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海康威视:跟踪报告之四:宏观信心修复,大模型规模化落地变现开启-20250309
EBSCN· 2025-03-08 18:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hikvision [5][27]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 92.49 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.52%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.96 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.23% [3][23]. - The recovery of macroeconomic confidence is indicated by the manufacturing PMI data, which rose to 50.2% in February, entering the expansion zone [1][10]. - The integration of multi-modal large models with smart hardware is expected to drive scalable monetization for Hikvision [2][15]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 92.49 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.52% [4][23]. - The net profit for 2024 was 11.96 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 15.23% year-on-year [4][23]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected to be 1.30 yuan, with a forecasted net profit of 14.54 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 21.61% [4][28]. Business Development - The company is focusing on innovative business areas such as edge computing, robotics, and smart connected vehicles, with overseas business revenue exceeding 50% [3][23]. - The multi-modal large model technology is being integrated into various products, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the market [2][15]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the positive trend in the manufacturing sector, with a significant recovery in demand and production indices, which is expected to benefit Hikvision's performance [1][10]. - The company's strong position in the multi-modal large model space and its extensive user base across various industries are seen as key factors for long-term benefits in the evolving market landscape [3][27].
【海康威视(002415.SZ)】宏观信心修复,大模型规模化落地变现开启——跟踪报告之四(刘凯/王之含)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-07 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance, with a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, indicating potential challenges ahead [2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 92.486 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.52% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.959 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 15.23%, indicating short-term performance pressure [2]. Group 2: Macro Environment - The manufacturing PMI for February recorded at 50.2%, indicating a return to the expansion zone, with a month-on-month increase of 1.1 percentage points, driven by rapid recovery in demand post-holiday [3]. - The improvement in macro factors that previously suppressed the company's performance and valuation is becoming significant [3]. Group 3: Policy and Security - The Central Political Bureau emphasized the construction of a safer China, which is expected to accelerate security and digital governance projects, potentially benefiting the company's PBG business directly [4]. Group 4: Innovation and Technology - The company is launching a series of products based on multi-modal large models, integrating advanced technology with embedded smart hardware, aiming for broader and more efficient applications across various industries [5]. - The focus on innovative business areas such as edge computing, robotics, and smart connected vehicles is expected to catalyze growth, with overseas business now accounting for over half of total operations [6].