据外媒报道，官员们表示，特朗普团队扩大美联储主席候选人范围，美联储理事鲍曼和美联储副主席杰 斐逊被纳入候选人之列。白宫有望于今年秋季宣布美联储主席人选。（格隆汇） ...

Group 1 - The potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair include James Bullard and Mark Sullivan, expanding the list to about 10 candidates [1][2][4] - Morgan Stanley economists predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, followed by three additional cuts, bringing the benchmark rate to between 3.25% and 3.5% [5][6] - The appointment of Stephen Milan as a Federal Reserve Board member is expected to influence the Fed's future monetary policy, with a more dovish stance anticipated [5][6] Group 2 - The current Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, is under pressure from President Trump to lower interest rates, with several candidates expressing support for rate cuts [3][5] - The upcoming employment data in August will be crucial in determining the extent of potential rate cuts, with a 4.4% unemployment rate possibly leading to larger cuts [5] - The yield curve for U.S. Treasury bonds may steepen if Trump's key appointments succeed, reflecting market reactions to the Fed's policy direction [6]

Stock Market Performance - All three major indices in the US closed higher this week, with the Dow Jones up 1.35%, S&P 500 up 2.43%, and Nasdaq up 3.87% [1] - On Friday, the Dow rose by 206.97 points (0.47%) to close at 44,175.61 points, Nasdaq increased by 207.32 points (0.98%) to 21,450.02 points, and S&P 500 gained 49.45 points (0.78%) to 6,389.45 points [1] - Nasdaq reached an intraday all-time high of 21,464.53 points during Friday's trading [1] Individual Stock Movements - Apple (AAPL.US) surged over 4% on Friday and accumulated a 13% increase for the week, marking its best weekly performance since July 2020 [1] - Tesla (TSLA.US) rose by 2.29%, while Google (GOOG.US) increased by 2.44% [1] - Freddie Mac (FMCC.US) saw a significant rise of over 20% [1] European Stock Market - The German DAX30 index fell by 38.84 points (0.16%) to 24,151.86 points, while the UK FTSE 100 index decreased by 13.02 points (0.14%) to 9,087.75 points [2] - The French CAC40 index rose by 33.68 points (0.44%) to 7,743.00 points, and the Spanish IBEX35 index increased by 145.70 points (0.99%) to 14,823.20 points [2] Asian Stock Market - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose over 1.8%, while the KOSPI index in South Korea fell by 0.55% [3] Commodity Prices - Light crude oil futures for September settled at $63.88 per barrel, unchanged from the previous day, while October Brent crude oil futures rose by 16 cents to $66.59 per barrel, a 0.24% increase [3] - Gold futures in New York rose by 0.13% to $3,458.2, reaching an intraday high of $3,534.1 [4] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin decreased by 0.54% to $116,889.9, while Ethereum increased by over 3% to $4,044.24 [5] Employment Data in Canada - Canada saw a reduction of 40,800 jobs in July, with the employment rate dropping to 60.7%, the lowest level since the pandemic began [9] - The youth unemployment rate for those aged 15 to 24 rose to 14.6%, the highest level since September 2010, excluding the pandemic years [9] Company News - Tesla (TSLA.US) received approval for a rideshare license in Texas, paving the way for its autonomous taxi service [10] - The US government is preparing to list Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (FMCC.US) later this year, potentially raising around $30 billion [11] - The automotive industry, particularly companies like Ford (F.US) and General Motors (GM.US), is facing significant losses due to tariffs, with projected losses of $7 billion in profits by 2025 [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is actively seeking a successor to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, with Christopher Waller being a leading candidate due to his willingness to base policy on forecasts rather than existing data and his deep understanding of the Federal Reserve system [1][4] Group 1: Candidates for Federal Reserve Chair - Christopher Waller is currently the most prominent candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair position, having met with Trump's team to discuss the role [1] - Other candidates include former Federal Reserve official Kevin Warsh and current White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, both of whom are also in contention for the position [1][2] - Trump has narrowed the candidate list to three individuals, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bentsen, Vice President JD Vance, and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick [2] Group 2: Waller's Background and Experience - Waller was nominated to the Federal Reserve in 2020 and previously served as the research director and executive vice president of the St. Louis Fed [4] - He has engaged in public debates with influential economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, and has successfully argued that inflation could be reduced without significantly increasing unemployment [4] - Waller has emphasized the importance of the Federal Reserve's independence for the proper functioning of the U.S. economy [4] Group 3: Recent Federal Reserve Decisions - Despite pressure from Trump, the Federal Reserve decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate, with Waller and fellow board member Michelle Bowman voting against this decision, advocating for a 25 basis point cut due to signs of a weakening labor market [3] - A recent employment report indicated a sharp slowdown in job growth over the past three months, supporting Waller and Bowman's dissenting opinions [3] - The Federal Reserve's decision-making process has shown a divide in opinions, with some members believing the labor market remains strong and advocating for patience in adjusting interest rates [3]

