The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a roughly flat open on Thursday, with stocks likely to show a lack of direction after moving notably higher over the two previous sessions.A mixed reaction to earnings news from Dow components Nvidia (NVDA) and Salesforce (CRM) may lead to choppy trading on Wall Street.Shares of Nvidia are jumping by 1.0 percent in pre-market trading after the AI leader reported better than expected fiscal fourth quarter results and provided upbeat guidance."Despite al ...

Asian stocks advanced on Thursday as Nvidia's earnings results quelled fears over massive AI spending and AI-driven disruption. The AI bellwether posted record Q4 results with total revenue of $68 billion, led by a record data-center quarter of $62 billion, driven by the Blackwell and Blackwell Ultra ramp.The dollar edged lower in Asian trade, while gold advanced on safe-haven demand and oil prices hovered near seven-month highs as investors waited for any news on the third round of nuclear talks between t ...

The benchmark The Nikkei index lost some steam over the course of the session as markets digested ​the chipmaker Nvidia's results, analysts said."Since it was widely expected that NVIDIA would post strong results, and it did, this has prompted some profit-taking ​for the moment," said Yutaka Miura, senior technical ⁠analyst at Mizuho ‌Securities.The Nikkei's 14-day relative strength index (RSI) was slightly above ​the 70-mark that ​indicates gains have stretched too far and are poised ⁠to reverse.Live Even ...

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21 February 2026 | 12:05PM EST Equity Research GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY: SEMICONDUCTOR CAPITAL EQUIPMENT Raising 2026/27 WFE estimates, driven by memory and foundry strength Bottom Line: Positive semiconductor CapEx datapoints during 4Q earnings season drive our WFE estimates meaningfully higher. We raise our 2026/27/28 WFE estimates to $132/$160/$174 bn (+20%/+21%/+9%) from $124/$132/$144 bn (+11%/+6%/+9%) previously, reflecting recent CapEx revisions and a more constructive outlook from SPE suppliers. We see mem ...

Market Overview - Asian shares ended mostly higher, supported by easing AI concerns and positive U.S. economic data, despite thin trading volumes due to Lunar New Year holidays in China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan [1] - The dollar remained firm, while gold prices rose above $5,000 an ounce amid reports of potential U.S. military strikes against Iran [2] - Oil prices extended gains after a more than 4% increase on Wednesday [2] Japan - The Nikkei average increased by 0.57% to 57,467.83, and the broader Topix index rose by 1.18% to close at 3,852.09, driven by tech stocks [3] - SoftBank and Tokyo Electron saw gains of 2.6% and 2.9%, respectively, while Advantest fell by 3.6% due to a ransomware cybersecurity incident [3] South Korea - The Kospi average surged by 3.09% to 5,677.25, marking a record high as traders returned from the Lunar New Year holiday [4] - Major semiconductor stocks led the gains, with Samsung Electronics up 4.9%, SK Hynix up 1.6%, and Hyundai Motor up 2.8% [4] Australia - Australian markets reached a four-month high, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 jumping 0.88% to 9,086.20, marking a fourth consecutive session of gains [6] - National Australia Bank rose by 2.4% following strong quarterly results, while BHP increased by 1.8% after reporting higher earnings and revenue for the half-year ended December 31, 2025 [6] New Zealand - New Zealand's S&P/NZX-50 index ended up 1.49% at 13,444.20 after a dovish hold from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand [7] U.S. Economic Data - U.S. industrial production growth for January exceeded market expectations, while new orders for manufactured durable goods declined less than expected in December [8] - Housing starts reached a five-month high, contributing to positive sentiment in the tech sector, particularly following Meta's announcement to deploy millions of Nvidia chips [8]

