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芯原股份(688521):四季度新签订单高速增长 长期买入机会
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 12:35
结论与建议: 盈利预测:公司从五年前开始布局Chiplet 技术及其在生成式人工智能和智慧驾驶上的应用,并持续开 拓增量市场和具有发展潜力的新兴市场,拓展行业头部客户,未来有望实现业绩高速增长。我们预计公 司2025-2027 年营收30.6 亿元、54.1 亿元和84.7 亿元,YOY 分别增长32%、77%和57%,实现净利润 0.26 亿、2.7 亿元和6.4 亿元,EPS 分别为0.05元、0.51 元和1.21 元,目前股价对应2027 年PS 8 倍,考 虑到公司业绩潜力较大,维持买进建议。 公司公告,4Q25(10 月至12 月25 日)新签订单25 亿元,较4Q25 全期增长130%,环比3Q25 全期增长 56%。公司及行业高速增长趋势得到进一步验证。展望未来,互联网厂商持续增加AI 算力投入,打造 更为强大的计算体系,将加速互联网厂商在专用处理芯片ASIC 领域的布局,公司有望从行业变革中持 续受益。目前公司股价对应2027 年PS(市销率)8 倍,公司股价近期因股东减持及解禁股流通而调整 较多,构成长期买入机会,维持买入建议。 风险提示:AI 领域下游需求不及预期 大基金减持,长期影响有 ...
芯原股份(688521):四季度新签订单高速增长,长期买入机会
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [8][12]. Core Insights - The company announced a significant increase in new orders for Q4 2025, totaling RMB 2.5 billion, which represents a 130% year-over-year growth and a 56% quarter-over-quarter increase. This growth is primarily driven by demand for AI-related chip solutions [8][11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing transformation in the industry, particularly as internet companies increase their investments in AI computing capabilities [8]. - Despite a recent decline in stock price due to shareholder reductions, this presents a long-term buying opportunity as the company's fundamentals remain strong [8][11]. Summary by Sections Company Information - The company operates in the electronics industry, with a current stock price of RMB 127.90 as of December 26, 2025. The stock has seen a 12-month high of RMB 216.77 and a low of RMB 44.47. The total market capitalization is approximately RMB 640.78 billion [2]. Recent Ratings - The company has consistently received "Buy" ratings in recent reports, with the latest rating issued on August 25, 2025 [3]. Product Mix - The company's revenue sources include 43.4% from chip volume business, 33.5% from IP licensing fees, 17.8% from chip design services, and 5.3% from royalties [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 30.6 billion, RMB 54.1 billion, and RMB 84.7 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 32%, 77%, and 57% [11]. - Net profits are expected to turn positive in 2025, with projections of RMB 0.26 billion, RMB 2.7 billion, and RMB 6.4 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10][11].
景林“年终信”曝光:AI对各行业的改造才刚刚开始
据高云程透露,目前确实有部分公司的市值建立在对未来特别乐观的预期之上,但这些并不是景林资产 组合里的公司,景林资产核心持有的公司估值都在历史合理区间内,而且生意模式具备定价权,竞争格 局处于有利地位,管理层也足够清醒理性。 谈及接下来关注的机会,高云程称,明年需高度重视重要AI应用入口或者平台,如谷歌、Meta、苹 果、字节跳动、腾讯、OpenAI等世界级入口或平台型公司。而且2026年很可能是AI Agent(智能体)真 正普及的元年,软件层面的AI Agent和软硬件结合的AI Agent设备会不断被推出。以手机等硬件作为底 层操作平台的AI大模型,甚至有挑战原有IOS和安卓系统的可能性。原有的很多护城河都可能在这一次 技术浪潮中被颠覆。 近日,记者独家采访获悉,景林资产发布了管理合伙人、CEO高云程《2025年终给投资者的一封信》, 系统阐述了其对市场后续走势的判断以及对AI方向的布局。 高云程表示,2025年DeepSeek的横空出世,让世界认识到中国在生成式人工智能的竞争浪潮中是有竞 争力和性价比优势的。AI对各行各业的渗透和改造才刚刚开始。中长期来看,国际资金将逐步回流中 国资产。 不过,高云程坦 ...
