股指期货日度数据跟踪 2025-06-17 一、指数走势 06 月 16 日，上证综指涨跌幅 0.35%，收于 3388.73 点，成交额 4815.94 亿元，深成指数涨跌幅 0.41%，收于 10163.55 点，成交额 7334.81 亿元。 中证 1000 指数涨跌幅 0.68%，成交额 2530.88 亿元，其中开盘价 6089.96，收盘价 6147.46，当日最高价 6151.51，最低价 6089.96； 中证 500 指数涨跌幅 0.48%，成交额 1709.89 亿元，其中开盘价 5725.0，收盘价 5767.81，当日最高价 5775.95，最低价 5725.0； 沪深 300 指数涨跌幅 0.25%，成交额 2468.61 亿元，其中开盘价 3853.62，收盘价 3873.8，当日最高价 3876.17，最低价 3853.62； 上证 50 指数涨跌幅 0.32%，成交额 688.11 亿元，其中开盘价 2666.82，收盘价 2685.01，当日最高价 2687.11，最低价 2664.43。 图表 1：中证 1000、中证 500、沪深 300、上证 50 日内走势（%） 图表 ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the current state of the foreign exchange market, particularly focusing on the US dollar index and its interactions with major currencies, as well as geopolitical tensions affecting market sentiment [1][4]. Currency Analysis - The US dollar index faced resistance below 98.60 and support above 97.60, indicating a potential downward trend after a short-term rise. If the index rises but remains below 98.65, the target for a decline could be between 97.65 and 97.15 [2]. - The EUR/USD pair showed a similar pattern, with support above 1.1485 and resistance below 1.1615. A rise today that fails to exceed 1.1610 could lead to a decline targeting 1.1480 to 1.1425 [2]. - The USD/JPY pair broke its upward trend from April, suggesting a possible return to a downward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen below 50, and the MACD has crossed below the signal line, indicating a bearish outlook. Key support levels are at 142.42 and 141.65, with a potential drop towards 140 if the trend continues [3]. Geopolitical Events - Tensions in the Middle East are affecting market sentiment, with Trump indicating the possibility of US intervention in the Israel-Iran conflict. He warned of a significant response if Iran attacks the US [4]. - Netanyahu stated that Israel would cease military actions if Iran agrees to abandon its nuclear program, highlighting the ongoing geopolitical risks in the region [5]. - Iran has reportedly launched missile attacks on Israel, escalating the conflict and prompting military responses from Israel [5]. Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to watch includes the release of the June New York Fed Manufacturing Index and various reports from China regarding housing prices and industrial output [7][8].

那么，后续市场将如何演绎呢？奇名认为，调整不会马上结束，目前板块指数走势分化极为明显——上 证指数处于明显高位，科创板指处于明显低位，两者之间形成了一种跷跷板效应，因此，高位的要以继 续防控风险为主。奇名预计，周一可能会出现一个修复性的反弹，指数可能会重新反抽3390附近，反抽 之后，就要看力度了，形成区间震荡整理走势的可能性也不小。 （原标题：投顾观市：放量下跌只是开始，下周调整延续？） 6月13日，和讯投顾奇名在市场分析中指出，大盘今日出现了调整，而且调整的力度相当大。许多人将 今天的调整归因于外部因素，认为是消息面的刺激所致，但实际上并非如此，外部因素充其量只是一个 导火索。实际上，昨天就已经出现了调整的迹象。因为昨天出现了日线的高点序列，前天是高9，而昨 天中午又形成了120分钟的顶部结构，市场表现分化明显，高位的继续回落，低位的也出现了杀跌。 具体来看，中证2000、中证1000以及微盘股都出现了明显的高点结构，奇名提醒投资者这几个指数要防 止继续回落。上证指数从3040点以来的上涨，高点基本已经过去，但最高点尚未突破，今天形成了120 分钟的高点结构，且已经出现死叉，通常情况下，120分钟高点结构 ...

