Workflow
欧洲战略自主
icon
Search documents
欧洲天然气价格谁主沉浮
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-05 22:00
当地时间8月21日,美国和欧盟在联合发布的平衡贸易协定框架中声明,欧盟计划采购美国的天然气、 石油与核能产品,预计到2028年,采购额将达到7500亿美元。鉴于天然气作为一次能源结构中的核心组 成部分,短期内地位依然稳固,中长期仍将在欧洲推行"再工业化",甚至在战略自主进程中发挥关键支 撑作用。"欧洲天然气价格谁说了算"已成为观察欧洲自主前景的一个关键看点。 "欧洲天然气价格谁说了算"事关欧洲自主前景。在欧盟推行战略自主的构想中,独立且可持续的能源政 策是重要组成部分,能源安全不仅影响着欧盟的经济发展与竞争力维系,更在深层次决定了欧盟是否能 参与国际合作与博弈。但欧盟各成员国内部诉求的差异,以及对外利益的不同,决定了其能源转型之路 不会平坦。 地缘冲突和域外政治已在很大程度上影响着欧洲天然气,乃至欧洲能源市场的价格走势。近期,尽管乌 克兰危机的前景仍然扑朔迷离,但在美国施压之下,乌克兰正面临着一系列与俄罗斯订立止战协议的政 治压力。在此背景下,市场开始对更多俄天然气回流欧洲抱有期望,欧洲天然气价格一度跌至今年以来 的新低。 因此,即便欧洲自乌克兰危机爆发后加大力度推行能源供应多元化,但在最近过去的一个冬天中, ...
欧洲为何突然有胆子“造反”呢?真实原因只有一个
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 08:45
说起2025年欧洲这帮国家突然跟美国特朗普对着干的事,全世界都看愣了。本来以为欧洲会像过去那样,乖乖听美国的指挥,结果这次他们不光在乌克兰问 题上加大援助,还在贸易关税上集体顶回去,甚至在北约内部也开始有点小动作。这不是简单的政策分歧,背后其实就一个真实原因:欧洲这些现任领导人 为了保住自己的位子,不得不豁出去拼一把。别以为这是什么高大上的战略觉醒,说白了就是自保的本能反应。 但2025年情况变了。特朗普1月就职后,第一件事就是调整对乌克兰的政策,他公开说要快速结束俄乌冲突,意思是减少援助,甚至暗示乌克兰得让步领 土。这跟欧洲的立场直接冲突。欧洲从2022年俄乌开打以来,已经砸进去上千亿欧元援助,德国法国英国带头,欧盟冻结了俄罗斯3000多亿资产,现在正讨 论怎么用这些钱继续支持乌克兰。特朗普一上来就想砍援助,欧洲不干了。3月他们开会支持泽连斯基,英国德国法国直接追加经济援助,欧盟委员会主席 冯德莱恩带头协调。贸易上,特朗普要加关税,欧洲集体反对,威胁报复性措施。甚至在气候政策上,特朗普退群,欧洲坚持绿色协议。这看着像全面对 抗。 为什么这次欧洲有胆子了?不是因为他们突然变强了,也不是民众觉醒啥的。真实原因只 ...
欧洲要变天了!马克龙组建26国联军,欲奔赴乌克兰,剑指俄罗斯
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 06:46
雄心勃勃的马克龙终于实现了领导欧洲的夙愿。9月4日,在法国总统马克龙的积极斡旋下,一场具有里程碑意义的志愿联盟高级别会议在巴黎金碧辉煌的爱 丽舍宫隆重召开。这场盛会汇聚了包括欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩、乌克兰总统泽连斯基在内的近30位欧洲政要,几乎囊括了欧洲大陆所有重要国家的领导 人。 值得注意的是,此次欧洲出兵计划并非由美国主导的北约推动,而是由英法组建的志愿联盟发起。更关键的是,美国现任政府明确表示不会向乌克兰派遣地 面部队。在美俄阿拉斯加峰会后,美国总统特朗普多次重申,美国对乌援助将维持在武器供应和空中支援层面。 经过长达数小时的激烈讨论,与会各国在对乌军事支持问题上取得重大突破。马克龙在会后记者会上难掩兴奋地宣布,已有26个欧洲国家正式承诺,将在俄 乌实现停火后向乌克兰派遣维和部队,为这个饱受战火摧残的国家提供长期安全保障。这一历史性决议无疑为马克龙的政治生涯增添了浓墨重彩的一笔,也 彰显了法国作为欧洲传统大国的领导地位。长期以来,法国一直以欧洲领袖自居,马克龙更是不遗余力地推动欧洲战略自主,试图带领欧洲摆脱对美国的依 赖。如今26国集体响应法国的号召,无疑是对法国领导力的重要认可。 然而,马克龙的喜悦可 ...
