人民币在国内市场的购买力远强于美元在美国市场的购买力，这也是支撑人民币长期升值的重要因素之 一。在美国，无论是教育、租房还是日常消费，价格普遍高于中国。这种购买力差异的存在，使得人民 币在国际市场上的价值被低估。随着中国经济的进一步发展和全球经济话语权的提升，这种购买力差异 将逐渐缩小，人民币兑美元的汇率也将随之调整。 人民币长期升值预期为中国资管行业带来全球影响力提升的新机遇。 随着中国经济的持续增长和国际地位的不断提高，市场普遍预期人民币将在长期内对美元升值。这一趋 势不仅影响着中国的外贸和金融市场，更为中国的资产管理行业在全球舞台上崭露头角提供了前所未有 的契机。 过去十年间，人民币兑美元汇率大致维持在1比7的水平。这一汇率水平意味着，当中国资管公司管理的 资产规模以人民币计价时，与美元计价的国际同行相比，其实际管理规模显得相对较小。例如，一家管 理500亿元人民币的中国基金公司，在国际市场上仅相当于管理约71亿美元规模的美国同行，这种差距 显然让中国资管从业者感到一定的压力。 然而，考虑到人民币的长期升值趋势，这种差距有望逐渐缩小。从历史经验来看，随着国家在国际舞台 上的崛起，其货币往往也会随之升值。 ...

| 美元兑中国离岸人民币 FX USDCNH ③ 外汇 ■ Level1基础行情 | | | | | + 添加自选 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 7.121161 -0.0313 -0.4400% | | | | | | | 交易中 08-28 23:39 北京时间 | | | | | | | 与 离岸人民币兑美元 0.1404 +0.0006 +0.4400% > | | | | | | | 行情 | | | | | | | 今开 最高 | 7.1709 | | 7.1759 | 买入价 | 7.1198 | | 昨收 最低 | 7.1525 | | 7.1173 | 卖出价 | 7.1225 | | 更多V स्त्रम्य 日K 月K | 周K | | | | נו | | | | | | | 0.0191% | | 7.136085 | | | | | -0.2291% | | 7.118328 | | | | | -0.4774% | | 05:00 | | 17:00 | | | 04:59 | 美股震荡，美元跳水，黄金大涨 科技七巨头涨跌不一 ...

Core Viewpoint - The presence of 600 tons of China's official gold reserves in the United States is a complex issue influenced by historical, practical, and strategic considerations rather than mere risk [1][10][16]. Historical Context - The arrangement for China to store gold in the U.S. dates back to the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944, which established the dollar's link to gold, making the dollar the hard currency for international trade [3][10]. - This practice has continued for decades, becoming a norm for countries wishing to engage in global trade [3][10]. Practical Considerations - The choice to keep gold in the U.S. is driven by transaction efficiency, as New York is the largest gold trading center with a mature clearing system, allowing for quick and cost-effective transactions [5][8]. - Storing gold domestically would incur high transportation and insurance costs, and could be affected by geopolitical risks, making the current arrangement more practical [8][10]. Security Aspects - The New York Federal Reserve's underground vault is considered one of the safest storage facilities globally, providing a secure environment for national reserves [8][10]. - Gold serves as a financial stabilizer during currency devaluation or international crises, and the safety and operational efficiency of the New York facility currently surpass domestic options [8][10]. Strategic and Diplomatic Implications - Storing gold in a global financial center signals China's active participation in the international financial order, enhancing its credibility as a trading partner [10][16]. - The gold reserves also support the internationalization of the renminbi, increasing its global recognition and acceptance [10][16]. Risk Management - Concerns about the potential for the U.S. to seize the gold are mitigated by international law protecting central bank assets, as well as the potential repercussions for the U.S. economy if it were to act against these assets [12][14]. - China's significant holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds and investments in American companies create a complex interdependence that discourages aggressive actions against its gold reserves [12][14]. Future Considerations - While the current strategy is well thought out, China remains vigilant to changes in the international financial landscape and may adjust its gold storage strategy if necessary [18]. - The gold reserves are viewed as both wealth and a strategic asset, playing a crucial role in China's position within the global financial system [18].