版权声明：日本经济新闻社版权所有，未经授权不得转载或部分复制，违者必究。 2月12日的日本股市中，日经平均指数涨幅一度超过300点，首次升至5.8万点区间。不过，众议院选举 后的急速上涨也开始显现疲态。受高位警惕情绪影响，部分权重股遭到抛售，日经平均在早盘冲高后转 为下跌…… 日经中文网 https://cn.nikkei.com 2月12日的日本股市中，日经平均指数涨幅一度超过300点，首次升至5.8万点区间。美国经济表现稳健 以及日本企业财报强劲，提振了买盘。不过，众议院选举后的急速上涨也开始显现疲态。受高位警惕情 绪影响，部分权重股遭到抛售，日经平均在早盘冲高后转为下跌。 日经平均收于57639点84，较前一交易日下跌10点70（0.02%）。今年以来大幅上涨的Advantest和Tokyo Electron遭遇集中抛售，两只股票合计将日经平均压低约250点。 此前周末日经平均还处于5.4万点区间，在8日投开票的众议院选举中自民党大胜后，本周一举突破5.5万 点等整数关口，并在12日上午一度突破5.8万点。从技术面看，股价相对25日移动均线的乖离率超过 7%，高于被视为"超买"的5%水平。短期涨幅较大的 ...

Group 1 - The Nikkei average index continued its upward trend on February 12, rising by around 200 points to reach 57,850, maintaining a level above the historical high set on February 10 [2] - The index briefly exceeded 58,000 points for the first time, but profit-taking due to short-term market overheating suppressed further gains [2] - The semiconductor sector, particularly stocks like Micron Technology, saw increased buying interest in the U.S. market, contributing positively to the Nikkei index [4] Group 2 - The U.S. labor department reported a significant increase in non-farm employment by 130,000 in January, far exceeding market expectations of 55,000, indicating a robust labor market that supports investor confidence [4] - The ratio of rising stocks to falling stocks in the Nikkei index was 141% as of February 10, surpassing the "overbought" threshold of 120%, which led to profit-taking actions [4] - The Tokyo Stock Exchange Price Index (TOPIX) also maintained an upward trend, remaining above its highest point of 3,855.28 set on February 10, although profit-taking led to some downward movement [4]

Summary of Semiconductor Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the global semiconductor industry, specifically discussing the WSTS report for December 2025, which tracks sales, units, and average selling prices (ASPs) across the semiconductor sector [2][27]. Key Financial Metrics - **2025 Semiconductor Sales**: Grew by 26% year-over-year, reaching approximately $792 billion, following a 20% increase in 2024 [3][28]. - **December 2025 Sales Growth**: Total semiconductor sales increased by 41.3% year-over-year, with memory sales growing by 67.6% year-over-year [3][29]. - **Monthly Sales Performance**: December sales rose by 4.8% month-over-month, significantly above the historical average of 2.2% [4][38]. Product Category Performance - **Logic Sales**: Increased by 40% year-over-year, leading the growth among product categories [28][32]. - **Memory Sales**: Grew by 35% year-over-year, with a notable 67.6% increase in December alone [3][29]. - **Analog Standard Linear**: Sales rose by 17%, while Discretes and Microcontroller Units (MCUs) saw declines of 1% each [28][32]. - **Monthly Performance by Product Group**: - Discretes: 18.3% growth vs. typical 14.5% - Optoelectronics: 14.2% vs. typical -0.1% - Logic: 3.7% vs. typical -1.1% - MCU: 13.8% vs. typical 11.6% [5][40]. Geographic Sales Insights - **Year-over-Year Sales Growth by Region**: - Americas: Up 32.5% - Europe: Up 23.3% - China: Up 40.3% - Asia Pacific/All Other: Up 77.6% - Japan: Down 11.3% [45]. - **Month-over-Month Sales Growth**: - Americas: Up 10.5% - China: Up 5.8% - Europe: Up 4.7% - Japan: Flattish at -0.7% - Asia Pacific/All Other: Down 1.2% [46]. Unit Shipments and ASPs - **Total Unit Shipments**: Increased by 9.6% month-over-month, with ASPs down by 4.4% [52]. - **Year-over-Year Shipment Growth**: Increased by 4.1%, with notable increases in Discretes, Optoelectronics, and Logic [53]. - **ASP Changes**: - ASPs increased for Discretes (6.3%), Optoelectronics (7.3%), and NAND (11.5%). - ASPs decreased for Sensors & Actuators (-4.6%) and Logic (-3.6%) [55][56]. Investment Implications - **ADI (Analog Devices)**: Rated Market-Perform with a target price of $270.00, executing well but shares considered expensive [11]. - **AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)**: Rated Market-Perform with a target price of $235.00, driven by high AI expectations and a new deal with OpenAI [11]. - **AVGO (Broadcom)**: Rated Outperform with a target price of $475.00, benefiting from a strong AI trajectory [11]. - **NVDA (NVIDIA)**: Rated Outperform with a target price of $275.00, with significant opportunities in the datacenter market [13]. - **QCOM (Qualcomm)**: Rated Outperform with a target price of $175.00, despite memory headwinds, shares are considered cheap [14]. Additional Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing robust growth driven by various product categories, particularly logic and memory, with significant regional disparities in performance. - The overall market sentiment remains positive, with several companies positioned for growth amid ongoing technological advancements and demand for semiconductors.

