中药行业框架 长江证券研究所医药研究小组 2025-09-29 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 分析师 彭英骐 分析师 张楠 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524030005 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524070006 SFC执业证书编号：BUZ392 分析师及联系人 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 首次 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 01 中药行业概览 02 中药政策分析 03 未来发展趋势 目 录 04 风险提示 %% research.95579.com 3 01 中药行业概览 1.1 中药定义、分类 1.2 中药发展历程 1.3 中药产业链拆分 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 4 1.1 中药基于传统医药理论，产品主要分为5类 定义：中药是指以中国传统医药理论指导采集、炮制、制剂，说明作用机理，指导临床应用的药物；中药主要来源于天然药及其加 工品，包括植物药、动物药、矿物药及部分化学、生物制品类药物。 分类：产品分类方面，根据加工程度，中药产品主要包括 中药材、中药饮片、中药配方颗粒、中成药和中 ...

济川药业未来的发展策略是什么？ 济川药业未来的发展策略主要集中在两个方向：一是中药创新，即具有成长性 和锐度的标的；二是拐点出清并锁定收益。公司将重点关注两个核心品种—— 蒲地蓝和小儿豉翘，这两款产品占公司收入的 60%至 70%。此外，公司还将 关注 BD 引入的新产品孵化情况，如今年 7 月上市的长效流感新药，以及预计 明年年中上市的长效生长激素。这些新产品将借助公司强大的销售渠道迅速铺 货，尤其是在基层医疗机构。 济川药业 20250924 摘要 济川药业面临体外 OTC 和院内销售压力，但流感季有望带动清热解毒类 产品（如蒲地蓝、小儿豉翘）销售企稳，公司正积极应对市场挑战。 公司未来发展策略聚焦中药创新和拐点出清，核心品种蒲地蓝和小儿豉 翘贡献主要收入，同时关注 BD 引入的新产品孵化，如长效流感新药和 长效生长激素。 济川药业独家品种蒲地蓝集采风险较低，小儿豉翘虽有风险但公司已制 定应对策略，预计降价幅度温和，对利润影响有限，当前估值约为 15 倍。 长效流感新药已于 7 月上市，有望受益于流感季节，带动销售增长；长 效生长激素预计明年年中上市，将借助公司强大销售渠道迅速铺货。 济川药业现金流稳定， ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a recovery in financial performance for 1H25, with significant improvements in net profit and cash flow, indicating a potential growth trajectory for 2H25 [1][2][5] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 4.04 billion, 670 million, and 640 million yuan respectively, showing a year-on-year change of -12%, +26%, and +27% [1] - In 2Q25, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.68 billion, 340 million, and 320 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -19%, +51%, and +49% [1] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - The company's balance sheet and cash flow statements showed continuous improvement, with accounts receivable at 1.4 billion yuan (down 1.35 billion yuan year-on-year) and inventory at 1.47 billion yuan (down 450 million yuan year-on-year) [2] - Cash flow remained robust, with sales cash of 4.1 billion yuan (up 210 million yuan year-on-year) and net cash flow of 830 million yuan (up 570 million yuan year-on-year) [2] Product Performance - Revenue from cardiovascular products in 1H25 was 1.96 billion yuan (down 15% year-on-year), while the gross margin improved to 66% [3] - Revenue from respiratory products was 920 million yuan (down 28% year-on-year), with a gross margin of 71% [3] - Other patented products generated revenue of 250 million yuan (up 53% year-on-year), with a gross margin of 64% [3] Innovation Pipeline - The company is advancing its traditional Chinese medicine and biopharmaceutical pipelines, with several products receiving approval and progressing through clinical trials [4] Investment Rating - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.35 billion, 1.57 billion, and 1.79 billion yuan respectively, reflecting significant year-on-year growth [5] - The target price is set at 20.18 yuan, based on a 25x PE valuation for 2025 [5]

