Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [4][10][12]. Core Views - The transportation sector is experiencing a recovery in passenger and freight volumes, driven by the resumption of domestic and international travel, as well as a rebound in logistics demand [8][12]. - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand, which is expected to further enhance the performance of airlines and logistics companies [12][9]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance Review - From October 20 to October 25, 2025, the transportation sector recorded a cumulative increase of +0.72%, ranking 24th among 31 SW primary industries, while the CSI 300 index rose by +3.24% [16][18]. - Sub-sectors within transportation showed varied performance, with public transport (+4.81%) and warehousing logistics (+2.88%) leading the gains, while shipping experienced a decline of -1.28% [18][19]. Aviation and Airports - In September 2025, major listed airlines in China showed significant recovery in domestic Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) compared to 2019, with China Southern Airlines at 116.42% and Spring Airlines at 176.49% [27]. - Major airports also reported recovery in passenger throughput, with Baiyun Airport and Shanghai Airport achieving recovery rates of 115.74% and 125.22% for domestic passengers, respectively [35]. Shipping and Ports - As of October 24, 2025, the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) was at 1403.46 points, reflecting a week-on-week increase of +7.11% but a year-on-year decrease of -35.78% [39]. - The China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) reported a value of 992.74 points, with a week-on-week increase of +2.02% and a year-on-year decrease of -27.35% [39]. Road and Rail - In September 2025, railway passenger volume reached 341 million, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of -0.24%, while freight volume increased by +4.24% to 4.45 million tons [64]. - Road transport saw a significant decline in passenger volume, down -43.82% year-on-year, while freight volume increased by +5.20% to 38.91 million tons [70]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector achieved a revenue of 127.37 billion yuan in September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of +7.20%, with business volume rising by +12.70% to 16.88 billion parcels [12].

Core Viewpoint - Starting from October 26, 2025, Air China will implement its winter-spring flight schedule for 2025/26, focusing on the construction of the Chengdu International Aviation Hub and optimizing its route network to better meet diverse passenger travel needs [1]. Group 1: Flight Operations and Network Expansion - Air China will deploy 116 aircraft for operations around Chengdu, executing an average of 474 flights daily across 95 routes, with 34 domestic routes from Shuangliu Airport and 87 international and domestic routes from Tianfu Airport [3]. - The airline will enhance domestic trunk line flights, increasing the Chengdu to Shenzhen route to 12 round trips daily and the Chengdu to Hangzhou route to 10 round trips daily, resulting in a 5% year-on-year increase in flights at Shuangliu Airport [6]. - At Tianfu Airport, Air China will maintain its existing international routes while improving the connection between international and domestic trunk lines, offering services to 16 key global cities and increasing the Chengdu to Milan route to 4 flights per week [6][11]. Group 2: Aircraft and Service Innovations - Air China has 12 domestically produced C909 aircraft based in Chengdu, which will operate 20 round trips daily to 15 domestic destinations, enhancing regional connectivity and operational efficiency [8]. - The airline will introduce cross-airline check-in services in collaboration with Macau Airlines, allowing passengers to enjoy streamlined check-in and baggage handling for connecting flights [11]. - Air China will deploy Airbus A350-900 aircraft on international routes to Milan, London, and Paris, providing onboard Wi-Fi and enhancing passenger experience [11]. Group 3: Strategic Development and Market Positioning - The airline aims to deepen the collaborative layout of the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle and expand routes along the Belt and Road Initiative, positioning Chengdu as a significant aviation hub connecting Eurasia and serving nationwide [11].

