 10 days - Multi-modal models like Seedance 2.0 are further lowering production barriers [3][4][4]. 3. **Specific Stock Recommendations** - **Zhaochi Co., Ltd.**: Expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI video content production - **Wondershare Technology**: Launched AI video tools that support script generation and efficient content creation through external model calls [4][5][5].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Huaxia Science and Technology Value ETF (589550), which opened down by 0.45% at 1.322 yuan on February 11 [1] - The major holdings of the ETF include companies such as SMIC, which opened down by 1.89%, and Cambrian, which fell by 1.09% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Intelligent Selection Science and Technology Board Value 50 Strategy Index, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - Since its establishment on July 16, 2025, the ETF has achieved a return of 32.87%, with a monthly return of 2.15% [1] - Other notable stock performances within the ETF include Haiguang Information down by 1.54%, Times Electric up by 0.32%, and Lanqi Technology down by 1.46% [1] - The fund manager is Yang Siqi, indicating a specific leadership in the management of the ETF [1]

Group 1 - The Digital Economy ETF ICBC (561220) opened at a decline of 0.26%, priced at 1.535 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the Digital Economy ETF include companies like SMIC, which fell by 1.89%, and Haiguang Information, which dropped by 1.54% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the China Securities Index for State-Owned Enterprises in the Digital Economy, managed by ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management [1] Group 2 - Since its inception on May 21, 2025, the fund has achieved a return of 54.05%, while its return over the past month has been -0.65% [1] - The fund manager is Shi Baojiao, indicating a specific leadership in managing the ETF [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Chip ETF Dongcai (159599), which opened with a slight decline of 0.35% at 2.269 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Chip ETF Dongcai include companies such as Cambrian, SMIC, and Haiguang Information, all of which experienced declines in their stock prices, with SMIC down by 1.89% and Cambrian down by 1.09% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Chip ETF Dongcai is the CSI Chip Industry Index return, managed by Dongcai Fund Management Co., with a return of 127.89% since its establishment on April 19, 2024, and a monthly return of 0.62% [1]