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马斯克称AGI今年就将实现!20年内所有商品服务都将接近免费
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-11 05:30
Group 1 - The core idea presented is that the concept of money may disappear in a future where AI and robotics can meet all human needs, leading to a fundamental change in economic logic and the valuation of labor [1][4]. - Elon Musk predicts that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will be achieved by 2026, which is more aggressive than most mainstream predictions that suggest it will occur after 2030 [1][4]. - The development of AI is accelerating exponentially, with Musk stating that current AI can optimize algorithms significantly, potentially increasing intelligence density by 10 to 100 times under the same hardware conditions [1][4]. Group 2 - AI is expected to replace white-collar jobs first, as it can already perform about half of digital tasks, and blue-collar jobs will follow once humanoid robots gain the ability to manipulate matter [2][4]. - Musk believes that in the next 3 to 4 years, surgical robots will outperform human doctors in precision surgeries due to their shared memory and lack of emotional distractions [2][4]. - The future of work is envisioned as optional, where work becomes a hobby rather than a necessity, as productivity increases [7]. Group 3 - Musk asserts that energy will become the primary measure of currency, as production costs approach zero due to advancements in AI and robotics, making goods and services extremely affordable [4][7]. - He proposes that solar energy could be harnessed from space, suggesting the deployment of solar AI satellites to improve energy efficiency and provide abundant energy [7][8]. - Concerns about declining population rates are raised, with Musk emphasizing that a decrease in human numbers could negatively impact collective consciousness and understanding of the universe [8].
三大客户,抢爆台积电2nm
半导体行业观察· 2026-01-11 04:23
公众号记得加星标⭐️,第一时间看推送不会错过。 科技新闻网站《wccftech》报导,台积电2纳米投片(tape-out)量已达3纳米制程的1.5倍,苹果、 高通与联发科是主要客户。分析师指出,台积电2纳米制程的空前需求,使台积电在人工智能(AI) 加速器市场上维持95%市占率。 报导说,今年下半年,台积电2纳米制程的量产芯片将上市。联发科宣布,已于去年完成其首款2纳米 制程系统单芯片(SoC)的投片。如同这家台湾IC设计公司,一些其他客户也排队下单台积电新一代 制程,最新消息指出,台积电2纳米制程的投片量已是3纳米制程的1.5倍,显示其需求十分强劲。 知名半导体爆料人士@jukan05分享摩根大通的报告指出,台积电2纳米制程需求动能强劲,投片量是 3纳米制程的1.5倍。拜2纳米时代来临之赐,台积电预料在AI加速器市场,仍维持逾95%的市占率。 即使是英特尔,也在其自家产品中增加采用台积电2纳米制程。英特尔近期才在拉斯维加斯举行的消 费性电子展(CES)上,首度展示采用其18A技术的Panther Lake Core Ultra系列3芯片。 报导说,由于AI狂潮,预定今年底,台积电2纳米制程晶圆的月产量将达1 ...
中国首席经济学家论坛理事刘煜辉:东风压倒西风 中国将从AI产业革命胜出
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-10 10:13
刘煜辉表示,从目前来看,美国难以完成这一使命,核心原因是美国缺乏强大的制造业基础。按照当前 美国的经济结构,其越来越成为纯粹的技术蓝图输出者——马斯克、黄仁勋等企业家能够描绘出宏大、 具有前瞻性的技术蓝图,给出顶尖的设计图纸,但在落地能力与完备产业生态的构建上,美国已力不从 心。这一历史使命,最终落在了东方大国(中国)的肩上。马斯克在访谈中也承认:"每次我拿出 PPT,最先提出构想,但最终落地完成的都是中国人。"这一次的AI革命也不例外。因为AI进入下半场 后,核心是要在后端建立强大、完备的产业生态,让投入的巨额资本形成循环闭环——这正是"端侧 AI"的核心使命。 "2025年表现最好的大类资产是黄金——全年涨幅达70%,从2600美元/盎司飙升至4500美元/盎司,这一 涨幅令我们从事宏观经济研究的学者深感震惊。"1月9日,中国首席经济学家论坛理事刘煜辉在2026年 中国首席经济学家论坛年会上指出。 刘煜辉表示,黄金快速上涨反映的是,全球资本对美元基础信用,即美元、美债构成的法币体系,以及 这套"老钱体系"的信任度出现了严重危机,或隐含着深层次风险。黄金未来的走势,关键取决于美元信 用支撑的核心问题能否找到 ...