Core Insights - The appreciation of the Renminbi has led to a 0.68% increase in the benefiting sectors compared to the previous trading day, with Zhongshun Jierou leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1] Summary of Benefiting Stocks - Zhongshun Jierou (002511) closed at 8.81, with a rise of 4.51% and a trading volume of 265,400 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 232 million [1] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) closed at 5.86, increasing by 2.81% with a trading volume of 3.91 million shares, totaling 2.299 billion [1] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) closed at 4.16, up 2.72% with a trading volume of 658,600 shares, amounting to 273 million [1] - Baosteel (600000) closed at 7.27, rising by 1.82% with a trading volume of 1.2066 million shares, totaling 877 million [1] - Other notable stocks include Aluminum Wine Food (300892) at 35.03 (+1.24%), Hengbang Co. (002237) at 13.22 (+1.15%), and Air China (601111) at 8.46 (+1.08%) [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The benefiting sector experienced a net outflow of 198 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 80.24 million [2] - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in stocks like Zhongshun Jierou and Taiyuan Iron & Steel, despite overall outflows from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a slight increase of 0.09% on October 27, with Xiamen Airport leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1]. Summary by Category Stock Performance - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 16.00, up 1.91% with a trading volume of 127,600 shares and a turnover of 204 million yuan - China National Aviation (601111) closed at 8.46, up 1.08% with a trading volume of 532,900 shares - China Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.60, up 0.30% with a trading volume of 431,700 shares - Shanghai Airport (600009) remained unchanged at 31.37 with a trading volume of 71,700 shares - Hainan Airlines (600221) closed at 1.68, unchanged with a trading volume of 3,633,800 shares - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 4.83, down 0.41% with a trading volume of 953,200 shares [1][2]. Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 153 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 107 million yuan [2][3]. - The detailed capital flow for key stocks indicates that: - China Southern Airlines had a net inflow of 29.35 million yuan from institutional investors - Hainan Airlines experienced a net outflow of 19.17 million yuan from institutional investors - Xiamen Airport had a net inflow of 6.56 million yuan from institutional investors [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry shows resilient demand, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in September, indicating a steady expansion of the market [4][25] - The logistics sector is witnessing technological advancements, with JD Logistics planning to procure 3 million robots and 100,000 unmanned vehicles over the next five years, which may enhance supply chain efficiency [5] - The shipping market is expected to benefit from geopolitical factors and trade negotiations, potentially increasing demand for oil transportation and bulk shipping [6][10] - The aviation sector is experiencing growth, with a 10.8% increase in international flight volumes for the upcoming winter-spring season, reflecting a recovery in air travel [10][12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - In September 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 16.88 billion pieces, a 12.7% year-on-year increase, with revenue of 127.37 billion yuan, up 7.2% [4][25] - Major players like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost control, with significant growth potential [14] Shipping and Ports - The VLCC market may benefit from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil, potentially increasing long-distance shipping demand [6] - The shipping market is expected to see a recovery driven by environmental regulations and geopolitical stability, with recommendations to focus on companies like China Shipping and COSCO [14][15] Aviation - The aviation industry is projected to maintain steady growth, with a 10.3% increase in total transport turnover and a 5.2% rise in passenger transport volume in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - Airbus has opened a new A320 assembly line in Tianjin, marking a significant milestone in Sino-European cooperation [9] Road and Rail - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight increasing by 2.33% and highway freight truck traffic rising by 24.72% [13] - Strategic partnerships in the highway sector are being formed to enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [13] Overall Market Performance - From October 20 to October 24, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 1.12%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 2.88% [20][23]

Core Insights - The event focused on the theme "Looking Back and Forward on the Growth of Chinese Enterprises' Brands," aiming to analyze achievements and challenges faced by Chinese brands over the past decades and provide new strategies for navigating complex international circumstances [1][3] Group 1: Event Overview - The event was co-hosted by the President's Reading Club and the China Advertising Association, marking the seventh collaboration during the advertising festival [1] - It included two main parts: a discussion on the current state and future direction of Chinese brand growth, and a special session featuring two selected books, "Braving the World" and "Survival through Elevation" [3][10] Group 2: Key Speakers and Their Insights - Li Jiaxiang discussed the five key elements of brand establishment: positioning and value, emotion and culture, differentiation and individuality, technology and functionality, and cooperation and enhancement [4] - Hou Xiaohai highlighted the challenges faced by traditional consumer goods companies and advocated for a shift from "experience reliance" to "agile evolution" to adapt to changing consumer demands [6] - Qin Shuo outlined the definition of brands and the stages of Chinese brand development, emphasizing the need to enhance global influence and brand soft power [8] Group 3: Selected Books and Their Contributions - "Braving the World" provides insights into brand innovation and strategic deployment, offering valuable lessons for traditional brands seeking renewal [10] - "Survival through Elevation" explores cognitive communication as a key resource for survival in the information age, proposing tools for managing cognitive bandwidth [12] Group 4: Collaborative Initiatives - The event witnessed the launch of strategic collaborations between the President's Reading Club and Qingbao Think Tank, as well as with Wutong Guesthouse, aiming to integrate resources and enhance knowledge dissemination in brand building [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the progress of China-US trade negotiations, which may benefit the shipping sector. It highlights the upward potential of infrastructure stocks and the recovery potential of the express delivery industry [1][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Shipping - The report notes a positive atmosphere in the shipping industry due to ongoing China-US trade negotiations, which may favor container shipping. The report indicates that freight rates for the US East and West routes have seen increases of 6.3% and 11.2% respectively [11][12]. - It highlights the potential for increased market share for Chinese shipowners in relevant shipping routes in the medium to long term [17]. 2. Infrastructure - Weekly data shows a significant increase in truck traffic, with 58.12 million vehicles recorded, a 24.7% increase week-on-week. National railway freight volume also increased by 2.3% [18][19]. - The report suggests that leading highway stocks are showing signs of recovery, and it recommends focusing on the potential for dividend stocks in the infrastructure sector [20]. 3. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is experiencing a recovery in pricing, with a 12.7% year-on-year increase in business volume in September, totaling 16.88 billion packages. The report notes that major express companies are seeing a trend of rising prices [21][22]. - The report highlights the impact of "anti-involution" policies that are easing price competition and improving valuations in the industry [22]. 4. Aviation - The report indicates a 5% year-on-year increase in passenger volume in the civil aviation sector, with domestic ticket prices also showing improvement. The average daily utilization of aircraft has increased by 1.3% year-on-year [23][24]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the "anti-involution" policies and their effects on industry valuations and supply-demand dynamics [24]. 5. Logistics - The report tracks the daily traffic at the Ganqimaodu port, which averaged about 1,031 vehicles, reflecting an 8% increase week-on-week. The average short-haul freight rate has also risen [25][81]. - It notes a 6.9% week-on-week increase in the Shanghai outbound air freight price index, indicating a recovery in logistics pricing [25][86].

