Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.96%, Shenzhen Component down by 0.66%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.27% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 28,624 billion yuan, a decrease of 3,970 billion yuan from the previous day [1] Sector Performance - AI hardware sectors saw a broad increase, with significant gains in optical modules, optical circuit switching, optical communication, optical chips, and advanced packaging [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a collective sharp decline, with industrial metals, rare earths, gold and jewelry, and other related sectors showing significant losses [1] - Traditional sectors like liquor and real estate, referred to as "old stocks," performed poorly after a recent surge [1] Investment Sentiment - The market is experiencing a significant risk rotation, with funds flowing into underperforming technology and agriculture sectors as a form of risk aversion [1] - Despite the sharp decline in the non-ferrous metals sector, it is believed to have medium to long-term investment value, with the performance of this sector closely tied to commodity prices, particularly gold [9] - The liquidity in the market remains robust, as indicated by the reduced trading volume being attributed to investors locking in positions rather than panic selling [5] Specific Stock Insights - The liquor index showed a significant decrease in trading volume, suggesting that large funds are not exiting but rather locking in positions, indicating potential for future gains [10][11] - The "old stocks" like liquor and real estate may present opportunities for short-term trading, with potential returns of 10%-20% based on technical signals [10]

北交所日报 北交所日报（2026.01.30） 2026 年 01 月 30 日 核心观点 分析师 范想想 ：zhangzhihao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524100001 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026-01-30 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1. 【银河北交所】2026 年度策略_ 小而美美到"小 美久到，推动北证高质量发展 2. 【银河北交所】小十五五到：北交所引领中而企业 再进阶 3. 【银河北交所】2025 年度中期策略_并购协同促 新格局，提质扩容迎新供给 ：010-8092-7663 ：fanxiangxiang_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130518090002 张智浩 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 1 资料来源：中国银河证券研究院 ⚫ 1 月 30 日，北证 50 涨跌幅为-0.29%，收于 1,531.55 点。同日，北证 专精特新指数收于 2,571.08 点，涨跌幅为-0.29%；上证指数收于 ...

Group 1: Report Summary Investment Rating - The document does not mention the industry investment rating. Core View - On January 30, 2026, the A-share market showed a differentiated and volume - shrinking adjustment; the Treasury bond futures market had mixed performance; the commodity index had a significant adjustment, with precious metals dropping sharply and lithium carbonate hitting the daily limit down [2]. - The current market is in a structural market driven by "policy catalysis + industrial trends". It is recommended to focus on the main lines of photovoltaic, commercial aerospace, and non - ferrous metals in the medium and long term [8]. Summary by Directory Market行情 Analysis - **Stock Market**: The market showed a differentiated adjustment with a shrinking volume. The ChiNext Index rose against the trend. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95 points, down 0.96%. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.66%, the ChiNext Index rose 1.27%, and the STAR 50 Index rose slightly by 0.12%. The total market turnover was 2.86 trillion yuan, a 12.2% decrease from the previous day. Resource stocks tumbled, while agriculture and technology sectors strengthened. The market rotation accelerated, and attention should be paid to pre - Spring Festival capital layout [3][6][8]. - **Bond Market**: The Treasury bond futures market had mixed performance, with medium - and short - term contracts rising and long - term contracts falling. The central bank had a net injection of 352.5 billion yuan, and short - term interest rates declined. In a moderately loose monetary policy environment, the central bank indicated that "there is still room for reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts", which is expected to support the bond market sentiment in the future [10][11]. - **Commodity Market**: The commodity index had a significant adjustment. The Nanhua Commodity Index closed at 2858 points, down 2.48%. Precious metals and new energy materials were hit hard, while some chemicals and agricultural products rose. Lithium carbonate futures hit the daily limit down, and the price of precious metals fluctuated significantly due to the possible nomination of a new Fed chair [10][11][12]. Trading Hotspot Tracking - **Recent Popular Varieties Summary**: Popular varieties include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain - computer interfaces, robots, large - scale consumption, securities firms, precious metals, and non - ferrous metals. Each variety has its own core logic and subsequent focus points [15]. - **Recent Core Ideas Summary**: The overall market turnover remains at a historical high, and it is recommended to focus on the main lines of photovoltaic, commercial aerospace, and precious metals. The bond market is expected to be supported by a moderately loose monetary policy. The commodity market may oscillate and consolidate after high - level fluctuations, and precious metals still have upward potential in the medium and long term [18].

| | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2026-1-30 | -540. 13 | -248. 70 | -40. 98 | -304. 43 | | 2026-1-29 | -602. 22 | -221.16 | -98.94 | -296. 09 | | 2026-1-28 | -274.87 | -58. 90 | -29.34 | -118. 55 | | 2026-1-27 | -414. 34 | -373. 34 | 41. 39 | -173.55 | | 2026-1-26 | -757.10 | -324. 59 | -15. 61 | -496. 92 | 1. 两市主力资金净流出超540亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出248.7亿元，尾盘主力资金净流出40.98亿元，两市全天主力资金净流出540.13亿元。 1月30日，A股市场整体下跌。 截至收盘，上证指数收报4117.95点，下跌0.96%；深证成 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the economic structure and industrial layout of New York City, highlighting the distribution of major industry sectors and their impact on the regional economy [2][7]. - It emphasizes the concentration of economic activity in a few key sectors while many others contribute relatively less, illustrating a dual characteristic of concentration and dispersion in New York's economy [7][8]. Economic Structure - In 2023, New York City's total economic output was $1,285.74 billion, with a clear distinction between "core pillar industries" (over 10% contribution), "mid-tier supporting industries" (3%-10%), and "specialty supplementary industries" (below 3%) [7][8]. - The "core pillar industries" include finance and insurance, real estate, information, and professional and technical services, collectively contributing $785.84 billion, or 61.1% of the city's GDP [8]. Key Industries - The finance and insurance sector alone accounts for approximately 25% of New York City's GDP, underscoring its status as a global financial center [8]. - Real estate and rental services are significant contributors, primarily driven by transactions, property management, and related services concentrated in Manhattan [8]. - The information sector has seen rapid growth, increasing from 10% to 12.4% of GDP over the past 20 years, while professional and technical services contribute around 10% [8]. Supporting Industries - "Mid-tier supporting industries" encompass public administration, wholesale and retail trade, healthcare, and accommodation and food services, collectively making up 23.3% of the economy [9][10]. - These industries are essential for maintaining the city's operational stability and resilience against economic fluctuations, as they are less affected by short-term economic changes [10]. Specialty Industries - "Specialty supplementary industries" include agriculture, mining, utilities, construction, manufacturing, transportation, management services, education, and arts and entertainment [11]. - Although these industries have a lower economic contribution, they play a vital role in supporting core industries and enhancing the city's cultural vibrancy [11]. Manufacturing Sector - Manufacturing's share of New York City's GDP has drastically declined to only 0.8% in 2023, reflecting a broader trend of urban centers moving away from manufacturing towards service-oriented economies [14][19]. - The historical context shows that manufacturing was once a significant part of New York's economy, particularly post-World War II, but has since diminished due to the rise of the service sector [15][18]. Current Manufacturing Landscape - The remaining manufacturing in New York is characterized by "urban service-oriented manufacturing," focusing on light industries such as food and apparel, which cater directly to local consumer needs [22][23]. - The manufacturing sector is primarily composed of food manufacturing (26.9%), apparel manufacturing (15.0%), and printing (13.4%), indicating a strong alignment with urban consumption patterns [25][22].

投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20260130 证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2026 年 01 月 30 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数多数收跌。截止收盘，沪指跌 0.96%，收报 4117.95 点；深证成指跌 0.66%，收报 14205.89 点；科创 50 涨 0.12%，收报 1509.40 点；创业板指涨 1.27%，收报 3346.36 点。总体上，全天个股涨少跌 多，Wind 数据显示，全市场 2449 只个股上涨，2892 只个股下跌，128 只个股 收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 28355 亿元，较上个交易日缩量 3945 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨少跌多，通信、电子、农林牧渔、轻工 制造和机械设备等行业领涨，涨幅分别为3.44%、0.68%、0.65%、0.54%和0.21%， 有色金属、钢铁、食品饮料、房地产和计算机等行业领跌，跌幅分别为 7.80%、 2.83%、2.78%、2.47%和 1.96%。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板块为 ...

