新京报讯（记者姜慧梓）9月28日，国家统计局发布"十四五"以来社会民生统计报告。报告显示，"十四 五"前四年，我国居民人均可支配收入与GDP增长同步，年均实际增长5.5%。 编辑 张树婧 2024年，全国居民人均可支配收入为41314元，比2020年增加9125元。扣除价格因素影响，2021-2024年 年均实际增长5.5%，与同期GDP增速同步；城镇、农村居民人均可支配收入分别为54188元、23119 元，年均实际增长4.5%、6.9%。 2024年，全国居民人均消费支出28227元，比2020年增加7017元。扣除价格因素影响，2021-2024年年均 实际增长6.5%。 从消费结构看，我国居民恩格尔系数由2020年的30.2%下降到2024年的29.8%，居民消费结构优化升 级。其中，教育文化娱乐、交通通信、医疗保健等发展型消费支出较快增长，2021-2024年年均增长 10.0%；居民服务性消费支出年均增长9.5%，比商品性消费支出快3.8个百分点。 2024年，农村居民人均可支配收入实际增速快于城镇居民2.4个百分点，城乡居民人均可支配收入之比 为2.34，比2020年下降0.22；东部与西部地区 ...

在第一季度出现下滑后，美国经济如今出人意料地强劲增长。这得益于消费者支出增加和进口下降。 美国经济在第二季度的增长超出预期。美国商务部在华盛顿特区发布的第三次预估显示，4月至6月期间，国内生产总值（GDP）同比增长3.8%。此前，经 济学家们普遍预计将维持3.3% 的第二次预估数据。 纽约时代广场 商务部表示，增长的原因是进口下降以及消费者支出增加。但与此同时，投资和出口出现了下滑。尤其是农产品、工业机械等传统优势品类出口承压明显。 尽管经济增长出人意料地强劲，但美国就业市场近期表现疲软。新增就业岗位数量远低于预期。也正因为如此，美联储近日自12月以来首次下调了基准利 率。目前基准利率处于4.0%至4.25%的区间。 从具体环比数据来看，今年二季度，占美国经济总量约70%的个人消费支出增长2.5%；反映企业投资状况的非住宅类固定资产投资增长7.3%；住宅类固定资 产投资下降5.1%；政府消费支出和投资下降0.1%；出口下降1.8%，进口大幅下降29.3%。 按贡献度计算，个人消费支出拉动当季经济增长1.68个百分点；净出口拉动当季经济增长4.83个百分点；政府消费支出和投资拖累当季经济增长0.01个百分 点； ...

阿塞拜疆"Caliber"网9月12日报道,阿塞拜疆国家统计委员会数据显示， 2025年1-8月，阿GDP达830.4亿马纳特（488.5亿美元），同比增长1%。其 中，油气行业产值下降2.1%，非油气行业产值增长2.6%。各行业占GDP比重如 下：工业占34.9%，贸易及汽车修理业占10.3%，运输仓储业占7.1%，农林渔 业占6.3%，建筑业占6.3%，旅游住宿和餐饮业占2.8%，信息和通信业占 1.8%，其他行业占20.7%。 （原标题：1-8月阿塞拜疆GDP同比增长1%） ...

Group 1: Intel's Performance - Intel's stock surged by 8.87% following reports of discussions with TSMC regarding investment or manufacturing collaboration [1][2] - Prior to the recent interest from the U.S. government, Intel had already been in contact with Apple and TSMC [2] - The previous trading day saw Intel's stock increase by 6.41% [2] Group 2: Tesla's Market Challenges - Tesla's stock fell by 4.38%, marking its largest single-day decline in two months [2] - In August, Tesla's new car registrations in the EU dropped by nearly 37%, while BYD's registrations increased by 201% [2] - Tesla's market share in the EU has been surpassed by BYD for the second consecutive month [2] Group 3: Broader Market Trends - Major U.S. stock indices experienced declines, with the Dow Jones down 0.38%, Nasdaq down 0.5%, and S&P 500 down 0.5% [1] - Other large tech stocks showed mixed results, with Apple up 1.81% and Nvidia up 0.41%, while Google, Microsoft, and Amazon saw declines [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.42%, indicating mixed performance among Chinese concept stocks [2]

（原标题：2025年第二季度荷兰GDP同比增长1.7%） 据荷兰中央统计局公布，2025年第二季度荷兰GDP同比增长1.7%，环比增长 0.2%，主要归功于家庭消费、投资和政府消费。第二季度就业岗位数量同比增 加8.7万个，环比增加2.8万个。 ...