那么这地方形成一个区间震荡整理的这种走势，这种可能也不小，我们来分析分析看一看。那么首先说 呢这个中证2000和中证1000，还有微盘股都有明显的高点结构，这几个指数要防止继续回落。那么上证 指数来看，呢还是待会我们再最后看科创板50指数，啊科创板50指数这是一个明显的低位。最近它这一 个都从5月中旬到现在基本就没有涨，它是在一直是跌的，所以说他跌弹簧越压越紧，他在酝酿着机 会，他在酝酿着最起码的这个反弹的机会。那我们看上证指数啊上证指数呢应该说从3040点以来的上 涨，呢这个高点基本就是120分钟过去了，但是它最高点没过去是吧？系这个地方呢形成了一个120分钟 的，今天这高点结构这么明显，行，这已经死叉了，120分钟高点结构呢通常对应的调整是12天，但那 12天会怎么调？能不能真真正正他不调12天或者是一定就得调12天也不一定。 我们说这个地方什么，首先大方向判断就是从3040到现在的上涨，这都是大三浪的初期在日线看得很清 楚，也就这一波上涨之后，这是一然后这是一个联合的二，然后这个地方开始是三，现在是这是三浪一 应该比较确定，那么后边这段的走势可能会这么走，做盘整再向上突破，这也是个也就这个地方的低 点， ...

Group 1 - The current market is experiencing fluctuations around the 3400-point level, with a focus on the white wine sector, which is under pressure to find a bottom [1][5] - Large funds are actively selling off white wine and real estate stocks to prepare for a potential breakout above 3674 points, indicating a strategy to accumulate positions rather than distribute [3][5] - The market is not in a selling phase but rather in a consolidation phase, with reduced trading volume suggesting that a larger market movement may be brewing [5][7] Group 2 - The overall trend for the market index remains upward, with the potential to maintain the 3400-point level, indicating a lack of selling pressure [7] - The relationship between individual stock performance and the overall index is emphasized, suggesting that the performance of ETFs and index strategies is more relevant than individual stock trading [5][7] - The white wine sector is highlighted as a key player in the index, with its movements significantly impacting the overall market dynamics [3][5]

股指期货日度数据跟踪 2025-06-12 一、指数走势 06 月 11 日，上证综指涨跌幅 0.52%，收于 3402.32 点，成交额 5018.07 亿元，深成指数涨跌幅 0.83%，收于 10246.02 点，成交额 7536.51 亿元。 中证 1000 指数涨跌幅 0.4%，成交额 2436.71 亿元，其中开盘价 6162.16，收盘价 6186.51，当日最高价 6221.2，最低价 6162.16； 中证 500 指数涨跌幅 0.61%，成交额 1613.54 亿元，其中开盘价 5758.53，收盘价 5792.95，当日最高价 5818.57，最低价 5758.53； 沪深 300 指数涨跌幅 0.75%，成交额 2572.18 亿元，其中开盘价 3870.67，收盘价 3894.63，当日最高价 3911.61，最低价 3870.67； 上证 50 指数涨跌幅 0.59%，成交额 665.28 亿元，其中开盘价 2676.67，收盘价 2692.14，当日最高价 2704.45，最低价 2676.67。 图表 1：中证 1000、中证 500、沪深 300、上证 50 日内走势（%） 图 ...