雷蛇:计划未来数年在AI方向投资超6亿美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-10 07:05
Core Viewpoint - Razer plans to invest over $600 million in artificial intelligence (AI) over the next few years, focusing on the intersection of AI and video games [1] Investment Plans - The investment will amount to approximately 4.196 billion RMB based on current exchange rates [1] - The company aims to enhance its technological research and development capabilities through this investment [1] Talent Acquisition - Razer intends to initiate a global recruitment drive for AI talent, planning to hire 150 AI scientists [1] - This recruitment is part of the strategy to strengthen the company's position in the AI sector [1]
【环球财经】美消费电子展上演讲嘉宾如何谈AI
Xin Hua She· 2026-01-10 05:13
Core Insights - The 2026 CES highlighted the next phase of AI development, focusing on breakthroughs in computing power, the transition from "cloud virtual" to "physical AI," and personalized services driven by intelligent agents [1] Group 1: Computing Power Breakthroughs - The CEO of AMD, Lisa Su, stated that the number of active global AI users has surpassed 1 billion and is expected to exceed 5 billion in the future. Current computing power is insufficient to support the vision of ubiquitous AI, necessitating a 100-fold increase in global computing power over the next few years [2] - The industry is evolving from traditional methods of enhancing chip performance to a full-stack collaborative design approach, integrating chips, networks, and storage into a unified AI computing platform [2] - NVIDIA's CEO, Jensen Huang, introduced the "Vera Rubin" platform, a system-level computing platform comprising six chips, designed to significantly reduce model training time and inference costs [2] Group 2: Physical AI Implementation - Huang emphasized the evolution of AI towards "physical AI," which will understand the physical world, marking a pivotal moment for AI akin to the "ChatGPT moment" [3] - The transition from passive systems to interactive systems capable of understanding and assisting human interaction with the world is underway, with applications in autonomous driving, robotics, and industrial automation [3] - Siemens' chairman highlighted the shift towards AI-driven products and industries, indicating that industrial AI is becoming a transformative force rather than just a functional tool [3] Group 3: Development of Intelligent Agents - The co-founder of Liquid AI, Ramin Hasani, predicted that this year will be the year of "proactive intelligent agents," moving beyond reactive assistants to systems that can understand complex goals and autonomously take action [4] - Lenovo introduced its first personal super intelligent agent, Lenovo Qira, which operates across platforms and devices, enhancing user experience through context awareness and preference prediction [4] Group 4: Hybrid AI and Human-Centric Development - Lenovo's CEO, Yang Yuanqing, emphasized that hybrid AI, integrating personal, enterprise, and public intelligence, is crucial for personalized and diverse AI development [5] - The CEO of Havas Group stressed that AI should serve as a collaborative partner in human creativity rather than a replacement, reinforcing the importance of keeping humans at the center of technological advancements [5]
2026年关注哪些亚洲股?
日经中文网· 2026-01-10 00:34
Group 1 - The development of AI is expected to make significant progress by 2026, with active manufacturing in related semiconductors and servers [2] - Popular stocks mentioned include Alibaba Group, Samsung Electronics, and TSMC, indicating strong market interest in these companies [2] - Demand for products that reduce power consumption in data centers is expanding, broadening the range of related stocks [2] Group 2 - Alibaba is considered a potential stock due to its strong performance in cloud business and its strategy to expand the use of generative AI through open-source models [4] - The emergence of new companies like DeepSeek is expected to drive growth in the tech sector, with this trend anticipated to continue into 2026 [4] Group 3 - Analysts predict that global spending on AI services and related technologies will increase by 37% in 2026, reaching $2 trillion [5] - The production of semiconductors is expected to become more active, with demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and DRAM remaining strong [6] - TSMC and Hon Hai Precision Industry are expected to benefit from providing advanced semiconductors to companies like NVIDIA [6] Group 4 - There are concerns about semiconductor companies' equipment investments not keeping pace, with geopolitical risks potentially affecting supply chains [7] - Samsung and SK Hynix are enhancing their production capacity, but new factories may not be operational by 2026 [7]
“降息大门关闭!”美联储,预期突变!美国重磅数据出炉!