Core Insights - Yunnan Baiyao reported a revenue of 21.26 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.92% [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.63 billion yuan, up 13.93% year-on-year, achieving a historical high for the same period [1][2] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 10.19 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 1.82 billion yuan, which represents 50.05% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025: 21.26 billion yuan, up from 20.46 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 3.63 billion yuan, compared to 3.19 billion yuan last year [2] - Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses: 3.46 billion yuan, a 10.40% increase year-on-year [2] - Operating cash flow: 3.96 billion yuan, reflecting a 21.45% increase [2] - Basic and diluted earnings per share: 2.04 yuan, up 13.97% from 1.79 yuan [2] - Total assets: 54.54 billion yuan, a 3.06% increase from the previous year [2] - Net assets attributable to shareholders: 40.41 billion yuan, a 4.06% increase [2] Business Segments - The pharmaceutical segment generated 4.75 billion yuan in revenue, a 10.8% increase, with core products like aerosol sales exceeding 1.45 billion yuan, up over 20.9% [4] - The health products segment achieved revenue of 3.44 billion yuan, a 9.46% increase, with Yunnan Baiyao toothpaste leading the domestic market share [4] - The commercial segment, through Yunnan Provincial Pharmaceutical Company, reported 12.16 billion yuan in revenue, with a net profit of 351 million yuan, up 17.75% [4] Industry Context - The Yunnan provincial government emphasizes the development of the traditional Chinese medicine industry, positioning Yunnan Baiyao as a key player in the industry cluster [5] - The company is committed to innovation in both traditional Chinese medicine and innovative pharmaceuticals, focusing on resource development and clinical needs [6] - The national "14th Five-Year Plan" identifies biomedicine as a strategic emerging industry, presenting new opportunities for the pharmaceutical sector [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed financial performance for the first half of 2025, with a slight decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, indicating potential resilience in profitability despite revenue challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.288 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.91%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 775 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.97% [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 2.233 billion yuan, down 3.86% year-on-year, but net profit rose to 460 million yuan, up 25.41% year-on-year [1]. - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 67.37%, a slight decrease of 0.08 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 18.42%, an increase of 3.48 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company announced a mid-year dividend payout of 2.1 yuan per share (before tax), representing 40.50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 [1]. Business Development and Strategy - The company successfully completed the "100-day integration" with its controlling shareholder, China Resources Sanjiu, enhancing marketing capabilities and business synergy [2]. - The company is focusing on expanding its pharmaceutical commercial sector and leveraging China Resources Sanjiu's marketing channels to boost sales in the second half of the year [2]. Research and Innovation - The company has 83 projects in its research pipeline, including 31 innovative drugs, and is advancing its modern traditional Chinese medicine initiatives [2]. - The company is also focusing on biopharmaceuticals, with ongoing clinical trials for several innovative therapies [2]. Investment Outlook - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy," with expectations for net profit growth from 1.19 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.51 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [3].

Core Viewpoint - Yiling Pharmaceutical reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, showcasing resilience in a competitive market environment [2][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 4.04 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 668.54 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.03% [3]. - The net profit growth was accompanied by a 27.08% increase in non-recurring net profit, reaching 641.36 million yuan [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) rose to 0.4002 yuan, marking a 26.05% increase compared to the previous year [3]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - Operating cash flow significantly improved, reaching 832.04 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 214.97% year-on-year [4]. - The accounts receivable turnover days decreased from 100.68 days to 58.48 days, indicating enhanced collection efficiency and reduced receivable risk [4]. - The company's debt-to-asset ratio decreased from 32.38% to 21.81%, and the current ratio improved from 1.49 to 2.05, reflecting a stronger financial structure [5]. Business Growth and Product Development - Revenue from patented products reached 3.13 billion yuan, with a 53.2% year-on-year growth in second-line patented products, indicating a robust product pipeline [7]. - The company increased its R&D investment to 399 million yuan, representing 9.87% of revenue, continuing to lead the industry in innovation [8]. Innovation Pipeline - Yiling Pharmaceutical has several innovative drugs in various stages of development, including three 1.1 class traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) drugs that have been submitted for new drug application and five TCM drugs in phase II clinical trials [11]. - The company has maintained a strong pace in drug approvals, with five new TCM drugs approved in the last five years, positioning itself favorably in the global pharmaceutical landscape [11].