Group 1 - Jiexin International Resources officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on August 28, becoming the first company to be listed simultaneously on both the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Astana International Exchange in Kazakhstan, showcasing a new model of financial cooperation between China and Kazakhstan [1] - On its first trading day, Jiexin International Resources saw its stock price surge by 177.84%, closing at HKD 30.34 per share, indicating strong market confidence [1] Group 2 - Anke Intelligent, a subsidiary of Midea Group, has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, reporting a revenue of CNY 18.7 billion and a net profit of CNY 380 million for 2024, with compound annual growth rates of 14.8% and 33.0% respectively since 2022 [2] - As of June 2025, Anke Intelligent has covered over 9,000 enterprise clients and managed warehouse space exceeding 11 million square meters, with a vehicle capacity of 586,000 and over 3,500 active delivery points nationwide [2] Group 3 - Haiwei Electronics has submitted a prospectus for a proposed listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, being the second-largest manufacturer of capacitor films in China, with a 10.9% market share in the capacitor base film market in 2024 [3] - The company is the only one in China with the capability to independently design and develop production lines for capacitor base films, which are essential components in various applications including electric vehicles and renewable energy systems [3] Group 4 - First Capital Securities, listed on A-shares, plans to issue H-shares and apply for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having received preliminary approval from the Beijing State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4] - Established in February 2000, First Capital Securities aims to expand its capital base and enhance its international influence through this listing, following a successful performance since its A-share listing [4]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of RMB government bonds in Hong Kong has been well-received by investors, reflecting strong recognition of China's sovereign credit and RMB assets, while also enhancing the internationalization of the RMB [1][2][4] Group 1: Issuance Details - On August 27, the Ministry of Finance issued the fourth phase of RMB government bonds in Hong Kong, totaling 12.5 billion RMB, with a subscription multiple of 3.35 times [1] - The issuance included various maturities: 30 billion RMB for 2 years at 1.51%, 40 billion RMB for 3 years at 1.54%, 40 billion RMB for 5 years at 1.69%, and 15 billion RMB for 15 years at 2.09% [1] - Cumulatively, the Ministry has completed four phases of RMB bond issuance this year, totaling 50 billion RMB, with subscription multiples ranging from 2.86 to 3.96 times [2] Group 2: Market Impact - The continuous issuance of RMB government bonds in Hong Kong over the past 17 years has established a stable mechanism that provides a high-credit investment benchmark for the offshore market [3] - This stable supply of government bonds serves as a "pricing anchor" and "liquidity support" for the offshore RMB market, enhancing the attractiveness of RMB assets [4] - The issuance strategy has deepened the interconnection between mainland and Hong Kong/Macau financial markets, promoting regulatory alignment and improving market infrastructure [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The Ministry plans to issue a total of 68 billion RMB in six phases in Hong Kong in 2025, with 18 billion RMB remaining for issuance in the current year [2] - The ongoing issuance is expected to attract a wide range of international investors, including central banks, hedge funds, asset management firms, and commercial banks, thereby increasing the trading volume and holding of RMB in international financial markets [4]

