马来西亚总理：未来五年通货膨胀率将保持在每年2%-3%的稳定水平。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's FOMC has decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.5% to support maximum employment and a 2% inflation rate, while closely monitoring economic indicators and risks [4][6]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has slowed in the first half of the year, although the unemployment rate remains low and the labor market is stable [4][6]. - Inflation is still at a relatively high level, and the uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains elevated [4][6]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Decisions - The FOMC will continue to reduce its holdings of Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities as part of its monetary policy strategy [4][6]. - The committee is prepared to adjust its monetary policy stance if risks emerge that could hinder the achievement of its goals [4][6]. Group 3: Committee Members - The voting members in favor of the monetary policy decision include FOMC Chair Powell, Vice Chair Williams, and several other regional Federal Reserve presidents and governors [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is not expected to lower interest rates in the upcoming meeting, but the market is closely watching for signs of potential rate cuts starting in September [2][4]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Current Stance - Analysts believe that clarity regarding interest rate decisions has not yet arrived, allowing Fed Chair Jerome Powell to maintain a wait-and-see approach [5]. - The Fed has signaled the possibility of needing to cut rates, but officials are waiting to assess the impact of President Trump's tariffs on the economy [4][5]. - The current economic conditions are not significantly different from a few months ago, despite a slowdown in growth [5]. Group 2: Employment and Inflation - Employers continued to add jobs in June, despite the economic slowdown [6]. - Inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, with tariffs increasing the risk of sustained high inflation [7]. - The Fed's benchmark interest rate is currently between 4.25% and 4.5%, with officials outlining the possibility of two rate cuts by the end of the year [7]. Group 3: Market Expectations - The market perceives that the Fed's patience may soon wane, with a 62% probability of a rate cut in September according to CME Group's FedWatch tool [8]. - The Fed will have access to July and August employment reports to evaluate whether the job market is slowing down [9]. Group 4: Diverging Opinions within the Fed - Some economists believe that waiting until September for a rate cut may be too late, with the possibility that the Fed may not cut rates at all this year [10]. - Analysts expect Powell to reiterate that any decisions will depend on data [11]. - There is a growing divide among Fed officials, with some expressing concerns about inflation and the need for patience [15][17]. Group 5: Reasons for Rate Cuts - Two Fed officials have shown a tendency towards rate cuts, citing signs of economic slowdown despite a seemingly normal economy [13]. - Lowering borrowing costs for businesses and consumers could provide support before further economic deterioration [14]. - Concerns about inflation driven by tariffs are present, but some officials believe these effects may take time to fully manifest [16].

津巴布韦统计局：津巴布韦7月份通胀年率为95.8%，月率为1.6%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's unprecedented visit to the Federal Reserve, highlighting the tension between the government and the central bank regarding budget overruns and the request for interest rate cuts [2][3][8]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Budget Issues - The Federal Reserve is facing a lawsuit over its renovation budget, which was reported to be $1.9 billion but has already exceeded $2.5 billion [3][5]. - The renovations include luxurious furnishings and materials, raising concerns about government spending amid strict budget controls [5][6]. Group 2: Political Pressure and Interest Rates - President Trump, under pressure from his party and public dissatisfaction, is pushing for interest rate cuts to stabilize the economy and improve his approval ratings [8][19]. - The President's previous tax increases on various countries have led to rising costs for American consumers, contributing to public discontent [9][14][15]. Group 3: Independence of the Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve operates independently from the government, and its chairman has stated that interest rate decisions are based solely on inflation rates, not political pressure [19].

当地时间7月15日，西班牙国家统计局发布的最终数据显示，西班牙6月通货膨胀率环比上涨0.1个百分 点，升至2.3%，在连续三个月呈现下降趋势后首次出现反弹。西班牙政府认为，燃油价格上涨是今年6 月西班牙通胀率上升的主要原因。(央视新闻) ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes that for deposits exceeding 200,000, traditional fixed-term deposits may not be the most profitable option due to declining interest rates and rising inflation [1][3] - It highlights that the interest rates for fixed-term deposits are generally low, making it difficult for depositors to achieve high returns [1][3] - The article suggests that large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) offer higher interest rates, with many banks currently offering rates close to 3%, compared to around 2% for fixed-term deposits [5] Group 2 - The potential annual earnings from a large-denomination CD at a 3% interest rate can reach approximately 6,000, while fixed-term deposits yield only about 4,000, resulting in a difference of 2,000 annually [5] - The article recommends diversifying investments to balance safety, liquidity, and returns, mentioning options like bonds, government bond reverse repos, and mutual fund systematic investment plans [5][7] - It stresses the importance of finding a balance between safety and returns in financial management, encouraging individuals to explore various investment options beyond fixed-term deposits [7]

Group 1 - Brazilian economists predict the inflation rate for 2025 to be 5.20%, a slight decrease from the previous estimate of 5.24% [1] - The GDP growth forecast for 2025 is maintained at 2.21%, while the 2026 GDP growth rate is slightly increased to 1.87% from the previous estimate of 1.85% [1] - The expected SELIC rate at the end of 2025 is projected to be 15%, unchanged from prior expectations, and the 2026 SELIC rate is forecasted to be 12.50%, also consistent with previous predictions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasizes that despite increasing uncertainties, the economy remains in a robust position [1] Economic Conditions - The unemployment rate is still very low, and the labor market is at or near maximum employment levels [1] - Inflation rates have significantly decreased but remain slightly above the Federal Reserve's long-term target of 2% [1] Federal Reserve's Focus - The Federal Reserve continues to focus on achieving its dual mandate of maximizing employment and stabilizing prices for the benefit of the American people [1] - The Federal Reserve is aware of the two-sided risks associated with their dual mandate [1]

Core Viewpoint - Russian President Putin predicts that the inflation rate in Russia will reach 7% this year [1] Group 1 - The forecasted inflation rate indicates potential economic challenges for the country [1] - This prediction may impact monetary policy decisions and economic stability [1]