Group 1: Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector is currently stable and categorized as a secondary hotspot, with an accelerated performance that poses potential risks to previously high-performing thematic stocks [1] - The strength of the pharmaceutical stocks' performance hinges on whether funds can flow into underperforming sub-sectors such as traditional Chinese medicine and biopharmaceuticals, indicating a shift in sector dynamics [1] - Investors are advised to closely follow market hotspots, as capturing these trends typically yields better results than straying from them; they should focus on stocks with advantageous price trends or fundamentals and patiently await opportunities [1] Group 2: Digital Currency Sector - The digital currency sector shows a standard bullish trend, although trading volume has decreased, leading to a fluctuating market condition [1] - If digital currency stocks can reclaim previous highs, it will indicate strength and provide buying opportunities during pullbacks, aiding in the identification of strong stocks [1] Group 3: Nuclear Fusion Sector - The nuclear fusion sector has recently shown strong performance, with some stocks hitting the daily limit, indicating it was previously a primary hotspot worth monitoring [2] - The sector is approaching new highs, facing a choice between a breakout or a pullback; a successful breakout will solidify its strong position, while a pullback that holds key support levels will still indicate strong oscillation [2] - Investors are encouraged to consider which sectors may lead in a unidirectional market, emphasizing the importance of selecting the right sectors and stocks for optimal investment outcomes [2]

Market Analysis - The index successfully surpassed the 3357 point level, which is a significant concentration area for trading, indicating a high probability of further upward movement towards 3389 points [1][4] - Following the initial touch of 3389 points, the index experienced a slight pullback, closing at 3385 points, suggesting that it has not yet firmly established above the 3389 point level [4] - The market outlook indicates that as long as the index does not fall below 3357 points during any pullbacks, the likelihood of breaking through 3389 points remains high, with a potential target of over 3405 points in the coming week [6][8] Silver Market Performance - The silver market has shown remarkable performance, significantly outperforming gold, driven by multiple factors including a historical high gold-silver ratio of 1:100, indicating silver's relative undervaluation [9] - The surge in silver prices is also attributed to the booming renewable energy sector, particularly the demand for silver in photovoltaic panels, with an expected supply gap of 8800 tons by 2025 [9] - Investor enthusiasm is reflected in the nearly 8% increase in silver ETF holdings since February, with notable stock performances from companies like Silver Holdings and Hunan Silver, indicating strong market sentiment [9]

Group 1 - The international spot gold price opened at $3289.05, reached a high of $3403.14, and closed at $3308.83, with an increase of $20.14 or 0.61% [1] - The US dollar index opened at 99.42 points, closed at 99.19 points, and decreased by 0.23% [3] - The Wellxin precious metals index (gold, silver, palladium, platinum) opened at 6281.00 points, closed at 6592.81 points, with an increase of 4.98% [3] Group 2 - Silver price increased by 8.93% and closed at $35.91 [4] - Platinum price rose by 10.68% and closed at $1170.60 [5] - Palladium price increased by 7.64% and closed at $1046.25 [5] Group 3 - NYMEX crude oil price rose by 6.55% and closed at $64.77 [7] - The Dow Jones index increased by 1.17% and closed at 42762.87 points [7] - The S&P 500 index rose by 1.50% and closed at 5802.82 points [7] Group 4 - The US ISM manufacturing index fell to 49.9, indicating a slight recession [12][14] - The US non-farm payroll data showed an increase of 13.9 million, but previous months' data were revised down significantly [16][17] - The US unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, indicating a potential upward trend in unemployment [20] Group 5 - The People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves for the seventh consecutive month, but the monthly net purchase decreased to 1.86621 tons [31][33] - The average hourly wage in the US was $31.16, with a year-on-year increase of 4.01%, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [22][24]

Group 1 - The market is expected to experience a downward test, maintaining a broad range of fluctuations, with a potential support level around 3330 [1] - There has been buying activity in low-position sectors, particularly in technology, indicating a significant probability of stabilization in these sectors [1] - The banking and oil sectors have shown upward trends, which may lead to a slight market pullback as these sectors are experiencing some profit-taking [2] Group 2 - A small high point was formed in the 15-minute chart, suggesting a potential downward movement in the short term, with a likelihood of further declines [2] - The market may face a directional choice in the short term, with a higher probability leaning towards a downward trend [2] - Key support levels include 3316, which is considered an important position for potential upward movement if market conditions allow [3]