Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 600 million, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 million, down 45% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 20 million, down 49% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 900 million, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30 million, up 150% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 30 million, up 21% year-on-year [1] - The total revenue for 2024 was 3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million, down 24%, and a non-recurring net profit of 130 million, down 26% [1] Dividend and Management Changes - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), expecting a total payout of 40 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 31% [2] - Wu Meili resigned as the secretary of the board but continues to serve as the vice president, while Zhang Liang has been appointed as the new secretary of the board [2] Product Performance - Revenue from leather for shoes and bags in 2024 was 2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, accounting for 68% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 18%, down 2 percentage points [3] - Revenue from automotive interior leather was 700 million, a year-on-year increase of 20%, accounting for 24% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 34%, up 4 percentage points [3] - Revenue from second-layer leather collagen products was 100 million, down 1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10%, down 2 percentage points [4] Regional Performance - Revenue from East China was 1.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%, accounting for 65% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22%, up 1 percentage point [5] - Revenue from South China was 600 million, down 1% year-on-year, accounting for 21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 22%, down 2 percentage points [5] - Revenue from overseas markets was 300 million, a year-on-year increase of 97%, accounting for 10% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 21%, up 5 percentage points [5] Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary Hongxing Automotive Leather reported a net profit of 150 million, up 51% year-on-year, attributed to increased sales and improved gross margin [6] - Lianhua Leather reported a net loss of 10 million, down 62% year-on-year, primarily due to increased financial expenses and exchange losses [6] Profit Forecast Adjustment - Based on the performance in 2024 and Q1 2025, the company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 150 million, 180 million, and 230 million respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.5, 0.6, and 0.8 yuan for 2025-2027 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for FY 2024, with a significant drop in net profit year-over-year, while Q1 2025 showed a slight recovery in net profit despite a decrease in revenue [1][5]. Financial Performance - FY 2024 revenue was 15.65 billion yuan, with a net profit of 380 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 0.21% and 78% respectively [1]. - Q1 2025 revenue was 3.48 billion yuan, with a net profit of 470 million yuan, showing a year-over-year decrease of 9.7% but a 6.4% increase in net profit [1]. - The company made impairment provisions of 298.62 million yuan, impacting net profit by 244.67 million yuan after tax [1]. Business Segments - Float glass and energy-saving glass revenue for FY 2024 was 6.86 billion yuan and 2.43 billion yuan, down 24% and 13% year-over-year respectively [2]. - The average selling price for float glass was 640 yuan per heavy box, down 19% year-over-year, while energy-saving glass saw a price increase of 9% to 776 yuan per square meter [2]. - Solar glass revenue increased by 69% to 5.75 billion yuan, with sales of 45.741 million square meters, benefiting from an increase in production capacity [2]. Profitability - The overall gross margin for FY 2024 was 15.5%, a decline of 9.5 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to falling prices [3]. - Q1 2025 gross margin was 12%, down 14 percentage points year-over-year but up 6.5 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [3]. Capacity Expansion - As of the end of FY 2024, the company operated 24 float glass production lines with a daily capacity of 16,600 tons, 9 solar glass production lines with a capacity of 10,600 tons, and several other specialized production lines [4]. - The company has over 200 million tons of available silica sand resources, indicating strong scale and raw material advantages [4]. Long-term Outlook - The company is viewed positively for its long-term growth potential, maintaining a "buy" rating despite lowering profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5]. - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 750 million yuan, 820 million yuan, and 1.53 billion yuan respectively, revised down from previous estimates [5].

The current level reflects a downward revision of 6.2% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days. This demonstrates how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reappraised their initial projections over this period. Prior to a company's earnings announcement, it is crucial to consider revisions to earnings estimates. This serves as a significant indicator for predicting potential investor actions regarding the stock. Empirical research has consistently demonstrated a robu ...