看懂梅洛尼的大实话,就懂了欧洲为何沦为菜单,欧盟的苦难才开始
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 07:39
意大利总理梅洛尼近日一针见血地指出:\"在中美两大强权的角力场中,欧洲正逐渐丧失竞争力,甚至失去了谈判桌上的席位。\"这番言论虽然刺耳,却精 准戳中了当前欧洲面临的战略困境。但更值得深思的是:为何曾经的世界中心会沦落至此?是经济总量不足?法国仍保持着全球第七大经济体的地位;是军 事实力不济?英国\"伊丽莎白女王号\"航母战斗群仍在各大洋游弋;是科技水平断层?德国的工业4.0和法国的核能技术依然领先。深层症结在于,其政治领 导力的系统性衰退已到了令人震惊的程度。 0 o o 0 : 0 t Quit 0 0 0 0 1 = 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 0 9 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 10000 0 : 0 : 0 : 0 0000 1.0 00 0 0 0 0 . 0000 0 : 0 0 9 . 0 0 di 欧洲领导人的清醒认知:地缘政治博弈中欧洲正沦为\"旁观者\" 这种病变的根源在于:欧洲的决策机制已陷入多重瘫痪。欧盟27国的\"全体一致\"表决制度使任何重大决策都举步维艰;美国资本控制的媒体网络持续输出 价值观议题;民众被身份政治分化,热衷于争论性别厕所而非产业政策。结果就是明知不可为而为之 ...
欧洲要成 “桌上菜”?法国高官捅破实话:美国靠不住,中俄伊还在逼
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-31 16:58
Group 1 - The warning from French Chief of Staff Burkhard highlights Europe's potential decline in the face of great power competition, indicating that Europe may become "table scraps" in geopolitical struggles [1] - The U.S. withdrawal from its protective role has left Europe in a state of confusion, as NATO's requirement for increased military spending to 2% of GDP puts financial pressure on European nations [3][6] - The military pressure from Russia, particularly its capabilities in Ukraine and energy leverage, poses a significant threat to European security [4][6] Group 2 - China's economic penetration through initiatives like the Belt and Road has raised concerns about Europe's industrial competitiveness and political decision-making [4] - The threats from North Korea and Iran further complicate Europe's security landscape, with North Korea gaining modern warfare experience and Iran's actions destabilizing energy routes [4] - Europe's internal fragmentation, characterized by defense system incompatibility and rising far-right political movements, exacerbates its vulnerability in the face of external challenges [5][6] Group 3 - The metaphor by Blinken, "not at the table, then on the menu," encapsulates Europe's diminishing role as a rule-maker and its current precarious position [8] - To regain agency, Europe must shift from reliance on U.S. military support to investing in its own defense industry and seek cooperation in areas like climate change and global governance [8] - The decline of Europe serves as a reminder that no power is permanent, and without a transition to strategic autonomy and internal unity, the warnings of Burkhard may materialize [8]
欧洲难入局深层原因:除女性执政外,这个因素更值得关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 09:46
Group 1 - The article discusses Europe's diminished role in global diplomacy, particularly during the Helsinki summit where the U.S. and Russia engaged without European involvement [1][3][5] - The lack of unity among European nations is highlighted, with countries like Poland aligning closely with the U.S., undermining calls for European strategic autonomy [5][9] - The energy dependency of Europe on the U.S. is emphasized, particularly regarding the Nord Stream 2 project, which was halted due to U.S. sanctions, leading to increased energy costs for Germany [7][9] Group 2 - The rise of populist movements in Europe post-Helsinki summit reflects growing discontent, but these movements face suppression and labeling as pro-Russian, limiting their impact [7][9] - The economic repercussions of EU sanctions on Russia are discussed, particularly how they have adversely affected Southern European countries like Italy, which saw a nearly 20% drop in exports [9] - The article concludes with a note on Europe's declining global economic share, dropping from 25% to below 18% over the past two decades, indicating a weakening international influence [10]
泽连斯基突访布鲁塞尔,与欧盟协调立场
第一财经· 2025-08-18 01:21
总台记者 顾鑫 :外界认为,欧洲多位领导人宣布将随同泽连斯基前往美国,是为避免欧洲国家和乌 克兰在美俄和谈中被进一步边缘化。值得注意的是,在泽连斯基与特朗普开启新一轮直接谈判的背景 下, 欧盟与乌克兰急于协调立场,确保自身利益不会被排除在外 。布鲁塞尔方面担心,若缺席关键 对话,欧洲在战争前景和安全架构重塑上的话语权将进一步削弱。冯德莱恩的表态凸显了欧盟试图以 制度性承诺稳住乌克兰,防止其在俄美博弈中处于孤立无援的境地。这一系列表态说明,随着战事与 外交博弈进入关键阶段, 欧洲方面正努力在维护团结与凸显自身战略自主之间寻找平衡 。 2025.08. 18 本文字数:814,阅读时长大约1.5分钟 据央视新闻,当地时间17日,乌克兰总统泽连斯基突然到访布鲁塞尔,与欧盟和欧洲国家领导人协 调对美谈判立场。 总台记者 顾鑫 :我所在的位置是比利时首都布鲁塞尔的欧盟委员会所在地,我们可以看到尽管当地 时间8月17日是休息日,但当地警方在这区域明显增加部署了警力。特别是通往欧委会大楼的多条道 路被封闭。因为欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩和来访的乌克兰总统泽连斯基就在这个大楼举行会谈,协调 对美谈判的立场。 总台记者 顾鑫 :在 ...