Core Insights - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with operating revenue of 4.04 billion yuan and a net profit of 669 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 26.03% [1] - The company's R&D investment reached 399 million yuan, accounting for 9.87% of operating revenue, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [2] - The company has a robust pipeline of new drugs, having received approvals for five proprietary traditional Chinese medicines over the past five years, with a focus on various disease areas [2][7] - The company’s core products maintain a leading market position, with significant penetration in the public medical institutions market, particularly in the cold medicine segment [8] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from favorable policies supporting the traditional Chinese medicine industry, with strong cash flow and a solid pipeline supporting future growth [9] Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 4.04 billion yuan and a net profit of 669 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 26.03% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 832 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of 214.97% [1] R&D Investment - The company invested 399 million yuan in R&D in the first half of 2025, representing 9.87% of its operating revenue, which is significantly above the industry average [2] - Cumulatively, the company has invested over 5 billion yuan in R&D since 2019, translating into tangible innovation results [2] Product Pipeline - The company has a diverse pipeline with several new drugs at various stages of development, including proprietary traditional Chinese medicines and chemical drugs [6][7] - Notable products include the proprietary traditional Chinese medicines for chronic cholecystitis and rheumatoid arthritis, which are in the registration phase [4][6] Market Position - The company holds 17 proprietary traditional Chinese medicine products, with 11 included in the national basic medical insurance directory, enhancing product penetration [8] - The company’s cold medicine products, particularly Lianhua Qingwen capsules and granules, lead the market with a 20.74% share [8] Industry Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from national policies promoting the development of traditional Chinese medicine, positioning it well for future growth [9] - The combination of strong cash flow, a rich pipeline, and solid market presence lays a foundation for continued performance in the second half of the year [9]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.04 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 12.26%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 26.03% to 669 million yuan, indicating a strong operational efficiency despite declining revenue [1][2] Financial Performance - The company's operating costs decreased by 23.76% year-on-year, and selling expenses fell by 15.28%, showcasing effective cost control [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 832 million yuan, a significant increase of 214.97%, attributed to shorter sales collection cycles and improved inventory turnover [1][2] - Accounts receivable turnover days improved from 98 days to 67 days, and inventory decreased by 279 million yuan compared to the beginning of the period [2] R&D and Innovation - R&D investment amounted to 399 million yuan, representing 9.87% of revenue, with the company obtaining 6 new domestic and 6 international invention patents during the reporting period [2] - The focus on R&D reflects the company's long-term commitment to innovation, transitioning from scale growth to quality and efficiency [2] Product Performance - The company's patented traditional Chinese medicine products performed well, with "Lianhua Qingwen" holding a 20.74% market share in the top 5 cold medications in China's public medical market [2] - In the cardiovascular sector, three key products collectively achieved an 18.13% market share, an increase of 4.49 percentage points since 2015 [2] International Expansion - The biopharmaceutical segment has become a significant growth driver, with the company holding 15 ANDA product approvals in the U.S. and expanding its international market presence [3] - The company has also made strides in the CDMO sector, securing multiple clinical sample processing and commercialization orders, with a production system compliant with U.S. and European GMP standards [3] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 501 million yuan, which represents 75% of the net profit for the first half of the year [4] Future Outlook - The company aims to focus on three main areas: innovation in traditional Chinese medicine, internationalization of biopharmaceuticals, and expansion in the health industry, with an emphasis on accelerating the progress of ongoing projects [4]

Core Viewpoint - Weikang Pharmaceutical (300878) reported a revenue of 115 million yuan and a net profit of -64 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributing the performance decline to reduced sales and the impact of subsidiary disposals from the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Weikang Pharmaceutical achieved a revenue of 115 million yuan, with a net profit of -64 million yuan [1] - The decline in performance is linked to a general slowdown in the pharmaceutical retail industry and the company's decision to optimize its business structure by divesting its wholly-owned subsidiary engaged in pharmaceutical retail [1] Group 2: R&D and Innovation - R&D capability is a core driver of Weikang Pharmaceutical's development, with the company appointing Nobel Prize winner Michael Levitt as chief scientist to enhance its R&D capabilities and international presence [2] - The company has established several high-level R&D platforms, including provincial high-tech enterprise research centers and expert workstations, to build a leading innovation system [2] - As of the report date, Weikang's Yipingfeng pill has received provincial high-tech product certification, and several other products have been recognized as provincial industrial new products [2] Group 3: Market Strategy and Product Development - Weikang Pharmaceutical is actively expanding into the traditional Chinese medicine health sector, particularly focusing on the market layout of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder and related products [2] - The company has established a high-standard quality system in its cultivation processes, achieving a 98% ultra-high breaking rate through low-temperature physical ultra-micro breaking technology, enhancing the bioavailability of active ingredients [3] - Weikang has engaged in strategic collaborations with well-known pharmacy enterprises to enhance brand market influence and terminal cooperation capabilities, laying a solid foundation for its second growth curve [3]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Weikang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 115 million yuan and a net profit of -64 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributing the performance decline to reduced sales and the previous year's subsidiary disposal [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company experienced a revenue of 115 million yuan and a net profit of -64 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [1] - The decline in performance is linked to a slowdown in the pharmaceutical retail industry and a strategic decision to optimize the business structure by divesting its wholly-owned subsidiary engaged in pharmaceutical retail [1] Group 2: R&D and Innovation - R&D capability is a core driving force for the company's development, with the appointment of Nobel Prize winner Michael Levitt as chief scientist to enhance R&D and internationalization [2] - The company has established several high-level R&D platforms, including provincial high-tech enterprise R&D centers and expert workstations, to build a leading innovation system [2] - The company’s products, such as Yipingfeng Granules and Fengliao Gastrointestinal Dispersible Tablets, have received provincial recognition, indicating effective market competitiveness [2] Group 3: Market Strategy and Product Development - The company is actively expanding into the traditional Chinese medicine health sector, focusing on the market layout of Ganoderma lucidum spore powder and developing a product line for future growth [2] - Utilizing the advantages of being located in "the first town of Ganoderma lucidum" in Longquan, Zhejiang, the company has established a high-standard quality system for cultivation [3] - The company has implemented a dual-channel sales strategy, combining online and offline efforts to enhance market penetration and sales volume [3] - Strategic partnerships with well-known pharmacy enterprises have been formed to enhance brand influence and terminal cooperation capabilities [3]