近期欧派家居（603833）发布2024年年报，证券之星财报模型分析如下： 经营业绩概览 报告期内，公司所处的家居行业面临深度调整与转型挑战，市场需求收缩、行业生态重构、竞争加剧。 公司通过供应链改革、自动化产线升级、工艺研发等措施，营业成本下降19.15%，毛利率提升至 35.91%，净利率升至13.76%。公司自2023年起启动"七大核心改革"，推动大家居战略布局，构建泛家 居产业生态圈。 发展回顾 毛利率：35.91%，同比增加5.14% 净利率：13.76%，同比增加3.59% 三费占营收比：15.57%，同比增加15.32% 每股净资产：30.58元，同比增加5.28% 每股经营性现金流：9.03元，同比增加12.73% 每股收益：4.29元，同比减少13.86% 欧派家居在2024年的营业总收入为189.25亿元，同比下降16.93%；归母净利润为25.99亿元，同比下降 14.38%；扣非净利润为23.16亿元，同比下降15.65%。尽管收入和利润双双下滑，但公司的盈利能力有 所提升，毛利率达到35.91%，同比增加5.14%，净利率为13.76%，同比增加3.59%。 单季度表现 从单季度数据 ...

3、扶助合作方式：欧派集团提供两年无息贷款(占投资总额的10%-60%)。 4、扶助合作流程： 当时代的飓风席卷行业，有人选择蛰伏，有人选择破局。而欧派，以三十年磨一剑的锋芒，向世界发出 邀约——这里，是逆风者的战场，是勇敢者的星辰大海！ 伴随行业进化浪潮翻涌，欧派以十年为尺，丈量出一条从单品龙头到大家居生态巨擘的全面崛起之路 ——以分布全国东西南北中的五大超级生产基地为根基，以"橱、衣、木、卫、墙、配、窗"全品类交付 体系为脉络，以全链路人工智能为引擎，构建起覆盖设计、生产、物流、服务的全球大家居产业生态航 母，并逐步探索出一套被终端市场验证有效且高效的大家居及整装大家居系统运营模式——数以千百计 的城市运行愈来愈流畅，并创下愈来愈好的惊人效益！当县城单城几千万的业绩神话频现，当地级市亿 元俱乐部持续扩容，欧派正用铁的事实宣告：这不是偶然的幸运，而是模式的必然胜利，是系统战、耐 力战、创新战的终极答卷！ 但欧派仍有一些城市代理商困在传统模式的孤岛，亦有不少城市在山腰举步维艰——大家居从来不是简 单的产品堆砌，而是庞杂繁复的多链协同超级工程，这座极其巍峨雄壮却也异常艰险崎岖的巅峰，需要 有一定系统能量的精英才 ...

Core Viewpoint - Oppein Home's revenue and net profit have declined for the first time in 2024, with decreases of 16.93% and 14.38% respectively, reflecting the challenges faced by the home furnishing industry amid a downturn in the real estate market [1][7]. Company Performance - In 2024, Oppein Home reported a revenue of approximately 189 billion yuan and a net profit of about 26 billion yuan, marking the first decline in both metrics since its establishment [7][8]. - The company opened 1,085 new stores but closed 2,058, resulting in a total of 7,813 stores by the end of 2024 [8]. Strategic Shift - To navigate the challenges, the company has shifted its strategic focus towards old house renovations and integrated home solutions, aiming to tap into the 1.5 to 2 trillion yuan market for existing homes [8]. - The CEO, Yao Liang Song, emphasized the need for a "whole home" approach, stating that without this transformation, there would be no future for the company [8]. Dividend Policy - Despite the downturn, Oppein Home announced a substantial dividend plan for 2024, proposing a total payout of 15.02 billion yuan, which represents 57.8% of its net profit [8][9]. - Over the past two years, Yao Liang Song, as the largest shareholder, has received a total of 21 billion yuan in dividends [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.92 billion (down 16.93% YoY) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.60 billion (down 14.38% YoY) for 2024 [1][13] - The fourth quarter of 2024 showed a revenue of 5.05 billion (down 18.84% YoY) and a net profit of 568 million (down 21.71% YoY), with a notable improvement in non-recurring net profit [1][13] - The company expects significant revenue improvement in the first quarter of 2025 due to a longer conversion cycle for national subsidy orders [1] Revenue and Profitability - Retail channels are being optimized, with direct sales revenue of 830 million (up 0.57% YoY) and distribution channel revenue of 14 billion (down 20.10% YoY) for 2024 [2] - The company closed inefficient stores, reducing the number of direct and distribution stores to 63 and 7750, respectively [2] - The cabinet business faced challenges due to supporting products, with kitchen cabinet revenue at 5.45 billion (down 22.48% YoY) and wardrobe plus supporting products revenue at 9.79 billion (down 18.1% YoY) [3] Operational Strategy - The company employs a localized operation model to assist distributors in formulating transformation plans [4] - The integration of AI in e-commerce has led to a nearly 10% YoY increase in online traffic, benefiting over 4000 distributors [4] Dividend Policy - The company increased its dividend payout ratio to 58%, distributing a total of 1.5 billion in cash dividends for 2024 [5] Financial Health - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 35.91% (up 1.76 percentage points YoY), with a significant reduction in material costs contributing to this improvement [6] - The operating cash flow net amount was 5.50 billion (up 13% YoY), indicating improved capital efficiency [12] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 19.53 billion (up 3.18% YoY) in 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders projected at 2.73 billion (up 5.17% YoY) [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.92 billion (down 16.93% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.60 billion (down 14.38% year-on-year) for 2024 [1][13] - The fourth quarter of 2024 showed a revenue of 5.05 billion (down 18.84% year-on-year) and a net profit of 