江小涓:科创浪潮下“十五五”金融业迎机遇 以“三化”转型应对挑战
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 01:03
专题:中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会 12月27日金融一线消息,中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会在京召开,本届年会的主题是"迈向'十五 五'建设金融强国"。中国社科院大学教授、国家数据专家委员会主任委员、国务院原副秘书长江小涓发 表演讲。 江小涓表示,经过多年积累,中国的科技创新能力已经形成了扎实的基础,预计在"十五五"期间,产业 与科技将迎来集中迸发的阶段,因此,"十五五"期间大量新技术的出现是确定性趋势。"只有科创企业 蓬勃涌现,科创金融才有可投的对象,如果没有优质的科创项目,资金投入也就无从谈起。"江小涓表 示,这也正是当前最大的机遇所在。 但她同时提醒,这一机遇并不必然流向传统金融业,多元投资力量的崛起正重塑科创投资格局。 从投资主体来看,传统风险投资(VC)和私募股权(PE)活跃度有所下降,而企业创投资金(CVC) 已成为创投重要力量。国内阿里、蚂蚁、腾讯等企业,以及国际上马斯克旗下企业、Databricks、 Anthropic等创新公司背后的大型科技企业,均在积极投入新兴重大科创项目。CVC往往聚焦与自身发 展紧密相关的领域,依托资金、算法、算力、AI模型及人才优势开展前沿研发,同时扮演战 ...
百万新设企业显“8+9”产业创新活力
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-28 16:15
Core Insights - The "8+9" industries in China have shown significant growth, with 1.01 million new enterprises established by the end of November, representing a 9% increase compared to the previous year [1][4] - The rapid establishment of new companies in these sectors reflects a strong entrepreneurial spirit and indicates a solid transition towards high-end, intelligent, and green industrial structures in China [1][4] Group 1: Industry Growth - The number of new enterprises in the generative artificial intelligence sector has surged by over 29 times year-on-year, highlighting the broad application prospects of AI technology across various fields [1] - The civil aviation sector has seen a remarkable 108.3% increase in new enterprises, which not only enhances transportation capabilities but also stimulates related industries and promotes high-end manufacturing upgrades [2] - The humanoid robotics sector has experienced a 48.9% growth in new enterprises, showcasing its potential applications in service, healthcare, and rescue operations [2] Group 2: Structural Optimization - The "8+9" industry framework is central to China's industrial upgrade, with 775,000 new enterprises in the eight emerging industries, marking a 2.6% year-on-year increase [3] - The nine future industries have seen 283,000 new enterprises established, reflecting a 35.8% growth, indicating substantial development potential and momentum [3] - The current landscape illustrates a pattern of "emerging industries laying the foundation, future industries breaking through," which is a vivid representation of the shift towards high-end industrial structures in China [3] Group 3: Innovation and Competitive Advantage - The rapid growth of the "8+9" industries is a result of the systematic convergence of innovation elements such as technology, capital, talent, data, and application scenarios [3] - The increase in new enterprises signifies a transition in China's industrial competitiveness from individual advantages to a systematic advantage across the industrial chain, innovation chain, supply chain, and policy chain [3] - The establishment of over one million new enterprises is a direct manifestation of the innovation vitality within the "8+9" industries, marking a significant step in cultivating new productive forces in China [4]
1至11月新设“8+9”相关产业企业101万户 我国新兴产业发展动能强劲
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 13:35
S NOS A 31 中国高铁:一张闪亮的"国家名片 本报记者 营 谦 崔志坚 李 12月26日10点,随着C9309 次 "复兴号"智能动车组驶出延安站,西 安至延安高铁开通运营,中国高铁运 营里程正式突破5万公里。 "从前扛大包挤火车,车厢里人挨 着人无处下脚,现在高铁开到家门口, 一天从从容容打个来回,铁路发展真 是翻天覆地!"在延安站工作了 33年的 荣林生言语间满是自豪。 从白山黑水到南海之滨,从大漠 戈壁到江南水乡,5万公里高铁线路如 同钢铁脉络,编织出世界上最庞大的 高速铁路网。"十四五"期间,中国高铁 的路网规模、装备现代化水平显著提 升,旅客服务持续提质增效,辐射带动 效应日益凸显,成为一张亮丽的"国家 名片"。 高铁总里程占全球七成 西延高铁开通首日,延安市民王 大爷攥着崭新的高铁票,难掩激动: "以前去西安看病要转两趟车,折腾大 半天,现在1小时就能到!" 这一幕,是5万公里高铁网络惠 及民生的生动缩影。5万公里的营业 里程占全球高铁总里程的七成,这一 数字背后,是中国高铁从追赶到领跑 的跨越式发展,更是一张覆盖广泛、衔 接高效的现代化高铁网络的全面形 成。 数据显示,"十四五"期间,我 ...