Group 1 - The global financial landscape is undergoing a profound restructuring, with the internationalization of the RMB and offshore finance being assigned key strategic missions by the state [1] - The 2023 Central Financial Committee's opinion emphasizes the construction of an offshore financial system that matches the Shanghai International Financial Center, marking a shift in the role of offshore finance to a core pillar of the national financial opening strategy [1] - The 2024 RMB Internationalization White Paper indicates that the RMB has maintained its position as the fifth largest payment currency globally for four consecutive years, but its share in high-value scenarios like trade financing and cash management remains below 20%, highlighting the urgency to accelerate the RMB's internationalization [1] Group 2 - The interdependence between RMB internationalization and offshore finance is crucial, as a robust offshore financial market is essential for the RMB's global expansion, providing necessary services such as clearing, financing, and hedging [2] - The mutual empowerment between offshore finance and RMB internationalization is not merely additive but forms an organic closed loop through demand traction, supply response, and institutional guarantees, which determines the efficiency and quality of strategic advancement [2] Group 3 - Demand-side structural differentiation is evident, with the RMB settlement proportion in goods trade with Belt and Road countries reaching 28% in 2024, a 15 percentage point increase since 2020, but the penetration rate for private enterprises is only 12%, significantly lower than the 45% for state-owned enterprises [3] - The service trade demand is evolving, with a significant increase in the need for financial services across cross-border trade, education, healthcare, and tourism, yet the RMB's share in personal cross-border payments is less than 5% [4] Group 4 - The supply side of offshore RMB services shows a concentration in major financial centers like Hong Kong, Singapore, London, and Dubai, with Hong Kong dominating offshore RMB deposits (60%) and bond issuance (75%) [5] - There is a notable gap in inclusive financial services for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), with 80% of outward-oriented SMEs finding offshore financial services too costly and complex [6] Group 5 - Institutional constraints include balancing the demands for openness with risk prevention, as capital account convertibility remains a significant limitation [7] - The direction for institutional innovation should focus on gradual opening and precise risk control, with the need to replicate successful local experiences and establish a coherent regulatory framework [7] Group 6 - International experiences from Japan and the UK/US provide valuable insights, with Japan's "dual-track" profit repatriation mechanism and the US's offshore dollar strategy showcasing different paths to currency internationalization [8][9] - The challenges posed by the dominance of stablecoins in the digital currency landscape highlight the need for proactive measures in the digital RMB space to avoid losing ground in internationalization [12] Group 7 - The lack of inclusive offshore financial services is a core bottleneck for the RMB's internationalization, with a significant gap between the willingness and actual capability of enterprises to use RMB for settlement [13] - The "Matthew effect" in market mechanisms leads to a preference for serving high-net-worth clients, leaving SMEs underserved and highlighting the need for policies that address this imbalance [14] Group 8 - A comprehensive action plan is proposed to enhance the offshore financial ecosystem, focusing on market collaboration, policy incentives, technological empowerment, and capacity building [15] - The establishment of a three-pole network involving Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Dubai is suggested to enhance global service capabilities and facilitate RMB's internationalization [15][16] Group 9 - Policy measures should aim to lower institutional costs and stimulate market participation, including tax incentives and revolutionary simplification of approval processes [17][26] - Enhancing the infrastructure for RMB usage, including upgrading clearing and payment networks, is essential for improving liquidity and convenience [25] Group 10 - Strengthening risk prevention mechanisms and building international trust through intelligent regulatory systems are crucial for the RMB's acceptance as a reserve currency [27] - The long-term strategy for RMB to replace the USD involves maintaining economic and trade leadership, establishing a mature RMB pricing system for commodities, and enhancing the offshore financial market's global service capacity [28][29]

Economic Landscape - The world economy is becoming multipolar, with China representing emerging power [2][5] - Emerging markets and developing countries are experiencing a collective rise, leading to a more balanced global economic map [8][9] - The economic order determines international division of labor, with the US as a major consumer country and China as a leading manufacturing country [12][16] Industry Expansion - The trend of Chinese enterprises going abroad is driven by economic growth and industrial upgrading [24][50] - Historical analysis shows that significant trade expansion typically follows economic growth, supported by education, technology, and production competitiveness [24][25] - China's industrial upgrade is characterized by a transition from product export to capacity and standard export [57][65] Trade Order - A new regional trade order is forming, with China leading the development of RCEP [81][82] - The existing WTO framework is becoming less suitable for the new economic landscape, prompting the emergence of regional governance models [82][87] - South-South trade has seen significant growth, indicating a shift in reliance from traditional trading partners [82][83] Financial System - The global financial ecosystem is evolving towards a multipolar coexistence, with opportunities for the internationalization of the Renminbi [3][5] - The changing global economic order is pushing towards a diversified monetary system, with the Renminbi's internationalization gaining momentum [3][5] Business Recommendations - The report suggests that companies should focus on the evolving landscape of international trade and finance to identify new opportunities [4]

从最新披露的上市公司半年报来看，多只A股的前十大流通股股东名单中均出现了全球主权财富基金的身影。 牛市还没上车？上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 随着上市公司半年报披露接近尾声，全球主权财富基金的A股持仓版图浮出水面。最新数据显示，阿布达比投资局、科威特政府投资局、新加坡政府投资 公司等知名全球主权财富基金现身多只A股前十大流通股东名单。业内人士认为，随着中国经济回暖与科技实力跃升，国际资本正重新评估中国市场的投 资价值。 主权财富基金是由一国政府设立并拥有的长期投资基金，主要管理国家超额财政收入，以实现资产增值、保障经济稳定并为未来提供财务保障。根据专门 研究主权财富基金的SWFI的统计，截至今年4月底，全球排名前列的主权财富基金包括挪威政府全球养老基金、阿布达比投资局、科威特政府投资局、沙 特公共投资基金等。 ↓ 点击"阅读原文" 以阿布达比投资局为例，截至今年二季度末，其持有19只A股，持股数量为3.76亿股，持股市值为80亿元，二者相较于今年一季度末均显著提升。 其中，阿布达比投资局对紫金矿业、宝丰能源、通化东宝、宏发股份、生益科技等8只股票的 ...