0.57 billion (down 21.71% year-on-year), with a notable improvement in non-recurring net profit [1][13] - The company is expected to see operational improvements in the first quarter of 2025, primarily driven by the conversion of national subsidy orders [1] Revenue and Profitability - The retail channel optimization led to a direct sales revenue of 0.83 billion (up 0.57% year-on-year) and a distribution channel revenue of 14.0 billion (down 20.10% year-on-year) for 2024 [2] - The company closed inefficient stores, resulting in a reduction of 7 direct stores and 966 distribution stores [2] - The cabinet business faced challenges due to the performance of supporting products, with kitchen cabinet revenue at 5.45 billion (down 22.48% year-on-year) and wardrobe plus supporting products revenue at 9.79 billion (down 18.1% year-on-year) [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company adopted a localized operation model to assist distributors in formulating transformation plans for the home furnishing sector [4] - The integration of AI in e-commerce led to a nearly 10% year-on-year increase in online traffic, benefiting over 4,000 distributors [4] Dividend Policy - The company increased its dividend payout ratio to 58%, distributing a total cash dividend of 1.5 billion for 2024 and planning to maintain a minimum annual cash dividend of 1.5 billion for the next three years [5] Financial Health - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 35.91% (up 1.76 percentage points year-on-year), with a significant reduction in material costs contributing to this improvement [6] - The operating cash flow net amount was 5.50 billion (up 13% year-on-year), indicating improved capital efficiency [12] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 19.53 billion (up 3.18% year-on-year), 20.85 billion (up 6.77% year-on-year), and 22.15 billion (up 6.26% year-on-year) from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 2.73 billion, 2.89 billion, and 3.10 billion [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 18.925 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 16.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.599 billion yuan, down 14.4% year-on-year [5][10] - Despite challenges in the real estate market, the direct sales channel experienced growth, with revenue from direct sales reaching 0.83 billion yuan, up 0.6% year-on-year [6][7] - The company is actively pursuing a home furnishing strategy, with a significant increase in the number of large clients and a rise in multi-category collaborative sales [7][10] Revenue Performance - The company’s revenue by product for 2024 was as follows: cabinets 5.45 billion yuan (down 22.5%), wardrobes 9.79 billion yuan (down 18.1%), bathrooms 1.09 billion yuan (down 3.6%), and wooden doors 1.13 billion yuan (down 17.7%) [6] - The revenue by channel showed direct sales at 0.83 billion yuan (up 0.6%), distribution at 14.04 billion yuan (down 20.1%), and bulk sales at 3.05 billion yuan (down 15.1%) [6] Profitability and Margins - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 35.9%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 13.7%, up 0.4 percentage points [8][10] - The gross margin by product was as follows: cabinets 35.6%, wardrobes 39.4%, bathrooms 27.8%, and wooden doors 25.7% [8] Cost and Expenses - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 21.0%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, with sales expenses rising due to increased advertising costs [9][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw an expense ratio of 24.5%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year [9] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 20.574 billion yuan and 22.953 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a 6% downward adjustment [10] - The company is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at boosting consumer spending in the home furnishing sector, which may enhance market confidence [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 18.925 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 16.