另据了解，在冬春航季期间，中国国际航空、四川航空、东方航空等多家中国航司将继续执飞加德满都 往返成都、昆明等城市的航线，为中尼人员往来提供交通便利。(完)【编辑:张令旗】 南航加德满都营业部总经理杨文富介绍，换季首日，加德满都至广州航班承运旅客280人，客座率接近 满员。 中新网加德满都10月27日电 (记者 崔楠)自10月26日起，中国民航正式执行2025年至2026年冬春航季航 班计划。中国南方航空加德满都至广州航线客运量同比增长超过50%，航班保持每日两班的稳定频次。 据中国民航局消息，本航季(2025年10月26日至2026年3月28日)，共有191家国内外航空公司计划每周执 行国际航班21427班，较去年同期增长10.8%。其中，南航继续运营加德满都至广州往返航线，每日早 晚各一班，单日提供座位285个。 ...

Portfolio Strategy Research 24 October 2025 | 9:56PM HKT CHINA WEEKLY KICKSTART Markets rebounded 3-4% led by Tech; 4th Plenum largely in line with expectations; We expect Chinese equities to gain ~30% by end-2027 MXCN/CSI300 rebounded 4.0/3.2%, with Tech outperforming (ChiNext/STAR50/HSTECH +8.0%/+7.3%/+5.2%). The 4th Plenum of the CCPCC concluded on Oct 23 and policymakers approved the proposal of the 15th Five-Year Plan. The Plenum highlighted technology, security, and people's livelihood, largely in lin ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - **E-commerce**: TikTok, Jitu Express - **Aviation**: China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Air China, Huaxia Airlines - **Express Delivery**: YTO Express, Shentong Express - **Shipping**: China Merchants Energy, Haitong Development - **Lithium Industry**: New Zobang - **Coal Industry**: Yancoal Energy, Guanghui Energy, Huayang Co., China Coal Energy - **Chemical Industry**: Zanyu Technology - **Fertilizer Industry**: Yara International, Dongfang Tower, Salt Lake Co. - **Non-ferrous Metals**: Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium Core Points and Arguments - **E-commerce Growth**: TikTok's e-commerce growth is expected to reach 30%, with Jitu Express showing a volume growth of over 65% in the first three quarters. Latin America's e-commerce penetration is only 15%, indicating significant potential for growth [1][2] - **Aviation Sector Recovery**: Airlines are benefiting from improved ticket prices and passenger load factors, with a notable increase in ticket prices by 0.5% during the National Day holiday and subsequent weeks. Recommended stocks include Huaxia Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Air China [4] - **Express Delivery Valuation**: The express delivery sector remains attractive, with YTO Express and Shentong Express expected to have PE ratios of 9 and 8-9 respectively next year. The trend of reducing internal competition continues [4] - **Shipping Market Dynamics**: The commissioning of the Simandou iron ore project in Guinea is expected to significantly improve the supply-demand relationship for bulk carriers, with a projected shortfall of 232 Capesize vessels. Recommended stocks include China Merchants Energy and Haitong Development [5] - **Lithium Hydrofluoric Acid Price Surge**: The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has nearly doubled, reaching 92,500 CNY/ton, driven by increased demand, particularly from energy storage orders. The industry operating rate is at 77%, with inventory decreasing [9] - **Coal Market Outlook**: Coal production is expected to decline if companies do not exceed production limits, while demand remains strong. Recent coal prices have surged to 750-800 CNY, with potential for further increases [15][16] - **Chemical Industry Performance**: The chemical product price index remains stable, with specific products like polyester showing price fluctuations. The demand for fertilizers is expected to remain strong despite entering a seasonal lull [12][7] - **Fertilizer Market Trends**: Potash fertilizer inventory has slightly increased but remains low. The price of phosphate rock is stable, with a focus on companies with significant growth potential like Yara International and Dongfang Tower [7][8] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Geopolitical Impact on Oil Prices**: Recent geopolitical events have influenced oil prices, with WTI crude oil futures rising by 7.5% to $61.44 per barrel. OPEC's production increase and signs of a slowing U.S. economy may exert downward pressure on prices [6] - **Winter Heating Season Impact**: The winter heating season is expected to significantly affect coal demand, with an anticipated consumption increase of 50 million tons if heating starts early. This could lead to a substantial reduction in inventory levels [17][18] - **Investment Recommendations**: Investors are advised to focus on companies with high long-term contract ratios in the coal sector, such as Yancoal Energy and Guanghui Energy, as they are expected to perform well in the upcoming winter season [19]