Interestingly, despite the dovish signal, the US dollar had corrected higher, pushing other asset prices slightly lower. That represents the old trading adage: “buy the rumours, sell the news”. In this case, inflated expectations about dovish monetary policy had brought a lot of short sellers of the US dollar to the market, which now tend to fix their profits.Now, as the odds of 3 steps of decline for the interest rate in 2025 are already stacked, theThe market looks forward to trying to find new narratives ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has reduced the benchmark interest rate by a quarter point to a range between 4% and 4.25% due to a softening labor market [3][4] - Payroll job gains have slowed significantly to an average of 29,000 per month over the past three months, indicating a weaker job market [3][4] - The Fed forecasts two more quarter-point cuts in interest rates this year, with a projected federal funds rate of 3.6% by the end of 2025 [4] Group 2 - The Conference Board predicts GDP growth will be 1.6% this year, impacted by high tariffs and a decline in new orders and consumer expectations [5][6] - Unemployment is expected to rise from 4.3% to 4.5% by the end of this year, before easing slightly in the following years [5] - The personal consumption expenditures price index, excluding food and energy, is projected to decrease from 3.1% this year to 2.6% next year, reaching the Fed's 2% target by 2028 [5]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate target range to 4.00% to 4.25%, marking the first rate cut in nine months since December 2024 [1] - Following the announcement, the US dollar index fell by 0.13% to 96.48, while the New York stock market showed mixed results with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 260.42 points (0.57%), the S&P 500 declining by 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropping by 0.33% [1] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell described the rate cut as a "risk management measure" aimed at addressing the current complex economic environment, noting that inflation risks have eased since April due to a cooling labor market and slowing GDP growth [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve forecasts two more rate cuts of 25 basis points each within the year, which is one more than the prediction made in June, and anticipates an additional 25 basis point cut each year for the next two years [1] - The FOMC will continue to reduce its holdings of US Treasuries, agency bonds, and agency mortgage-backed securities while maintaining the current pace of balance sheet reduction [1] - The Fed projects a GDP growth rate of 1.6% for 2025, an increase from the June forecast of 1.4%, with a long-term growth rate expectation of 1.8% [1]

Economic Growth Expectations - The FOMC members project a median GDP growth of 1.6% for 2025, 1.4% for 2026, and 1.8% for both 2027 and 2028, with a long-term median growth rate of 1.8% [2] - The central tendency for 2025 GDP growth is between 1.4% and 1.7%, with a range of 1.3% to 2.0% [2] Unemployment Rate Projections - The median unemployment rate is forecasted to be 4.5% for both 2025 and 2026, 4.3% for 2027, and 4.2% for 2028, with a long-term median of 4.0% [3] - The central tendency for 2025 unemployment rate is between 4.4% and 4.5%, with a range of 4.2% to 4.6% [3] Inflation Trends - The median forecast for the PCE price index year-on-year growth is 3.0% for 2025, 2.6% for 2026, 2.1% for 2027, and 2.0% for 2028, with a long-term median of 2.0% [4] - The core PCE inflation forecast (excluding food and energy) is 3.1% for 2025, 2.6% for 2026, 2.1% for 2027, and 2.0% for 2028 [4] Interest Rate Path - The median forecast for the federal funds rate is 3.6% at the end of 2025, 3.4% for 2026, and 3.1% for both 2027 and 2028, with a long-term median of 3.0% [5] - The central tendency for the 2025 interest rate is between 3.6% and 4.1%, with a range of 2.9% to 4.4% [5] Comparison with Previous Forecasts - Compared to the June 2025 forecast, the median predictions for GDP growth, unemployment rate, PCE inflation, core PCE inflation, and federal funds rate remain unchanged, indicating stable assessments by FOMC members [6] Uncertainty and Risk Assessment - FOMC members assess that the uncertainty regarding GDP growth and inflation for 2025 is "similar to or higher than" the past 20 years [7] - Some members view the risks for GDP growth and unemployment as "roughly balanced," while inflation risks are seen as "roughly balanced" or "tilted upward" [7]

Core Insights - The Bank of Spain forecasts a quarter-on-quarter GDP growth of 0.6% to 0.7% for the third quarter, indicating a sustained robust expansion trend [1] - The GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been revised upward from 2.4% to 2.6%, while the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged at 1.8% and 1.7% respectively [1] - The inflation rate forecast for 2025 has been slightly increased to 2.5%, up from the previous estimate of 2.4%, although it remains lower than the actual inflation rate of 2.9% in 2024, suggesting a gradual easing of overall inflationary pressures [1] - The fiscal situation shows positive improvement, with the forecast for the government budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for 2025 revised down from 2.8% to 2.5%, indicating strengthened fiscal discipline and a trend towards a more stable fiscal situation [1]