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.599 billion yuan, down 14.4% year-on-year [5] - Despite the overall market downturn, the direct sales channel experienced growth, while the distribution and bulk channels faced challenges [6][7] - The company is actively pursuing a home furnishing strategy, which is expected to enhance market share in the future [10] Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue from various products was as follows: kitchen cabinets 5.45 billion yuan, wardrobe 9.79 billion yuan, bathroom 1.09 billion yuan, and wooden doors 1.13 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -22.5%, -18.1%, -3.6%, and -17.7% respectively [6] - The direct sales channel generated 830 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, while the distribution and bulk channels saw declines of 20.1% and 15.1% respectively [6] Gross Margin and Profitability - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 35.9%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 13.7%, up 0.4 percentage points [8] - The gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2024 was 36.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.3 percentage points [8] Cost Structure - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 21.0%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 10.0%, 6.9%, 5.4%, and -1.3% respectively [9] Market Outlook - The home furnishing consumption subsidy policy is expected to boost consumer enthusiasm and industry confidence, with a special fund of 300 billion yuan aimed at promoting consumption upgrades [9] Financial Forecast - The company’s revenue forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been slightly adjusted to 20.574 billion yuan and 22.953 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 2.768 billion yuan and 3.044 billion yuan [10] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 4.54 yuan, 5.00 yuan, and 5.46 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 15, 13, and 12 times [10]

Performance Overview - The company reported a significant decline in overall performance for 2024, with total revenue of 1.525 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21.11% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -89.52 million yuan, down 381.85% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was -118 million yuan, a decrease of 1082.8% [2] - The fourth quarter showed particularly poor performance, with total revenue of 396 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 45.92% [2] Profitability Analysis - The company's profitability weakened significantly in 2024, with a gross margin of 20.79%, down 9.0% year-on-year [3] - The net profit margin was -5.56%, a decrease of 550.49% year-on-year, indicating challenges in cost control and profit levels [3] - Earnings per share were -0.13 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 376.56% [3] Cash Flow Situation - The company's cash flow situation is concerning, with net cash flow from operating activities decreasing by 57.56%, and operating cash flow per share at 0.11 yuan, down 64.94% year-on-year [4] - The decline in cash flow is primarily due to reduced sales orders, leading to decreased cash received from sales of goods and services [4] - Cash flow from investment activities increased by 75.96%, while cash outflow from investment activities rose by 64.71%, and cash outflow from financing activities increased by 57.2% [4] Cost and Expenses - The company faced pressure in controlling costs and expenses, with total selling, administrative, and financial expenses amounting to 325 million yuan, representing 21.3% of revenue, an increase of 15.66% year-on-year [5] - This indicates an increase in operational costs, further compressing profit margins [5] Main Business Composition - The main sources of revenue for the company are flooring and custom home segments, accounting for 66.34% and 32.71% of total revenue, respectively [6] - The gross margin for flooring is 20.14%, while for custom home products, it is 21.09%, indicating stable margins but reduced income affecting overall profitability [6] Industry and Market Environment - In 2024, the global economic landscape is undergoing deep adjustments, with domestic economic pressures and new lows in the real estate sector negatively impacting the flooring and custom home industries [7] - The company is striving to enhance brand influence and market competitiveness through brand building and technological innovation, including launching the "Aomei" flooring brand and deepening collaborations with designers [7] Future Outlook - The company plans to continue focusing on the "big home" strategy and promote the digital, green, and customized transformation of the home industry, while accelerating the integration of graphene new materials with the home industry [8] - However, the company will face challenges in investment decisions, resource integration, and organizational management, along with risks from cyclical fluctuations in the real estate industry and intensified competition [8]