Core Viewpoint - China's record sale of US Treasury bonds, amounting to $90 billion in a single month, signals a potential shift in the global financial landscape and raises questions about the future of the US dollar's dominance [1][3]. Group 1: Sale Data and Strategic Shift - In the first seven months of 2024, China reduced its US Treasury holdings by a total of $240 billion, averaging $34 billion per month [4]. - The single-month sale in July 2025 reached $90 billion, doubling the pace of the first half of the year, equating to a daily reduction of $3 billion [5]. - The proceeds from the bond sales are being redirected into three main areas: gold reserves, with China increasing its holdings to over 3,000 tons; investments in RMB-denominated assets, particularly in ASEAN bonds; and strategic resources, including a $50 billion investment in South American lithium and African cobalt mines [6][7][8]. Group 2: Reasons for Accelerated Sales - Geopolitical risks, particularly the escalation of the US-China tech war and the precedent of the US freezing Russian assets, have prompted China to set a "safety line" for its US Treasury holdings, currently at 12% of its foreign reserves [8]. - Concerns over the US dollar's creditworthiness have intensified, with the national debt exceeding $38 trillion and projected fiscal deficits reaching $2.1 trillion in 2025, leading to a downgrade in the US's debt rating [9]. - The internationalization of the RMB is accelerating, with its share in cross-border payments rising to 12.7% in the first half of 2025, up from just 2% in 2020, diminishing the demand for dollar reserves [10]. Group 3: Market Impact - The sale of US Treasuries has led to a tightening of dollar liquidity, with the LIBOR rate increasing by 0.5 percentage points despite Japan and the Federal Reserve absorbing some of the bonds [11]. - The yield on 10-year US Treasuries has surpassed 4.5%, while 30-year yields are nearing 5%, contributing to a 25% drop in real estate transaction volumes as mortgage rates rise to 7.2% [12]. - A trend towards de-dollarization is evident, with Brazil increasing its RMB reserves from 5% to 20%, Saudi Arabia accepting RMB for 50% of its oil trade with China, and India piloting direct exchanges between the rupee and RMB [13][14][15]. Group 4: US Response Strategies - The US Congress is considering the Foreign Sovereign Asset Review Act to impose sanctions on countries that aggressively sell US Treasuries, but China's diversified holdings complicate enforcement [15]. - The Federal Reserve may consider an emergency rate hike of 50 basis points to attract capital back, although this could exacerbate the risk of economic recession [16]. - The US government has criticized China for destabilizing global financial markets, while the IMF attributes the weakening of the dollar's dominance to the US's own fiscal mismanagement [17]. Group 5: Future Scenarios for Dollar Dominance - Scenario 1: A gradual decline in dollar dominance, with RMB's global reserve share rising to 18% by 2030, while the dollar falls below 50% [18]. - Scenario 2: A sudden collapse triggered by a chain reaction of bond sales, leading to a liquidity crisis in the Treasury market and a potential 5% drop in the dollar index [19]. - Scenario 3: The US regaining payment supremacy through the introduction of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), although this would require a 3-5 year timeframe [20].

Group 1 - The article highlights the increasing presence of global sovereign wealth funds in the A-share market, with notable funds such as Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Kuwait Investment Authority, and Singapore Government Investment Corporation appearing among the top ten shareholders of several A-shares [1][2] - As of the end of Q2 this year, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority held 19 A-shares with a total of 376 million shares valued at 8 billion yuan, showing significant increases compared to the end of Q1 [1][2] - Kuwait Investment Authority holds 8 A-shares with a total of 100 million shares valued at 1.98 billion yuan, having recently entered the top ten shareholders of companies like Giant Star Technology and Kunming Pharmaceutical Group [2] Group 2 - Recent data indicates a notable increase in international capital interest in the A-share market, with nearly 60% of sovereign wealth funds planning to increase their allocation to Chinese assets over the next five years, driven by attractive investment returns and market diversification [2] - The Chief Investment Officer of Allianz Fund, Zheng Yuchen, stated that China is demonstrating leading advantages in areas such as artificial intelligence, which is gaining global recognition, thereby enhancing domestic and international investor confidence [3]