新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑：陈平 12月4日，近期比特币波动率大幅下降，为现货价格提供了看涨信号。CWG Markets外汇认为，比特币 30天隐含波动率指数（BVIV）急剧收缩至48点，明确跌破自九月低点以来的看涨趋势线，这显示市场 恐慌情绪正在消散，同时为波动率进一步压缩创造空间。此外，美元指数的持续回落也为比特币价格的 持续上涨提供了额外动力。CWG Markets外汇表示，自去年11月以来，比特币现货价格与波动率的相关 性保持负向，进一步强化了反向关系的技术逻辑。 从短中期走势来看，CWG Markets外汇认为，比特币若在MACD柱状图出现看涨交叉，下一轮上行动能 有望启动，价格目标锁定在$98，000至$100，000区间，这一区间由下降趋势线及关键心理关口构成阻 力。此外，比特币短期上涨仍需关注云图支撑，如果价格跌破云图下轨，多头动能可能受到削弱，短线 可能出现回调或整理。值得注意的是，比特币的成交量在回升阶段同步放大，这增强了趋势延续的可靠 性，显示投资者买盘正在逐步增强。 在其他主要数字资产方面，XRP在$2.20附近构筑底部，CWG Markets外汇认为其有望迎来下 ...

风险资产市场同样遭遇重创。加密货币市场反应尤为剧烈，比特币价格单日跌破87000美元关口，较前一交易日下跌超过5%。这种市场波动并 非孤例，2018年美联储四次加息期间，道指全年跌幅达5.63%，显示出货币政策变动对各类资产价格的显著影响。 当时美联储加了四次息。 道指全年跌了5.63%。 现在鲍威尔要走，新主席会咋干？ 你的钱袋子，还能保住吗？ 要回答这些问题，得先看美联储的老底。 ??个人观点，仅供观看 2025年12月1日，"鲍威尔辞职"的传闻引发全球金融市场剧烈震荡。道指期货下跌0.36%，标普500指数下跌0.51%，纳斯达克指数更是重挫 0.65%。这一消息不仅影响着全球资本市场，更直接关系到普通人的资产安全与生活成本。对于背负房贷的家庭而言，美联储政策转向可能带 来的利率变动尤为关键——仅上个月利率上调0.3%就已导致部分家庭月供增加400元，若新主席延续加息路径，普通购房者将面临更大还款压 力。 说白了，就是美国央行的政策史。 2008年金融危机后，他们就没闲着。 | 从图上能看到啥？ | | --- | | 2008年开始，美联储一直在"印钞放水"。 | | 一轮又一轮，放了四次。 | | ...

吴说获悉，Delphi Digital 在 X 表示，美联储 12 月再降息 25bp，联邦基金利率至约 3.5%—3.75%；远期 曲线定价 2026 年至少再降 3 次，年底或至 3%初段。同时，12 月 1 日结束 QT、财政部一般账户 （TGA）转为消耗、逆回购（RRP）已耗尽，构成自 2022 年初以来首个净正流动性环境。该机构称， 2026 年政策从"逆风"转为"温和顺风"。 来源：市场资讯 （来源：吴说） ...

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International News - Cryptocurrency prices have surged significantly, with Bitcoin surpassing $94,000, up 3.12% in a day, and Ethereum exceeding $3,200, with a daily increase of 7.22% [1][9] - The U.S. stock market showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones up 0.86%, Nasdaq up 0.17%, and S&P 500 up 0.30%. Notable stock movements included Tesla rising over 4% and Oracle over 3%, while Microsoft fell over 2% and Nvidia dropped 1% [1][9] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index declined by 1.37%, with significant drops in stocks such as Canadian Solar, Hainan Airlines, and JinkoSolar, which fell by 9.38%, 7.98%, and 5.67% respectively [1][9] - In the commodities market, U.S. natural gas futures rose over 5% to $4.050 per million British thermal units, previously touching $5 for the first time since 2022 [1][9] - Oil inventory data indicated an increase of 574,000 barrels in U.S. crude oil stocks for the week ending November 28, contrary to expectations of a decrease of 821,000 barrels. Gasoline stocks rose by 4.518 million barrels, significantly exceeding the expected increase of 1.468 million barrels [1][9] - In the metals market, Shanghai tin futures rose by 3.59%, surpassing 320,000 yuan per ton, reaching the highest level since April 2022. London Metal Exchange three-month tin prices also increased by 4.21% to $40,685 per ton [1][9] Economic Data and Policy Dynamics - The U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for November was reported at 52.6, exceeding expectations of 52.1 and the previous value of 52.4, marking the highest level since February 2025 [10] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra indicated that certain sectors of the economy are showing signs of weakness, suggesting a need for interest rate cuts [11] - Concerns in the bond market arose regarding potential interest rate cuts if Hassett were to become the Federal Reserve Chair, leading to a sustained drop of over 2 basis points in the yield of U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds [11] Corporate Dynamics - Apple's Chief Design Officer, Alan Dye, is set to leave the company to join Meta [13] - Microsoft denied reports of reducing sales personnel quotas, clarifying that the reports confused growth targets with sales quotas, although its stock fell 1.4% in pre-market trading [14] - The U.S. Congress is pushing for a ban on stock trading by lawmakers and implementing new sanctions related to Venezuela [12] Domestic News - Foreign investment institutions remain optimistic about Chinese assets, with over 9,000 A-share listed companies being surveyed this year, led by firms like Point72 and Goldman Sachs, focusing on technology innovation and high-end manufacturing [17] - Shanghai tin futures showed strong performance, with the main continuous contract rising by 3.59% to 320,440 yuan per ton, reaching a new high since April 2022 [17] - On December 3, Zhihong Home disclosed its shareholding increase, while 15 A-share companies, including Tengjing Technology, Dongfang Electric, and Baiwei Storage, announced shareholding reduction plans [17]

