德国DAX30指数6月30日（周一）收盘下跌85.15点，跌幅0.35%，报23915.12点； 英国富时100指数6月30日（周一）收盘下跌37.56点，跌幅0.43%，报8761.35点； 法国CAC40指数6月30日（周一）收盘下跌25.64点，跌幅0.33%，报7665.91点； 欧洲斯托克50指数6月30日（周一）收盘下跌19.49点，跌幅0.37%，报5306.15点； 西班牙IBEX35指数6月30日（周一）收盘上涨41.93点，涨幅0.30%，报13991.93点； 意大利富时MIB指数6月30日（周一）收盘上涨37.79点，涨幅0.10%，报39780.00点。 ...

@ JIN10.COM 金十数据 | 一个交易工具 金十图示：2025年06月30日（周一）全球股市指数-欧洲市场（收盘） 西班牙 IBEX35 ↑ 13986.93 +36.93 意大利富时 +0.26% MIB指数 + 39778 +35.79 +0.09% ...

Group 1 - European major stock indices closed slightly lower, with the German DAX index falling by 0.53% to 23905.21 points [1] - The French CAC40 index decreased by 0.21% to 7675.69 points [1] - The UK FTSE 100 index dropped by 0.31% to 8771.9 points [1]

Group 1 - The European STOXX 600 index has initially declined by 0.42%, closing at 541.37 points, with a cumulative drop of approximately 0.6% in June [1] - The Eurozone STOXX 50 index has initially decreased by 0.38%, standing at 5305.64 points, with a total decline of about 1.1% in June [1] - The FTSE All-World 300 index has initially fallen by 0.45%, reaching 2142.64 points [1]

欧洲Stoxx 600指数日内跌幅达0.5%，报540.88点。 ...

智通财经6月30日电，STOXX欧洲600指数延续跌势，跌至0.5%的盘中低点。 ...

新华财经北京6月30日电欧洲交易时段，美元兑欧元、英镑、瑞郎等主要货币徘徊在多年低点附近。市 场对美国贸易协议的乐观情绪不断升温，美联储降息预期高涨，美元正面临多重压力，美元指数一度刷 新2022年3月以来低点至96.98。 美国商务部发布的5月经济数据为美联储的政策制定者敲响了警钟。数据显示，个人消费支出和收入均 呈现下滑趋势，这或许预示着经济增长的疲软态势。更为令人担忧的是，核心个人消费支出（PCE）物 价指数同比上升2.7%，较4月增速加快，且超出市场预期。尽管整体通胀率相对温和，仅为2.3%，但仍 高于美联储2%的目标。此外，4月数据被上修，进一步凸显通胀压力并未如预期般缓解。这些数据使得 美联储对通胀形势的判断变得更加复杂，政策制定者在是否降息的问题上陷入了两难境地。 美国国会预算办公室（CBO）表示，参议院对美国总统的巨额税收法案所做的修改，将使美国的债务 负担增加数万亿美元，同时导致医疗保险覆盖面的损失更大，这给试图推动该法案获得通过的共和党人 增加了挑战。 7月3日仍吸引大量期权需求和溢价，尤其是美元看跌期权。这表明在非农就业报告（NFP）发布后，美 元可能面临更大的波动潜力和贬值风险。 关税 ...

Core Insights - Germany's inflation rate unexpectedly cooled in June, reaching 2%, down from 2.1% in May, which was below economists' expectations of a slight increase to 2.2% [1] Economic Data Summary - The inflation data for major Eurozone economies showed mixed results, with France and Spain experiencing slight increases, while Italy remained stable [1] - The overall inflation data for the Eurozone's 20 countries is expected to be released, with analysts predicting a rate of 2%, slightly above May's 1.9% [1] Central Bank Outlook - The European Central Bank (ECB) is not likely to change its stance based on the current data, as it aims to achieve its inflation target this year [1] - The ECB's next meeting is scheduled for July, where it is expected to pause interest rate cuts after having reduced the deposit rate eight times since June 2024, currently standing at 2% [1]

摩根大通策略师米斯拉夫·马特伊卡（Mislav Matejka）指出，过去几周市场已额外消化了18个基点的降 息预期，但关键在于降息的驱动因素。他们提出了三种可能的降息情景： 市场对美联储降息的期待日益高涨，但摩根大通伦敦策略团队却泼了一盆冷水。该行警告称，降息背后 的真正原因可能并不利好股市，甚至可能成为一场"错误类型的宽松"，进而引发市场连锁反应。 在新兴市场股票方面，从历史上看，当美联储放松货币政策时，新兴市场股票的表现通常较好，而摩根 大通在谨慎观望了几年之后，再次重申对该板块的增持态度。相比之下，他们预计欧洲股市将会在一段 时间内停滞不前。 板块方面，必需消费品、医疗保健和科技股在降息环境中通常表现较好，而工业和金融板块则可能落 后。尽管标普500指数上周五再创新高，但年内涨幅（5%）远不及欧洲股市（先锋富时欧洲ETF涨幅达 21%）。 摩根士丹利首席股票分析师迈克·威尔逊（Mike Wilson）表示："股票市场不会等待美联储货币政策转向 鸽派的明显信号——也就是说，股票将走在政策之前。"事实上，他认为这种情况已经开始发生。 如果数据显示失业率加速上升且出现多次负向就业数据，那么这将会对美股的涨势 ...

Group 1: Eurozone Focus - The European Central Bank (ECB) appears satisfied with the current inflation situation, indicating no necessity for further rate cuts in the second half of the year [9][11][14] - The "Rearmament of Europe" initiative is expected to benefit industries such as traditional military manufacturing, dual-use high technology, strategic resources, and energy security, with a focus on the aerospace and defense sectors [20][22] - Rheinmetall and Airbus are identified as key beneficiaries of the "Rearmament of Europe" plan, with Rheinmetall projected to see a 20% revenue growth due to increased defense spending [22][21] Group 2: Indian Market Focus - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut the key repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.5%, exceeding market expectations, while maintaining a neutral stance due to limited growth support [31][29] - There is an anticipated further rate cut of 25-50 basis points in the current fiscal year, driven by moderate growth prospects and weak private consumption [34][32] - The Indian stock market is currently overvalued, with the Nifty index's earnings per share forecast being significantly downgraded, leading to cautious short-term return expectations [37][35] Group 3: Thai Market Focus - Political instability in Thailand is hindering economic recovery, with significant pressure on the stock market and a cautious outlook on corporate earnings [41][51] - The Bank of Thailand (BOT) has maintained the policy rate at 1.75% but is expected to lower it to 1.25% later this year to support the economy [47][46] - CP All and Minor International are highlighted as resilient players in the Thai market, with CP All benefiting from 7-Eleven's growth and Minor International having long-term rebound potential despite short-term pressures [52][51]