给乌克兰吃下“定心丸”,欧洲为何急于参与?
第一财经· 2025-08-18 01:21
Core Viewpoint - The meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump is crucial for discussing Ukraine's security and territorial issues amid ongoing tensions with Russia [4][11]. Group 1: Meeting Context - Zelensky is visiting the US on August 18, 2025, to meet with Trump, with European leaders accompanying him to ensure their interests are represented [3][4]. - Prior to the meeting, Zelensky coordinated with EU leaders in Brussels, emphasizing the importance of discussing territorial issues at the leadership level [4][5]. Group 2: European Involvement - European leaders, including EU Commission President von der Leyen and heads of state from France, Germany, the UK, and Italy, are actively participating to avoid being sidelined in US-Russia negotiations [8]. - Von der Leyen stated that the EU will continue to support Ukraine and is preparing the 19th round of sanctions against Russia, indicating a strong commitment to Ukraine's security [5][7]. Group 3: US Position - Trump has indicated that significant progress has been made regarding Russia, urging the public to "stay tuned" for developments [9]. - The US is considering providing Ukraine with security guarantees similar to NATO's Article 5, as a workaround to Russia's opposition to Ukraine joining NATO [10]. Group 4: Discussion Topics - The core topics for discussion between Trump and Zelensky include Russia's territorial demands, Ukraine's security arrangements, and the role of the US in these negotiations [11]. - Zelensky has expressed the need for a comprehensive dialogue to clarify necessary steps for ending the conflict, while Trump advocates for a direct peace agreement rather than a mere ceasefire [11]. Group 5: Ongoing Conflict - Despite diplomatic efforts, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, with reports of drone strikes and military engagements occurring shortly before the meeting [12][13].
与特朗普会谈前 泽连斯基突访布鲁塞尔与欧盟协调立场
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-08-17 23:57
Core Points - The European Union (EU) and Ukraine are eager to coordinate their positions to ensure their interests are not sidelined in negotiations with the US [1][2] - Ukrainian President Zelensky's visit to Brussels aimed to align with EU leaders on negotiation strategies regarding the ongoing conflict with Russia [1] - EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized key EU positions on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, including support for Ukraine's EU membership and the importance of Ukraine's sovereignty [1] Group 1 - The EU welcomes Ukraine's potential EU membership as a form of security assurance [1] - The EU will not allow violations of Ukraine's international borders and insists that issues of sovereignty and territory should be decided by Ukraine [1] - EU member states will continue to strengthen sanctions against Russia, with a commitment to support Ukraine throughout the conflict resolution process [1] Group 2 - European leaders accompanying Zelensky to the US aim to prevent further marginalization of European nations and Ukraine in US-Russia negotiations [2] - Concerns in Brussels highlight the risk of losing influence in discussions about the war's future and security architecture if Europe is absent from key dialogues [2] - The EU's statements reflect an effort to maintain unity while asserting strategic autonomy in the context of the ongoing geopolitical tensions [2]
缺席俄美峰会 欧洲恐被动接受谈判结果
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant diplomatic efforts by European countries regarding the upcoming meeting between Presidents Putin and Trump, indicating Europe's concern over its interests being overlooked [1][2] - European leaders, including those from Germany, France, and the UK, held a video conference with Trump to emphasize the necessity of safeguarding European and Ukrainian security interests, insisting that any agreements should start with a ceasefire [2] - The absence of European leaders from the Trump-Putin meeting reflects Europe's awkward position on the Ukraine issue, where it is unable to directly participate in negotiations while facing internal divisions on sanctions against Russia [2][4] Group 2 - Experts suggest that Europe's absence from the negotiations is a result of its long-term reliance on NATO and the United States for security, which has diminished its geopolitical independence and bargaining power [4] - If the US and Russia reach an agreement without considering European interests, Europe may be forced to accept unfavorable outcomes, highlighting the deep-seated contradictions in Europe's strategic autonomy [4]