Group 1 - The Congolese economy is expected to show positive growth, with a projected real GDP growth rate of 2.8% in Q3 2025, up from 1.5% in 2024, driven by increased investment in the oil sector and strong performance in non-oil industries [1] - Inflation is anticipated to remain around 3.0%, slightly lower than the 3.1% forecasted for 2024, influenced by rising food prices and power supply disruptions [1] - As of August 2025, the total outstanding loans issued by Congolese banks increased by 27.9% to 1,816.4 billion Central African Francs, while non-performing loans rose by 15.7% to 264.8 billion Central African Francs [1] Group 2 - The economic development composite index for the Central African Economic Community (CEMAC) grew by 6.7% year-on-year, with a quarterly growth of 8.0%, compared to 9.3% in the same period last year [2] - The average annual inflation rate for the region stood at 2.8%, down from 4.3% in the previous year, while the GDP growth rate is projected at 2.6%, slightly lower than the 2.7% expected for 2024 [2] - Despite challenges from U.S. trade protectionism and ongoing geopolitical tensions, the economies of CEMAC member states have demonstrated resilience [2]

Economic Growth Forecast - Croatia's economy is expected to grow by approximately 3.0% in 2025 and slightly slow to 2.8% in 2026, aligning closely with the government's official forecast of 2.7% [1] - The growth is primarily driven by public spending and investment, with investment growth projected to reach 4.8% in 2026 [1] Inflation and Wage Growth - Inflation is forecasted to be 3.7% in 2025 and remain at a high level of 3.1% in 2026, correlating with an expected wage growth of nearly 6% [2] Fiscal Deficit Concerns - The fiscal deficit is anticipated to reach 3% of GDP in 2026, approaching the warning threshold set by the EU's Maastricht Treaty [2] - The report indicates that Croatia is on the "danger edge" of fiscal compliance [2] Export Growth Projections - Due to optimistic economic expectations from Germany, Croatia's main trading partner and tourism market, the total exports of goods and services are expected to accelerate by 2.5% in 2026 and grow by 3% in 2027 [2]

The final big economic shoe to drop this week did so in pleasing fashion: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November came in below expectations in a big way: +0.2% on headline and core (subtracting volatile food and energy prices) are below the +0.3% expected for both prints, which were where we left off these figures in September. (CPI for October has been scrapped.)Year over year headline CPI is also known as the Inflation Rate, and this came in surprisingly low: +2.7%, from a consensus expectatio ...

（本文作者阮加，北京交通大学中国金融研究中心主任） 刚刚结束的中央经济工作会议指出，"要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策。把促进经济稳定增长、物价合 理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，保持流动性充裕，畅通货币 政策传导机制，引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域。" 结合两年政策部署来看，2024年中央经济工作会议强调"保持就业、物价总体稳定"；2025年会议明确提 出"把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量"，这也是今年会议的新提法。据国家 统计局数据显示，2025年1—11月平均，全国居民消费价格与上年同期持平。既契合上年政策目标，也 为朝着新目标实现进一步上升预留了空间。 货币政策的主要任务是总需求管理，维持合理的物价则是达成这一任务的重要基础。通货膨胀率如同经 济体温，不能太高或太低。 适度通货膨胀率是经济活力的基础，也是经济增长、充分就业的基础。发达国家多将2%作为目标通胀 率，高增长发展中国家的通货膨胀率多高于3%。1992-2010年中国高增长时期年均通货膨胀率约为 5.2%，扣除物价因素后，同期实际GDP年均增长率约为10.32% ...

Core Insights - The central viewpoint of the report indicates a slowdown in the average price increase in Nepal from mid-July to mid-November, with inflation rates decreasing significantly [1] Group 1: Inflation Trends - The inflation rate for the first quarter of the current fiscal year is reported at 1.67%, a notable decrease compared to the previous year's rate of 5.60% [1] - The consumer price index has also dropped to 1.11% year-on-year, reflecting a significant reduction in price growth [1] Group 2: Contributing Factors - The central bank attributes the slowdown in inflation primarily to the stabilization of prices for food and beverages [1]

希腊《论坛报》12月11日报道，根据希腊统计局的数据，希腊11月份通货膨胀率升至2.4%，较10月份 的2%略有上升。食品仍然是主要驱动因素，增速加快至2.7%，高于整体通胀率。住房成本上涨3.7%， 而酒店餐饮类别价格飙升7.4%，反映出服务业持续面临压力。少数品类价格有所回落，橄榄油价格大 幅下跌37.6%，天然气价格下跌了12.6%。 ...

（原标题：瑞典10月通胀率保持0.9%不变） 瑞典统计局11月13日发布，2025年10月，根据消费者价格指数（CPI）计算的通货 膨胀率为0.9%，根据固定利率消费者价格指数（CPIF）计算的通货膨胀率为 3.1%，均与9月持平。 ...

英国央行预计，财政大臣蕾切尔·里夫斯的预算案将在明年春季使英国通货膨胀率降低最多0.5个百分 点，即便政府将在未来几年增加支出。 责任编辑：于健 SF069 预算案措施包括冻结铁路票价、削减家庭能源账单和减免燃油税，被视为为12月18日会议上再次降息铺 平道路。 英国央行副行长Clare Lombardelli周二公布，央行初步分析显示，控制家庭支出的措施将使2026年第二 季度起一年内的年通胀率降低0.4至0.5个百分点。 责任编辑：于健 SF069 这项分析可能会影响利率制定者在下周关键会议上的思考，届时，意见分歧的委员将决定是否恢复降 息。 英国央行预计，财政大臣蕾切尔·里夫斯的预算案将在明年春季使英国通货膨胀率降低最多0.5个百分 点，即便政府将在未来几年增加支出。 英国央行副行长Clare Lombardelli周二公布，央行初步分析显示，控制家庭支出的措施将使2026年第二 季度起一年内的年通胀率降低0.4至0.5个百分点。 这项分析可能会影响利率制定者在下周关键会议上的思考，届时，意见分歧的委员将决定是否恢复降 息。 预算案措施包括冻结铁路票价、削减家庭能源账单和减免燃油税，被视为为12月18日 ...

俄罗斯总理米舒斯京在会上表示，尽管面临前所未有的制裁压力，俄罗斯国内生产总值在最近三年内的增长幅 度将接近10%。 原标题：普京：2025年俄罗斯国内生产总值预计增长约1% 编辑：邓晞 责编：秦雨 审核：廖异 央视新闻消息，当地时间12月8日，俄罗斯总统普京在战略发展与国家项目会议上表示，2025年俄罗斯国内生 产总值预计增长约1%，通货膨胀率将维持在6%左右或更低水平。 普京指出，调整外贸结构是俄政府2026年的核心任务之一。 普京还表示，俄罗斯已具备条件，可以在保持低失业率和适度通胀的同时，逐步提升经济增长势头。 ...

（原标题：马达加斯加2025年通货膨胀率将低于8%） 据马达加斯加午报报道，马达加斯加国家统计局 (INSTAT) 的计量经济模型预测，12月通货膨胀率 将在7.0%至7.4%之间，年平均通货膨胀率将在7.6%至8.0%之间波动。 根据INSTAT计算的消费者价格指数（CPI），通货膨胀率从1月份的约9.5%降至9月份的7.6%，这 主要得益于食品价格，尤其是大米和基本生活必需品价格的逐步企稳。 ...