Core Viewpoint - Christopher Waller is emerging as a favored candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, supported by former President Trump, which has led the market to reassess future monetary policy directions [2][3]. Group 1: Waller's Profile and Market Impact - Waller has been a Federal Reserve Governor since 2020, known for his academic background and policy flexibility, advocating for quicker monetary easing when inflation risks are manageable [3]. - His potential appointment is seen as a stabilizing factor for long-term U.S. Treasury yields and maintaining dollar inflows, alleviating market concerns about abrupt shifts in monetary policy [2][3]. - The U.S. dollar strengthened against major currencies, with the dollar index rising by 0.23% to 98.400 following the news of Waller's candidacy [2]. Group 2: Other Candidates and Market Sentiment - Other candidates mentioned by Trump include Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh, with Waller, Hassett, and Warsh being the top contenders according to betting platforms [5]. - Analysts express concerns that candidates closely aligned with the White House may raise fears about the independence of the Federal Reserve, potentially negatively impacting asset prices [5]. - Hassett is viewed as favoring aggressive fiscal stimulus, which could pressure the dollar and increase bond market volatility if appointed [5]. - Warsh's history of advocating for tighter monetary policy raises questions about his potential approach if he were to take office, with concerns about a more aggressive balance sheet reduction [5].

Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above 9164, with an opening price of 9104 and a current price of 9187, reflecting a 1.25% increase [1] - The highest price reached today is 9196, while the lowest was 9094, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in silver futures [1] - The recent upward movement in silver futures suggests potential for further gains, with targets set around 8300 and possibly extending to 9500 [4] Group 2 - Trump has narrowed down his list of candidates for the Federal Reserve Chair to four, including well-known figures like Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh [3] - The exclusion of Treasury Secretary Mnuchin from the list has quelled speculation about his potential transition to the Fed Chair position [3] - James Fishback, CEO of Azoria Investment, has expressed interest in becoming a Fed governor, indicating a broader range of candidates than previously thought [3]

Core Points - President Trump is set to decide on the nomination for the vacant Federal Reserve Board position by the end of the week, narrowing the candidates for the successor to Chairman Powell to four individuals [2][3] - The successor to Fed Governor Kugler, who unexpectedly announced her departure, will serve until January, but Trump indicated that this nominee could later be appointed for a full 14-year term [3][5] - Trump has expressed criticism of Powell for not lowering interest rates since his return to the White House, highlighting the challenges the Fed faces in balancing inflation and employment goals [4][6] Candidate Selection - The narrowed list for the Fed Chair includes economic advisor Kevin Hassett, former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, and two others, with speculation that one may be current Fed Governor Christopher Waller [2][3] - The nomination process for Kugler's successor requires Senate confirmation, and a separate process will be needed for the new Fed Chair [5] Economic Context - Concerns have been raised regarding the integrity of U.S. employment data following the dismissal of the BLS director, which may impact perceptions of the Fed's independence [6][7] - Economic experts warn that Trump's trade policies could lead to a slowdown in the labor market and rising inflation, influencing the Fed's decision-making on interest rates [6][7]