U.S. private payrolls unexpectedly declined in November, but new industry data shows crypto hiring soaring. This raises fresh questions about whether clearer regulation could keep more high-skill digital-asset jobs inside the country rather than overseas. Related: Treasury Secretary Bessent reveals plan to tackle soaring $38T debt Labor market softens under tariffs, AI and shrinking private hiring According to the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. private payrolls fell by 32,000 in Nov ...

每经AI快讯，12月4日，以太坊盘中升破3200美元，最高涨7.3%。 ...

以太坊升破3200美元，涨7.22%。 ...

Market Overview - The three major U.S. indices rose, with the Dow Jones up by 408.44 points (0.86%) to 47882.9, the Nasdaq up by 40.42 points (0.17%) to 23454.09, and the S&P 500 up by 20.35 points (0.3%) to 6849.72 [1] - European indices showed mixed results, with Germany's DAX30 down by 14.85 points (0.06%) to 23695.02, while Spain's IBEX35 rose by 124.55 points (0.76%) to 16590.55 [1] Oil Market - Light crude oil futures for January 2026 rose by $0.31 to $58.95 per barrel (0.53% increase), while Brent crude for February rose by $0.22 to $62.67 per barrel (0.35% increase) [2] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin increased by over 2.4% to $93514.52, and Ethereum rose by over 5.3%, surpassing the $3100 mark [3] Gold Market - Spot gold decreased by 0.07% to $4202.85 [4] Labor Market Insights - The ADP report indicated a surprising decline in private sector employment in November, with a loss of 32,000 jobs, following a revised gain of 47,000 jobs in October [5] - The ISM non-manufacturing PMI for November was stable at 52.6, slightly up from 52.4 in October, indicating steady service sector activity despite low employment indicators [6] Trade Agreements - President Trump stated that the USMCA agreement may either expire or require a new deal with Mexico and Canada, emphasizing concerns over trade imbalances [7] Automotive Standards - Trump proposed significant reductions in fuel economy standards for passenger vehicles, aiming for an average of about 34 miles per gallon by 2031, compared to the previous target of approximately 50 miles per gallon set by the Biden administration [8] European Economic Outlook - ECB President Lagarde noted that core inflation remains aligned with the 2% medium-term target, and emphasized the need for enhancing Europe's long-term competitiveness [9] Copper Market Dynamics - U.S. funds are stockpiling copper amid concerns over supply constraints, with COMEX copper inventories increasing significantly, reflecting strategic considerations beyond tariff impacts [10] Company-Specific Developments - Salesforce (CRM) reported Q3 revenue of $10.3 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS of $3.25, up from $2.41 the previous year [11] - Meta is hiring Apple's design head Alan Dye to oversee design for its hardware and AI integration, marking a significant talent shift from Apple [12] - Coinbase's CEO announced collaborations with major banks for pilot projects related to cryptocurrency trading, indicating a growing acceptance of digital assets in traditional finance [13]

Group 1 - The EU plans to ban Russian natural gas imports by the fall of 2027, aiming to enhance energy security and reshape the global energy landscape [2][7] - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket by Blue Arrow Aerospace marks a significant advancement in China's commercial space sector, despite a setback in the rocket's recovery process [2][7] - The Chinese government emphasizes the goal of building a financial powerhouse, focusing on six core elements and the establishment of a modern financial system [2][7] Group 2 - The State Council approved the Yangtze River Delta land use plan for 2023-2035, which aims to optimize spatial layout and promote high-quality regional development [3][8] - Nationwide measures are being implemented to stabilize the real estate market, including legal penalties for negative commentary and incentives for homebuyers [3][8] - The cryptocurrency market has shown signs of stabilization after recent volatility, with a shift in trader sentiment towards optimism [9] Group 3 - The Indian rupee has fallen against the dollar, and the stock market has declined due to the lack of a trade agreement with the U.S., leading to increased trade deficits [4][9] - Wanlong Optoelectronics is planning a significant asset restructuring to acquire control of Zhongkong Information, which could enhance its competitive position in the smart transportation sector [4][9] - Foreign investment banks are optimistic about the A-share market in 2026, with expected earnings growth revisions and target index increases [4][9] Group 4 - U.S. Treasury yields have retreated, impacting the dollar and gold prices, with market participants awaiting key employment data to gauge economic conditions [5][10]