券商中国· 2026-01-09 23:38
Group 1: Federal Reserve and Employment Data - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 50,000 in December, below the expected 65,000, and the unemployment rate was 4.4%, lower than the anticipated 4.5% [2][3] - The December employment report diminished market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in January, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut dropping to 5% [2][4] - The average monthly job growth in the private sector for 2025 was 61,000, marking the weakest growth since 2003 [3] Group 2: Market Reactions and Predictions - Following the employment data, traders largely removed bets on a rate cut in January, maintaining predictions for two rate cuts in 2026, with the first expected around mid-year [3][4] - Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve's decision on future rate cuts will depend on the unemployment rate trends in the coming months [4] Group 3: Nuclear Power Sector Developments - U.S. stock indices rose, with significant gains in nuclear power stocks, including Vistra, which surged over 10% [5][6] - Meta announced agreements with Vistra, Oklo, and TerraPower for nuclear power supply, potentially providing over 6 gigawatts of capacity, enough to power approximately 5 million homes [6][7] - The agreements are expected to fund the expansion of Ohio's nuclear plants and extend their operational licenses, with some licenses valid until 2047 [7]
千亿化工巨头,66亿甩卖业务,转身加码特种高分子
DT新材料· 2026-01-09 16:06
Core Viewpoint - SABIC is strategically divesting its European petrochemical and engineering thermoplastic businesses to focus on high-margin markets and products, enhancing its capital allocation and free cash flow [2][3]. Group 1: Strategic Transactions - SABIC announced the sale of its European petrochemical business to AEQUITA for $500 million, which includes various products and facilities across Europe [2]. - The engineering thermoplastic business in the Americas and Europe is being sold to Mutares for $450 million, covering multiple production sites [3]. - These transactions are part of SABIC's asset optimization plan initiated in 2022, aimed at reallocating capital to higher-return areas [3]. Group 2: Product Development and Expansion - SABIC has launched several new high-performance polymer products, including a series of fluorine-free SILTEM™ resins and flame-retardant materials suitable for various applications [4]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, particularly in Asia and the Middle East, with significant projects like the MTBE plant in Saudi Arabia, which has a capacity of 1 million tons [5]. - A new expansion plan for specialty low oligomers based on PPE technology is set to meet the growing demand for high-performance PCBs, supporting AI and 5G applications [6][7]. Group 3: Market Trends and Demand - The demand for high-performance electronic resins is surging, driven by the growth of AI and high-end PC industries, prompting major players to expand production [8]. - SABIC is a leading supplier of electronic-grade PPO resins, with a projected global demand of 4,926 tons by 2025 [8].
热点问答丨美消费电子展上演讲嘉宾如何谈AI
Xin Hua She· 2026-01-09 14:03
新华社北京1月9日电 热点问答|美消费电子展上演讲嘉宾如何谈AI 新华社记者罗国芳 2026年美国拉斯维加斯消费电子展(CES)6日至9日举行。展会期间,与会嘉宾通过主题演讲勾勒 出人工智能(AI)发展的下一阶段"蓝图":从算力的底层技术突破,到"物理AI"向现实场景落地,再到 智能体驱动的个性化服务,AI正逐步从"云端虚拟"走向"实体世界"。 AI"算力瓶颈"如何突破 美国超威半导体公司首席执行官苏姿丰在主旨演讲中说,全球AI活跃用户如今已超过10亿,预计 未来将超过50亿。现在的算力远不足以支撑AI无处不在的愿景,要实现这一点,必须在未来几年内将 全球算力提升100倍。 另一位受苏姿丰邀请的演讲嘉宾、美国世界实验室公司联合创始人兼首席执行官李飞飞在演讲互动 环节说,当前AI发展"正从被动理解文字和图像的系统,转向不仅理解而且能帮助我们与世界互动的系 统"。 自动驾驶、机器人、工业自动化等领域将成为"物理AI"的主战场,通过仿真、数字孪生等技术,AI 将实现与现实世界的交互。黄仁勋在其演讲中强调自动驾驶是"物理AI"的关键应用场景之一,并宣布了 会思考和推理的自动驾驶汽车AI模型Alpamayo。他确信," ...
美国12月就业增长放缓 为招聘疲软的一年年画上句号
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 13:51
专题:美国12月非农略低于预期 美国劳工部周五公布,12月经季节性调整后新增就业人数50000人,失业率降至4.4%。 这一新增就业人数低于接受调查的经济学家预期的73000人,也弱于11月经修正后的新增56000人。 12月的就业报告是几个月来首份能清晰反映劳动力市场状况的报告,此前创纪录时长的政府停摆导致政 府机构停止数据收集工作长达六周,并推迟了许多主要经济指标的发布。 周五的报告为2025年画上了句号,在这一年里,劳动力需求明显放缓,公司收紧了招聘。2025年,就业 创造步履维艰,薪资增长降温,失业率上升。2025年的大部分就业创造都集中在两个行业:教育和医疗 服务。 2025年对美国经济来说是不寻常的一年。美国总统特朗普1月份上任后,其政府采取行动大幅削减联邦 政府雇员数量,并限制进入美国和在美国工作的移民数量。白宫还在春季宣布对进口商品征收全面关 税,扰乱了金融市场。 但尽管美国就业市场一直疲软,经济一直在稳步增长,虽然第一季度出现短暂波折。在有数据可查的最 近一个季度(即第三季度),得益于强劲的消费者支出和对人工智能(AI)领域的稳健商业投资,国 内生产总值(GDP)创下两年来最快增速。作为衡量 ...