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy - Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for delaying interest rate cuts and narrowed down potential candidates for the next Fed chair to four individuals, including former Fed governor Kevin Walsh and NEC Director Kevin Hassett, while ruling out Treasury Secretary Scott Bencet [2] - Trump mentioned that he plans to utilize the vacancy left by Adriana Kugler to select the future Fed chair, following her resignation [2] Group 2: Drug Tariffs - Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on imported drugs that could reach as high as 250%, marking the highest rate he has threatened so far [2] - Initially, Trump considered a lower tariff but indicated a gradual increase over the next year to year and a half, starting at 150% before reaching 250% [2][3] - The administration's investigation under Section 232 aims to assess the impact of imported drugs on national security, with Trump urging pharmaceutical companies to lower drug prices by September 29 [3] Group 3: Trade Relations with India - Trump announced plans to significantly increase tariffs on Indian imports, stating that India is the country with the highest tariffs and not a good trade partner [4][5] - He previously announced a 25% tariff on goods exported from India to the U.S. and threatened further increases [4] - The Indian government is seeking negotiations to lower these tariffs and is considering increasing imports of natural gas and communication equipment from the U.S. [5] Group 4: Banking Discrimination Claims - Trump claimed that JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America discriminated against him by refusing to open accounts for him, leading him to choose smaller local banks instead [6][8] - He suggested that the refusal was politically motivated due to pressure from regulatory agencies during the Biden administration [8] - JPMorgan Chase denied any political discrimination, emphasizing the need for regulatory reform [8]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for delaying interest rate cuts and announced significant tariff increases on pharmaceuticals and Indian imports [1][3][8]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Leadership - Trump has narrowed down the potential candidates for the new Federal Reserve Chairman to four individuals, excluding Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet from consideration [1][7]. - The candidates include former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, both of whom Trump praised [1][7]. - Trump indicated that the vacancy left by Adriana Kugler, who recently resigned, could be utilized to select the future Fed Chairman [7]. Group 2: Tariff Policy - Trump announced plans to significantly increase tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with rates potentially reaching as high as 250% over time [8]. - He stated that initial tariffs on pharmaceuticals would start at a lower level, gradually increasing to 150% within a year to a year and a half [8]. - Additionally, Trump plans to impose substantial tariff increases on Indian imports within the next 24 hours, citing India's high tariffs and its purchase of Russian oil as reasons for the decision [9].

Group 1: Federal Reserve Chair Candidates - Trump criticized Powell for delaying interest rate cuts and narrowed potential candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair to four, including Kevin Walsh and Kevin Hassett, while ruling out Treasury Secretary Scott Bencet [3] - Trump mentioned the opportunity to utilize the vacant position left by Adriana Kugler to select the future Fed Chair, following her resignation [3] Group 2: Drug Tariffs - Trump plans to impose tariffs on imported drugs that could eventually reach 250%, marking the highest rate he has threatened so far [4] - Initially, he intended to start with a lower tariff, increasing it to 150% over one to one and a half years, before potentially raising it to 250% [4] - The administration's investigation under Section 232 aims to assess the impact of imported goods on national security, with Trump urging pharmaceutical companies to lower drug prices by September 29 [4] Group 3: Tariffs on Indian Imports - Trump announced plans to significantly increase tariffs on Indian imports within 24 hours, previously stating a 25% tariff on goods exported from India to the U.S. [6] - He criticized India as the country with the highest tariffs and a poor trade partner, citing their purchase of Russian oil and subsequent resale for profit [7] - The Indian government expressed intentions to negotiate for lower tariffs and is considering increasing imports of natural gas and communication equipment from the U.S. [7] Group 4: Banking Discrimination Claims - Trump claimed discrimination from JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, stating they refused to open accounts for him, which he attributed to pressure from regulatory agencies during the Biden administration [9][11] - JPMorgan Chase denied any political discrimination, emphasizing their commitment to regulatory reform [11]