GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 螺纹钢期货上涨与后市看法 2025年6月11日，螺纹钢期货价格上涨，收盘价为2991元/吨 ，这一涨势背后有着复杂的原因。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品，为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益，请勿复制、传播、销售，否则将承担法律责任！包图网将对作品进行维权，按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿！ ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 从宏观经济来看，国内经济持续稳定复苏，基础设施建设项目稳步推进，对螺纹钢的需求有明显拉 动。就像大规模的交通、能源项目建设，会大量消耗螺纹钢，为其需求提供坚实支撑。 政策因素也不可忽视，政府在环保上的严格要求，致使部分小型钢厂限产或停产，市场供应减少。 并且，相关产业政策的调整，也影响着螺纹钢的生产和流通。 在市场供需方面，虽然处于夏季传统淡季，需求有所减弱，但供应端因成本上升和政策限制，产量 也在收缩。同时，近期铁矿石、焦炭等原材料价格波动，使得钢厂生产成本上升，限制了供应增加， 也对价格有一定支撑。 此外，市场预期也在发挥作用，投资者对未来经济和政策走向保持乐观，认为需求将进一步增加， 供应受限的情况还会延续，这种预期提前反映 ...

现货黄金站上3360美元/盎司，日内涨0.14%。 ...

布伦特原油日内涨幅达5.0%，报70.28美元/桶。 ...

因中东紧张局势升温，现货黄金重新涨回3350美元/盎司关口之上。 ...

WTI原油期货日内涨幅达2美元，此前报道称美国驻伊拉克大使馆正准备有序撤离。 ...

WTI原油期货涨超2.25%，报65.40美元/桶。 布伦特原油日内涨幅达2.0%，报68.23美元/桶。 ...

Group 1 - Walt Disney Co has finalized a $439 million deal with Comcast to fully acquire Hulu [1] - Disney's stock is currently trading at $118.75, up 2.6%, marking its third consecutive gain and a new 52-week peak [2] - Over the last nine months, Disney shares have increased by 34% and are on track to extend a 6.5% year-to-date gain [2] Group 2 - The recent peak in Disney's stock price coincides with low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18%, in the 1st percentile of its annual range [3] - Historically, similar low volatility conditions have led to a 10.4% gain in the stock one month later [3] - If this trend continues, Disney's stock could surpass $131 for the first time since April 2022 [3] Group 3 - There is a potential for additional upward momentum due to a decrease in pessimism among short-term options traders, as indicated by the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) in the 84th percentile of annual readings [6] - This suggests an unusual appetite for bearish bets recently [6] - The current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for options trading, with Disney's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) scoring 94 out of 100, indicating it has exceeded options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [7]

WTI原油站上65美元/桶，日内涨0.76%。 ...

现货黄金突破3340美元/盎司关口，日内涨0.4%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - ST Hongtai announced a price adjustment for its 97% chlorantraniliprole product to 300,000 yuan per ton, a more than 40% increase compared to last year's low of 210,000 yuan per ton, primarily due to limited upstream raw material supply and rising costs [1][3]. Industry Overview - Chlorantraniliprole is the world's largest insecticide, with annual global sales exceeding $2 billion. After the expiration of its compound patent in China in August 2022, market prices continued to decline, with a cumulative drop of 34.38% in 2024. However, since 2025, prices have rebounded due to low effective capacity release influenced by intermediates and operating rates, rising to 228,000 yuan per ton on May 25, an increase of 8.57% [3]. - Currently, there are over 100,000 tons per year of chlorantraniliprole production capacity under construction or planning in China, but the progress of planned capacity construction has slowed due to the impact of intermediate K amine supply and declining raw material prices [3]. Market Reaction - Following the price adjustment announcement, the pesticide sector continued to show strength on June 9, with stocks such as Changqing Co. and Guangkang Biochemical hitting historical highs, and ST Hongtai and other stocks also rising [3]. - Analysts generally believe that chlorantraniliprole prices are likely to experience a phase of upward momentum. Future project approvals and production regulations involving hazardous chemical reactions such as nitration and chlorination are expected to become stricter, benefiting leading companies in the chemical industry that can maintain stable production of existing products [3]. Company Responses - Due to changes in market supply dynamics, investor interest in companies involved in chlorantraniliprole has increased, prompting several listed companies to respond. Lianhua Technology stated that it provides advanced intermediates through a CDMO model and does not directly produce the product, indicating limited overall impact on the company. Huailong Co. is steadily advancing its chlorantraniliprole raw material and intermediate project with an annual output of 2,000 tons. Lier Chemical is orderly constructing a 5,000 tons/year production facility. Changqing Co. confirmed that its insecticides are currently in normal production. Liming Co. noted that if chlorantraniliprole supply tightens, it would boost demand for alternatives such as abamectin and methomyl [4].