要点速览： 今日A股呈现显著结构性分化，主要指数普遍收跌，但创业板逆势微涨。市场成交保持高 位，资金活跃但方向明确：全力拥抱通信（+2.58%）为代表的科技成长主线，坚决抛弃有色金属 （-8.39%）等周期板块。驱动逻辑的核心在于，AI算力等产业趋势赋予通信板块确定性溢价，而美元短 期走强及交易拥挤则导致有色板块出现剧烈调整。展望后市，这种成长占优、周期承压的结构性格局可 能延续。 需要关注的风险点主要包括：美联储货币政策若较市场预期更为鹰派，可能压制全球成长股估值；部分 行业基本面复苏节奏也可能带来扰动。机会层面，除通信这条明确主线外，机构持仓已降至历史低位的 板块如医药等，若出现基本面或政策面的积极信号，可能具备阶段性的修复动能。 在当前分化显著的市场中，投资者宜保持理性，聚焦于产业逻辑清晰、支撑坚实的领域，对于波动剧烈 的品种需注意节奏与风险控制。 注：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文内容基于公开信息整理，不构成任何投资建议。 与通信的强势形成鲜明反差的，是有色金属板块的深度调整。此次调整的触发因素，更直接地关联于海 外宏观环境与市场交易结构。一方面，市场对于美联储未来政策路径的预期出现波动，特别是围绕新任 ...

报告摘要 1、2025 年第四季度市场回顾 2025 年第四季度，市场主要指数中，上证指数和万得全 A 有所上涨，深证成指和创业板指有所下跌。上 证指数上涨 2.22%，万得全 A 指数上涨 0.97%，深证成指下跌 0.01%，创业板指下跌 1.08%。中证转债指 数涨幅为 1.32%。四季度权益市场和转债市场高位震荡，整体涨幅表现弱于三季度。转股溢价率方面，由 9 月 30 日的 44.73%上升至 12 月 31 日的 46.57%。 2、基金持有转债行为分析 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 2025 年第四季度转债基金持有规模最大的是电力设备行业转债，持仓市值达 73.31 亿元；银行、基础化 工、农林牧渔和电子行业转债持仓市值规模分别为 64.99 亿元、4 ...

FICC日报 | 2026-01-28 ETF规模继续下降，指数分化 市场分析 企业利润回升。宏观方面，国家统计局公布数据显示，2025年全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额7.4万亿元，同 比增长0.6%，扭转了连续三年的下降态势。其中，12月份，规模以上工业企业利润由11月份下降13.1%转为增长5.3%。 海外方面，特朗普称，鉴于韩国方面尚未通过该项"具有历史意义的贸易协议"，他已决定将对韩国汽车、木材、 制药产品以及其他对等关税项目的税率从15%上调至25%。世界大型企业联合会发布数据显示，受地缘政治紧张、 生活成本高企以及贸易战等因素影响，美国1月消费者信心指数环比下降9.7点，降至84.5，创2014年以来新低。 指数收涨。现货市场，A股三大指数震荡收涨，上证指数涨0.18%收于4139.9点，创业板指涨0.71%。行业方面，板 块指数跌多涨少，电子、通信、国防军工行业领涨，煤炭、农林牧渔、钢铁行业跌幅居前。当日沪深两市成交额 下降至2.9万亿元。海外方面，美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指跌0.83%报49003.41点，纳指涨0.91%报23817.1点。 期指升水。期货市场，基差方面，股指期货基差回 ...

截至1月27日，市场最新融资余额为27059.04亿元，较上个交易日环比减少21.18亿元，分行业统计，申 万所属一级行业有17个行业融资余额增加，通信行业融资余额增加最多，较上一日增加11.10亿元；融 资余额增加居前的行业还有医药生物、有色金属、公用事业等，融资余额分别增加4.43亿元、4.09亿 元、2.90亿元；融资余额减少的行业有14个，机械设备、汽车、国防军工等行业融资余额减少较多，分 别减少17.02亿元、9.58亿元、6.80亿元。 以幅度进行统计，煤炭行业融资余额增幅最高，最新融资余额为149.82亿元，环比增长1.09%，其次是 通信、钢铁、农林牧渔行业，环比增幅分别为0.84%、0.79%、0.59%；融资余额环比降幅居前的行业有 机械设备、综合、石油石化等，最新融资余额分别有1418.93亿元、49.17亿元、230.11亿元，分别下降 1.19%、1.10%、0.89%。（数据宝） 1月27日各行业融资余额环比变动 | 代码 | 最新融资 | 较上一日增减（亿元） | 环比增幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 余额（亿元） | | | | 通信 ...