中国国家市场监管总局:新兴产业动能强劲
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 12:57
Core Insights - The "8+9" related industries in China have shown sustained vitality in development, with a rapid growth in the establishment of new enterprises throughout the year [1][2] - From January to November, a total of 1.01 million new enterprises were established in the "8+9" related industries, representing a 9.0% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Group 1: Emerging and Future Industries - The "8 major emerging industries," including new generation information technology, high-end equipment manufacturing, and new materials, saw the establishment of 775,000 related enterprises, a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [1] - The "9 major future industries," represented by future health, future intelligence, and future energy, performed exceptionally well with 283,000 new enterprises established, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 35.8% [1] Group 2: Explosive Growth in Specific Sectors - Certain cutting-edge fields have experienced explosive growth, with the "generative artificial intelligence" sector seeing a staggering increase in new enterprises by over 29 times year-on-year [1] - The "civil aviation" sector followed closely with a growth rate of 108.3% [1] - The "humanoid robotics" sector also showed strong performance, with a year-on-year increase of 48.9% [1] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The increasing proportion of high-tech and strategic emerging industry enterprises is driving Chinese companies towards innovation and strength, further pushing the industrial system towards the mid-to-high end of the global value chain [2] - The continued improvement of supporting policies and strong market demand is expected to sustain the positive development momentum of these industries [2]
我国新兴产业动能强劲,“8+9”相关产业新设企业超百万户
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 11:52
Core Insights - The latest data from the State Administration for Market Regulation indicates that China's "8+9" related industries have shown sustained vitality in development, with a rapid growth in the establishment of new enterprises [1] - From January to November this year, a total of 1.01 million new enterprises in the "8+9" related industries were established, representing a 9.0% increase compared to the same period last year, reflecting strong entrepreneurial investment enthusiasm in innovation-driven sectors [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The "8 major emerging industries" saw the establishment of 775,000 related enterprises, with a year-on-year growth of 2.6%, continuing to play a foundational support role [1] - The "9 major future industries" performed even more impressively, with 283,000 new enterprises established, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 35.8%, showcasing substantial development potential and growth momentum [1] Group 2: Sector Highlights - The "generative artificial intelligence" sector experienced a staggering increase in new enterprise establishment, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 29 times [1] - The "civil aviation" sector followed closely, with a growth rate of 108.3% [1] - The "humanoid robotics" sector also showed strong activity, with a year-on-year increase of 48.9% [1]
国信办:双化协同将助推工业全流程升级
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-12-26 04:39
中化新网讯 12月19日,国家互联网信息办公室发布《数字化绿色化协同转型发展报告(2025)》(下 称《报告》),并提出,"十五五"期间,重工业地区将聚焦化工、建材等重点行业,推动大数据、人工 智能、工业互联网等数智技术与绿色技术的深度融合,引领高碳工业流程实现低碳再造和数字化转型, 全面推动工业生产、能源使用与管理方式的全流程智能化绿色化升级。 二是推动企业能源管理智慧化升级。通过建设数字化能碳管理平台,打通电、气、热等多种能源数据的 采集与分析通道,依托人工智能算法和大数据模型,实现用能预测、峰谷优化、负荷调节与碳排放核算 管理等功能,助力企业科学制定综合用能计划。 《报告》指出,2024年传统产业数绿改造提升持续深化革新传统生产方式,构建高效智能生产体系。生 成式人工智能、数字孪生等数字技术加快落地应用,推动传统产业逐步摆脱粗放式制造和经验驱动模 式,迈向智能化、柔性化和绿色化的生产新范式。在设计研发环节,利用大模型对产品结构数据进行分 析,探究产品的构型和机理,生成具备创新结构与性能的新产品;在工艺优化环节,利用历史工艺数据 进行训练,快速筛选最优工艺参数组合,缩短测试与优化周期;在生产调度环节,对产 ...
焦点图表:高盛顶级科技交易员眼中的十大关键动向-Charts_In_Focus_These_Are_Goldman's_Top_Tech_Trader's_10_Biggest
Goldman Sachs· 2025-12-26 02:12
2025/12/25 15:09 Charts In Focus: These Are Goldman's Top Tech Trader's 10 Biggest Questions For 2026 | ZeroHedge 聚焦图表:这些是⾼盛顶级科技交易员对2026年的10 个最⼤疑问 BY TYLER DURDEN THURSDAY, DEC 25,2025-12:05 AM 科技、媒体和电信⾏业⼜迎来了稳健的⼀年,2025年纳斯达克100指数上涨20%以上,有望实现连 续三年年度回报率超过20%,这在25年多的时间⾥仅为第⼆次(……或者换个说法:……过去23 年中,纳斯达克100指数仅出现过3次下跌年份……) 尽管如此,⾼盛顶级科技交易员彼得·卡拉汉提醒客⼾,2025年的市场⾏情并⾮"⼀帆⻛顺"…… ... 因为今年前4个⽉有⼏次严峻的考验(1⽉的深度求索(DeepSeek)、2⽉/3⽉令⼈不快的Mo' unwind,以及4⽉的"解放⽇"),随后…… 2025年最佳表现者(截⾄12⽉23⽇):SNDK/铠侠/南亚增⻓超500%,SATS增⻓370%,光模块 (中际旭创、LITE)增⻓超350%,IR ...