Summary of Semiconductor Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the semiconductor industry, specifically the memory segment, including DRAM, NAND, and HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) [1][2][3][4][41][73]. Key Points Supply and Demand Dynamics - **DRAM Supply/Demand (S/D) Forecast**: - Expected undersupply of 4.9% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027, revised from previous estimates of 3.3% and 1.1% respectively [2][10][14]. - Anticipated to be the most severe shortage in over 15 years, driven by strong demand from server-related applications and limited capacity additions [2][10]. - **NAND Supply/Demand (S/D) Forecast**: - Expected undersupply of 4.2% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, revised from previous estimates of 2.5% and 1.2% respectively [3][41][50]. - Driven by robust growth in enterprise SSD demand and limited supplier spending [3][41]. - **HBM Supply/Demand (S/D) Forecast**: - Expected undersupply of 5.1% in 2026 and 4.0% in 2027, significantly revised from previous forecasts of 0.7% and 1.6% [4][80]. - Increased demand from GPUs and ASICs, with ASICs expected to comprise 33% and 36% of HBM demand in 2026 and 2027 respectively [4][74]. Pricing and Margin Expectations - **DRAM Pricing**: - Forecasted to increase by 176% for SEC and 184% for Hynix in 2026, with operating margins expected to reach 71% for SEC and 79% for Hynix [35][68]. - **NAND Pricing**: - Expected to rise by 121% for SEC and 102% for Hynix in 2026, with operating margins projected at 40% for SEC and 44% for Hynix [68][69]. - **HBM Market Size**: - Total Addressable Market (TAM) for HBM expected to reach US$54 billion in 2026 and US$75 billion in 2027, reflecting increased demand from GPUs and ASICs [4][73]. Demand Drivers - **DRAM Demand**: - Global DRAM demand expected to grow by 25% in 2026 and 17% in 2027, primarily driven by server-related applications [11][12]. - Mobile DRAM demand forecast lowered by 7% for both years due to declining smartphone shipments and rising memory costs [12][13]. - **NAND Demand**: - Global NAND demand expected to grow by 22% in 2026 and 15% in 2027, with enterprise SSD demand projected to grow by 58% and 23% respectively [47][48]. - Mobile NAND demand forecast lowered to flat growth in 2026, marking the first time in history for no growth in this segment [48][49]. Company Highlights - **Key Beneficiaries**: - Companies such as Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SanDisk, Tokyo Electron, Ulvac, and Disco are expected to benefit from the tighter memory industry supply/demand dynamics [6][41]. Additional Insights - **Cost Analysis**: - Higher memory costs could lead to demand destruction in PCs and smartphones, but the expected undersupply is likely to keep the DRAM market tight [5]. - **Market Trends**: - The competitive landscape for HBM is expected to intensify, with SEC and Hynix increasing their HBM capacities to meet rising demand [81][79]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the semiconductor memory market, highlighting supply/demand forecasts, pricing expectations, and key industry players.